25/01/2012 BBC News at Six


25/01/2012

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That shrinking feeling. The UK economy went into reverse at the

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end of last year. From manufacturing to building and

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services, output fell by 0.2%. Labour and the government at odds

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over who is to blame. We have a shrinking economy and the highest

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unemployment in 18 years. Mr Speaker, how bad two things have to

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get in the economy to shake him out of his complacency? He talks about

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what our policy is. We remembers what his policy was. No more boom

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and bust! And yet he gave us the biggest boom and the biggest bust!

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We'll be asking if Britain now faces a double dip recession.

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Also tonight: US special forces, the same unit that killed Osama bin

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Laden, rescues two aid workers from Somali bandits. Good job, tonight.

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Good job, says the President after he ordered the secret mission.

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The choice facing Scotland: to stay in the UK or go for independence.

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The First Minister gives his plan for the referendum. The people who

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care most about Scotland, the people who live and work there,

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should be the ones taking the decisions about the future.

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Chocolate with strawberries. And what meal do you think would be

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fit for a queen? Children get their chance to choose a menu for the

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Diamond Jubilee. I will be here with Sportsday, with

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news from Anfield and the Carling Cup semi-final. Liverpool are a

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goal up from the first leg against Good evening. Welcome to the BBC

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News at Six. There are new fears that Britain could slip back into

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recession after the latest figures on the economy showed it shrank by

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0.2% in the last three months of 2011. The downturn saw a

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contraction in manufacturing and building. David Cameron admitted

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the figures were disappointing but said Britain was not immune from

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the eurozone's difficulties. Labour says cutting the deficit too far,

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too fast is to blame. The letters stand for gross domestic product,

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the sum total of everything produced in the UK. In a recovery,

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it is supposed to keep getting bigger, but not lately and not the

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last three months of last year. Our national out but officially shrank

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by 0.2%. -- output. The figures showed manufacturing did

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particularly badly but for Tony Hancock, who makes trailers for the

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aviation industry in Doncaster, it is not about statistics but

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survival. I will survive because that is my nature. I don't yet know

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exactly how I will survive but the last thing I will do is lose staff.

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If I lose any more, I would have to look at saying, let's close the

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doors and move on. 2009 was the 2010 looks better now than it felt

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then. Revised figures show growth of 2.1%. Last year wasn't half as

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good. And the average forecast for 2012 keeps falling. The betting now

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is that we will barely grow at all. The Prime Minister said the figures

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were disappointing but don't blame him. They reflect wreath things:

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The overhang of the debt and the deficit that we have to deal with.

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They reflect the higher food and fuel prices that put the squeeze on

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household income is at the end of last year, and they also reflect

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the crisis in the eurozone that has frozen Europe's economies. He said

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unemployment would fall. It isn't. He said the economy would grow. It

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hasn't. He said we are all in this together. We are not. When will the

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Prime Minister face up to the fact that his policies are failing the

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country? It was mainly weak spending at home that held back the

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economy last year. Our trade with other countries and even in Europe

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held up pretty well but the Prime Minister is right that the

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government wasn't the only one squeezing UK households. They also

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faced a big rise in energy and food prices. And uncertainty about the

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eurozone probably did weigh down on confidence last year. It will be

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even more important in 2012. Take tourism. Last year we had more

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foreign visitors and spending by UK holidaymakers rose by over 10% but

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On the plus side, perhaps exposure of the Olympics and the Diamond

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Jubilee but on the negative side, we have the turmoil in Europe so I

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think if we have a flat here, we would still be doing extremely well.

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This news is a bit worse than expected but the broad message is

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the same: The UK economy is flat. But that is enough bad news to be

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getting on with two and a half years after the steepest recession

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in living memory the supposed to have ended.

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So the argument about who or what is to blame rages in Westminster

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but what does the downturn mean for families and businesses around the

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country? Our correspondent has been focusing on the market town of

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Hereford. Hereford, historic, timeless. A

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border city that has seen it all. Good times and bad. But today there

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on new challenges. In the city centre, things seem pretty healthy.

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Plenty of people out and about. Take a closer look. It is late

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January and the sales are still on. Some shops have closed down, others

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struggling for survival. This man is doing all he can to bring the

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customers in. We have been in business 11 years... We have looked

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at every cost in the business and we have cut every cost back to the

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lowest level that we can. 43! Jerez that's brand new livestock

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market is doing brisk business. -- Hereford. Agriculture is crucial to

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the economy and land prices haven't been this good for years. Export to

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Europe are a driving force. Farmers like John Bishop cannot afford to

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celebrate. His income is improving but that is only half of the

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picture. The cost of production is going through the roof. It is

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soaring out of control. The cost of energy is unbelievable. Perhaps the

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economic fightback will start with small businesses like this. In her

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farmhouse kitchen, this woman is running courses in Indian cookery.

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There is a market there. There is a place for new businesses but you

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have to search for the right market. Clearly the people of Hereford are

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having to adapt to a new economic reality. They are changing their

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spending habits and work patterns, launching new businesses, but you

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still get the impression that no one here quite knows what happens

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next with the economy or the scale of the problems which may still lie

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ahead. Our political editor joins us.

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These figures must put pressure on the Chancellor. Any sign he will

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have changed tack? These Treasury officials will

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probably give you a better sense than me because I have not seen him

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but there is clearly a sense that George Osborne is saying to the

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country, I knew it was bad, I told you in my last Autumn Statement

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that things have got worse, that borrowing would go on longer, that

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the pain would be deeper. You get the argument between the Labour

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Party saying, it is all your fault, and the government saying, no, it

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is the euro, and yet the economists are saying, it is probably both

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that have contributed to problems we have. More interesting perhaps

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is the argument about what we do next. The last person to be on the

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doorstep posing for their cameras was Christine Lagarde, head of

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International Monetary Fund, a vital international organisation.

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What is intriguing is what her chief economist has said. He said,

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because the government has got a plan for dealing with the deficit,

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it has got a little bit of room to slow down the cuts if it wants in

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order to help with growth. But then he added a but. The but is:

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Provided it doesn't spook the markets into thinking that the

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government has lost its nerve. That is the argument that will be going

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on inside the building, inside the Treasury, inside the next few weeks

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before the Budget. What can they do which would contribute to growth

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without unnerving the markets that the government had lost its nerve?

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Intriguingly, the Liberal Democrats in the coalition are beginning to

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say the answer is tax cuts for those on low and middle incomes,

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but they have to be paid for and that would mean by tax rises on

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people who are richer. Thank you. US special forces, the same unit

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that killed Osama bin Laden last year, have mounted another daring

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mission. This time they have rescued two aid workers, including

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an American, who were kidnapped by Somali bandits three months ago.

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President Obama, who ordered the top secret mission, said America

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would never tolerate the abduction of its citizens. Our security

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correspondent reports. A commander in chief with every

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reason to be believed. Good job tonight. On his way to give the

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State of the Union address last night, President Obama

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congratulated his Defence Secretary on a secret rescue mission in

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Somalia. A mission that indeed these two aid workers' nightmare.

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American Jessica Buchanan and Poul Hagen Thisted from Denmark, freed

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by US Navy SEALS after three months held by Somali kidnappers. They

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were seized last October while working for a Danish Mind -- mine

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clear ring it company. They were being held in a compound in

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northern Somalia. US Navy SEALS from Unit 6, the same that killed

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Osama Bin Laden, parachuted in the area, landing close to the compound

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at 2am. Gunfire broke out and in the fighting that followed, all

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nine kidnappers were killed. There were no US casualties. The hostages

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were then flown by helicopter to the safety of a US base in Djibouti.

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The entire operation lasted an hour. When it was over, the President ran

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Jessica Buchanan's father. He had taken a big risk. The president

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authorised this personally. I cannot go into more detail. They

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concluded they should go and the President gave the go. This was the

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highest profile US military operation in Somalia since US

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forces pulled out in 1994 but that still leaves over 150 hostages,

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mostly sailors, held by Somali pirates and bandits and the ransoms

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for their release are rising, running well into the millions. One

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of those still being held is a British tourist, snatched from this

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Kenyan beach resort last September and taken to Somalia. It is partly

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what has prompted David Cameron to call an international conference on

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Somalia next month. Tonight two X hostages' ordeal is over. But

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Somalia's problems will be up needing profound and lasting

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solutions. It has been described as the most

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important decision Scotland will have to make in 300 years. First

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Minister, Alex Salmond, has set out his proposals for a referendum on

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independence from the rest of the UK. The plan will now go out for

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consultation. This report contains a flash photography.

