13/04/2017 World Business Report


13/04/2017

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Now it's time for World Business Report.

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Can America's banking giants back their sky-high share prices

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Plus, scooter boys beware - why your takeaway food could soon be

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Lots going on. If you give me about eight minutes I will give you a

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snapshot of all the latest in the world of his ascent of money. --

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world of business. Also coming up, more surprises

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from President Trump as he eases We start on Wall Street,

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where it's a hugely important Now we know the share prices

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of banks have soared in the months following President Trump's

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election, led by America's biggest But in recent weeks doubts

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have been creeping in, Today we get first quarter results

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from the biggest US bank, JP Morgan Chase, and later

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from its rival Citigroup. They're the first of

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a barrage of reports Will they be good enough

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to justify the Trump rally, or confirm those fears that it's

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a bubble waiting to burst? President Trump has famously

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promised to throw out the mass of banking regulation brought

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in by the Obama administration after the financial crisis,

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the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010. But he's been struggling to pass

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other legislation like healthcare reform, so this

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is all up in the air. Still, the banks have had a boost

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from rising US interest rates, which have now hit 1%

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and are expected to hit 3% This means more profits,

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because it helps their lending That's the difference

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between the interest rate they offer to savers and the rate

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they charge to borrowers. Here's the view of one top

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Wall Street watcher. What has happened since the

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presidential election in November is that the equity market has been

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strong but the banking sector has been particularly strong because the

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investors see the banks is benefiting specifically on some of

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the policies the new administration is talking about. We have not really

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seen any news about the tax cut proposals, the infrastructure

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spending, some of the other policies to boost the economy and boost

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lending, and therefore help ranks increased profits over the

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long-term. US banking results for the first quarter of 2017 will be

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deceptive. They will look very strong competitor first quarter of

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last year, but the first quarter of last year was very weak indeed. If

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we compare them with the first quarter of last year they will have

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made very little progress because we are not really seeing any of the

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economic and fits people were expecting from the incoming

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administration's policies. -- economic benefits. I do not expect a

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sell-off of banking stocks, it is a think the market is waiting for

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further news from the new administration in terms of exactly

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what they are going to do in terms of boosting the economy, cutting

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taxes and listening banking regulation. I think all those

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factors could be beneficial over the long-term, and I think those

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investors want to be able to take advantage of that.

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Well, let's stay with this story. One Wall St watches saying that he

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does not think there will be a retreat on the banks, but it is an

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expensive market at the moment, because the share prices are so

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high. Investors and everybody are respecting the banks to deliver.

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Will they? I think we will see good numbers, but it is not just about

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the numbers for the last three months. That is backward looking.

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What we are looking forward to is any legislative changes which will

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make banking less regulated and open the floodgates for profitability

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like the heyday of the 1980s. That is actually what is fuelling this

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stock market rise from the banks and the financial sector. That was one

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of President Trump's promises, the Dodd-Frank Act. What we have seen

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some of his other promises not go through, he has struggled. He may

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struggle with this. Even that Wall Street is watcher was seen to wait

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and see... No, it is a win-win for banks. If he gets the legislation

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through then markets move through the expectations. If he does not get

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it through because of the gridlock in Congress, because some

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Republicans, as they did with Obamacare, switch sides or do not

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push the legislation through, it doesn't matter. He will bribe

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congressmen, because that is what you do. So they will benefit not

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from deregulation but from increased governmental spending, which is what

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will happen. One way or another the banks are going to benefit. We are

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extremely bullish about US banks. In fact, more bullish than on the

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broader US economy, because we think what will happen is that he will

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just end up taking the easy way out, which is spending more money. OK, so

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you think these high prices are justified? We think they will be

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even higher by the end of the year. Well, there you go committee heard

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it. Let's stay in the US,

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where President Trump has said his administration will not

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label China a currency manipulator, despite his campaign

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promise to do so. He told the Wall Street Journal

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the dollar was "getting too strong" but that was partly his

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fault because people had The comments to the Wall Street

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Journal come after his meeting China has been accused

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of suppressing the yuan to make its exports more

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competitive with US goods. Before the US election,

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Mr Trump likened this Sharanjit Leyl has been

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following this for us in Singapore. Again, and other incredible story.

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Higher US dollar week as he is so good, hey? Yeah, but you know what?

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Those comments pretty much had the desired effect, because as soon as

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he said he didn't want a strong US dollar and didn't like a strong US

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dollar, the US dollar tumbled. So now we are seeing the yen and others

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in Asia finding strength, and as a result the markets are falling

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because nobody else likes their currency being too strong either. So

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the Japanese are selling off all those export-oriented stocks. But,

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yes, as you say, he went on to state in that interview that's a thing of

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the label currency manipulator on China would hurt talks with Beijing

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on dealing with North Korean threats. We knew that China had

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suppressed the currency, the yuan, for years, to make its exports more

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competitive with US goods. But Mr Trump said this was like reaping the

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United States. He had promised to label China currency manipulator on

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his first day in office, but in that interview he admitted that China had

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not been currency manipulators for some time. They have actually been

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trying to prevent further weakening. All of this, as we know, has not

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helped the reality of the trade relationship between the United

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States and China, with data out a few hours ago showing that the trade

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surplus China has with the US has risen yet again. It rose in March to

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over $17 billion. That is a big rise from February's $10 billion or so.

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President Trump has focused on that in particular, that large trade

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surplus that China has with the US. It was about $350 billion last year,

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and he has been pressing Chinese President Xi Jinping to help reduce

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the gap. Do you ever ordered delivery? Takeout food, I should

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say? Yes, sometimes. Delivered to you by a man or a woman on a

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scooter, right? Something like that? That's right. Watch this next story.

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Are you happy to have your food delivered by a robot?

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That's the question being asked of take-out food customers

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of technology that could mean the end of the road for scooter

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We think the best approach for this kind of system is one where there is

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constant human oversight of the robots. The architecture we have

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chosen is one where a person is capable of controlling one or two

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robots, and overtime we would build in more and more autonomous

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operation so there is one person then controlling five and then and

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so on. It is effectively multiplying the ability of a given person to do

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more work over the set of robots they are overseeing.

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That's the future. I'll be back later to look at the newspapers from

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around the world.

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