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moment of partition from India at the end of British colonial rule in | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
1947. Now it is time for World Business | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Report with Ben Bland. Confounding the critics: Japan | :00:00. | :00:17. | |
beats expectations as it records its fastest rate of growth | :00:18. | :00:20. | |
in more than two years. 70 years of partition: We take | :00:21. | :00:27. | |
a look at how the economies of India and Pakistan have diverged | :00:28. | :00:31. | |
since the end of British rule. Hello and a very warm welcome to BBC | :00:32. | :00:47. | |
News of World Business Report. I am Ben Bland. | :00:48. | :00:50. | |
Japan has just released its latest set of growth figures, | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
and there's been some good news for the world's | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
Japan has exceeded all expectations by recording growth | :00:56. | :00:59. | |
The numbers are an encouraging development for the government | :01:00. | :01:03. | |
but don't solve the country's ongoing financial headaches. | :01:04. | :01:10. | |
Japan's productivity per person per hour stands at $23.45 | :01:11. | :01:15. | |
that leaves it in 18th place in the world, well behind the US, | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
on $33.41, and a host of others including Canada, | :01:19. | :01:21. | |
The country's debt has also ballooned in recent years. | :01:22. | :01:36. | |
At more than 250% of GDP it has the largest debt to output ratio | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
in the world - by quite a comfortable margin. | :01:41. | :01:42. | |
Long term the country also faces what's been described | :01:43. | :01:44. | |
than 50 years almost 40% of the population could be aged | :01:45. | :01:50. | |
Hiroshi Ugai is the chief economist at JP Morgan. | :01:51. | :02:02. | |
Good to see you. I just wonder whether, with all this positive news | :02:03. | :02:17. | |
coming out of Japan, if it is enough to deal with some of the long-term | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
problems, or is it just a short-term thing? This was very strong, but | :02:22. | :02:36. | |
should continue for longer. It is higher than our expectations, and | :02:37. | :02:39. | |
high since the first quarter of 2015. This growth is above the | :02:40. | :02:46. | |
expected growth rate, suggesting that growth is expanding. However, | :02:47. | :02:55. | |
we think that is too strong for, you know, relative to our strengths, the | :02:56. | :03:01. | |
underlying strength of the economy. Do we take this to mean, then, that | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
Shinzo Abe's reforms, the policy of monetary easing, Abenomics, as it is | :03:07. | :03:20. | |
called, is that working? Yes. This time, the GDP's search related to | :03:21. | :03:29. | |
public works spending, reflecting the economic stimulus package | :03:30. | :03:44. | |
enacted last year. And also stimulus related to the monetary easing | :03:45. | :03:49. | |
environment. The consequences of this is considered us. For the time | :03:50. | :03:55. | |
being, the economic growth will, you know, expand, but probably in the | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
second half of this year, this second quarter, this will soften a | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
little bit. We expect this to slow to 1.5%, but still far above the | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
growth rate. So it works. Of course, this is good news, this growth, | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
which is exceeded expectations. However, I just wonder if you feel | :04:17. | :04:20. | |
enough is being done to tackle the longer term problems that I was | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
talking about. That demographic time bomb that I was talk about, with the | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
ageing population. Is it enough to tackle that? No. The current | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
situation is good, but during this period, we have two, Japan has two | :04:35. | :04:40. | |
tackle the structural issues to raise productivity growth in Japan. | :04:41. | :04:48. | |
Otherwise, our underlying growth rate is 0.7%, we guess. We need to | :04:49. | :04:59. | |
raise this more with structural reform to raise productivity, and | :05:00. | :05:10. | |
also to try to raise outcomes in a long-term perspective. Otherwise it | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
is limited for Japan to expand. Thank you for joining us Hiroshi | :05:15. | :05:20. | |
Ugai from Tokyo. 70 years ago, Britain | :05:21. | :05:23. | |
ended its rule over India and the country was divided | :05:24. | :05:25. | |
into two separate states. Partition brought about the largest | :05:26. | :05:28. | |
mass movement of people in history, but what has become of the economies | :05:29. | :05:31. | |
of Pakistan and India? Since partition, India and Pakistan | :05:32. | :05:39. | |
have charted different economic parts. India's economy was bigger | :05:40. | :05:45. | |
