30/12/2013 World Business Report


30/12/2013

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News. Now for the latest

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financial news with World Business Report.

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It's been a stellar year for equity markets with Japan's Nikkei

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outshining its peers, but what will 2014 bring? We get the view of a

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market expert. Fewer but bigger airlines - that

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seems to be the model for Europe's airspace. The process could start in

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the new year. We have a special report.

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Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock. Also in the

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programme: As European governments look to encourage entrepreneurs we

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focus on the role venture capital has to play.

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We've come to that part of the year when it is time to look back and

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reflect on what 2013 was like for financial markets. And it's been a

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bumper year for most of the world's stock markets. In the US, the Dow

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jones industrial average is up 26% so far this year, and the tech heavy

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Nasdaq is doing even better, it's gained 38%. But that is nothing

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compared to Tokyo's Nikkei, which sees its last trading day for the

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year today. The index has surged more 56% over the last 12 months,

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its best annual performance since 1972. But one of the best performing

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markets of 2013 is Dubai, where the index soared 102%. Overall the

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biggest disappointment has probably been China, where markets have been

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stagnant at best. With me is Louise Cooper, market

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analyst at Cooper City. I would imagine anyone who is put

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money into sharemarket at the beginning of the year are rubbing

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their hand at the moment, depending on which one. Tell us why these

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markets have done so well? First of all, the world 's economically is a

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much better place than it was 12 month ago. The UK has recovered

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significantly. Much better-than-expected. Even the

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Eurozone is now back on the track to recovery. Celibate behind the UK.

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The US, the economic recovery is well on track there. Globally, if

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you look at global forecasts for GDP, they are looking a lot better

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now than they were a year ago. It is interesting, I did not mention the

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European markets, but they have done well as well. It would seem that the

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developed economies and markets have done better, and share markets have

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outshone bond markets. We have had a 30 year boom market for bonds,

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record low interest rates. The price of a bond goes up as interest rates

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go down. With an economic recovery, we will see interest rates going up,

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which means bond prices will fall. It is the stage in the cycle where

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bonds should underperform. Equity should overperformed. It is very

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interesting. It has been the year of the fightback for the developed

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world. After years of financial crises, the developed world has been

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amassed. This is the year where we fight back. The developing markets

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are down this year. The developed world, prices were up. Even Europe,

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will sit a great performance as the state, but still up 15 to the

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present. Not the 30% we saw the states, but a good return. Quickly,

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what about Twitter 14? -- 2014. There are some trends that will

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continue. Better growth will drive stock prices higher, it will help

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companies. At the end of the day, companies are exposed to growth.

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Companies should do well, their profits will do well. It should

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drive prices. This is the beginning of the end of the bull market for

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bonds. I would not be involved in the bond market sometime. The big

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question is Japan, with the stunning performance of the Nick Cave last

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year, -- Nick Cave, can Abenomics continue to drive vehicle it

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forward. Is the economy turned the corner? Thank you. We will talk to

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the newspaper headlines shortly. In Japan and how the new sales tax

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kicking in the early in the New Year.

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Entrepreneurs and their new companies are often seen as the best

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way to drive economic growth for a country and generate new jobs. In

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fact, currently in Europe there are nearly 9,000 startup companies which

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employ over 750,000 people. But for an entrepreneur to turn a product

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idea into reality, he or she often faces the hard decision of opting

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for help from venture capital investors or retaining full

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ownership of their companies. Chloe Hayward went to meet two

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entrepreneurs to find out how venture capital money changed their

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business prospects. Meet Rowlands, and his invention. 14

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years ago he was a monk, today he is on the road to becoming a

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millionaire with his new musical instruments. The complete lack of

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piano that you can play it like a piano. You can bend the pitch by

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moving along rows. Thanks to an investment of a few hundred thousand

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dollars, he has been able to hire 30 staff and fine-tune his product. As

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a first time entrepreneur, I felt like I was underground, digging

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furiously. I did going was going in the right direction. Having a

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venture capital firm coming, they give you a periscope to see the

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larger world, to understand that you are digging in the right direction.

