01/06/2017 World Business Report


01/06/2017

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 01/06/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

regions from forces linked to the so-called Islamic State

:00:00.:00:00.

Now it's time for World Business Report.

:00:00.:00:15.

Closer ties between the EU and China - that's the aim.

:00:16.:00:25.

The leaders are meeting at at summit in Brussels later hoping to counter

:00:26.:00:28.

President Trump's stance on trade and climate change.

:00:29.:00:30.

Brazil is expected to announce that its economy is growing

:00:31.:00:33.

for the first time since 2014 - but could that be overshadowed

:00:34.:00:37.

We'll look at whether that could threaten the return

:00:38.:00:40.

In a minute we'll find out why today is a big day

:00:41.:00:51.

But first, the EU and China will attempt to deepen ties

:00:52.:00:58.

There is concern among some about the direction taken by US

:00:59.:01:04.

President Donald Trump on trade and climate change.

:01:05.:01:07.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang will meet European Council president

:01:08.:01:09.

Donald Tusk and European Commission head Jean-Claude Juncker.

:01:10.:01:23.

They are hoping to come up with an answer to Donald Trump's

:01:24.:01:26.

Trade in goods between the EU and China is worth well over 1.5

:01:27.:01:30.

The EU is China's biggest trading partner, while China is the EU's

:01:31.:01:35.

second largest trading partner - after the United States.

:01:36.:01:37.

But the EU is worried about industrial overcapacity

:01:38.:01:40.

in China - most notably, in the steel sector.

:01:41.:01:43.

For example, in April this year the European Commission increased

:01:44.:01:46.

anti-dumping duties on imports of hot-rolled flat steel products

:01:47.:01:48.

from China by up to 36% - much to Beijing's anger.

:01:49.:01:59.

China invested four times as much in European businesses as European

:02:00.:02:08.

businesses did in China. With me is Dr Yu Jie,

:02:09.:02:10.

Head of China Foresight, There is likely to be some common

:02:11.:02:17.

ground as far as climate change and statements of intent regarding the

:02:18.:02:22.

Paris agreement are concerned. But still some areas where there could

:02:23.:02:26.

be some friction? I would say it plenty of friction. That is

:02:27.:02:32.

partially because the Chinese take investment more seriously, whereas

:02:33.:02:37.

the EU take rules more seriously. Chinese played by the money, there

:02:38.:02:43.

are differences here because of that. Regarding the overcapacity

:02:44.:02:50.

issue, this is not just an issue in terms of foreign investment. It is

:02:51.:02:54.

also an issue for China in terms of domestic politics. We know that this

:02:55.:03:06.

party congresses in pipeline. Xi Jinping is trying to stabilise the

:03:07.:03:12.

economy, and to make sure less people are unemployed. So they don't

:03:13.:03:18.

want to lay off and steel in China. Therefore, I am expecting some tough

:03:19.:03:26.

talks. Do you think this talk of getting together and continuing a

:03:27.:03:32.

protectionist stance with Donald Trump, do you think that has been

:03:33.:03:40.

overblown? Partially, yes. Xi Jinping also wants to look like a

:03:41.:03:44.

very stable leader on the international stage, so by

:03:45.:03:51.

presenting himself into some kind of alliance regarding climate change

:03:52.:03:55.

would not give him a very good image. This is also testing the

:03:56.:04:00.

Chinese Communist Party's governing ability, and whether they can

:04:01.:04:05.

address the issues of pollution and poor air quality. That is something

:04:06.:04:10.

Xi Jinping is trying to present to the world as well as the domestic

:04:11.:04:15.

audience. How big of a sticking point do you think this issue of

:04:16.:04:22.

steel tariffs is going to be? It is an ongoing issue. It has become

:04:23.:04:26.

particularly pressing, because what is happening in the political arena

:04:27.:04:32.

and what is happening inside China, that is affecting it. I can only see

:04:33.:04:38.

the problem escalating. Thank you very much for your analysis.

:04:39.:04:40.

Today it re-joins the MSCI Emerging Markets Index -

:04:41.:04:46.

a massive reputational boost for the country,

:04:47.:04:48.

and a sign that things could be turning around for a nation that's

:04:49.:04:51.

been beset with political and terror related problems.

:04:52.:05:06.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is made up of 23 emerging markets

:05:07.:05:09.

Pakistan used to be a part of the index, but was removed

:05:10.:05:13.

because of the exchange's decision to shut down for four months in late

:05:14.:05:17.

