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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News. | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Now for the latest financial news with | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
No return to 2008 - the US Treasury Secretary plays down | :00:00. | :00:20. | |
But Jack Lew tells the BBC he's not taking anything for granted. | :00:21. | :00:29. | |
After a week of turmoil, some calm returns to markets as the European | :00:30. | :00:32. | |
We start with the turmoil on world markets because there are have been | :00:33. | :00:53. | |
some calming words from arguably one of the most powerful players | :00:54. | :00:56. | |
Gives me nine minutes and I will give you a fascinating and | :00:57. | :01:01. | |
enlightening snapshot into the world of business! | :01:02. | :01:05. | |
As United States Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew is in charge of steering | :01:06. | :01:08. | |
He's been speaking to the BBC at the World Economic Forum | :01:09. | :01:19. | |
in Davos, where he has been playing down fears that we could be facing | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
Our business editor Kamal Ahmed started | :01:24. | :01:37. | |
by asking him how optimistic he is about the global economy this year. | :01:38. | :01:41. | |
Well, obviously there has been some downgrading of projections. The IMF | :01:42. | :01:49. | |
projections have come down a bit. But the shape has not changed | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
dramatically. Some of the mood has changed more dramatically than the | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
projections. I think there has been a lot of focus on a few parts of the | :01:58. | :02:03. | |
world like China, for example. How worried should we be about China? I | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
look at China and the data that has come out and it does not look that | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
different to what we were expecting as the reaction to it suggests is. | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
China is in the middle of a long and challenging transitions, and | :02:18. | :02:23. | |
industrial export oriented economy to a more consumer oriented economy. | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
That is a difficult position. It should not be surprising that the | :02:28. | :02:30. | |
rate of growth is coming down. The question is if they are pursuing the | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
policies that will give them the ability to maintain a stable growth | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
at a lower level for the next five years and the next ten years. They | :02:38. | :02:41. | |
know the policies that they need to do in order to achieve that. The | :02:42. | :02:47. | |
question now is as they get bumped around by market turmoil if they | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
stick to those policies. I think it is really important that they | :02:53. | :02:57. | |
don't. Despite the pessimism in the markets, you sound like an | :02:58. | :03:00. | |
optimist. Do you think the global economy is on the right path? Or | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
could there be another crisis ahead, which some are predicting? Another | :03:05. | :03:14. | |
2008 moment. I'm cautiously optimistic. I think it is important | :03:15. | :03:19. | |
not to let downside risks becoming self fulfilling prophecy is. -- a | :03:20. | :03:32. | |
sulphur filling prophecy. -- self-fulfilling prophecy. There are | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
different levels of capital and different tools in terms of | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
transparency across the world now. I don't think we are in the same place | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
and I don't think we are seeing those signs of weakness in our | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
financial systems. Everyday I look to see that changed. I'm not taking | :03:52. | :03:55. | |
anything for granted, that what was true yesterday is true tomorrow, but | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
I'm also not someone who looks at our two hour developments in the | :04:01. | :04:03. | |
markets and is as an indicator as to what is to come. -- developments | :04:04. | :04:10. | |
hour to hour. It looks like | :04:11. | :04:13. | |
after a tumultuous week a degree European and US shares ended higher | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
and Asian stocks are gaining, too. We will bring you the numbers | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
in just a moment. It all seems to be down to comments | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
from the head of the European He gave a strong hint there could be | :04:25. | :04:27. | |
more stimulus measures from the bank in the coming months | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
because of the volatility on the markets, saying they may | :04:32. | :04:34. | |
review their policy in March. Let's go straight to | :04:35. | :04:36. | |
our correspondent Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore, who is watching | :04:37. | :04:38. | |
the Asian markets for us. It is a better way to finish the | :04:39. | :04:44. | |
week and how it started, right? That is it right. And did rebound in | :04:45. | :04:51. | |
these Asian markets, reversing those massive declines in what was called | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
Black Wednesday earlier this week. The Nikkei in Japan is up | :04:57. | :05:01. | |
significantly. And it is all due to those comments from the European | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
Central Bank chief, Mario Draghi, that the European Central Bank would | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
consider more monetary stimulus. And these were echoed by the Japanese | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
central bank. According to reports, they are also taking a serious look | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
