12/12/2016 World Business Report


12/12/2016

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Up up and away - the price of the black stuff soars

:00:00.:00:18.

on the first global oil pact for 15 years.

:00:19.:00:23.

Fasten your seat-belts - a leading global risk consultancy

:00:24.:00:25.

warns 2017 will be the toughest year for business leaders since the cold

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war - we grill the boss to find out why.

:00:30.:00:39.

Also in the programme following the lead from India -

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Venezuela removes the 100 bolivar note and replaces it

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People have got just 72 hours to make the change.

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On international markets the price of oil is headed in one direction

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today following another historic deal brokered over the weekend

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This time it was oil producers who are not members of the oil

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cartel meeting - 11 countries who agreed to cut their output

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The group of states, which includes Russia,

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said they will cut supplies by 558,000 barrels per day.

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This follows last months announcement from OPEC that it

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would be slashing its own production to ease an over-saturated global

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The moves come after more than two years of depressed oil prices,

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which have more than halved since 2014.

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This deal marks the first global pact for 15 years.

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Among the non-Opec countries attending the meeting were Russia -

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Azerbaijan, Oman, Mexico, Malaysia, Sudan, South Sudan and Bahrain.

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Sharanjit Leyl is in our Asia Business Hub in Singapore.

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No surprise that the price of oil is spiking today? That's right. They

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have risen to their highest level since 2015. This comes after what

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you just mentioned, Sally, this deal between OPEC and non- OPEC producers

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have reached essentially for the first time since 2001 to jointly

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curb output. The move is aimed at easing the global supply light. That

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has lasted for more than two years and has driven down oil prices over

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the last year also -- glut. They say that these will take effect in

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January of next year. Today, we saw Brent Crude rice to the highest

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level since 2013. We saw US West Texas also hitting at July 2015 high

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of just over $54 per barrel. Of course, with this deal now finally

:03:11.:03:14.

signed after almost one year, the markets' focus is now focusing

:03:15.:03:19.

towards whether the agreement will be kept. We are seeing Goldman Sachs

:03:20.:03:23.

and writing in a note that both OPEC and non- OPEC producers are going to

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have to fulfil this forecast but as you saw from those prices, it

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already is. We already saw from oil giants like Saudi Arabia Omodei have

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already told US customers that they will reduce oil deliveries from

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January and she mentions the number of barrels, they are going to start

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cutting. A reminder, OPEC is saying it will slash output by 1.2 million

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barrels per day. This is from January one. We are also seeing

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this, eight thousand Aral 's per day by the non-OPEC producers. That is

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just short of the Tarkyn. -- Aral 's per day.

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-- barrels per day. There is concern about whether OPEC members and non-

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OPEC members will follow through. OPEC is saying it is having a

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meeting in May of next year to assess how the various countries

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have been doing in terms of policing and following through with the cuts

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in production. A lot more details on this story on our website.

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The Venezuelan government has announced that it will replace

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the country's highest denomination bank notes -

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that's the 100 bolivar note - with coins within seventy-two hours.

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It hopes this will help to combat smuggling and tackle the chronic

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shortage of food and other basic items.

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President Nicolas Maduro says smuggling gangs that operate

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in border areas won't have time to repatriate the money.

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A similar move in India recently caused chaos.

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Bill English has been sworn in as New Zealand's 39th

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Prime Minister, one week after John Key

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announced his surprised resignation, after eight years in the role.

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Mr English had earned praise for his handling of the country's

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economy in his previous role as finance minister.

:05:23.:05:25.

The new leader says he wants to make New Zealand a better place to live

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and work, through a focus on infrastructure and inclusive

:05:30.:05:31.

State carrier Iran Air has signed a deal to buy 80 passenger planes

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It is the biggest US-Iran deal since the 1979 Islamic revolution.

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Boeing says the deal was worth 16.6 billion dollars

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at current list prices, and had been approved

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The first planes are scheduled for delivery in 2018.

:06:04.:06:07.

Passengers will be able to fly from London to Australia non-stop

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for the first time, when Qantas launches its new service

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Australia's national carrier says it will connect Perth,

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in the west of the country, to the UK capital using Boeing 787-9

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This year has seen its fair share of jolts: Brexit,

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Trump, eurozone leadership upheavals, South Korea's corruption

:06:39.:06:40.

International risk consultancy Control Risks has launched

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its annual RiskMap report, analysing key risks facing

:07:00.:07:01.

The rise of populism, highlighted by the election

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of Donald Trump in the US and the Brexit vote in the UK

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are providing increased uncertainty for business leaders,

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as is rising protectionism and threats to new and existing

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And then of course we have the threat of terrorism.

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Joining me now from Singapore is Richard Fenning, CEO of Control

:07:17.:07:19.

What would you say are the key risks in the new Year? What we have to

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remember about 2017 is that the scene has been set, as you just

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mentioned in your introduction. It has been a turbulent rollercoaster

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of a year. Geography no longer determines whether it happens. We

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are likely to see in the first part of 2017 whether we are going to be

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in trade award territory, whether the eurozone is likely to be able to

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stay together -- trade war territory for some I'm confident that both

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will be resolved broadly happily for international business at the first

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6- months of 2017 will be very telling. As you say, it will be

:07:58.:08:02.

telling. Elliptical risk will be the key theme especially in Europe with

:08:03.:08:06.

elections in France, Netherlands and Germany, to mention a few. How are

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you suggesting business leaders prepare, given the level of

:08:13.:08:17.

uncertainty about next year? I think there are two things. One is

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certainly for Brexit and Trump, people were not willing to face up

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to the possibility that either outcome was like little stop there

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is also risk of overcompensation. That people feel that every

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implausible scenario is about to happen. The reality is, people have

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to be prepared, look at the downside scenarios, look at what will happen

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to the currency situation, what will happen to the regulatory situation

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and have something in place. It also applies to many of the other risks

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that are out there as well, the cyber area, you mentioned terrorism

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and international security, can feel that we are living in a wind tunnel.

:09:04.:09:07.

That's suddenly everything is coming at people all at once. It's also

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important to prepare to get a sense of perspective. Yes, we are going

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through an acutely turbulent time but looking at it historically,

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there is nothing particularly unusual about this period. These

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things come in spikes, waves, crescendo is of risk related

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activity. By the end of 2017, the -- we may well be back in calmer

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waters. I hope you are right. Thank you.

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That's show you how today's going in Asia. The big story is the price of

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oil spiking. It is boosting the energy stocks listed in Asia. I'll

:09:55.:09:57.

see you soon. European migrants living in the UK

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want a guarantee that they can stay in the country after Brexit,

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according to a campaign group.

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