28/02/2017 World Business Report


28/02/2017

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Now for the latest financial news with Sally Bundock

:00:00.:00:00.

The cost of the nationwide cash withdrawal, India will reveal how

:00:00.:00:17.

much growth has stalled since its controversial

:00:18.:00:24.

5G connectivity - what is its true potential?

:00:25.:00:29.

Rory Cellan Jones has been finding out at the Mobile World Congress in

:00:30.:00:37.

In a minute we'll hear more about a tie-up between two huge

:00:38.:00:55.

But first, could India become the engine which drives

:00:56.:01:01.

The world's second-most populated country has attracted the attention

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of companies and governments, all keen to make the most

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In a few hours we'll find out exactly how fast the economy

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is growing as India gives us their first GDP reading

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since November's radical demonetisation experiment.

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Investors will be comparing it to the 7.3% growth seen in the three

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months from July to September last year, but economists don't expect

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the figure to be so high this time around.

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And that's mainly due to the government's surprise move

:01:35.:01:36.

on November the 8th to replace about 86%

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This has had a huge impact in India, where 9 out of 10 transactions

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It's one of a number of reforms which are "historic and are bearing

:01:47.:01:55.

fruit," according to a newly released report from

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the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

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One of the other positives that the OECD picks out

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is the "comprehensive tax reform" that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's

:02:10.:02:12.

We have spoken about this at length, the detail and the chaos caused by

:02:13.:02:35.

that move in November. Today we will find out the impact on the economy?

:02:36.:02:41.

That's right. It is the first real data that will be coming out and

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that will give some to how that experimental exercise in Pak are the

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Indian economy. -- impacted the Indian economy. The government put

:02:54.:03:00.

the ban in place in the first week of November. After that, businesses

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took a hit. Consumer spending was hit. Demand went down. That is why

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most economists have been really struggling to gauge how much it has

:03:11.:03:14.

really hurt the economy. This data is going to be very, very important

:03:15.:03:19.

in that sense. The BBC's economics editor spoke to India's finance

:03:20.:03:25.

minister and asked him why the government had to take the step, and

:03:26.:03:30.

how it had impacted the economy. (INAUDIBLE). OK, clearly we cannot

:03:31.:03:41.

hear that interview, which is a shame. Maybe we will get that

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soundbite later on. But just give us a sense of what he said to our

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economics editor, because it has been very controversial, hasn't it?

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Because many rural farmers and rural communities have really suffered

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since the government made that move. That is right. It was a very

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controversial move, one of the biggest economic reforms in the last

:04:05.:04:09.

60 or 70 years. But the minister defended the decision. He said it

:04:10.:04:12.

was imperative because there was a high level of corruption, and the

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whole intention was to bring down the amount of untaxed wealth in the

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economy, the black economy, or black wealth, as it is called in India. It

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is a huge component of the economy, it is also referred to as the

:04:28.:04:31.

parallel economy. Some people say it is as high as 70% of the country's

:04:32.:04:36.

entire GDP. The Prime Minister says this will clamp down on the number

:04:37.:04:41.

of people who do not pay tax, which is a very small number in India, and

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the about 1% of the population pays tax. The government says it will

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help crack down on those people who do not pay tax, and bring them under

:04:50.:04:53.

the law, and strict action can be taken against them. But I think the

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key question is what happens in the long-term, the medium to long-term.

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That is where the government is quite confident. Even this latest

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report that has come out talks about that, that some of the reforms the

:05:06.:05:08.

government has taken are on the right track, and really the impact

:05:09.:05:13.

of this band is going to be short-term, 6-8 months. But can

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India bounce back after that? That is the big question, and we will the

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answer today. OK, thank you. You will keep this up-to-date today,

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because those numbers are coming through in a few hours. As you can

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tell, this is very much a live programme here at BBC World News,

:05:32.:05:35.

instead not always go to plan. But that interview with the country's

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finance minister, you will hear that later on today, but you can also

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catch it online as well, it is on our website.

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Now more from the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona.

