14/08/2014 World Business Report


14/08/2014

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News. Now for the latest financial news with Sally and World Business

:00:00.:00:00.

Report. Economic growth in the eurozone is

:00:00.:00:19.

expected to be bad and worst of the bunch will be the former star,

:00:20.:00:25.

Germany. What went wrong? A Russian gas giant Gazprom reports

:00:26.:00:29.

its results. How will the growing political row with Russia affect

:00:30.:00:32.

energy supplies in Europe this winter?

:00:33.:00:39.

Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock. Also, we look at

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the PC maker that has posted a 23% jump in profits in the last quarter,

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despite the fact that we are all using our mobile devices as opposed

:00:58.:01:03.

to the PC on the desktop. First, let's look at the latest growth

:01:04.:01:07.

numbers for the EU, France and Germany, that are out today.

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France's latest figure is expected to be just positive at 0.1%,

:01:13.:01:15.

compared with zero in the first quarter. The ZEW business confidence

:01:16.:01:25.

measure in Germany, on Tuesday, was at an 18 month low and expectations

:01:26.:01:28.

today are for the second quarter GDP to be zero. After leading the

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currency bloc out of its longest`ever recession last year,

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Europe's largest economy has been hit by the downturn elsewhere in the

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region and industrialists are gloomy about the impact of the trade row

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with Russia. Joining me now from Berlin is Doctor Tim Gemkow, senior

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economist at DIHK. Thank you for being on the programme. How

:02:06.:02:12.

pessimistic AU? `` are you? We do see a decrease in the vibrancy of

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the German economy but we should not overestimate the figures because we

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had a very mild winter, so a lot of construction continued through the

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winter, so the figures show a counter movement to the increase in

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the first quarter. But, as you pointed out, especially due to

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concerns over exports, because of the geopolitical crisis, especially

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in Russia and the Ukraine, we also see a slowdown compared to what was

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possible at the beginning of the year. Germany is an economy that

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relies heavily on its exports. There is the issue with Russia but there's

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also the issue of the strong euro hitting German exporters. When do

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you think things will improve for Germany? Well, it is actually a very

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complicated situation because the current climate of sanctions and

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Russian counter sanctions not only keeps Germany directly but also

:03:12.:03:17.

partners in the eurozone, which again are important destination for

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German exports. On the other hand, when you look at the world at large,

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the good thing is that German exports, `` are less price

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sensitive. Because Germany occupies many specialised niches. So it has a

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smaller effect of German exports than those from other European

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countries. What does the German economy need? As you say it is

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complicated, you are within the eurozone so you have a European

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Central Bank that has to think of many other countries when it set its

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interest rate policy, etc, so what does the German economy need to move

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from zero growth to something more impressive? We actually need

:03:59.:04:06.

measures on three levels. Of course the most important is that diplomacy

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manages to find a way to resolve the current crisis with Russia, without

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further `` escalation. We also need more pickup of growth in the

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eurozone, which depends on the reform activities include free

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countries. We also need a policy in Germany that focuses more on

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competitiveness. `` in Rectory countries. We have seen this

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becoming less of a concern in the past few years in Germany because at

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the moment we are in a good position. Well you can't rest on

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your laurels. Thank you very much. Needless to say, when we get the

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numbers from fines, Germany, the eurozone, we will update you. ``

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from France. They talk about another company, Gazprom. `` let's talk. It

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will release its half yearly results. This company is tightly

:05:09.:05:12.

bound up in international dispute between Russia and Ukraine. Gazprom

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has already cut off gas supplies to Ukraine in a row over payment, as

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winter approaches there are fears that its supplies to the rest of

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Europe will also be affected. Jeremy Howell reports.

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Last June Gazprom cut off gas supplies to Ukraine because of

:05:33.:05:38.

unpaid bills. Ukraine has been surviving on its reserves. But now

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the gas stocks are running low and call the weather is on the way.

