22/01/2016 World Business Report


22/01/2016

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News.

:00:00.:00:00.

Now for the latest financial news with

:00:00.:00:00.

No return to 2008 - the US Treasury Secretary plays down

:00:00.:00:20.

But Jack Lew tells the BBC he's not taking anything for granted.

:00:21.:00:29.

After a week of turmoil, some calm returns to markets as the European

:00:30.:00:32.

We start with the turmoil on world markets because there are have been

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some calming words from arguably one of the most powerful players

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Gives me nine minutes and I will give you a fascinating and

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enlightening snapshot into the world of business!

:01:02.:01:05.

As United States Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew is in charge of steering

:01:06.:01:08.

He's been speaking to the BBC at the World Economic Forum

:01:09.:01:19.

in Davos, where he has been playing down fears that we could be facing

:01:20.:01:23.

Our business editor Kamal Ahmed started

:01:24.:01:37.

by asking him how optimistic he is about the global economy this year.

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Well, obviously there has been some downgrading of projections. The IMF

:01:42.:01:49.

projections have come down a bit. But the shape has not changed

:01:50.:01:54.

dramatically. Some of the mood has changed more dramatically than the

:01:55.:01:57.

projections. I think there has been a lot of focus on a few parts of the

:01:58.:02:03.

world like China, for example. How worried should we be about China? I

:02:04.:02:09.

look at China and the data that has come out and it does not look that

:02:10.:02:12.

different to what we were expecting as the reaction to it suggests is.

:02:13.:02:17.

China is in the middle of a long and challenging transitions, and

:02:18.:02:23.

industrial export oriented economy to a more consumer oriented economy.

:02:24.:02:27.

That is a difficult position. It should not be surprising that the

:02:28.:02:30.

rate of growth is coming down. The question is if they are pursuing the

:02:31.:02:34.

policies that will give them the ability to maintain a stable growth

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at a lower level for the next five years and the next ten years. They

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know the policies that they need to do in order to achieve that. The

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question now is as they get bumped around by market turmoil if they

:02:48.:02:52.

stick to those policies. I think it is really important that they

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don't. Despite the pessimism in the markets, you sound like an

:02:58.:03:00.

optimist. Do you think the global economy is on the right path? Or

:03:01.:03:04.

could there be another crisis ahead, which some are predicting? Another

:03:05.:03:14.

2008 moment. I'm cautiously optimistic. I think it is important

:03:15.:03:19.

not to let downside risks becoming self fulfilling prophecy is. -- a

:03:20.:03:32.

sulphur filling prophecy. -- self-fulfilling prophecy. There are

:03:33.:03:37.

different levels of capital and different tools in terms of

:03:38.:03:43.

transparency across the world now. I don't think we are in the same place

:03:44.:03:47.

and I don't think we are seeing those signs of weakness in our

:03:48.:03:51.

financial systems. Everyday I look to see that changed. I'm not taking

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anything for granted, that what was true yesterday is true tomorrow, but

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I'm also not someone who looks at our two hour developments in the

:04:01.:04:03.

markets and is as an indicator as to what is to come. -- developments

:04:04.:04:10.

hour to hour. It looks like

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after a tumultuous week a degree European and US shares ended higher

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and Asian stocks are gaining, too. We will bring you the numbers

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in just a moment. It all seems to be down to comments

:04:22.:04:24.

from the head of the European He gave a strong hint there could be

:04:25.:04:27.

more stimulus measures from the bank in the coming months

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because of the volatility on the markets, saying they may

:04:32.:04:34.

review their policy in March. Let's go straight to

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our correspondent Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore, who is watching

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the Asian markets for us. It is a better way to finish the

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week and how it started, right? That is it right. And did rebound in

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these Asian markets, reversing those massive declines in what was called

:04:52.:04:56.

Black Wednesday earlier this week. The Nikkei in Japan is up

:04:57.:05:01.

significantly. And it is all due to those comments from the European

:05:02.:05:05.