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It is a day which Alex Salmond believes is historic. He once got

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into the Independent and today his government invited the people to

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have their say -- he wants Scotland to be independent. It is not just

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about the wealth and strength of the Scottish economy, we want to

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see a society which has compassion at its heart. A Scotland's First

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Minister would like the referendum to start with one key question.

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That is, do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?

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Much else is open to discussion. Should there be an additional

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question about further devolution, devolution max? Would a Saturday

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boost turnout for the ballot? Who should get to vote? Should 16 and

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17-year-olds et sa? These pupils in Fife would be affected by which way

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the decision goes. At the age of 16, we are able to go and get married,

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and raise a family, so why shouldn't we be able to vote?

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are not informed enough. A lot of people I know have no idea what is

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going on with politics. Scotland's first minister says it is the

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people who live and work in Scotland who are best placed to

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decide its future. That has left some, including James Wallace,

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recently graduated and heading to London, I'm happy. It is wrong that

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people like me, who has spent my entire life in Scotland, suddenly

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through my work commitments have to move to London and all of a sudden

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I am excluded from being able to vote in the referendum. Two weeks

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ago, Westminster launched its own consultation on the referendum so

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what hope that two governments can reach agreement? We want to sit

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down with as good as government and see if we can come forward with the

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way that will make sure we have a legal and decisive referendum.

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what happens in Scotland could affect the rest of the UK.

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Scotland's future is a matter for Scotland but the constitutional

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debate is a matter for everybody who has an interest in what happens

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to the UK. The details of this announcement will be analysed.

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Voters will now have three months to consider what Alex Salmond has

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said today and to reflect on what is in here but only after people

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have expressed their views will negotiations between the two

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governments really begin. But this consultation brings the

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referendum itself one step closer. The detailed arguments over the

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Our top story tonight: the UK economy went into reverse at the

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end of last year, as output fell by 0.2%. Coming up: Harry Redknapp and

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the taped conversations about his alleged tax evasion.

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Later on the BBC News Channel, cutting subsidies for solar panels

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was unlawful. The Government loses its High Court appeal.

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And mortgage lending hits its David Cameron has set out the

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fundamental changes he wants to see to the European Court of Human

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Rights. He told the Council of Europe in Strasbourg that the

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court's reputation had been undermined by hearing trivial cases,

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and it should interfere less in decisions made by national courts.

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Our deputy political editor, James Landale, is in Strasbourg and

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listened to the Prime Minster's speech. In the wake of the Second

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World War, European nations came together to establish a new

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convention on human rights. Drafted in part by British politicians and

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lawyers, its aim was to give back to the people of Europe the

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freedoms they had lost in years of conflict. But today the European

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Court of Human Rights, the court has upholds that convention, stands

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accused by critics of straying from its original purpose. Critics like

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the Prime Minister, who came to Strasbourg to say it is time for

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reform. The court should be free to deal with the most serious

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violations of human rights. It should not be swamped with an

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endless backlog of cases. It should ensure that the right to individual

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petition counts, but not act as a small claims court. The court

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should hold us all to account. It should not undermine its own

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reputation by going over decisions where it doesn't need to.

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European Court's decision last week to prevent Britain deporting the

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radical Muslim cleric Abu Qatada for fear he would not get a fair

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trial in Jordan, despite the British courts rueming otherwise.

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Mr Cameron says he wants decisions by national courts respected more

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often unless there are exceptional circumstances. He wants the get rid

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of the backlog of more than 150 ,000 cases so the court can focus

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on serious not trivial issues. He wants better judges appointed. But

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last year the court ruled that three of Britain's most dangerous

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murderers couldn't review their life sentences, prompting

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supporters of the court to say it was getting the balance right, and

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warned that reform carried risk. Some of the proposals from member

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states such as the UK seriously threaten the rights of individuals

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all across Europe to seek justice for human rights violations. David

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Cameron's come to Strasbourg because he and many of his MPs

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believe that the judges who sit this these chairs here are

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interfering too much in British national life. But his reforms even

