17/06/2014 BBC Wales Today


17/06/2014

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following a breakthrough in relations. -- in Iran.

:00:00.:00:00.

We're all living longer and putting extra pressure on the NHS.

:00:00.:00:09.

A new report says it faces a financial black hole.

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The health service in Wales needs to find ways of improving its

:00:19.:00:24.

productivity and most crucially to tackle the burden of chronic disease

:00:25.:00:25.

in Wales. The family of Amir Siddiqi say they

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can now begin to mourn him after the two hit men who killed him

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lose their appeals. I don't think we'll ever get over

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what happened. My brother was taken from us. There is no rhyme or reason

:00:54.:01:00.

to what happened. It is going to take us a long time to accept that.

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Making the grade at this school but a report says Welsh pupils

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continue to lag behind the rest of the UK in English lessons.

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Concerns are raised over the proposals for

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And after a decline in the number of Welsh speakers in

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its heartlands, around ?1.6 million to encourage more of us to use it.

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The NHS in Wales could find itself facing a financial "black hole"

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of at least ?2.5 billion by the middle of the next decade.

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That's the conclusion of a new study by the influential Nuffield Trust.

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They've warned the Welsh Government, which commissioned the report,

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that they'll have to a make tough decisions.

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Our health correspondent Owain Clarke has the details.

:01:44.:01:51.

Keeping fit and well, these pensioners don't miss a bit piqued

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when it comes to living healthily. Every individual should keep

:01:58.:02:03.

themselves fit. In my case, I have got type two diabetes and I find

:02:04.:02:07.

exercise makes a huge difference to my blood sugars. We all have to take

:02:08.:02:14.

responsibility for our hearts and our activities. As a result, many of

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us are living longer and that comes at a price. Health costs are set to

:02:23.:02:27.

increase by more than 3% a year. What you need is a mature debate

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with the electorate about whether they want a comprehensive health

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service free at source where everyone is equivalent and that

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costs money. We need more resources to run a comp retentive health

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system. While the costs have been increasing dramatically the amount

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of money it gets has fallen behind meaning the NHS has fallen deeper

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into a black hole. Even if those cats are reversed, today's report

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warns that by 2025 if spending grows in line with inflation the NHS could

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find itself facing a funding void of ?2.5 billion. If spending does not

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rise at all the black hole could be even deeper. But before then even if

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the Welsh NHS succeeds in cutting costs and finding all the savings it

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has promised to do, they will be a gap of over ?200 million by the end

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of it -- next year. There's no getting away from the fact that if

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we want to maintain the quality and range of services we got in Wales

:03:33.:03:36.

and across the UK we are going to have to pay some more for it. Not

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the increases we saw in the last decade and more than we. The report

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got the politicians talking this afternoon. If the NHS shares in the

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protected real-time -- real terms growth in the economy and makes the

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productivity gains which Nuffield identified as achievable, the NHS

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remains affordable. No matter how much glossy try and paint, this

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report makes for eye watering reading and shows clearly the

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chickens are coming home to roost in terms of the lack of priority you

:04:16.:04:18.

have given to the NHS in recent years. But the NHS argues it is

:04:19.:04:24.

already trying hard to save millions. There are more than

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400,000 patient records in this storage unit in Newport. They will

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soon disappear when the health board digitises the information. The main

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benefit is in patient safety. Whenever a patient goes for care,

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their record will be complete in terms of alleviating the pressure on

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the infrastructure of looking after these notes. It will save us ?1

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million a year. The Welsh Government argues that doing the little things

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can eventually save a lot but with the pressure facing NHS

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intensifying, filling a financial void with millions could be ever

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more difficult. To what extent is this a Welsh

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problem, Owain? What for example's

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happening over the border? This mirrors one study two years ago

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which estimated the NHS in England could face a ?30 billion black hole

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by 2021. I am told the figure of 2.5 billion we are talking about in

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Wales is in that ballpark. This clearly isn't just a large problem

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but Health Minister stood up in the assembly today and said he will be

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having discussions this summer with the finance minister, looking at NHS

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finances. They redesign the health service to move more people away

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from expensive hospitals and into the community. But what is really

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interesting is the opposition say that won't put the NHS on a firm

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financial footing but what is interesting is the Welsh Government

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's response depends on what happens in Westminster. If the UK economy