2008 after prices dropped dramatically.

:05:18.:05:22.

That meant foreign investors couldn't get their money out.

:05:23.:05:26.

We are joined by our Asia business correspondence. In practical terms,

:05:27.:05:35.

what difference does this make. It makes a big difference. Pakistan was

:05:36.:05:40.

once called the basket case of South Asia in terms of its economic

:05:41.:05:45.

prospects. Now it is being called the new Asian tiger. A lot of that

:05:46.:05:49.

is down to the new reputational boost you are talking about. It is

:05:50.:05:54.

now part of the emerging markets index. That includes top-ranked

:05:55.:05:59.

stocks from all over the world. Some of the world's biggest businesses

:06:00.:06:07.

use this list. Just take a look at some of the evidence. Pakistani

:06:08.:06:15.

stocks versus the emerging markets index, you can see on your screen

:06:16.:06:19.

how shares have outperformed the emerging markets index, despite all

:06:20.:06:26.

the troubles that have come out of Pakistan in recent years. Why is

:06:27.:06:32.

this happening? A lot of it is down to good corporate governance, and it

:06:33.:06:39.

is also a domestic consumption story. Much like India and China,

:06:40.:06:44.

Pakistan is all about spending money and seeing incomes rise. Take a look

:06:45.:06:51.

at this chart. GDP growth in Pakistan has been pretty solid of

:06:52.:06:56.

late. That is coming after a low period in the mid- 2000. I think it

:06:57.:07:00.

is also important not to disregard the obvious issues with security and

:07:01.:07:06.

terror related concerns. At least for today, a sign that this country

:07:07.:07:13.

could be facing a turnaround. Thank you very much.

:07:14.:07:14.

Brazil may be about to announce the end of the country's worst

:07:15.:07:17.

It is expected to report that its economy grew for the first

:07:18.:07:21.

three months of the year - it'll be the first quarter of growth

:07:22.:07:25.

But just as the country seems to be turning a corner,

:07:26.:07:29.

another political crisis has kicked off that could halt the recovery

:07:30.:07:32.

Daniel Gallas reports from the capital, Brasilia.

:07:33.:07:41.

Violence flared outside Brazil's national congress as protesters made

:07:42.:07:47.

it clear they were not happy with how the country is being ruled.

:07:48.:07:51.

Inside the building, politicians were debating radical reforms to the

:07:52.:07:57.

economy, including making Brazilians work longer and retire later. We are

:07:58.:08:03.

tired of being a country with a president accused of corruption. We

:08:04.:08:08.

want a new president and we want to know are by tree Labour reforms.

:08:09.:08:13.

These people do not want reforms, they say it will hurt pensions.

:08:14.:08:18.

Despite the political crisis engulfing Brazil, they know that

:08:19.:08:22.

sooner or later, Congress is likely to vote on the reports, some say

:08:23.:08:25.

that is crucial for the Brazilian economy. The Brazilian population is

:08:26.:08:30.

ageing. It presents a serious challenge, the cost of caring for

:08:31.:08:35.

the elderly is rising sharply in the government does not have the money

:08:36.:08:39.

to pay for it. The country spends around 11% of its GDP on pensions,

:08:40.:08:46.

that is twice as high as in more developed economies and it is set to

:08:47.:08:50.

double in the next 40 years. Brazil's debt is also growing,

:08:51.:08:56.

doubling in the past three years. Without reforms, the IMF says that

:08:57.:09:01.

debt could balloon to 90% in five years. President Michel Temer has

:09:02.:09:07.

been pushing reforms to get the economy back on track, but he is now

:09:08.:09:12.

embroiled in a corruption scandal which could see him forced out of

:09:13.:09:17.

office. The question is, if he goes, will his reforms survive? Is -- if

:09:18.:09:26.

the current president has to step down, I am certain that politicians

:09:27.:09:34.

would find a new president who is committed to these reforms. Changes

:09:35.:09:39.

needed, but the proposals are unpopular. -- change is. There is

:09:40.:09:49.

little appetite for more pain, but without more reforms, the recovery

:09:50.:09:52.

could prove short lived, bringing the prospect of yet more unrest.

:09:53.:09:59.

A quick look at the markets now. This is how the Asian markets

:10:00.:10:19.

finished. We are out of time, I'll see you soon. Goodbye. Then we'll be

:10:20.:10:21.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS