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Now for the latest financial news with Aaron and World Business | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Sterling plunges to its lowest since 1985 as those Brexit | :00:00. | :00:19. | |
Plus, braced for Brexit over the border: Why businesses | :00:20. | :00:28. | |
We start of course with the ongoing impact of Britain's vote to leave | :00:29. | :00:58. | |
The pound has been, well, pounded by investors amid growing | :00:59. | :01:04. | |
concern that the vote for Brexit is hurting confidence | :01:05. | :01:06. | |
Not to mention a major hint from the Bank of England that | :01:07. | :01:15. | |
interest rates could be cut as early as this month. | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
At one point the pound dipped below $1.28. | :01:20. | :01:25. | |
That's a new 31-year low, in other words it's the first time | :01:26. | :01:28. | |
Back when hits from Madonna and Phil Collins topped | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
So I am told by my producer - I am too young to remember | :01:34. | :01:40. | |
If you start by taking a look at the chart, | :01:41. | :01:51. | |
the pound plunged on referendum night but has continued to fall ever | :01:52. | :01:54. | |
since, it's now down some 14% since June 23rd. | :01:55. | :01:56. | |
It's good news for many FTSE 100 companies who make around three | :01:57. | :01:59. | |
quarters of their profits outside the UK, so they'll see earnings | :02:00. | :02:02. | |
That helps explain why the FTSE has been so strong since the referendum. | :02:03. | :02:11. | |
It's also good news for UK exporters because it means that their products | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
become cheaper for foreign customers to buy. | :02:15. | :02:17. | |
But it also means that imports have become more expensive, | :02:18. | :02:26. | |
leading to price rises on everything from food to TVs. | :02:27. | :02:46. | |
And the biggest issue, it has further dented investor | :02:47. | :02:52. | |
confidence in the UK, which has now lost its last | :02:53. | :02:55. | |
Experts are saying the pound could fall a lot further. | :02:56. | :03:10. | |
England is small relative to the EU and we don't know what kinds | :03:11. | :03:13. | |
But here is what we do know: They can't be all that good | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
because the rest of the European Union has | :03:19. | :03:20. | |
to self-preserve and they have to make a little bit of an example | :03:21. | :03:24. | |
out of England so it's probably not a great sign. | :03:25. | :03:26. | |
And the other truth is that this will probably reveal other | :03:27. | :03:29. | |
divisions inside British society, and already has. | :03:30. | :03:31. | |
And so you are going to have a divided country | :03:32. | :03:33. | |
with unknown leadership going into a period of weakness | :03:34. | :03:35. | |
in a weak global economy with a lot of negative scrutiny on them | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
and that is kind of a recipe for a lot of tumult, | :03:40. | :03:42. | |
turmoil and negative sentiment and we are seeing that price right | :03:43. | :03:44. | |
Jeremy Cook is Chief Economist at World First foreign exchange. | :03:45. | :03:53. | |
Good to see you. Thank you for coming in at this hour. We always | :03:54. | :04:05. | |
talk about the pros and cons of the currency, so, great for our | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
exporters, hopefully they will sell a lot more. Good for people coming | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
in, inbound tourism, good for us if we want to go out. But where is the | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
balance? Is one better than the other? There is still a lot to shake | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
out over the course of the next few months. We have seen a fall in the | :04:27. | :04:31. | |
pound that textbooks say is good for exporters. But we saw a fall in the | :04:32. | :04:37. | |
pound and our export base didn't go very well. There is something called | :04:38. | :04:52. | |
purchasing power parity, which means it should stabilise, and the pound | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
is below that at the moment. We are hoping for it to continue further. | :04:56. | :05:01. | |
We always say against the dollar. But the euro has taken much of a | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
hit. Are there some people wondering why there are people hammering the | :05:06. | :05:12. | |
UK at the moment, with this except referendum vote, when you look | :05:13. | :05:17. | |
across the water at Europe and you have Spain and Portugal, who look | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
set to become the first ever in the eurozone to be fined because they | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
are going to break some EU fiscal rules. The Greeks are on their | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
1,000,000th bailout, with another fifth bailout. They have money they | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
will never be able to pay back, and yet everyone is saying to the UK it | :05:36. | :05:45. | |
is better to be with them. European government debt is German or French, | :05:46. | :05:52. | |
and you have to buy euros to be able to move into that. So that keeps the | :05:53. | :06:01. | |
