08/02/2016 World Business Report


08/02/2016

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Growth figures out today will show India is to become the world's

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fastest growing economy, but is the real economy feeling the benefit?

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And in our new series on education, we take a look at the importance put

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Also in the programme: The Lunar New Year holiday is well under

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way in Asia - Rico Hizon will talk us through the great expectations.

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Let's start with Newsweek expect out of India. -- news we expect out of

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India. In the next few hours we will find

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out how fast the Indian economy grew in the final

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three months of last year. Analysts will be looking to see

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if the country, which imports 80% of its oil, will

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have benefited from the collapse The World Bank predicts India will

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grow by 7.8% this year, that's the fastest rate

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for any major global economy. But there's concern the benefits

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of that growth are not filtering The car industry has traditionally

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been seen as a guide to how things are going,

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and Shilpa Kannan was at the Fast cars, new launches and a

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hopeful industry. After years of underperformance the expectation

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here is that India's growing economy will finally read of up business.

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Indian car sales grew by more than 7.5% last year, faster than in any

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of the other large carp markets in the world -- rev up business. Hoping

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to cash in on this, global carmakers have spent hundreds of millions of

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dollars on factories like this one -- car markets in the world. In

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common with other brands, Nissan uses this one to make cars for

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export. It is also betting on more Indians buying cars. For now it only

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has 1.5% share of the local market but it is here for the long haul. We

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are only around 13 cars per 1000 inhabitants. When you look at the US

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it is 800 cars for 100 inhabitants, so there is a lot of potential for

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growth. The pace of growth in India's economy is outpacing the

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rest of the world and the auto industry seems to follow the trend.

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While people in cities by cars many worry this rapid economic growth

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isn't affecting the two thirds of India's population that live away

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from urban areas. Sales of motorbikes and small trucks in rural

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India have been weak with back-to-back monsoons leaving many

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farmers worse off and wary of spending money. That has been felt

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by businesses like Mahindra Mahindra, the largest battery maker

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in India. There was some liquidity issues. Frankly the economy is a

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sleeping giant. One of the reasons sales have not been surging as much

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as the media think it has is because the rural area has a lot of ground

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to cover. Sales are a good indicator of how people feel about the

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economy. Manufacturers hope that optimism at about 2016 will help the

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industry pick up speed -- optimism at -- optimism about.

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Most markets in Asia, apart from Japan, are closed today for the

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Nearly all of the other share markets in Asia are closed.

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Despite this, Rico is joining usnow from our Singapore bureau.

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He is working, as usual. Nice to see you. Always a pleasure to be on

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World Business Report on holiday. He is just so faithful. He loves it so

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much. The year of the monkey sounds very mischievous. Talk us through

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the great expectations. A lot of challenges are expected in the year

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of the monkey. It is a time for celebration right now across Asia

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and basically an opportunity to look to what the next 12 months will

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bring. So we went out on the streets in Singapore to see what some

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business people are expecting from this fire monkey. I feel that in the

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year of the fire monkey, I work in mobile tech, so I think there will

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be a trend towards small businesses growing and social enterprise. I

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wish that the year of the monkey will bring prosperity to the banking

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industry although I know there will be talented as. I work in the real

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estate sector and in my opinion the year of the monkey should be quite

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challenging -- I know there will be challenges. I work in performance

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coaching and innovation and believe that in the year of the fire monkey

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innovation will be continuously trending as a topic, not only in

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companies but outside companies. I am from the hospitality industry.

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For the year of the monkey the economy is not yet good. I don't

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think people travel much but we can hope for the best. I am from the

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legal industry and it has been, in the shipping department, I expect

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the fire monkey to help us pick up. Sally, you mentioned the fire

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monkey's mischievous character and this will mean a volatile and rocky

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time in the markets. There will always be a lot of ups and downs. I

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absolutely believe you. I think you are spot on. It will be one of those

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years. Lovely to see you. In a child's school career,

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the kindergarten years are supposed Nowadays pre-school is regarded

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as formal training, that should prepare toddlers for the

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future demands of life and work. South Africa is investing more money

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in nursery schools, hoping that during these formative

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years, the artisans and engineers However, with

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the serious economic challenges that the country is facing, it's hard to

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determine whether these programmes The BBC's Lerato Mbele has been

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visiting pre-schools The day begins with a prayer and at

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the national anthem. Teaching preschoolers to be patriotic and

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proud is important at this school. Social values are the basis upon

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which this creche was built in 1963. Across town lies the privately owned

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Buttercup Preschool. It caters mainly for the children of a new

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middle class. We will start off with a morning reading and then the

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creative work, which is cutting and pasting skills, experimenting with

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colour and form and texture. At $3000 per year, fees at the

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Buttercup Preschool are ten times higher than those in Soweto and yet

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the curriculum is quite similar. However, the Soweto creche is partly

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funded by donors with high unemployment in the area. We must

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work altogether. Also they give us ten children who are not paying

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nothing, just to take a child from the street. South Africa's national

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education system has been described as a national catastrophe and even

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the minister in charge concurs. In trying to avert the problem a lot of

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money has been directed at high school education but there is now

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recognition that perhaps the best place to start is at preschool.

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Education makes up a sizeable portion of government spending.

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Almost 10% in total. What we are doing at the moment is to focus on

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the quality of early childhood development. We want all our city

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centres to teach the same thing. Eventually we want to produce 30,000

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artisans by 2030. The government vision is to create a skilled

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workforce mainly because investors say that poor training and low

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productivity are the biggest weaknesses in the South African

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economy. And so as these toddlers play they are not aware of the

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challenges ahead of them. They trust innocently that their future is

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guaranteed. China's foreign exchange reserves

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have fallen to their lowest level in more than three years as Beijing

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sells dollars to defend the yuan. According to the central bank,

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China's foreign currency reserves The country has been running down

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its vast foreign currency holdings in a bid to boost the yuan's value

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and stem a flow of funds overseas. Germany's financial watchdog says

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it's shut down the German arm The bank has been forbidden from

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taking customers' payments, other In September, German prosecutors

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searched the bank's offices as part of an investigation into tax

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evasion and money laundering. So, a quick look at markets. As

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mentioned, most of them are closed in Asia today as they celebrate the

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year of the monkey. Japan, however, is open 1.3% higher. The yen is a

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bit weaker. Toyota's earnings out Friday. It is a bit weaker. Shares

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down 3% because numbers were disappointing. I will see you

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