17/04/2017 World Business Report


17/04/2017

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China reveals its economy is growing nicely,

:00:19.:00:21.

We tell you what the experts are saying now about

:00:22.:00:29.

Cadbury grapples with a nationwide backlash in New Zealand,

:00:30.:00:37.

as it prepares to move its factory there to Australia.

:00:38.:00:44.

Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock.

:00:45.:00:46.

Also in the programme: Lloyds is poised to set up a European

:00:47.:00:50.

The latest numbers from China show its economy has grown by 6.9%

:00:51.:01:00.

in the first three months of this year.

:01:01.:01:03.

That is better than most were predicting, and slightly ahead

:01:04.:01:05.

of the government's own target of.5% growth.

:01:06.:01:07.

So do we need to be concerned anymore about the state

:01:08.:01:10.

of the world's second-biggest economy?

:01:11.:01:17.

Well, if we take a look at last year, it grew by 6.7%.

:01:18.:01:20.

That was its slowest pace in 26 years.

:01:21.:01:22.

And last month, Premier Li Keqiang said the government was cutting

:01:23.:01:26.

its economic growth target for this year to 6.5%,

:01:27.:01:28.

this as the government tries to get China used to what they call

:01:29.:01:31.

the new normal, ie China growing at a slower pace,

:01:32.:01:34.

and moving to an economy fuelled more by domestic demand and less

:01:35.:01:38.

But the Organisation for Economic Co-operation

:01:39.:01:48.

and Development says China's private and public debt could be a big

:01:49.:01:51.

problem in the future, as it has now exceeded 250% of GDP,

:01:52.:01:54.

and could lead to a destabilising economic crash.

:01:55.:01:56.

And, despite increased lending restrictions,

:01:57.:01:58.

people are still borrowing to invest in the red-hot property market.

:01:59.:02:01.

For example, February's figures show prices for new homes rising by just

:02:02.:02:04.

Our Asia business corresponden Karishma Vaswani joins

:02:05.:02:08.

Nice to see you. Give us your take on how how healthy things. Analysts

:02:09.:03:00.

have been speaking to say it has come above what many people expected

:03:01.:03:04.

at it is really important to point out that while we should always

:03:05.:03:06.

remain sceptical about these official figures from Beijing, it is

:03:07.:03:12.

important to look at the number on the whole as a sign, it seems, as

:03:13.:03:19.

China's growth rate stabilising. The trajectory seems to be stabilising.

:03:20.:03:22.

As you said earlier in your introduction, growth rate last year

:03:23.:03:27.

coming in at the lowest rate in 26 years. But it looks like, if you

:03:28.:03:31.

look closer at the data points which have helped China's economy to grow

:03:32.:03:36.

this time around, it is the same object. It is state investment, it

:03:37.:03:40.

is the property market. So where is that transition that Beijing has

:03:41.:03:43.

continuously talked about over the few years, moving from the old

:03:44.:03:48.

tricks, the old parts of the economy, into a new modern economy?

:03:49.:03:53.

We are not seeing that is the main drivers of growth just yet. But

:03:54.:03:57.

having said that, these kind of shifts do take time, don't they?

:03:58.:04:01.

They are not something that can come into place quickly and many have

:04:02.:04:04.

been really warning about China heading for a hard landing. Very

:04:05.:04:08.

difficult times ahead. Is that still the concern in the background? I

:04:09.:04:14.

think the bigger concern is just how sustainable this growth rate is.

:04:15.:04:20.

Now, if you look at the typical first-quarter figures, they do tend

:04:21.:04:24.

to give you a sense of what is going to have over the next 12 months. But

:04:25.:04:27.

I think, especially according to many of the analysts I have been

:04:28.:04:32.

speaking to, we won't be seeing a 6.9% figure in the quarters ahead.

:04:33.:04:36.

It may come down a bit. Poverty will not continue to grow as much.

:04:37.:04:40.

Because remember, the government is very concerned about how that is an

:04:41.:04:45.

overheating sector -- property will not continue to grow as much. They

:04:46.:04:49.

have put in some measures which will show up in the later part of the

:04:50.:04:53.

year. In terms of the 6.9% figure, we are unlikely to see that in the

:04:54.:04:57.

quarters ahead. What we will see as China's growth rate coming in at

:04:58.:05:02.

around a figure that authorities in Beijing have been broadcasting, and

:05:03.:05:05.

that will continue with the narrative of slowing, gradually

:05:06.:05:10.

slowing Chinese economy. For now, thank you much indeed.

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There is plenty more analysis of China's growth

:05:14.:05:15.

Just head to our website, or download the BBC News app.

:05:16.:05:19.

Here, you will find both text and video coverage

:05:20.:05:21.

of all of the stories covered on Business throughout the day.

:05:22.:05:27.

In other news: Lloyds Banking Group has decided to set up a base

:05:28.:05:30.

in Germany after the UK leaves the European Union,

:05:31.:05:33.

Several British financial institutions are putting plans

:05:34.:05:36.

in place to protect their EU operations after Brexit.