right from the start, because of the size of its population and the fact | :05:46. | :05:51. | |
that it inherited financial and government institutions. Today, | :05:52. | :05:54. | |
India's economy is almost eight times bigger than its neighbour's. | :05:55. | :06:01. | |
What is interesting is that in the first 50 years, both nations or | :06:02. | :06:04. | |
similar economic growth. In fact, the average income per person in | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
Pakistan was hired in India during this period. But since the start of | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
the 21st century, India's economy started to grow faster, widening the | :06:14. | :06:18. | |
gap. This is largely down to economic reforms in India in the | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
1990s, when it opened up its markets for foreign and private investments. | :06:24. | :06:26. | |
Today, India and Pakistan are the largest economies in South Asia. | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
They still don't create very much. Bilaterals trade stood at just $2.2 | :06:33. | :06:37. | |
billion last year. This is less than what India creates with smaller | :06:38. | :06:42. | |
neighbours like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Nepal. This is | :06:43. | :06:48. | |
largely due to the negative list, banning goods from India. This | :06:49. | :06:55. | |
ranges from toothbrushes and diapers to cars and cricket bats. India | :06:56. | :07:03. | |
levies taxes on goods from Pakistan. That said, informal trade between | :07:04. | :07:06. | |
the two countries is thriving, and is estimated to be close to $5 | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
billion. That involves shipping goods through a third country. | :07:11. | :07:15. | |
Traders both in India and Pakistan news Dubai to get goods to each | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
other. Experts say that if history was formalised, then the total | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
bilateral trade between the two countries could touch $10 billion | :07:24. | :07:25. | |
every year. The New York Times is reporting that | :07:26. | :07:27. | |
Facebook has discreetly launched a photo-sharing app | :07:28. | :07:30. | |
for Chinese users. The social media platform | :07:31. | :07:32. | |
is banned in mainland China, but Facebook has made | :07:33. | :07:34. | |
clear its intentions to crack Let's cross over to our | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
Asia Business hub where we can speak What more do we know about this | :07:38. | :07:56. | |
latest move by Facebook? It is fascinating. It is called Colorful | :07:57. | :08:03. | |
Balloons, and the company's brand is not attached to it, the brand | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
Facebook. New York Times reported this, and Facebook has now confirmed | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
this to several media outlets. It says that its focus is to help | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
Chinese businesses expand outside China, using their platform. But as | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
you mention, Facebook has been very keen to enter the mainland market | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
since it was blocked in 2009. Its founder and chief executive Mark | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
Zuckerberg made a high profile visit with leaders, learning Mandarin and | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
making Keynote speeches that, as well. Facebook is not alone in train | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
to work around China's very tightly controlled Internet. Google, | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
YouTube, Instagram, a lot of silicon valley companies which have | :08:49. | :08:51. | |
previously banned have been trained to work around that. It seems like | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
Facebook might have found a way. Thank you for joining us, Marie | :08:57. | :08:58. | |
Curie. -- Mariko Oi. the chief executive | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
of Commonwealth Bank of Australia says he will retire | :09:05. | :09:08. | |
following a scandal relating Ian Narev has been head | :09:09. | :09:10. | |
of Australia's largest But recently, it's been embroiled | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
in civil charges stemming from alleged breaches of financing | :09:15. | :09:17. | |
rules that wiped out billions Narev is expected to step | :09:18. | :09:20. | |
down in June 2018. After weeks of public disagreement, | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
the UK's Finance Minister, Phillip Hammond, and the country's | :09:25. | :09:27. | |
Trade Secretary, Liam Fox, wrote a joint article | :09:28. | :09:29. | |
for the Sunday Telegraph, stating that Britain will need | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
a transition deal when it leaves The pair say that any deal would be | :09:33. | :09:35. | |
"time-limited" and should not be viewed as a "back door" | :09:36. | :09:43. | |
to staying in the EU. To forget you can reach me on | :09:44. | :09:52. | |
Twitter. I am | :09:53. | :09:54. |