19/03/2014 World Business Report


19/03/2014

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among them, one written to her by Ernest Hemingway. For the latest

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financial news with Sally. Taking the reins, the new boss of

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the American soul `` Central bank, faces the tough task of winning

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market of six years of keep money. And years or Cyprus teetering on the

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bank of bankruptcy and we look austerity in the banking sector to

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shake up there. Welcome. Also in the programme, it is budget Day in the

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UK, we will look at what George Osborne is likely to announce as he

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attempts to keep debt under control. First, she has finally taken the hot

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seat after months of waiting, chair day two of her first federal reserve

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meeting. The biggest test of the British it will be how she manages

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from firefighting mode to normal. The Fed has been cutting its large

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cash injections launched at the height of the financial crisis six

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years ago. Michelle reports from Washington. She is one of the most

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powerful women in the world. This Wednesday, Janet Yellen host her

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first news conference as Fed Chairwoman. Her words can move the

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global financial markets. In Wall Street, economists say this is a

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transitional moment for the US central bank.

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The economy is gaining momentum, and they are on the way. That's why the

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process of exiting the previous policy has begun. Managing a smooth

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exit from extraordinary monetary policy for the nation will be one of

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the main challenges. What can we expect?

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Tapering will continue. This means the Fed will still buy bonds, just

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not as many. The question Wall Street is watching closely is what

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will they say about forward guidance? It has said it won't raise

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rates as long as unemployment is above 6.5%. Unemployment in America

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has fallen faster than expected. But nobody believes the job market is

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terribly healthy. This threshold is likely to be scrapped. The change

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will be in how they knew was there forward guidance, their promise or

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pledge that rates will be kept low. I think the time frame will change

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from 2015 but we will see a change in how they talk about it.

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Janet Yellen may have more control over the world's economy than any

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other central banker, but it will be the health of the US economy that

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will determine when she declares victory and lets borrowing costs go

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on. Here in the UK, the finance minister

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is expected to focus on appealing to ordinary working people when he

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delivers his 2014 budget. The UK's large budget deficit will make it

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difficult for him to unveil many giveaways but he is expected to

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reveal a rise in the income tax threshold from ?10,000 to 10,500.

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And confirmed child`care subsidies to help people on low and middle

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income. In his role, he is also expected to use the budget speech to

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announce a new ?1 coin. The new tour sided coin is based on the old

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Threepenny bit. The old pound coin is vulnerable to counterfeiters,

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apparently. The new coin will be harder to copy and is considered to

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be as secure as modern banknotes. We will talk about the bank today.

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There is an awful lot on the website. Stay with us here all

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morning, we'll keep you across the news. One year ago this week,

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Cyprus, the EU's most easterly state was desperately trying to stave off

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bankruptcy. Cyprus got a 10 million euro bailout. For the first time

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they had to pay high price. Holdings were scrapped or taken away to help

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closing one bank and propping up others. We were there a year ago and

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we have returned to the capital, Nicosia, to see how Cyprus has

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fared. They were unprecedented scenes that shocked the EU. It was

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not just the bank machines that ran out of cash, an entire state was

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running on empty. Its leaders having no choice but to accept bailout

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terms that drained larger accounts opened here. One year on, the crowds

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have gone, maybe the most poignant reminder of those events a year

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ago, the closed up bank which was taken over by the bank of Cyprus

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still heavily exposed to the property loans. Enter the overall

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banking sector is half of the size it was but half of all bank owners

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here are in arrears. I have three statements. The last 12 months have

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been tortured for this British Cypriot who lost his life savings.

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His loss is compounded because the bank failed to put some of the cash

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in his wife names as he suggested. I was living a comfortable life and

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that has been cut in half. I thought I was safe and I could help my son

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is in the UK. Half of that money has gone. You sit down and you're 60 in

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half of your money is gone. When you go from here? The recession has not

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been as deep as expected but the jobless rate has been high. Cypriots

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say they have a means to rebuild the economy and finances as they did

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after the war with Turkey that divided the island 40 years ago. Can

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the dominant bank of Cyprus organise things it? What the bank of Cyprus

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needs to become is the most important bag on the island for

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onshore Cyprus and the hundred thousand people that are on this

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republic. `` 800,000 people. It will be a bank for the Entre activity.

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That is the purpose. It is possible that through managerial tourism of

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the past we have done too much. As the tourist season starts, young

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Cypriots are looking for new ways of creating wealth. The Russian

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billionaires sold his shares in US tech giants yesterday instead of

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buying shares in the Chinese Internet retailer Ali Barber, why?

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Because of the US sanctions which were pinpointed the Russian generals

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and politicians. As an Obama has made it clear that until Russia

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backs down in the Crimea, further sanctions will apply. What does this

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mean for companies that have assets in Russia and the Crimea and are we

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going to see a flood of Russian money leave the United States? I am

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joined now. Give us your take on his decisions yesterday, is this a site

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of things to come? It is a symbolic gesture at the present. If you take

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your assets out of the US, where do you move them? The US is a safe

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haven. I understand a lot has come to the UK? A lot has. We have seen

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$45 billion of investment since the robbery. A lot of that has come to

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the UK. Yet, the UK is with those, who are talking about sanctions, who

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are talking about being harder on Russia but Russian money is coming

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here. There is a difference between the EU and the United States

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position. The EU has ten times more trade with Russia. It is harder for

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EU members to impose sanctions. It seems symbolic. The thinking on

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behalf of those who have a lot of wealth, they think that if they

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invest in the long`term in the UK or elsewhere, this is hopefully a

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short`term issue? There is the perception of that. I do not think

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anyone wants to engage with a trade war with Russia. The parliament

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passed a law for Valerie Putin to do the same. What about the insurance

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market? How was that affected? Insurance market is a good barometer

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for risk assessment. When sanctions were first mentioned, we saw a pause

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in Russian risk underwriting because nobody knows how it will play out.

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The talk of sanctions has had a more detrimental impact than the

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sanctions themselves. Thank you. While we're on this subject, let's

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look at the markets. You can see a mixed picture emerging in Asia at

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the moment. I will show you how things ended in the United States.

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All eyes on the US central bank and the UK here. That is the World

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Business Report. Stay with us, we will review the papers in a few

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minutes. Thank you. Five years after the

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disappearance of Claudia Lawrence in North Yorkshire, police say they

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have uncovered new evidence. This links Claudia to people who have yet

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