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if they are agreed will take years to implement and for some he is not

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going far enough. In the coming months the European Court will rule

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once again on whether prisonerers should get the vote. If it insists

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they should, many Conservatives MPs will say it is not triumph for

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withdrawal but -- not time to reform but withdraw from the court

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entirely. Harry Redknapp, one of Britain's

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most successful and popular figures in football, has been in court for

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a third day facing charges of tax evasion. The case revolves around a

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bank account held by the Tottenham manager in Monaco. The court heard

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taped conversations with a News of the World journalist in which Mr

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Redknapp angrily denied the allegations against him. This

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Harry Redknapp arriving at Court supported once again by his son,

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Jamie, who has been here every day of the trial. The jury heard how

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Redknapp had been paid �1 million when while manager of Portsmouth

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his team had been promoted to the Premier League that. Information

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came from the club's former chairman, Milan Mandaric, in a

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telephone recording made by the News of the World which was played

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to the court. Max Beesley was the reporter who made the call after

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being tipped off about the Monaco bank account. He admitted paying

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his informant �8,000. Max Beesley recorded a call with Harry Redknapp

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The prosecution also asked the juer Troy consider a series of questions.

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One of them: did Harry Redknapp and Milan Mandaric really think that

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payments from a chairman of a Football Club to a senior employee

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should not incur income tax? Another: was it credible that it

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never occurred to Mr Redknapp to mention the existence of the Monaco

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account to his own accountant? Harry Redknapp and Milan Mandaric

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both deny sect up the foreign bank account to avoid paying taxes.

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Tomorrow's session will begin with a video link to Monaco, where the

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account was based. The BBC has been told to scale back

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planned cuts to its regional services. The chairman of the BBC

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Trust, Lord Patten, said the changes to local radio stations and

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TV current affairs programmes would damage unique services. It means

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the Corporation will have to find �10 million worth of savings

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elsewhere. England's cricketers will feel they

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have the edge following the first day of play at the second Test

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against Pakistan. They took seven wickets, with Stuart Broad and

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Graham Swann taking three apiece. From Abu Dhabi, here's Joe Wilson.

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In cricket terms Abu Dhabi's stadium is located slap-bang in the

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middle of nowhere, outside desert. Inside deserted? Not quite. The

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crowd grew to a few thousand as England rethought their approach.

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Spin bowling in the morning. Swann struck first. Off off accommodating.

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Panesar returning triumphly to the team. Forget TV technology and

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disputed decisions. If you knock over the stumps it is out. Younis

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Khan dismissed by Broad. Azhar Ali followed emphaticly. Pakistan were

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103-4. England in the grief. Pakistan's Captain Misbah-ul-Haq is

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often regarded as a boring batsman. Panesar may have disagreed. The

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bowler's patience stretched further when Misbah was stretched to 30.

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Shafiq lbw for 58. Then Broad was lbw. Fortunes had turned. That's

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the beauty of the game. Misbah was defiant, choosing the final to

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bounce Panesar back over the boundary. Message clear. The

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Captain is still there. Test match cricket is at its best when it is

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evenly poised. That's certainly the case here. Those who came will

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surely think it was worth watching, especially was it was free to get

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From flaming beacons to a flotilla of barges along the Thames - just

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some of the plans to mark the Queen's Diamond Jubilee. Today, the

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search began for a special menu to serve at the big occasion, with

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schoolchildren being asked to come up with a dish fit for a Queen. The

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event was launched by the Duchess of Cornwall, who had some advice of

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her own, as Jon Kay reports. Please be seated. She's used to the very

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finest cuisine, but the menu at Buckingham Palace is about to get

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some updating. In June, the royal kitchens will be serving up food

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created by British schoolchildren. So, aprons on, pans at the right-

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hand. What would these youngsters in Bristol cook for the Queen?

