21/11/2016 World Business Report


21/11/2016

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France in focus - as competition narrows to become the next

:00:00.:00:17.

president, we look at the challenges facing one

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We visit farmers struggling to cope after the government withdrew

:00:20.:00:27.

the majority of bank notes from circulation.

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Also in the programme: Facebook likes London.

:00:38.:00:41.

and will add 500 new staff next year despite Brexit.

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Politics in Europe could be set for a big shake-up next

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year with two of the continents biggest economies holding elections.

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Germany votes for its chancellor in September,

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with Angela Merkel saying she will run for a fourth term.

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But first, France will pick a new president in the spring.

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Overnight Francois Fillon and Alain Juppe came top

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for the centre-right Republicans party, while former president

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But what challenges will the new French president be facing?

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Last week the government lowered it's growth expectations for 2016

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as a whole saying it expected just 1.4%.

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France's independent fiscal watchdog says the figure is optimistic.

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remains stubbornly high at 9.7% - this a problem for current

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President Francois Hollande who has repeatedly said he would not run

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for a second term in 2017 if unemployment didn't decline

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"significantly and credibly" by the end of his first.

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The former economy minister, Emmanuel Macron,

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He's proposing ditching France's 35-hour working week for young

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people in a bid to give them more experience.

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And another big shake up has been pitched by another

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candidate - Marine Le Pen of the far-right Front National.

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She wants a referendum on whether France should

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With me is Philippa Malmgren, founder of the DRPM Group and a top

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It is good to see you. There is so much to discuss and we can't cover

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it all, but France and Germany next year, Holland as well, and the

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referendum in Italy a few weeks away. That is right. Everywhere we

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are seeing a similar pattern which is, people have been in a lot of

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economic pain and they were willing to take that pain based on the idea

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that eventually it would get better and now it has been too long, so

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they have ran out of patience and we are seeing this in the US,

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explaining the election of Donald Trump, it was a lot of the force

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behind Brexit and now we are seeing these forces unfolding in Europe.

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And France has had a really difficult few years in the run-up to

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the election next year because it has had multiple terrorist attacks

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which are absolutely horrendous and enormous in their impact, the

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economy has been struggling, it has been the poor cousin in Europe for

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many years, that has been a real problem, and pushing through labour

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reforms, there has been strike action affecting the country. Yes.

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Absolutely. It is a similar pattern to other parts of Europe as well,

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and many countries have been showing their resistance to the current kind

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of economic strategy which is perceived to be led by the EU, so we

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saw the Hungarians almost vote out of the EU, not quite, but very

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close, and the Italians on December the fourth will vote as well, so I

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think we should not be surprised to see a little bit more

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antiestablishment, anti- orthodoxy approach. A very similar feel to

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what was going on in the US and it is interesting that Marine Le Pen

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was one of the first to congratulate Donald Trump and it seems to give

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her the mandate as well, Brexit and what happened in the US. She is

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picking up on a fight where there seems to be a global movement, it is

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not just a local thing, and I don't know that it is really true. Of

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course, what do Donald Trump and Marine Le Pen have in common, not

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much, but the sense that they are outsiders, but they are coming in to

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displace a long established party political leaders is important. And

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the question is can they deliver the economic promises that they are

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putting forward to the voters? I think of all the British and

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Americans have the greatest chance of delivering on the promises, Trump

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and Theresa May, but in France, I am not so sure, a lot of changes would

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be required. And difficult ones too. Thank you so much for coming in.

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Let's have a look at some other big stories, and a big interesting one

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here. Facebook says it will expand

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its presence here in the UK by 50% when it opens its new London

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headquarters next year. It will hire 500 additional

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employees, including engineers, marketers, project

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managers and sales staff. Facebook says the United Kingdom

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remains one of the best places in the world to be a technology

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company. The majority of the 500 additional staff will be based at

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its new London headquarters set to open in 2017. Many of the roles will

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be highly skilled engineering jobs. The UK hosts the company's largest

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engineering base outside of the United States. There has been some

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speculation following the UK referendum vote to leave the EU that

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international companies may reconsider their investment

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decisions. Facebook's announcement comes just a week after Google said

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it will spend $1.2 billion on a new London headquarters and the creation

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of 3000 new jobs by 2020. Facebook's latest news appears to be another

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endorsement of Europe's biggest financial centre.

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It's been almost two weeks since the Indian government suddenly

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withdrew most of the bank notes in circulation.

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It's caused a cash crisis across the country.

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In rural areas the situation is particularly bad -

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large numbers of people there don't even use banks let alone have access

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So how can India's villages become part of the 'cashless economy' that

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi hopes to create?

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When winter sets in it is time to plant the onion crop. Fields like

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this would usually be packed with farmers, but now there is no cash to

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pay their wages. TRANSLATION: There are very long queues at banks so my

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employer says he doesn't have cash to give me. He will pay me in a few

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weeks but we need money to buy milk and food for my children. Cash is a

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lifeline for rule India. A major reason is that most villages in the

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country don't have easy access to banking services. To reach out to

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rural parts of the country where there are no banks, the plan is to

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deploy banking correspondents, people who will travel to villages

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providing financial services. I'd even if everyone were to get access

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to a banking account, how could cashless transactions then be in

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short? Well, perhaps less, a mobile phone, could be the answer. At one

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village in the western state they are trying it out. Eight kilos dal.

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Customers can make payments by sending a text from their mobile

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phones. It was set up by the private bank and village authority.

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TRANSLATION: They don't keep cash on hand here so if you want to buy

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anything you do it using their mobile phones. That is why everyone

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in the village is happy with the announcement. We have not been

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affected. The number of mobile phone users in the real India has been

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growing rapidly and cellular networks are slowly reaching even

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the remote areas of India but it is not an instant solution. For now the

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few banks that cater to rule areas are struggling to cope with a cash

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crisis. -- rural areas. And for these villagers there is no easy

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escape. Leaders from Asia-Pacific nations

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have closed their annual summit in Peru, pledging to

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support global trade. The 21 nations said

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they are committed to open markets and fighting against all

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forms protectionism. In a statement they encouraged

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signatories of the Trans-Pacific Partnership to continue supporting

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it, despite fears it may not That is a big message, isn't it,

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sent in the direction of Mr Donald Trump, the President-elect. In deed,

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I think it's fair to say that the fate of the TPP dominated much of

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the summit. Of course, these leaders worked hard for many years to come

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to an agreement only for US President-elect Donald Trump, as you

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mentioned, wanting to scrap it. They came out, as you mentioned, saying

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that they would continue to support free trade. Whether or not that

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means it without the United States remains unclear. It was a slightly

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tricky meeting for President Obama who said he continues to support the

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TPP. China has been quick to take advantage of the situation. It is

:09:55.:09:59.

not part of the TPP and it is pursuing its own free-trade deal

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known as the RCEP, and so that might actually possibly replace the TPP

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should it actually get scrapped by the next President. All right,

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thanks a lot, good to see you, Mariko. Let's have a look at the

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market so you can see how the brand-new trading week in Asia is

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going and you can see the price is up over 1% in anticipation that OPEC

:10:23.:10:26.

will agree to a supply cut deal and they have a meeting very soon, so

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oil is sensitive to that. That is all from me for now. I will see you

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soon. An influential group of MPs has

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issued a warning that the number of Royal Navy's warships

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is "woefully low."

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