:05:37.:05:39.

Lloyds is the only major British lender that does not currently

:05:40.:05:42.

have a subsidiary in another European Union country.

:05:43.:05:44.

The bank is believed to have considered both Frankfurt

:05:45.:05:46.

and Amsterdam for its European base, before finally opting for Berlin.

:05:47.:05:56.

United Airlines is changing its policy on giving staff

:05:57.:05:59.

last-minute seats on full flights, after a man was dragged screaming

:06:00.:06:02.

The airline said that, in the future, crew members would be

:06:03.:06:06.

allocated seats at least an hour before departure.

:06:07.:06:08.

It comes after a passenger lost two front teeth and suffered a broken

:06:09.:06:12.

nose when he was forcibly removed from a flight last Sunday.

:06:13.:06:25.

The US commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, has dismissed warnings

:06:26.:06:27.

over protectionism made by the International Monetary Fund.

:06:28.:06:29.

In an interview with the Financial Times,

:06:30.:06:31.

Mr Ross said that the Trump administration is far more liberal

:06:32.:06:34.

in its stance towards trade compared with Europe,

:06:35.:06:36.

The comments come ahead of the IMF's meeting in Washington

:06:37.:06:43.

The passing of Lent normally signals a time of celebration

:06:44.:07:00.

for the world's chocolate makers, but there has been a nationwide

:07:01.:07:03.

backlash in New Zealand against the decision by chocolate

:07:04.:07:06.

giant Cadbury to move its operations to Australia next year.

:07:07.:07:08.

The company's American owner says it is not profitable enough to keep

:07:09.:07:12.

the factory in the south-east of New Zealand, and hundreds of jobs

:07:13.:07:15.

Mauricio Olmedo-Perez reports from Auckland.

:07:16.:07:32.

The world-famous jaffa race brings out the cheering crowds

:07:33.:07:36.

in their thousands, as Cadbury chocolate balls made just down

:07:37.:07:41.

the road roll down the world's steepest street.

:07:42.:07:43.

But now crowds are protesting against Cadbury, which has made

:07:44.:07:46.

chocolate here since 1930, and become a part of

:07:47.:07:49.

I think it's disgusting, because we're making a profit here.

:07:50.:07:59.

Despite turning a profit, the company that owns Cadbury says

:08:00.:08:08.

the factory isn't sustainable, and more than 360 workers will lose

:08:09.:08:11.

jobs, a major blow for a provincial centre.

:08:12.:08:14.

It's about time our multinationals begin looking after people who have

:08:15.:08:23.

been looking after them for the last 100 years.

:08:24.:08:25.

There are reports of keeping Cadbury World open, but it's a bit

:08:26.:08:39.

silly having it open without the Cadbury behind it.

:08:40.:08:41.

It has over 100,000 visitors per year.

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It wants to redevelop the tourist attraction.

:08:44.:08:45.

A national campaign has been started to boycott Cadbury products.

:08:46.:08:49.

While one company claims it is not profitable fruit to produce

:08:50.:08:59.

chocolate in New Zealand, just north of Wellington, Whitakers is proving

:09:00.:09:00.

otherwise. It has been making chocolate

:09:01.:09:01.

for more than 120 years, and has become one of

:09:02.:09:04.

the country's success stories. Big multinationals often have

:09:05.:09:06.

strategic views in certain areas, and I think we are just solely

:09:07.:09:11.

focused on quality of product. The family-run business has been

:09:12.:09:14.

growing, using innovative flavours Now, it is taking a careful approach

:09:15.:09:16.

into the Middle East, We don't try to spread

:09:17.:09:23.

ourselves too thinly. We just need to focus

:09:24.:09:26.

on particular areas. When you look at China,

:09:27.:09:28.

in particular, the change in demographic is the biggest

:09:29.:09:31.

opportunity on our horizon. And, with its main competitor's

:09:32.:09:37.

production now leaving New Zealand, the prospects for the southern

:09:38.:09:40.

chocolatier are mouthwatering. Let's look at market is really

:09:41.:09:49.

quickly. An unusual day to day, a bank holiday in many countries

:09:50.:09:52.

around the world because of the Easter long weekend. Japan is open

:09:53.:09:58.

and trading, down 0.5% Khazova very strong yen against the dollar. That

:09:59.:10:02.

figure at the bottom is not correct, so ignore that for now. In many

:10:03.:10:07.

cases, markets are closed. Hong Kong is closed, Shanghai is open and down

:10:08.:10:11.

slightly, despite those growth figures out that we discussed

:10:12.:10:16.

earlier in the programme. Stay with us. We will look at some of the main

:10:17.:10:20.

stories in the news and what the newspapers are saying about Turkey.

:10:21.:10:38.

A specialist squad of police and Prison Service staff has been

:10:39.:10:41.

formed to tackle the use of drones to smuggle contraband,

:10:42.:10:45.

The officers in England and Wales will study how to catch those

:10:46.:10:49.

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