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Chocolate cake with strawberries on top. Ice cream and jelly. Chicken

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tikka masala. Everyone likes it. Victoria sponge because of Queen

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victoria. I might call it an Elizabeth sponge. This was the idea

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of the Duchess of Cornwall, who today became the most unlikely

0:24:360:24:39

dinner lady at a Swindon comprehensive school. She wanted to

0:24:390:24:44

give mer mother-in-law an unusual present for her Diamond Jubilee and

0:24:440:24:49

thought a kids' cookery competition would get things rolling. It is a

0:24:490:24:53

light touch isn't it What would you cook for the Queen herself? What

0:24:530:24:57

would I cook for the Queen? Something very simple I think. I

0:24:570:25:01

don't dare go on about my roast chicken but that's the safest thing

0:25:010:25:07

I can cook. What do you think she would like to eat? She likes very

0:25:070:25:11

plain. Nothing too complicated. Children entering the competition

0:25:110:25:15

are encouraged to use local ingredients, so that pasty made by

0:25:150:25:20

kids here contains Wiltshire meat and vegetables. They are encouraged

0:25:200:25:25

to give old dish as new twist. So here we've got Coronation chicken,

0:25:250:25:29

a royal favourite, but inside a Sam oes Sam. Thinking about pudding.

0:25:290:25:33

How about this? This is Queen of puddings appropriately enough, but

0:25:330:25:41

here inside a tart. When did you start to cook? The winning entries

0:25:410:25:45

will be turned into canapes in the royal kitchens and the young chefs

0:25:450:25:51

who create them will get the serve the dishes to the Queen.

0:25:510:25:59

More now on our main story. The argument about where the UK economy

0:25:590:26:04

is heading. Jeffny Flanders joins me. It's a question everyone wants

0:26:040:26:07

answering - is there a possibility of a double-dip recession? Hate to

0:26:070:26:11

be a possibility on the basis of these numbers, buts the question

0:26:110:26:14

that no-one can answer. You can find people in the City who will

0:26:140:26:18

tell you this is likely to be short-lived. We've seen positive

0:26:180:26:21

signs today from UK manufacturing in the last few weeks. Good news

0:26:210:26:25

from the US economy. Even Germany, but there is plenty of others who

0:26:260:26:30

think we are now heading deeply into negative territory for a while.

0:26:300:26:35

What's most striking to me is that the average forecast for the UK

0:26:360:26:41

this year is 0.4%. When George Osborne became Chancellor, when he

0:26:410:26:48

wrote his Budget plans, we thought the economy would grow by 2.6% last

0:26:480:26:52

year, 278% this year. I think the crucial thing is just like the

0:26:520:26:57

financial crisis before it, this is turning out to be a recovery unlike

0:26:570:27:07
0:27:070:27:08

Fluctuating numbers of my own, because it's been much milder today.

0:27:080:27:12

Temperatures have been higher but tonight they will drop once more.

0:27:120:27:16

It will turn colder after we've all seen a spell of wet weather. It's

0:27:160:27:19

been raining for much of the afternoon in Northern Ireland and

0:27:190:27:23

western Scotland. A big line of rain heading all the way to the

0:27:230:27:27

south of Ireland that. Line of rain is a weather front, which will

0:27:270:27:31

spread across all areas overnight. We'll all have a few hours of rain.

0:27:320:27:37

Because it is a cold front it will then drop temperatures sharply.

0:27:370:27:40

Under the clear skies we will see frost forming in northern Britain.

0:27:400:27:45

As the rain clears it could turn icy for the morning rush hour

0:27:450:27:48

across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. It's a wet

0:27:480:27:51

rush hour in eastern counties of England but the rain here will

0:27:510:27:56

drift away and then we are all in the mixture of sunshine and showers.

0:27:570:28:02

The showers tomorrow will have a wintry shower. Sleet and hail mixed

0:28:020:28:07

in. For some there would be snow over the hills of Scotland. Even at

0:28:070:28:11

lower levels there could be snow flurries in the central belt, and

0:28:110:28:16

in Northern Ireland and northern England. Even at lower level there

0:28:160:28:20

is could be hail and sleet for a time. Further south, not many

0:28:200:28:25

showers by the afternoon. A better chance of sunshine. Maybe showers

0:28:250:28:31

over the moors. Temperatures lower than today's. It will feel chilly

0:28:310:28:36

tomorrow night. Temperatures dropping away. Showers in north-

0:28:360:28:40

western areas. Snow likely over the hills. The risk of ice on Friday

0:28:400:28:44

morning. Friday is again a day of sunshine and showers, with the

0:28:440:28:48

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