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Unless it can agree a new price for gas supplies with Gazprom soon, the

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new energy crisis looms. They don't have an agreement with Ukrainians

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about the cost of gas for Ukraine, so there's `` the danger that

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Ukraine may simply extract gas from that transit pipeline and use it for

:06:04.:06:09.

its own purposes and therefore depriving the European consumer of

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its gas from Gazprom. The last time this happened was in 2009, when

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Gazprom shut off gas supplies to Ukraine and it in turn siphoned off

:06:20.:06:24.

gas passing through the countries to east and central Europe. People

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there had to chop wood for fuel. Gazprom came the focus for public

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hatred. It will be keen to not have its business in Europe damaged

:06:35.:06:39.

further. Gazprom's chief executive must now try to persuade the Kremlin

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to less `` to negotiate a new deal with Ukraine. What will the Kremlin

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lesson? Gazprom will be pushing for a deal, that they can continue to

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supply gas to Europe and Ukraine, which remains quite a large market.

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As the debate rages, Putin will have to choose sides. At the decision

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which he hasn't had to make much during his ten year `` tenure at the

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top of the political elite. It is a tough decision for him to face.

:07:09.:07:11.

Analysts say events could play out in two ways. Kremlin could strike a

:07:12.:07:17.

new gas deal with Ukraine and solve Gazprom's problems or it might, for

:07:18.:07:21.

political reasons, hold of, building up is in Ukraine `` building up he

:07:22.:07:29.

is in Ukraine and Europe of a gas shortage.

:07:30.:07:31.

The world's largest PC maker, Lenovo, has reported a 23% jump in

:07:32.:07:35.

profits in the last quarter. Rico Hizon is in our Asia Business Hub in

:07:36.:07:40.

Singapore. Tell us why it is doing so well. They've done it basically

:07:41.:07:46.

with a 2`way strategy. It has maintained its grip in the PC market

:07:47.:07:52.

by remaining the leader in China. At the same time, it has increased

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sales from Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Africa and the Americas. And

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it has been successful with its smartphone and tablet models. Sales

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not only sword but also worldwide `` on the mainland but also worldwide.

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Global laptop shipments fell by 3.7%. In smart phones, over the past

:08:16.:08:23.

year, it replaced Samsung to become the growing number one smartphone

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seller in China. Lenovo has been successful in widening its global

:08:31.:08:33.

footprint by making some major acquisitions. This year alone it

:08:34.:08:38.

made $5 billion worth of acquisitions. They struck agreements

:08:39.:08:44.

to acquire IBM's server unit and handset unit from Google. This will

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indeed contribute to the topic `` profitability of the company going

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forward. We will keep close eye on it. Thank you. Let's talk about

:08:55.:08:59.

South Korea. Its central bank has cut interest rates for the first

:09:00.:09:05.

time in 15 months. The move was expected by analysts. The Bank of

:09:06.:09:14.

Korea lowered its key rate to 2.25% to try stimulate more spending in

:09:15.:09:16.

the economy. US network equipment`maker Cisco

:09:17.:09:19.

Systems says it plans to cut 6,000 jobs, or about 8% of its workforce.

:09:20.:09:22.

The company has been facing slowing sales in emerging markets as phone

:09:23.:09:25.

companies stop buying new hardware like routers and switches. However,

:09:26.:09:28.

shares rose nearly 2% in late US trading after Cisco reported better

:09:29.:09:29.

than expected quarterly earnings. These are the financial markets. The

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South Korea story has stocks edging higher. Japan is up by .7%. Hong

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Kong fairly flat. Let's show you the currencies:

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GP surgeries in England found to be failing could be put into special

:09:58.:10:19.

measures and closed down if they don't approve, under new proposals

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announced today. It's part of a new system of inspections for surgeries

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which officially begins later this year. Every practice will be given a

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rating on the quality of care it provides to patients, as Branwen

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Jeffreys

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