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As you know, our technology correspondent Rory Cellan-Jones

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is there, and has been finding out about the potential

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5G is the term everybody is handy in around here at Mobile World

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Congress. There is a lot of hype around the next generation of mobile

:06:02.:06:06.

phone networks. Intel has gone as far as to build an experimental 5G

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network at it stands to illustrate the possible uses of it. There is a

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driverless car demonstration, the theory being that lots and lots of

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data will be produced by cars like that. They will need the kind of

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data capacity that 5G can offer. Your whole home will be connected to

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the internet, and as I said, there is a lot of hype around it and I

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have been speaking to Intel's I share evidence about whether that is

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really justified. For consumers, I would like them to think about what

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life was like about smartphones -- without smartphones. Start with

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that. Smartphones allow consumers to talk to each other, to get onto the

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internet, but all of the other things around the consumers today

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are not connected. Cars, for example, are not connected. That is

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going to be on the network, that is going to have live maps, driving

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around in a smart city. You are also going to have a distribution of

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media that today is not possible, in terms of video. All of those things

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are coming. We were promised all of that with four G. Four G is still

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rolling out for people. What is the difference between four G and 5G. Is

:07:14.:07:19.

it simply speed? It is speed, and it is also getting the network ready

:07:20.:07:23.

for the other machines coming onto the network. 4G is really about data

:07:24.:07:28.

communication onto the internet. It doesn't allow robotics, it doesn't

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allow autonomous driving, like if the majority of cars are autonomous.

:07:34.:07:37.

It doesn't deliver all of that bandwidth yet. 5G gets us ready for

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that next step. And is it actually going to come as quickly as some

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people seem to think? Aren't they going to be delays? Aren't they

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going to be arguments over standards, over what the right

:07:50.:07:53.

technology actually is? Yes, it is. We are going to have delays. We are

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going to arguments and physics issues. You know what? It is going

:07:58.:08:02.

to come fast. In 2020 you'll start seeing commercial deployments. Yes,

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there will be delays. It is never as fast as the wireless people say, but

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it will be much quicker than it took the 4G.

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Some of you may not even have three G yet, depending on where you are

:08:13.:08:16.

watching us around the world. That's how much Saudi Arabia's state

:08:17.:08:18.

oil firm is investing in an oil refinery set up by Malaysia's state

:08:19.:08:22.

oil company Petronas. The deal comes as the Saudi King

:08:23.:08:24.

Salman arrived in Kuala Lumpur to kick off a multi-nation tour

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aimed at boosting economic Sharanjit Leyl joins us

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from our Asia Business Hub. Quite exciting, isn't it? Two

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powerhouses coming together, big investments by Saudi Arabia into

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Malaysia. That is right, so big that it makes Saudi Arabia's state oil

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firm the single biggest investor into Malaysia. Of course, this deal

:08:53.:08:57.

is between them and the Malaysian state-owned energy company Petronas.

:08:58.:09:03.

They are investing in this huge refinery project in southern

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Malaysia. What is interesting is that this marks a dramatic reversal

:09:07.:09:10.

from earlier this year when we heard from industry sources that the deal

:09:11.:09:17.

was off, that had planned to pull out of this deal at the time. --

:09:18.:09:24.

Aramco had planned. But Petronas and Aramco executives are now scheduled

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to sign the agreement today, and they are saying that Petronas may

:09:28.:09:31.

have had to make some concessions in order to make this huge deal happen.

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Thank you, good to see you. Let's show you the financial markets,

:09:37.:09:39.

because once again they are making the lines. In the United States, a

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record close for the Dow Jones industrial average for the 12th day

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in a row. The biggest winning streak. And like 30 years. Asia has

:09:47.:09:50.

a mixed response to that at the moment. But we can show you that the

:09:51.:09:56.

US is all in anticipation of Donald Trump's speech later today, and his

:09:57.:09:59.

ambitions and plans for the world's guest economy. I will see you soon.

:10:00.:10:14.

A new wave of industrial action in jails in England and Wales will

:10:15.:10:18.

begin tomorrow.

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