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Now for the latest financial news with Sally and World Business | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Brexit breather for sterling - the pound regains some ground | :00:00. | :00:18. | |
after the UK government agrees Parliament should | :00:19. | :00:20. | |
Plus, Marmite wars - Tesco pulls dozens of household | :00:21. | :00:27. | |
brands off its website in a pricing battle with supplier Unilever. | :00:28. | :00:40. | |
Also in the programme: China sees a big fall in exports hitting market | :00:41. | :00:48. | |
We start with the impact of Brexit on financial markets | :00:49. | :01:00. | |
because there has been some relief for the battered pound. | :01:01. | :01:02. | |
It had its biggest jump against the dollar in a month | :01:03. | :01:05. | |
after Prime Minister Theresa May suggested she would give Parliament | :01:06. | :01:08. | |
a say in plans to leave the European Union. | :01:09. | :01:10. | |
That has eased some of the fears of a hard line approach to the talks | :01:11. | :01:14. | |
which could see the UK leave the EU single market. | :01:15. | :01:18. | |
According to calculations by the UK treasury, | :01:19. | :01:21. | |
leaving the EU single market, a so called hard Brexit, | :01:22. | :01:24. | |
could cost it as much as ?66 billion each year, | :01:25. | :01:26. | |
It says Britain's economy, its annual output or GDP, | :01:27. | :01:30. | |
could be up to 9.5% smaller within 15 years if it can't strike | :01:31. | :01:33. | |
a deal giving access to the EU market, | :01:34. | :01:36. | |
and is forced to operate under World Trade Organisation rules. | :01:37. | :01:46. | |
These figures are disputed by Brexit supporters. | :01:47. | :01:49. | |
But what can't be disputed is what's happened to the pound. | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
It has lost 18% of its value since the Brexit vote, | :01:53. | :01:55. | |
The FTSE 100 though has been hitting record levels. | :01:56. | :02:11. | |
That's because many of its companies generate big profits overseas, | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
which are worth more when they're converted to the weaker sterling. | :02:15. | :02:18. | |
But the UK consumer is already feeling the effects. | :02:19. | :02:25. | |
Tesco has withdrawn some of the most popular brands from its website, | :02:26. | :02:36. | |
including Marmite spread, Vienetta ice cream and Persil | :02:37. | :02:38. | |
washing powder - after Unilever tried to put up prices to compensate | :02:39. | :02:41. | |
Our Business Editor Simon Jack reports. | :02:42. | :02:54. | |
Out of stock, Marmite, Ben Jerry's ice cream, Persil, withdrawn from | :02:55. | :03:01. | |
the website as the biggest retailer in the UK would not accept a 10% | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
price increase from Unilever. Retailers and suppliers fall out all | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
the time but industry sources say this is of a different magnitude. | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
The biggest retailer in the country to fall out with its biggest | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
supplier Marks a new front in a perennial prize for some say has | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
escalated because of Brexit. This is Unilever's justification for the | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
higher bill. The value of sterling has fallen 17% since the Brexit | :03:29. | :03:31. | |
which means Dutch company Unilever is seeing a fall in prices, so they | :03:32. | :03:40. | |
are upping the price to compensate. We have seen the pound fall as a | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
result of the Brexit vote and obviously as food products are | :03:45. | :03:49. | |
imported this is putting pressure on suppliers and eventually something | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
will have to give. We eventually may see some of the cost increases | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
coming through to actual prices on supermarket shelves which would be | :04:00. | :04:02. | |
bad for the everyday average British consumer. It was just last week that | :04:03. | :04:09. | |
the boss of Tesco told the BBC that price pressures were building. There | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
are some pressures. Commodity prices, exchange rates will bring | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
pressure to the marketplace and historically that has seen prices | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
rise but I stress the approach at Tesco is to work with suppliers to | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
try to offset those pressures through productivity and other | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
things so that prices don't rise. That working together at is to have | :04:32. | :04:35. | |
stopped working. In a statement Tesco hoped the dispute would be | :04:36. | :04:39. | |
resolved soon but until then shoppers may find some items on | :04:40. | :04:41. | |
their shopping list missing. Jeremy Cook is chief economist | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
at foreign exchange firm World It is nice to see you again, Jeremy. | :04:46. | :04:55. | |
Simon's story illustrates the effect on the real economy of all of this. | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
Absolutely. The next question people are asking is just how much prices | :05:01. | :05:04. | |
will increase as a result of this. The UK... It may have been part of | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
the EU it still is, but it is an island nation, we import a lot of | :05:10. | :05:14. | |
the food we consume, fuel, cars and houses consumed to run and heat, so | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
how much as a result of the devaluation of the pound will we be | :05:19. | :05:21. | |
paying more in the next coming years" and this situation, that is, | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
the pound is sensitive to every bit of news about Brexit will carry on | :05:27. | :05:32. | |
presumably until March 2017. That is when we are supposedly exiting. | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
