16/06/2017 World Business Report


16/06/2017

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After months of wrangling, lenders agree on more bailout money

:00:20.:00:23.

for Greece and the chance of debt relief next year.

:00:24.:00:26.

Could the Greek tragedy be reaching its final act?

:00:27.:00:31.

Plus, Havana rethink - are Cuba's growing business ties

:00:32.:00:33.

with the US now under threat from President Trump?

:00:34.:00:38.

Also coming up, after the biggest recall

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in the history of the car industry, could faulty air bag maker Takata be

:00:46.:00:49.

We start in Greece which has edged back from the brink

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Late on Thursday, after months of wrangling,

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European finance ministers, together with the International

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Monetary Fund, finally agreed to give Athens its latest slice

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And there's a hint it could get some relief from its crippling debt

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Greece will finally get this - 8.5 billion euros -

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part of an 86 billion euro bailout plan agreed in 2015

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It will come just in time, as Greece faces 7.3 billion euros

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-- Its total debt now stands at more than 337 billion euros.

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To put that in perspective, have a look at this -

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the red is Greece's debt level over the past decade.

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The grey is its annual economic output or Gross Domestic Product -

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everything of value that the country produces.

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The debt is currently some 180% of GDP -

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one of the highest levels in the world.

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It has struggled to narrow the gap because round after round of

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austerity - demanded by its lenders - has steadily weakened its economy.

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That's why Greece has been insisting on debt relief.

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In other words, writing a big chunk of it off,

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The issue bitterly divides its creditors.

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IMF boss Christine Lagarde says that's the only way Greece will ever

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get back on its feet and has been refusing to get

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German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has been amongst

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those insisting the debt must eventually be repaid in full.

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But it looks like some sort of debt relief could now be

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The chairman of the eurozone finance ministers' group is optimistic

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Overall, I think this is a major step forward.

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I commend the eurogroup institutions, the Greek authorities

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and foremost, of course, the Greek people for their intense

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We are now going into the last year of the financial support programme

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We will prepare an exit strategy going forward to enable

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Greece to stand on his own feet again over the course of next year.

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Thanos Vamvakidis is global head of G10 foreign exchange strategy

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Thank you for coming in. Good morning. Let's start with debt

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relief, something that Germany has been adamant that Greece must repay

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all of its debts in full but the IMF said we must have some debt relief

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because the act is unsustainable. It's looking like Greece make its

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debt relief in some form. They have been in this chicken game for the

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last nine months. I think the agreement is a compromise which is

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the best outcome given all the constraints but it isn't the final

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solution. The reason of broad understanding that debt relief could

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be acquired at its another kick off the can down the road. Sir you won't

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think we will see an agreement for a chunk of debt to be written off, you

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think it is more extending repayments? This is exactly what

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they are discussing. Depending on the fiscal performance and economic

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growth, they have to agree to maturity extension to allow Greece

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to eventually repay the debt. We are talking about an extension of

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between 0- 15 years, this is the discussion but of course a lot

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depends on what will be your long-term growth assumption because

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this will affect the numbers. And also what will be the assumption of

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the interest rate you will be paying on the loan? This is what they are

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discussing. It has not been signed off yet, it has to be approved by a

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number of parliaments? I don't expect any problems. Germany was a

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concern, given that they require the participation of the IMF, but one of

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the good news from the deal is the IMF will participate with the

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so-called standby arrangement which doesn't include any money before the

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race a final deal on the desk. Do you feel they have been any

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softening of the stance towards Greece because of Brexit? We have

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seen the UK leading has perhaps made Finance ministers thinking they

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don't want another country to live. Not really but rightly so they have

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kept the two issues separate. If anything the creditors were tough on

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Greece. They had approved measures for the next five years and had

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fiscal guidelines for the next few decades without actually getting the

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final answer on debt relief so this is completely separate. Thank you so

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much for coming in. We are also in Cuba

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because President Donald Trump is expected to announce a new policy

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towards the country during a visit It could see rules on trade

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and travel tightened once again, and undo significant elements

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of President Obama's agreement After almost three years of the US

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policy of engagement with a great three, President Trump is now expect

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it to unveil a new approach -- Cuba. Every year since 2014 has seen

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record numbers of visitors to the island thanks in no small part to

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the number of US citizens who have come here, both via direct flights

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and by sea on cruise ships. Mr Trump may choose to limit the number of

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categories under which they can come here, including the broad term

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people to people exchanges, all put limits on the number of times they

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can reach the island, perhaps just one visit per year. Many feared Mr

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Trump will prevent US entities from working with the tourism or the

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commercial wings of the Cuban military and that would have an

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effect because they are basically ubiquitous to this economy and if

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you want any sizeable commercial presence here, you basically have to

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work with them. It seems increasingly likely that President

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Trump is going to use Cuba's poor human rights record is the

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motivation for changing the relationship. The problem with human

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rights however it is at the same time, Mr Trump is making overtures

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to another country with poor human rights, Saudi Arabia. A greater

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understanding has been fostered between the two nations over the

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past three years, particularly in the arts, culture, music and sports.

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In science also, given advances in immunology and cancer treatment has

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been taken back to the United States for further tests. Now, some of

:08:00.:08:03.

those shed projects are now sufficiently robust to withstand any

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rollback by the Trump administration but others may be put in jeopardy.

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To Asia now and the fate of one of the world's biggest auto parts

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It is of course at the centre of that massive recall of faulty air

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bag inflators - the biggest safety recall the car industry

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Now, there are reports the company could be forced to file

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for bankruptcy as early as next week.

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Sharanjit Leyl is following the story for us in Singapore.

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We have been hearing a company shares has been suspended. Could

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this be the end for Takata? That's right, trading has been suspended,

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the last they traded they were down about 0.6% and as you mentioned

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those media reports essentially saying the company is preparing to

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file for bankruptcy, you know, to put this into context, we've had

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about 100 million Takata airbags which can rupture with deadly force,

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they can spray shrapnel at passengers and they have been

:09:10.:09:12.

recalled globally, faulty airbags have been leaked to at least one

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dozen deaths and more than 100 injuries worldwide. These reports,

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some of which come from Japan's became newspaper, indicates the

:09:23.:09:30.

company faces $9 billion. Takata hasn't commented but sources close

:09:31.:09:33.

to the case are warning of imminent bankruptcy. The company says it will

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be in talks with a potential deal with US auto-parts maker Key Safety

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Systems which may buy some of the assets under a plan but the company

:09:48.:09:51.

is looking bleak. Thank you very much. Back with more on that and all

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of the business stories throughout the day.

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