Central Bank chief, Mario Draghi, that the European Central Bank would

:05:06.:05:09.

consider more monetary stimulus. And these were echoed by the Japanese

:05:10.:05:13.

central bank. According to reports, they are also taking a serious look

:05:14.:05:18.

at further quantitative easing. That is because falling oil prices are

:05:19.:05:22.

making it even harder to reach its 2% inflation target. The Japanese

:05:23.:05:27.

central bank will meet next week. Some on the border to oppose further

:05:28.:05:31.

stimulus, with rates already close to zero alongside the massive asset

:05:32.:05:35.

buying programme. Elsewhere in Asia, markets are hired YouTube a

:05:36.:05:41.

resurgence in oil prices. -- are higher due to a resurgence. Hong

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Kong rebounded from its lowest since June, 2012. Chinese stocks continue

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to flounder. They are threatening to hit fresh two-year lows due to weak

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consumer sentiment there. Let's return to Davos now,

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where there's a chilly message for Low economic growth is

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the new normal, according to the boss of advertising

:06:08.:06:09.

giant WPP, Sir Martin Sorrell. China is now the company's third

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biggest market but the slowdown There's also the migration crisis,

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the risk of a UK exit from Europe and cyber security to name

:06:16.:06:20.

but a few. Sir Martin Sorrell is chief

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executive Is there anything you are not

:06:23.:06:41.

worried about? I want to start with this. There... There... Go on! There

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are a lot of risks. There are a lot of grey swans, as we call them. I

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don't know about black ones. Anyway, the big bosses, and I'm only a small

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one, they are ever watchful and I think they will go away from Davos

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being more watchful than when they came here. The atmosphere is

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gloomier than it was last year, although I do think the world

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economy will be very similar to last year this time, but no reason for

:07:24.:07:27.

any upside breakout, if you understand what I mean. I do. I want

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to ask about China. You were one of the earlier people to get into that

:07:36.:07:39.

market. It is your third biggest market. We all knew that a slowdown

:07:40.:07:46.

was coming. Has it been worse than you originally thought? Well,

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listen. Everything in life is cyclical. There is a long-term

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growth trends that benefits China and will benefit us, I have no

:07:59.:08:03.

doubt, and that applies to other markets like Brazil and indeed

:08:04.:08:06.

Russia, but on a very much longer-term. India is the one

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shining market of the so-called! Road that remained standing at the

:08:11.:08:23.

moment. -- the so-called BRICS but remained standing at the moment. It

:08:24.:08:26.

took America more than 100 years to become the global economic leader.

:08:27.:08:33.

And in the American presence, we went through the 1929 recession, so

:08:34.:08:36.

it cannot get much worse than that. You have to put it into a historical

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perspective and realise that in the long-term, the demographic shifts,

:08:40.:08:43.

the next billion consumers and our clients are all focused on will come

:08:44.:08:48.

from Asia, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East and Central and

:08:49.:08:51.

Eastern Europe, and you are seeing some changes. For example, Argentina

:08:52.:08:56.

is an important economy in the context of Latin America and it has

:08:57.:09:02.

a new president. He is here in Davos and he put on a really good

:09:03.:09:05.

presentation with his opposition number, I understand, and his

:09:06.:09:11.

government yesterday and he has made a remarkably good impression. Things

:09:12.:09:15.

are changing in some of the economies that we have been used to

:09:16.:09:20.

seeing as difficult. Just briefly, mate. The boss of the ECB says must

:09:21.:09:30.

enlist come in Europe. -- more stimulus will come in Europe. But

:09:31.:09:35.

the US Federal Reserve is now raising interest rates. Yes. And

:09:36.:09:42.

that is the problem. Japan is in the same position. And dollar strength

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in America. USC goes the report in dollars and who are suffering

:09:50.:09:53.

because of the translation of the profitability are cutting costs in

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order to make their absolute numbers. -- the chief executives who

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report. That puts another damper on the activities that we see. We think

:10:04.:10:09.

that is the wrong way to go. You have to invest in the brand to make

:10:10.:10:13.

the top mind go and that is where you get the total shareholder return

:10:14.:10:17.

and the share price increases and that is where you get the growth.

:10:18.:10:21.

But I'm afraid as you said, it is a new normal. I'm not been gloomy, I'm

:10:22.:10:26.

just saying that realistically, growth will be slow. Always a

:10:27.:10:33.

pleasure. Thank you, makes. Enjoy the skiing. That is what they

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normally do, apparently. Don't forget you can get

:10:35.:10:40.

in touch with me and some The NHS and the Department of Health

:10:41.:10:43.

in England is too slow to act in

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