Yeah, the initial falls have been on the back of the fact that we were | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
not getting... And these were not going to get a vote, MPs are likely | :05:42. | :05:45. | |
to a debate gave it a little boost, but the fact is that unless we can | :05:46. | :05:51. | |
see a clear plan from the UK government about how they expect to | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
attack the negotiations with the EU than all the rumour, speculation and | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
intrigue, any leaks from either the UK government or the EU government | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
are going to send it into a volatile frenzy. It's interesting as well | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
because it's not just about exit but it's also about what's happening | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
elsewhere, so in the US it will be impacted ivy -- by the election, and | :06:14. | :06:22. | |
the effect on the euro, but the difficulty with the dollar will | :06:23. | :06:25. | |
likely remain strong because it is seen as one of the safest havens in | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
the world, isn't it, US Treasuries? Currency markets and political risk | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
are always uneasy bedfellows and as we saw with Brexit this year... The | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
trump that possibility at the presidency, we think it could lead | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
to a fair bout of US dollar strength -- Trump possibility. Everyone looks | :06:44. | :06:48. | |
to the US as a safe haven when things get crazy in markets and | :06:49. | :06:51. | |
there would be nothing more crazy than a Trump residency, so that | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
could keep the sterling dollar below the 20% level once again. In the | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
meantime, prices of things in the UK will be going up, won't they? Yes. | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
Inflation will be a problem. We saw it at the petrol pump, we are seeing | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
it with imported flour, which goes into bread, milk, eggs, the basics | :07:10. | :07:15. | |
you rely on, they will get more expensive. Brexit makes households | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
poorer. So we need to stockpile Marmite. Anything from Unilever. I | :07:20. | :07:24. | |
never thought I would see the day. Jeremy, thank you very much indeed | :07:25. | :07:26. | |
for coming in. Let's turn to Asia now where markets | :07:27. | :07:27. | |
are being hit by news of a slump Riuco Hizon is following this | :07:28. | :07:31. | |
for us in Singapore Now, Rico .org Sally, I still want | :07:32. | :07:45. | |
my Marmite. All the news has been fairly positive. This is a surprise, | :07:46. | :07:51. | |
isn't it? Absolutely. You have Japanese stocks reversing early | :07:52. | :07:59. | |
gains like other Asian stock markets as exporters were hit by a rush into | :08:00. | :08:04. | |
the Japanese yen as the mainland released worse report fuelling | :08:05. | :08:07. | |
worries about the second largest economy. Exports plummeting 10% | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
year-on-year and imports falling around 2% due to an mean it global | :08:13. | :08:19. | |
and domestic demand both exports and imports missing expectations -- | :08:20. | :08:27. | |
anaemic. This comes after the Chinese currency weakening towards | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
the end of September. Over the last week it has touched its lowest | :08:32. | :08:34. | |
levels against the dollar in six years, so markets here have been | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
affected from Hong Kong to South Korea to Singapore as China is | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
indeed very crucial to the global economy and its performance | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
affecting trading partners. When you talk to some analysts they are not | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
certain if this week trading figure is a signal for slower economic | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
growth going forward, and others say that despite the poor data is they | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
see confidence improving as the economy stabilises and emperors. | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
Thank you very much indeed, Rico, and in a few minutes we will show | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
you the impact it is having on market - we will show you the | :09:12. | :09:13. | |
numbers. In other news: John Stumpf, | :09:14. | :09:13. | |
the boss of US banking giant Wells Fargo, is to resign | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
immediately in the wake of a scandal The bank is investigating how two | :09:18. | :09:20. | |
million accounts were opened without customers' permission | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
to boost sales figures. Last month Wells Fargo was fined | :09:25. | :09:31. | |
$185 million and accused of "widespread | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
illegal practice" by US regulators. Mr Stumpf will be succeeded | :09:35. | :09:36. | |
by the bank's current president and chief operating | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
officer Timothy Sloan. So, let's look at markets, and as | :09:40. | :09:55. | |
Rico mentioned Chinese news hitting sentiment especially for Hong Kong | :09:56. | :09:58. | |
with shares in hanging high -- Shanghai lower as well. The yen is | :09:59. | :10:04. | |
weakening a bit. Just to mention markets also moved by the Fed | :10:05. | :10:10. | |
minutes released in the US showing the Federal Open Market Committee | :10:11. | :10:13. | |
voted 7-3 to leave interest rates unchanged at the last meeting but | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
could they be going up in December? That's all from me for now. See you | :10:18. | :10:21. |