23/09/2014 World Business Report


23/09/2014

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BBC World News. Now for the latest financial news with and World

:00:00.3:59:59

Business Report. China reports a surprise pick`up in

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production at its manufacturers but is this enough to calm nerves about

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future growth. Preparing for the winter months.

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Europe works out its energy strategy as the Russia`Ukraine crisis

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continues. Welcome to World Business Report.

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I'm Sally Bundock. Also in the programme, the second part in our

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series on climate change takes us to New York.

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But first, activity in China's manufacturing sector unexpectedly

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picked up in September even as factory employment slumped to a

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5.5`year low. At a conference in Singapore delegates are at concerned

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about any change in supply and the impact it may have. Russia has

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pipelines that radiate across the continent. Which countries are

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likely to be hit hardest if relations between the countries get

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worse? If you any, Latvia and Belarus are almost completely

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reliant on Russia for natural gas. Normally Ukraine would also get 100%

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of its gas supply from Russia but currently it has restricted supplies

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to the Ukraine and so the exact amount Ukraine is receiving is

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unclear. Either way, Ukraine still offers an important pipeline to the

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rest of Europe. For example, 83% of Slovakia's gas originates in Russia

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while 59% of Polish gas used comes from Russia. Moving further afield,

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37% of Germany's gas, 29% of Italy's gas and 16% of France's gas comes

:02:01.:02:08.

from Russian energy companies. Italy is particularly at risk. The

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majority of its gas comes via the Ukrainian pipeline, the one that is

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likely to be switched off first if relations between Kiev and Moscow

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sour further. The rest of Europe including UK and Spain do not

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receive any but they will be affected if there is a rise in

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global prices if Russia decides to limit its supplier.

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With me is Cornelia Meyer, chief executive of Meyer Resources, an

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international economist and independent energy expert. If you

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watch us all the time you will know she's a regular. Nice to you again.

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It is that time of year when we head into the winter months in Europe.

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There is always that thought that there could be energy issues but

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this year it is much more critical. Where are we as we head into winter?

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We are in a better place than we could potentially be because last

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winter was quite mild and gas stocks are high. That said, all in all

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Europe gets about 30% of its gas from Russia and about half of that,

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15% comes through that Ukrainian pipelines. Germany will be OK

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because they receive their gas directly through a pipeline that

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goes directly to, recently built, to Germany. The people who are really

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going to be affected are the the southern European region like Bosnia

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that get all their gas from the European pipelaying. Sarajevo is

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heated in the winter by a gas central heating system so they would

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literally freeze to death. Europe, it is their own faults because one

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has tried to diversify away from Russia with pipelines from

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Azerbaijan, through Turkey. What happened is the Germans said, oh

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no, book arrest could potentially be Errani and gas... `` it could be

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book arrest, Iran. It shows there is no quick answer to this. This has

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been going on for years. Each winter we have the discussion about

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Europe's reliance on gas from Russia through Ukraine. They constantly

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argue about unpaid bills, how big, how small the bills are. This year

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we have the political and military crisis in eastern Ukraine, Russia,

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sanctions. It is so much more complicated this year and so much

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more is at stake this year. Certainly with the Ukrainian

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pipelines there is a lot at stake. When you look at the other

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pipelines, I think less so because if you look at what Russia needs as

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well. 70% of its exploits `` it's exports are oil and ass. 20% of

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GDP, 16% is oil and gas. They are heavily reliant on the budget. Thank

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you very much. That is ongoing in you very much. That is ongoing in

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Singapore and we will keep across any arrangements that come across.

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Let's talk about China. Activity in manufacturing unexpectedly picked up

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in September even as factory employment slumped to a 5.5 year

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low. It adds to previously lacklustre news out of China that

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paints a picture of slow growth. What now? How excited can we get

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about this news? We go to Rico Hizon. You are always smiling. It is

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a big relief short`term for investors after the string of weak

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economic numbers pointing to a slowdown in the second largest

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economy in the world. Domestic and export orders registering

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improvement. Factory employment slumping to its lowest level since

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2009 when a collapse in exports through tens of millions of Chinese

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out of work. We are starting to see the impact of the string of

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measures, stimulus measures implemented by Chinese authorities

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to boost growth and they are having an impact on the economy. When you

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talk to analysts they warn a slowdown in property is an ongoing

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risk. The property market makes up 15% of GDP and according to industry

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numbers there is 1.4 billion square metres of property outstanding and

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that translates to 12 months of inventory that needs to be sold.

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There is an oversupply of inventory in China's uppity market. There are

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risks in the Chinese economy but many say GDP growth can be

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maintained at 7.5% this year. OK, super, thank you.

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It `` It's a high profile event attended by the world's political

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and business leaders. This Tuesday the United Nations summit on climate

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change gets under way in New York. But leaders from two of the world's

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biggest polluters, China and India, are skipping the event. So will the

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calls from who took to the street to demand change go unheeded?

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In our week`long series on climate change, Michelle Fleury reports from

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New York. The Big Apple knows how to put on a big show. UN

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Secretary`General Ban Ki`moon, in the blue cap, and Al Gore joined

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hundreds of thousands of `` of thousands on the streets. It is a

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very powerful message that people should take climate change

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seriously. It is very important and the governments are not doing

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anything at an international level to put pressure. The march brought

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people together. This economist is less confident of consensus among

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politicians. It was wonderful to see that kind of show of profound

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concern all over the world. I don't think political leaders are there.

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This is still a world dominated by the geopolitics of fossil fuels.

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Once America's richest man, John D Rockefeller made his fortune from

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oil. His descendants say it is time to move away from fossil fuels and

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invest in clean energy. It is a view shared by a growing number of

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companies including this supermarket chain. The company helped build the

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solar roof and wind turbines dotted around this car park of the

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supermarket. This project, it is a great demonstration of different

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technologies that are cost`effective. When businesses

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trade out, show their neighbours what they are doing, a lot of other

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companies will catch on. The success of businesses like this one reflects

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a change in the way companies think about climate change. More and more

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firms are taking into account the financial cost of doing nothing.

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Some corporations are still putting profits before the planet and on

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Monday Wall Street was filled with protesters.

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A quick look at the markets. They were higher in Asia because of the

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news about China. They have been hit by the situation in Syria with the

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US airstrike beginning. Hong Kong is up just slightly. Much higher

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earlier. Japan is closed for a public holiday. The US yesterday,

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ended lower across the board. I will see you soon as we talk through the

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papers. The Labour leader Ed Miliband will

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today promise more spending on the NHS, more apprenticeships and to

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double the number of first`time homebuyers. In his speech to his

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party's conference in Manchester, the Labour leader is expected to say

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that the money for the NHS will come from a new mansion tax on properties

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worth more than ?2 million. Our political correspondent Carole

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Walker

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