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goes and the government in Westminster uses that money to

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invest in public services, many would flow to Wales and the gap

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would be filled up. If the government in Westminster says belts

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have to remain tight, that would be a big headache here in tackling the

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gap in NHS finances. The family of teenager,

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Aamir Saddiqi, stabbed by mistake by two hitmen, say they no longer

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have to fear bumping Jason Richards and Ben Hope today

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lost appeals against their sentences and will stay behind

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bars for a minimum of 40 years. The four years life has been on hold

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for this family. Grief has been on hold, waiting for their son's

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killers to be tried and then appeal against those convictions. The

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youngest of their four children, Aamir Siddiqi, was killed on their

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doorstep in Cardiff when he was 17. Killed by two hit men who had gone

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to the wrong address. His parents were also hurt trying to protect

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him. The severity of what happened has left us with emotional scars,

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psychological scars. Mentally, physically, there are so many

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elements to this. There is going to be some long-lasting effects. We no

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longer feel safe in our family home. Walking down the street is a tough

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experience. 39-year-old Jason Richards today had his appeal

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against his conviction thrown out. 40-year-old Ben Hope's appeal

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against the length of his conviction was also dismissed. The Court of

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Appeal said it was an appealing -- appalling series of crimes. I feel

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sad that they took away something so valuable and they don't know what

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the value of that was. I wish they understood what they did. Only then

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will they understand the enormity of what they have done. I don't feel

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anything towards them. His sister says it is the positive memories

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which will now help them adjust to life without him.

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That's according to the author of a report published today

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on the standards of English lessons in Welsh schools.

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The schools watchdog Estyn says despite the majority of pupils aged

:08:51.:08:52.

seven to 14 achieving good standards in English, pupils in Wales continue

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Here's our political reporter, James Williams.

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Learning about their past by using their language skills. English

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lessons are aware this school excels. However they managed it?

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Number one is a robust system of assessment for learning. We don't

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have it just as something that teachers do. It runs across our

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practice with the pupils. Good standards in this lessons for seven

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to 14-year-olds are to be found across many primary schools and the

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majority of secondary schools. That is the findings of a report

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published today by Estyn but it says concerns remain about the standards

:09:52.:09:55.

of writing especially when it comes to inaccuracies in spelling,

:09:56.:10:00.

punctuation and grammar. Pro-quality marking is still an issue as is the

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fact that pupils from deprived backgrounds don't achieve as well as

:10:05.:10:09.

their peers. The report found that is -- despite improvements since

:10:10.:10:16.

2008 Welsh pupils continue to lag behind their counterparts in

:10:17.:10:17.

Scotland, Northern Ireland and Inman. It's a gap that is also

:10:18.:10:23.

apparent in the international tests with Wales trailed the rest of the

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UK. Those results are reflected of 15-year-olds and we are talking

:10:34.:10:38.

about seven to 14-year-olds. The foundation for any English skill is

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at an early age. Wales is not doing well enough. It is showing that

:10:42.:10:52.

Carolyn Jones and Welsh Labour are letting teachers, pupils and parents

:10:53.:11:04.

down across Wales. Education Minister Hugh Lewis welcomed the

:11:05.:11:08.

positive aspects of the report but recognises that improvements need to

:11:09.:11:09.

be make -- made. A man has been found guilty

:11:10.:11:17.

of murdering an amateur boxer from Wrexham by stabbing him

:11:18.:11:20.

more than 50 times in a pub toilet. Craig Maddocks was killed

:11:21.:11:23.

in the Cambrian Vaults pub last June The two men had gone

:11:24.:11:25.

into the toilet cubicle to take Prevete had been to

:11:26.:11:29.

his father's funeral that day. The judge in the trial

:11:30.:11:39.

of a mine manager accused of causing the deaths of four men at the

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Gleision mine in the Swansea Valley The men drowned when

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the mine flooded three years ago. Mr Justice Wyn Williams told

:11:47.:11:50.

the jury they should first reach a conclusion about the

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"crucial" aspect of the case - whether Malcolm Fyfield inspected

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the area of the mine the men were Mr Fyfield and the pit operators,

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MNS Mining, A crash between a car,

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a van and a tanker has closed a 21 It happened earlier this afternoon

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on the A44 between Llangurig Dyfed Powys Police say

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the road will remain shut for some Two air ambulances and five

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ambulances were sent to the scene. There has been no official

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confirmation of any casualties. How do you prevent traffic jams on

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the M4? It's a question that politicians have been asking for

:12:37.:12:41.

more than 20 years. The chair of the assembly 's environment committee

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has reigned -- raised his concerns about proposals, a new relief road

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about Newport. Alun Ffred Jones has written to the economy minister

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questioning why an alternative to new road has not been put forward.

