15/06/2016 World Business Report


15/06/2016

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More than a flight of fancy - investors scramble for safety

:00:21.:00:22.

as increasing uncertainty about the global economy leads big

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With the UK's referendum on it's EU membership just eight days away

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we hear from one small business who believes the country

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Financial markets worldwide are on edge with investors looking

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Today the US Federal Reserve concludes its monetary policy

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meeting but the focus is firmly on Europe.

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European markets took at beating on Tuesday as investors weighed up

:01:00.:01:05.

the consequences of next week's EU referendum vote.

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Add to that concerns about global growth and the commodity slump

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and there is little reason to be bullish. Despite Japan adopting

:01:11.:01:13.

negative interest rates in January, you can see here its currency,

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the Yen, has continued to strengthen against the dollar as investors

:01:17.:01:18.

flock to major currencies for their safe haven status.

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It has risen by more than $200 an ounce since the beginning

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of the year, with some economists predicting market uncertainty

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is likely to drive the price up even further.

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And of course investors have also been flocking to government bonds.

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On Tuesday the yield on German ten year bonds went into negative

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territory for the first time, with investors effectively paying

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for the privilege of leaving their money with the German government.

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Let's here about the impact this is having around the world now,

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starting in Asia where markets right now are mixed.

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Here in Singapore in investors have been focused on the value of the

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Japanese yen. It has approached its strongest level since October 20 14.

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More people have bought the yen as a safe haven currency because of

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concerns over the UK quitting the European Union -- 2014. And also

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because of uncertainty over whether central banks like the US Fed for

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instance will raise interest rates or not this week. Traders are also

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worried about China's economy. The IMF has warned that China faces

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growing vulnerabilities and has fewer buffers to deal with any

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future shocks. Here in London there is evidence of the flight to safety

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in the markets. The yield on German government debt has fallen into

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negative territory as investors put preserving capital ahead of any

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returns on their money. Government bond yields in the UK have also

:03:10.:03:15.

fallen. There are three interconnected reasons for this

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whisk off attitude. From the start of the year there had been global

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worries about the performance of the Chinese economy. Across Europe,

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interest rates are low, inflation is low and economic growth is slow. And

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then there is what is called Brexit whisk - could Britain leave the EU

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in the referendum in that country on June 23? That's creating uncertainty

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in the market and encouraging investors into safe haven assets

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like government debt. The focus in New York and here on Wall Street is

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the outcome of the Federal Reserve's two a policy meeting. The dismal May

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jobs report has pretty much rules out an interest rate hike this month

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but what investors want to know if not now, well, then when? --

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two-day. Adding to the Wall Street concerns are the recent falls that

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show growing support of a Brexit. While the US government bonds have

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not turned negative, they have flirted with some of its lowest

:04:21.:04:26.

levels in four years. The one bright spot are the strong US retail sales,

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in the month of May. Americans spend money on things like cars and other

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goods despite paying more for gas, suggesting perhaps the US economy

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has some strength. With me not to discuss

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this is Jeremy Cook, Good morning, Jeremy. So, let's

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start with the Fed, today's meeting - we're not expecting news from them

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pursuant no, it is strange when the meeting is overshadowed by

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everything else -- we're not expecting news from them? No. The

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May jobs report, 38,000 jobs added, was a poor number, two standard

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deviations away from the consensus with 100,000 jobs worse off than

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markets were looking for. That has checked everyone's thoughts. Is it a

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case of it is so bad that it means the Fed won't raise rates as opposed

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to delaying the inevitable rise? Janet Yellen mentioned the UK

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referendum as a reason to be cautious. When will the Fed make a

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move? On the central scenario that the UK remains part of the EU are

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think there is still a reasonable expectation that the Federal Reserve

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will raise rates in September. If we see a revision higher to the jobs

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number, retail has been good and if that creates inflation pressure,

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that is what the Federal Reserve will react too. Talking about safer

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havens, the Japanese yen is one of the places to put your money. Why?

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When markets get crazy and fearful they want a safe haven. That might

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be government debt. In the currency world it is the US dollar and the

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Japanese yen. Investors look for large economies, deep capital

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markets, the will of law is stable. It has been in a poor state for a

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long time and yet people pile money into their currency. They are not

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looking for a return on their money but off their money. Look at

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inflation dynamics. It is low, nonexistence, and has been for ages

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in Japan. Even if they put their money into the Japanese yen it won't

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be eroded by inflation and they won't lose money either. Expect it

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to strengthen if we see these market interruptions. Not good news for

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those exporters in Japan at all. Thank you. It is nice to see you and

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of course we will be across everything as it happens here on the

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BBC, as you can understand. Let's move on.

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While many of the headlines relating to the UK's EU referendum have been

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generated by the views of big firms, there are in fact more people

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working in small and medium sized businesses, or SMEs,

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who will have a chance to vote on the issue.

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Today BBC Business continues its series of films focusing

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on what this important part of the UK's economy thinks

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I am John Hancock, I have been in the fishing industry for 45 years, I

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was a skipper for 30 years, the managing director of a company

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called Charisma UK limited in porting fresh and frozen fish from

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Norway. When I first art of year there were 400 boats and now there

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are five or six, and this is down to government policy and of course the

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EU and at increasing bureaucracy that is involved in the fishing

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industry. Because stocks have recovered, I think we are able to

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rebuild the fishing industry, piece by piece, once outside. We're not

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going to the halcyon days that we once had but we can regain the core

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trades that are needed to run a fishing fleet, engineers, and

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electricians, welders, villages, fish packing, everything involved,

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which means the community thrives -- filleters. It is about the whole of

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the UK and all the Coastal Communities.

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The world's biggest stock index provider, MSCI,

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has again delayed the inclusion of China's mainland domestic shares

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Inclusion on the index would have been a major step forward

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for Beijing as it attempts to open up its financial markets

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China has in recent months increased its efforts

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to reform its often volatile stock market, but MSCI said global

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A top US federal appeals court has upheld some of the strongest net

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It rules that high-speed internet service can be defined as a utility.

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The sweeping decision clears the way for more rigorous policing

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of broadband providers and greater protections for web users.

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More than two dozen companies have signed a pledge to address gender

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inequality in the workplace by regularly reviewing

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The pledge is part of the first United State of Women Summit,

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hosted by the White House and the 28 signatories include Pepsi,

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Each of the companies has agreed to undertake an organisation-wide

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analysis of their salary policies, to review hiring and promotion

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practices, and to include equal pay efforts in other equality

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Let's look at financial markets. So things have calmed a little in Asia.

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, my goodness, we have come up straightaway. I would try to get

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them back. -- oh, my goodness. Let's not forget Japan lost 4% on Monday

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and even more ground on Tuesday with the yen remained very strong.

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Although this is a slight increase on markets in Asia to date, do not

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be fooled, it doesn't mean a better day ahead will start in Europe later

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-- today. That things ended in the States. I'll see you soon. -- that

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