21/03/2014 World Business Report


21/03/2014

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capital, Kabul. A deputy Interior Minister said four foreign Nationals

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and two Afghani children were among those killed. Those are the latest

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headlines from BBC World News. Now for the latest financial news with

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Alice. Stepping up sanctions ` EU leaders

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meet in Brussels to discuss Russia's annexation of Crimea.

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And 'Significant progress' ` that's how the International Monetary Fund

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describes progress in Ukrainian talks over the resumption of a

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support programme. Welcome to World Business Report.

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In a minute we'll talk to Singapore about why China's Yuan is at a 13

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month low. It is a crisis that is shaking the

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foundations of international order. European Union leaders meeting in

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Brussels have stepped up sanctions against Russia following the

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annexation of Crimea. The leaders added twelve more names to an

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existing list of twenty`one Russian and Crimean officials subject to

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visa bans and asset freezes. The meeting also asked the EU's

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executive, the European Commission, to prepare for broader economic

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sanctions if the crisis escalates. Earlier, the United States announced

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sanctions against twenty Russians, all of whom are close to President

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Vladimir Putin. The Western aim is to ratchet up the costs for Putin's

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annexation of the Crimean Peninsula and to head off any further Russian

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military inroads into Ukraine. Our Europe Editor Gavin Hewitt who is in

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Brussels, sums up the tightrope Europe's leaders are walking. What

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is taking up the time here is what Europe or how Europe would respond

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if there is an escalation to the crisis. And some, like Angela

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Merkel, very firmly believe that Europe would have to embrace

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economic sanctions. Some, like the Prime Minister David Cameron leaves

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that Europe needs to begin setting out what it would do in the

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circumstances. There are other countries here who are very wary of

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going down the road of trade restrictions against Russia. Some of

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those countries are dependent for their energy. The key thing for

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Europe, it is felt very strongly here, they need to display eight

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United front over all this. Lets take a look at those trade numbers

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Gavin was referring to. You'll see that the Europeans have much closer

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trade ties with the Russians, compared with the Americans. Last

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year, the trading of goods between Russia and the EU totalled almost

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450 billion US dollars. As for the United States, the same sort of deal

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was worth nearly just forty billion dollars. Most of what Russia sells

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is gas, and most of what it buys is machinery. But can these sanctions

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actually make any difference to Russian policy? Will it actually

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squeeze wealthy Russians and force a change in Putin's position? With me

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is Tim Ash, who is an Analyst, at Standard Bank. Talk me through the

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kind of sanctions that have been imposed. They are fairly limited and

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are aimed at people around President Putin more to signal than have

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affected. There are different ways that the west can impose sanctions.

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The report mentioned that trade restrictions, there is a reluctance

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in Europe to go down that path. The financial route is the most

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effective. The US could be highly effective if it wanted to buy in

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forcing existing regular tea environment more vigourously. That

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would close of global financial markets to Russian banks. They are

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highly dependent on international markets. There is a lot of

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refinancing that needs to be done. Are we seeing a reflection of the

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sanctions? I think it was SNP. Initially, a couple of weeks ago

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there was some shock in Russia that the Westwood go down the sanctions

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route. They were scurrying around to adopt measures. Russian market

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traded off initially but have come back because they don't really think

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the west will go down this route. It could be potentially damaging. Is it

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really Vladimir Putin's inner circle that is being targeted? That is what

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a lot of the headlines are saying. The first round of sanctions was the

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meaningless. The second round, particularly from the US, these are

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high`level people and very close. For years, there have been pretty

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close to him. The Americans have a right to the bone, not particularly

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to Putin himself but the guys around him. Will it have much impact? It is

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signalling without much impact. We will await and see. Many thanks. Our

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Moscow correspondent got a brief interview with one of Russia's most

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powerful businessmen. He has banking and newspaper interests. He has

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given us a view of what is at stake in this escalating drama. He said

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the only effective way of hitting Russia was to stop businesses from

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being able to borrow. You lack the stopping of Russia's access to world

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capital markets. That would mean of 750 billion Russian state government

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world. This will be good. That will mean Russia will have to use their

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reserves which is just under 500 billion. If you eat out the reserves

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to change Western state corporations, the prices will go up.

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Financial sanctions would be the best way forward? For that, you need

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reactions from investors. Meanwhile, the International

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Monetary Fund says that "significant progress" has been made in talks

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with Ukraine's new Western`backed government over the resumption of a

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support programme for the crisis`hit ex`Soviet state. The IMF team

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arrived in Kiev on March four for what had been meant to be a 10`day

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mission aimed at examining the new government's books. But the Fund

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decided to extend its stay in what analysts are seeing as a sign it's

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moving ahead with the approval of a vital assistance programme. Talks

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are now expected to continue until March 25th. We'll be talking to an

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expert in an hours time. Living away from the situation in

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Ukraine. The value of the Chinese yuan has fallen to its lowest level

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in almost a year. Here to explain all is Sharanjit Leyl is in

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Singapore. What is happening to the Yuan? It is at a low. A 13 month

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low. That is after the Central Bank though it the midpoint of its

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trading range. It is a daily rate setting that is a sign of how

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comfortable the Central Bank is with the currency 's recent losses. We

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saw it fall to a low of 6.2374 against the dollar today. All that

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following the move by the Central Bank last weekend. They widened the

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trading band to allow it to move up to 2% from that daily midpoint rate.

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There is speculation that the bank is trying to keep the currency weak

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to try and boost the country's economic growth. That is something

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the US has accused it of doing for many years. An analyst I spoke to

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said these moves are ineffective. They had of Asian currency trading

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said these moves to weaken the Yuan will only last another week or two

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and it is against the long`term strategy to move away from being

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exported a light and boost domestic demand. We know the Yuan has been

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down 3% against the US dollar this year. There has also been pointing

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data showing China's economy is showing weaker growth. We have seen

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the Premier stressing that China will try and speed up investment and

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construction plan is to ensure that domestic demand continues to grow.

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That is what they want to emphasise. Thanks for talking us through those

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fluctuations. Let's have a look at how Asian markets are getting on

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this Friday. Market found their footing after Wall Street shook off

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concerns about Federal Reserve policy. The spike in US yield the

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dollar at that level. From me and the team, that is all for this hour.

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I will be back for a look at the newspapers.

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Many thanks to Alice for that. An official report has concluded that

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children's services in Coventry are inadequate and leave youngsters at

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the risk of harm. Inspectors are critical of a local board that was

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responsible for the series case review into the death of a

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four`year`old. Two years ago Daniel was murdered by his mother and

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step`father in Coventry.

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