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A site that commuters, businesses and governments dread. Traffic

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congestion on the M4 around Newport and how to solve it certainly isn't

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a new topic. This is a public consultation document from the Welsh

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is dated July 1993. Its title, M4 relief road. More recently the

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current government of Wales asked an engineering firm to assess the

:13:28.:13:31.

options and its recommendation was to build a relief road. The

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government then put three different new options up for public

:13:38.:13:42.

consultation. The black route is the main proposal. The red and blue ones

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were put forward as reasonable alternatives. In a letter to the

:13:48.:13:55.

economy and transport Minister, the chair of the environment committee

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says he is concerned the process of choosing the three routes may not

:13:59.:14:04.

have been handled properly. He says there are questions over whether the

:14:05.:14:08.

options are too similar. The European regulations demand that if

:14:09.:14:12.

you are proposing any major infrastructure project then you have

:14:13.:14:16.

to prove it is absolutely necessary. In this case, we're not

:14:17.:14:25.

convinced that the government has considered all the other possible

:14:26.:14:29.

options. And business opinion on the matter is split. South Wales needs a

:14:30.:14:41.

new motorway to avoid the pinch point of the tunnels. The blockages

:14:42.:14:46.

we see there are having an impact on investment into South Wales. With

:14:47.:14:52.

the many the government has got available, we have to consider all

:14:53.:15:01.

the options. The government says the Minister will respond to the letter

:15:02.:15:06.

's questions in due course. BBC Wales understands that pressure

:15:07.:15:09.

groups have been told by Edwina Hart the upgrade option is being

:15:10.:15:12.

considered despite it not being in the formal consultation. A decision

:15:13.:15:17.

is likely this is a but a legal challenge could well follow.

:15:18.:15:23.

How the fire service is helping young prisoners get back on track.

:15:24.:15:28.

And high pressure is still in charge but with subtle differences

:15:29.:15:30.

A detailed forecast later in the programme.

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"It's a critical time for the Welsh language.?

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The words of the First Minister today as he announced that ?1.6

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million would be spent to encourage its use.

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The move comes after figures showed the number

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The number in Gwaun Cae Gurwen near Ammanford went down 12%

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Children are our future and these at the nursery in Gwaun Cae Gurwen

:15:54.:16:07.

will be living it in both Welsh and English.

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But even here in its heartlands, the language is struggling.

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So what do people here think should be done to help?

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It is an obligation on the government to make sure we give the

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children with the best they can and if having two languages or more is

:16:27.:16:30.

the best we can give them then certainly that is our duty. When I

:16:31.:16:39.

was younger I was speaking Welsh but I have lost it a lot. That is why my

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senders in a Welsh school. Down the road

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from here is Carmarthenshire, It saw the greatest decrease

:16:50.:16:50.

in percentage terms in the number of Welsh speakers across Wales

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from 50.3 in 2001 to 43.9 in 2011. That's the biggest fall

:16:55.:16:57.

of any county in Wales and one of the problems the First Minister

:16:58.:17:03.

says he wants to tackle We're going to put more money into

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the organisations which support the language in communities. Money into

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developing better is this useful wheel -- Welsh. We are also looking

:17:22.:17:27.

at well -- ways to prove the way the planning system can support the

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language. The money will be spent

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on a number of projects including - encouraging businesses to use

:17:36.:17:38.

Welsh, changing the way Welsh is taught in English-medium schools

:17:39.:17:41.

and encouraging people to use Camped on the Assembly's doorstep

:17:42.:17:43.

ahead of the announcement, members of Cymdeithas Yr Iaith

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Gymraeg were not impressed. People in Wales want to see the

:17:47.:17:54.

language grow. We want to be able to live in Welsh. The will of the

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people in Wales to see the language grow is clear. What's missing is the

:17:59.:18:01.

political will from Carwyn Jones. It?s always difficult piecing

:18:02.:18:06.

together a language policy that'll make a difference on the ground,

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but it'll be many years before we know whether any of these

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plans have been successful. The Welsh Government has

:18:12.:18:14.

suspended its funding to a charity that supports black and ethnic

:18:15.:18:16.

minority communities in Swansea. Police are investigating

:18:17.:18:18.

the Minority Ethnic Women's Network which has received just under

:18:19.:18:20.