euro supported? We have also seen investors move into currencies that | :06:02. | :06:04. | |
are not under inflationary pressures. Inflation is very low in | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
the eurozone, in Japan it is up around 20 cents against the pound. | :06:10. | :06:16. | |
If the EU gets a bit of leadership, could there be a rebound? De. There | :06:17. | :06:27. | |
will always be a rebound. Let's stay with Brexit | :06:28. | :06:30. | |
but move to Ireland, after last month's UK vote | :06:31. | :06:32. | |
to leave the European Union. Ireland's the only EU country | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
sharing a land border with the UK and the two share deep | :06:36. | :06:38. | |
economic and trade ties. The BBC's Diarmaid Fleming | :06:39. | :06:41. | |
visited two companies in Ireland concerned | :06:42. | :06:42. | |
about what Brexit may mean Sweets being packed in Dublin in the | :06:43. | :06:59. | |
business typical of Ireland, with close ties to the UK. Sugar, the key | :07:00. | :07:04. | |
ingredient, is imported from Britain, which is also an important | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
destination for the produce. A sixth of Ireland's exports go to the UK, | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
from where a third of their imports come. Part of trade worth over $1 | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
billion a week. The referendum has left anything but a sweet taste for | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
Irish business, with anxiety and uncertainty over what might be | :07:24. | :07:25. | |
coming down the line, particularly if trade barriers and tariffs were | :07:26. | :07:31. | |
to become a reality. The possibility of barriers being put in place, if | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
and when they do leave, is a worry, big as it will delay all our imports | :07:37. | :07:42. | |
from the UK and set us back in the marketplace against our competitors, | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
who will be UK based and flooding the market here. I am standing right | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
on the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. | :07:53. | :07:55. | |
The only thing that will tell you that you are moving from one to the | :07:56. | :07:59. | |
other is a roadside here. One of the biggest fears people have about | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
Brexit in this part of Ireland is the impact it might have on border | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
controls. Political peace in Northern Ireland has brought a big | :08:09. | :08:14. | |
business dividend to the border region, an area once blighted by | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
violence. With its headquarters just minutes by road inside the Republic, | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
Ireland's biggest exporter of ducks now sends produce as far away as | :08:23. | :08:28. | |
China, and many more to the key UK market. They are worried about | :08:29. | :08:33. | |
weaker sterling making their ducks more expensive, and are even more | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
worried about the return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
the republic. Europe has been very good for us in this part of the | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
world, and to see it now go back we are worried about how it will pan | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
out. We see it as a backward step and we just hope it doesn't go back | :08:54. | :08:59. | |
to the bad old days. The scale of uncertainty is being matched. The | :09:00. | :09:05. | |
low corporation tax rate of 12.5% has been a centre of their strategy | :09:06. | :09:11. | |
to woo foreign firms. Plans to cut it in the UK means new challenges | :09:12. | :09:15. | |
for Irish business and close could petition. | :09:16. | :09:18. | |
Let's go to Asia now where Samsung Electronics | :09:19. | :09:20. | |
is predicting its best quarterly profits for two years. | :09:21. | :09:22. | |
It's all down to booming sales of its flagship smartphone, | :09:23. | :09:24. | |
They sell more of those and they make more money. Absolutely. They | :09:25. | :09:36. | |
flagged up these better profits that they are due to realise at the end | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
of the month. It is also due to cost cuts, and the latest model, with the | :09:40. | :09:47. | |
company forecasting operating profit of $7 million. That is among the | :09:48. | :09:52. | |
best it has posted for about two years. The South Korean electronics | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
giant, which happens to be the top-selling handset maker, has a | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
lion's share of the firm's overall profits. We now know it is being | :10:02. | :10:09. | |
further squeezed from the iPhone and by Chinese rivals like Huawei. It is | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
time to break into emerging markets, making a lot of cost cuts, and this | :10:15. | :10:18. | |
has apparently pushed its sales higher. Good news for Samsung. | :10:19. | :10:27. | |
We can see the Nikkei is slightly down, and I want to get over to... | :10:28. | :10:33. | |
Anyway, I will be back | :10:34. | :10:35. |