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Why was an unproven product and an unproven entrepreneur worth

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investing in? You have to take risks if you are looking for returns of

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50, 100 times your money. All the ones we invest in, it is about one

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in ten that the ball out of the park and returns a lot of money to fund.

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Not all investments are as risky. In Twitter -- in 2012, this company

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received $16 million from venture capital firms. This company, the

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terms private homes and short-term hotels, now employs 200 people and

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is expanding around the world. Claims can rent homes like this one

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in London, but can also book short-term stays in Paris, Los

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Angeles, and New York. That is all thanks to venture capital

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investments. Venture capital money comes with strings attached. The

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price you pay when you raise money from third parties is that you give

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up some control, you give up some of the returns of the company is sold

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or goes public. It can also mean you make better decisions. Sometimes an

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out site influence can be guiding. That is the goal. If a company does

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listed shares, early investors will make millions. That is how a monk

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could become a millionaire in a few short years.

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We are just going to update you on a story that has been breaking in this

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last half-hour. An explosion on a trolley bus in the Russian city of

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Volgograd. It has killed at least ten people. That is why we are

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hearing. We have some pictures to share with you of these events. They

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have just come in to us. The blast comes only one day after 17 people

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were killed in a suicide bomb attack at the Central Station in the city.

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The explosions have fuelled security concerns ahead of February's Winter

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Olympics and Sochi. The venue was close to the volatile North caucuses

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region. It is something we will be discussing in more detail during the

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paper review. Those are the latest features of the attack. Last

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October, one of Europe's best-known airlines, the former flag carrier of

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Greece - Olympic - fell into the hands of its rival, Aegean. The

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question that everyone in the airline world is asking is whether

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this could mark the start of a series of further mergers and

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acquisitions amongst Europe's airlines. Some think that profits in

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the industry are so thin that companies desperately need to

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consolidate. They're hoping that 2014 will be the year that the

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process starts. Jeremy Howell has this report. It was three years ago

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when there was a buyout of Olympic. Finally, last October, the European

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commission approved the deal on competition grounds. Olympic and

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Aegean is the tip of a relatively decrepit iceberg. There are several

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other larger carriers in Europe that have no economic rights to be in

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business. They are all the so-called legacy of national flag carriers,

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with the support of government and national interests. An Italian

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airline was rescued from collapse when the Italian government

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persuaded private investors to pay off its $1.5 billion debts. It is

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fast running out of cash again. A front is considering whether to buy

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it out. A Scandinavian carrier is facing competition from low-cost

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carriers. They may be a takeover target. The airline's lobby group is

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urging the European commission to let deals like this go ahead

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quickly. Our advice to regulators would be to let the market decide,

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don't drag your feeds a long and we believe it is ridiculous, the way

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that the regulators are looking at potential mergers and acquisitions.

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In recent years, three large airline groups have emerged in Europe. IAG,

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the air France, KLM alliance, and Lufthansa. They have Twitter percent

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of the continent's and market. In the USA, the three biggest airlines

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have 80% of the market. There is scope in more consolidation. It may

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push up fares. We may see an upward drift in prices. Large carriers will

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face that downward pressure from low-cost carriers. They will keep

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the big boys honest. The stage is set for the big boys of European air

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travel to start snapping up smaller, weaker rivals. It may take some time

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before they act. That is because groups like Lufthansa and IAG have

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their hands full sorting out the problems of airlines they already

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own. They may hesitate before deciding to take on more.

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Now that is World Business Report. See you soon.

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Overseas visitors and migrants are set to face controversial new

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charges for some NHS services in England. Ministers say they're keen

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to clamp down on any abuse of the system, but doctors have expressed

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concerns. Here's our health correspondent, Adam Brimelow.

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The NHS is free for ordinary UK residents. Some doctors have warned

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that new checks to see

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