?500,000 worth of public money. The Government says there is no

:18:21.:18:23.

evidence that any public funding An inquest jury inquiring into the

:18:24.:18:25.

death of a man in police custody eleven years ago has been told it

:18:26.:18:39.

must focus on the actions of the two 32-year-old Hywel Hughes from Bangor

:18:40.:18:43.

was taken into custody after being In 2005

:18:44.:18:47.

the two officers were charged with misconduct but their case never went

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to trial for legal reasons. From the inquest in Caernarfon,

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Roger Pinney reports. An 11 year wait to discover how and

:18:54.:19:01.

why her brother died. Carrying a photograph of him, Hywel Hughes'

:19:02.:19:09.

sister arriving in court. He died in May 2003. The cause of death was

:19:10.:19:14.

traumatic asphyxia. It happened after he was held down by nightclub

:19:15.:19:19.

bouncers and then handcuffed and listed into a police car. Opening

:19:20.:19:24.

the inquest, the assistant coroner told the jury they must focus on

:19:25.:19:27.

activities with the two police officers. She said they must decide

:19:28.:19:33.

whether it would have made any difference whether they had acted

:19:34.:19:36.

differently. The police were called to the nightclub in Bangalore after

:19:37.:19:40.

a disturbance inside. The inquest was told how old hills had assaulted

:19:41.:19:49.

staff members. He was rejected struggling and pinned to the ground.

:19:50.:19:58.

Those security men were later cleared by a jury of manslaughter.

:19:59.:20:09.

But the police officers were charged with misconduct. For legal reasons

:20:10.:20:14.

they case did not go to full trial. The inquest heard the officers took

:20:15.:20:18.

Hywel Hughes to custody in Caernarfon and varied was found his

:20:19.:20:24.

heart had stopped beating. Another officer was unable to assemble it --

:20:25.:20:30.

assemble and oxygen bag and all attempts at resuscitation failed.

:20:31.:20:34.

This inquest is expected to last two weeks.

:20:35.:20:41.

Two people of been arrested as part of an investigation into the death

:20:42.:20:45.

of an elderly woman. Ted Gwen Roderick was found with serious and

:20:46.:20:50.

unexplained injuries at the hospital in Mountain Ash three weeks ago. She

:20:51.:20:54.

was transferred to another hospital where she died.

:20:55.:20:57.

On last night's programme, we took a rare look at life inside

:20:58.:21:00.

It's home to 22 young people who've committed a crime or thought to be

:21:01.:21:04.

They need specialist help and rehabilitation

:21:05.:21:07.

and education is a key part of life at Hillside Secure Children's Home.

:21:08.:21:10.

In the second of our special reports, we've been finding out

:21:11.:21:13.

about a project that's teaching the young people there about giving

:21:14.:21:15.

Today is no ordinary day at Hillside Secure Children's Home. These young

:21:16.:21:34.

people have spent the week learning about fire safety. Today they put

:21:35.:21:39.

their skills to the test. This 16-year-old was sent here to prison

:21:40.:21:45.

for theft. We cannot blame him for legal reasons but this is one

:21:46.:21:48.

element of his revalidation. It's called the Phoenix project and it's

:21:49.:21:53.

about teaching him and others here about doing something positive. I

:21:54.:22:05.

feel proud because I have done something and I might be able to

:22:06.:22:09.

help save people 's lives. A few hundred yards away a reminder of

:22:10.:22:13.

where we are. Locked doors, CCTV, personal staff alarms, all part of

:22:14.:22:18.

life in this secure unit. A secure unit for children. Some have

:22:19.:22:23.

committed robbery, sexual offences, even murder. Others are here for

:22:24.:22:29.

their own welfare like David. He has not been through the courts but he

:22:30.:22:34.

was headed that way. He was referred here and after several months he is

:22:35.:22:38.

now headed in the right direction. It was a good buzz. It felt really

:22:39.:22:47.

good. Is that tried something you have felt before? No, not like that.