at further quantitative easing. That is because falling oil prices are | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
making it even harder to reach its 2% inflation target. The Japanese | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
central bank will meet next week. Some on the border to oppose further | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
stimulus, with rates already close to zero alongside the massive asset | :05:32. | :05:35. | |
buying programme. Elsewhere in Asia, markets are hired YouTube a | :05:36. | :05:41. | |
resurgence in oil prices. -- are higher due to a resurgence. Hong | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
Kong rebounded from its lowest since June, 2012. Chinese stocks continue | :05:48. | :05:55. | |
to flounder. They are threatening to hit fresh two-year lows due to weak | :05:56. | :05:58. | |
consumer sentiment there. Let's return to Davos now, | :05:59. | :06:04. | |
where there's a chilly message for Low economic growth is | :06:05. | :06:07. | |
the new normal, according to the boss of advertising | :06:08. | :06:09. | |
giant WPP, Sir Martin Sorrell. China is now the company's third | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
biggest market but the slowdown There's also the migration crisis, | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
the risk of a UK exit from Europe and cyber security to name | :06:16. | :06:20. | |
but a few. Sir Martin Sorrell is chief | :06:21. | :06:22. | |
executive Is there anything you are not | :06:23. | :06:41. | |
worried about? I want to start with this. There... There... Go on! There | :06:42. | :06:52. | |
are a lot of risks. There are a lot of grey swans, as we call them. I | :06:53. | :07:02. | |
don't know about black ones. Anyway, the big bosses, and I'm only a small | :07:03. | :07:09. | |
one, they are ever watchful and I think they will go away from Davos | :07:10. | :07:16. | |
being more watchful than when they came here. The atmosphere is | :07:17. | :07:19. | |
gloomier than it was last year, although I do think the world | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
economy will be very similar to last year this time, but no reason for | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
any upside breakout, if you understand what I mean. I do. I want | :07:28. | :07:35. | |
to ask about China. You were one of the earlier people to get into that | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
market. It is your third biggest market. We all knew that a slowdown | :07:40. | :07:46. | |
was coming. Has it been worse than you originally thought? Well, | :07:47. | :07:55. | |
listen. Everything in life is cyclical. There is a long-term | :07:56. | :07:58. | |
growth trends that benefits China and will benefit us, I have no | :07:59. | :08:03. | |
doubt, and that applies to other markets like Brazil and indeed | :08:04. | :08:06. | |
Russia, but on a very much longer-term. India is the one | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
shining market of the so-called! Road that remained standing at the | :08:11. | :08:23. | |
moment. -- the so-called BRICS but remained standing at the moment. It | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
took America more than 100 years to become the global economic leader. | :08:27. | :08:33. | |
And in the American presence, we went through the 1929 recession, so | :08:34. | :08:36. | |
it cannot get much worse than that. You have to put it into a historical | :08:37. | :08:39. | |
perspective and realise that in the long-term, the demographic shifts, | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
the next billion consumers and our clients are all focused on will come | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
from Asia, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East and Central and | :08:49. | :08:51. | |
Eastern Europe, and you are seeing some changes. For example, Argentina | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
is an important economy in the context of Latin America and it has | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
a new president. He is here in Davos and he put on a really good | :09:03. | :09:05. | |
presentation with his opposition number, I understand, and his | :09:06. | :09:11. | |
government yesterday and he has made a remarkably good impression. Things | :09:12. | :09:15. | |
are changing in some of the economies that we have been used to | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
seeing as difficult. Just briefly, mate. The boss of the ECB says must | :09:21. | :09:30. | |
enlist come in Europe. -- more stimulus will come in Europe. But | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
the US Federal Reserve is now raising interest rates. Yes. And | :09:36. | :09:42. | |
that is the problem. Japan is in the same position. And dollar strength | :09:43. | :09:49. | |
in America. USC goes the report in dollars and who are suffering | :09:50. | :09:53. | |
because of the translation of the profitability are cutting costs in | :09:54. | :09:58. | |
order to make their absolute numbers. -- the chief executives who | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
report. That puts another damper on the activities that we see. We think | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
that is the wrong way to go. You have to invest in the brand to make | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
the top mind go and that is where you get the total shareholder return | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
and the share price increases and that is where you get the growth. | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
But I'm afraid as you said, it is a new normal. I'm not been gloomy, I'm | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
just saying that realistically, growth will be slow. Always a | :10:27. | :10:33. | |
pleasure. Thank you, makes. Enjoy the skiing. That is what they | :10:34. | :10:34. | |
normally do, apparently. Don't forget you can get | :10:35. | :10:40. | |
in touch with me and some The NHS and the Department of Health | :10:41. | :10:43. | |
in England is too slow to act in | :10:44. | :10:58. |