:22:48.:22:55.

It was pretty good. Pride for David 's mother as well who remembers the

:22:56.:23:00.

first time she visited him here. When I walked into the room and saw

:23:01.:23:04.

him, I could see my son compares to what was before at home. It was nice

:23:05.:23:14.

to have the old David back. To see him work like that, all the kids

:23:15.:23:17.

have done amazing, I am really proud. And he was very proud as

:23:18.:23:27.

well. Children here were also involved in making a DVD about the

:23:28.:23:31.

dangers of fire and the importance of road safety. A little girl and a

:23:32.:23:41.

mother was passing by. This 17-year-old wrote those lyrics. He

:23:42.:23:46.

was detained here for four months and released in February. This is

:23:47.:23:59.

his first time back. I tried to put myself in the position of people who

:24:00.:24:02.

are still here and I felt sorry for them. I am glad I don't have to be

:24:03.:24:10.

here and be locked up. His work will be seen by schoolchildren across

:24:11.:24:15.

Wales. He says making the DVD changed his outlook on life. I

:24:16.:24:21.

realise you should not drink and drive or take drugs because it has a

:24:22.:24:25.

big effect on people 's lives. The five service says the success of

:24:26.:24:30.

this project relies on the way they contact with the young people. --

:24:31.:24:37.

connect. We get the respect back and we aim to be role models for these

:24:38.:24:40.

young people. Hundreds of young people have been part of the

:24:41.:24:47.

project. Hundreds of lives which may have changed for good.

:24:48.:24:53.

Glamorgan are five wickets away from victory at home to Kent. A century

:24:54.:25:01.

helped Glamorgan reach 527 in the first innings.

:25:02.:25:08.

Well, plenty of glorious sunshine across the country today.

:25:09.:25:10.

It's been feeling very warm today, Derek.

:25:11.:25:14.

Dan Godrey recorded 32C in Penarth this afternoon

:25:15.:25:17.

Plenty more dry weather to come this week and over the weekend.

:25:18.:25:22.

Just the odd shower in places but no more than that.

:25:23.:25:25.

Mind you, there will be subtle differences from day to day such

:25:26.:25:28.

Porthmadog reached 24C today but on Thursday,

:25:29.:25:32.

This evening, dry with sunshine and a few clouds.

:25:33.:25:37.

Overnight, cloud will tend to increase.

:25:38.:25:40.

The odd shower possible but otherwise a dry night for most

:25:41.:25:43.

Tomorrow's chart shows high pressure over the Atlantic.

:25:44.:25:52.

Weak fronts will move through the high, bringing cloud,

:25:53.:25:54.

The odd shower in places but otherwise dry.

:25:55.:26:01.

And there will be breaks in the cloud so some places bright

:26:02.:26:04.

Perhaps some mist over the Irish Sea.

:26:05.:26:07.

So more dry weather and sunshine tomorrow.

:26:08.:26:09.

Some cloud as well and it may not stay dry everywhere.

:26:10.:26:12.

A few showers will break out in the afternoon.

:26:13.:26:15.

The odd heavy one in the south west, perhaps with thunder.

:26:16.:26:18.

Some coasts a little cooler and sea mist may roll onto parts

:26:19.:26:26.

In Carmarthenshire tomorrow, sunny spells and warm.

:26:27.:26:31.

A shower in places in the afternoon which could be heavy.

:26:32.:26:34.

In Denbighshire tomorrow, most of the county dry and brightening-up.

:26:35.:26:36.

Tomorrow evening any showers will die away leaving a dry night.

:26:37.:26:41.

Some clear spells but also some low cloud, mist and a few fog patches.

:26:42.:26:46.

On Thursday, a grey, misty start in places but generally

:26:47.:26:49.

Cooler for many but still warm in the south and south east.

:26:50.:26:55.

Friday and the weekend, little change.

:26:56.:26:59.

Cooler in the north and west, especially on the coast with

:27:00.:27:07.

The main news. There has been a diplomatic rake through in relations

:27:08.:27:20.

between Britain and Iran. The Foreign Secretary has announced that

:27:21.:27:25.

the British embassy in Teheran will reopen.

:27:26.:27:36.

For now from all of us on the programme, have a good evening.

:27:37.:27:39.

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