04/05/2016 BBC Wales Today

Tonight's headlines: Just hours of campaigning left for those

looking to win seats at the Assembly the parties make

After thousands of doorstop conversations and countless debates

come it will be up to as to decide who we want to run the next Welsh

Government. Disabled people should not be

disadvantaged when it comes to casting votes.

Campaigner Melanie Davies looks into claims that some disabled

people are being treated like second class citizens

Also tonight: Ryan Morse died of Addison's disease.

Two GPs go on trial accused of manslaughter.

The antlers discovered on a Ceredigion beach that

And dropping in on a neighbour as Clarach the osprey comes home.

A milestone in attempts to bring back one of Wales'

I'm at the Glaslyn Osprey Project in Snowdonia.

Here they're celebrating an unexpected visitor.

The waiting is almost over, there are just a few hours

of campaigning left ahead of Wales' going to the polls for the fifth

All the main party leaders have spent much of the day

The day also saw a first visit to Wales during the campaign

With more here's our political correspondent Daniel Davies.

After 17 years in office, Labour hopes it will not be downsized by

the voters. Divisions over anti-Semitism in the party won't

help. Jeremy Corbyn was in Wales to campaign for the Ogmore

Parliamentary by-election today. Everyone is an election asset.

Everyone with ideas, imagination is an electoral asset. All our members

is an offset, we all are because we are the people. Polls put Labour in

the lead in the Assembly election bid it is braced for losses because

support has slumped. It hasn't moved very much. We know the polls were

wrong last year. From our perspective we will be working hard

to maximise ourselves from now until ten o'clock tomorrow. There have

been conservative divisions to over the EU. Welsh Tory leader Andrew RT

Davies has been visiting target seats to try to talk about his

policies. Like bringing back prescription charges for the bill

any more than ?43,000 a year. We believe you have to invest in the

key services by cancer services and stroke unit and it can't be right

that a millionaire can get paracetamol on this -- prescription

is accounted patients can't get the treatment they want. Mart on to

government. Plaid Cymru hope so. Leanne Wood has led Plaid Cymru for

four years. She will need to make gains to have something to show for

a time in charge. Our manifesto is packed full of ideas that will

transform our nation if we are given an opportunity to put them into

practice and I would ask everybody out there, if they have not done it

before, go out tomorrow and back Plaid Cymru. Nigel Farage in south

Wales yesterday. He has done his maths. He thinks Ukip can win at

least five Assembly seats sending AMs to Cardiff Bay for the first

time. There has been a card of bacon sensors for the entire time the

Welsh Assembly. It is time for a new party to go there and shake things

up. Feeling good today but what shape

will the Liberal Democrats BN after this election? They are battling to

save seats including the mid Wales seat of leader Kirsty Williams.

After 17 years of devolution and the promise that a government in Cardiff

would understand the needs of the Welsh communities better than London

ever could, especially the needs of our rural communities, we know that

has not come to pass. They might have to be friendly to each other

after the polls close. No one is expected to win outright control of

the Assembly so it is likely that whoever wants to run Wales will need

to deal with their opponents. And if you'd like to see a full list

of candidates standing for the Ogmore by-election you can

go to the election 2016 section Our political editor Nick Servini

is in Cardiff Bay tonight. The last in the polls to be

published. This is the last YouGov poll and it follows a trend that has

done for a while, it was Labour's share of the constituency vote at

33%. That is the lowest it has bends is 2010. It was then sitting above

what many would consider a tipping point, the area where they could

lose significant numbers of seats. As things stand, the authors of this

report says could be Labour having 27 seats, that is just three below

where they are now. The other trend is Plaid Cymru and the Tories are in

a neck and neck battle for second place with neither party really

pulling ahead. Strong support for Ukip and also some degree of

resurgence in a for the Liberal Democrats indicating they will

retain them in Basque political presence was the award of caution as

we always do in this because of the entered the bass then click the

ability. -- unpredictability. The last few hours of campaigning

now. How do you gauge where things stand?

It has been a strange campaign. Someone described it, the parties

had to deal with a cocktail of distractions. The EU referendum has

cast a long shadow. I was expecting to play more than rolling the

political attacks during the set piece debates, that hasn't happened.

But clearly, it has been a huge issue on the doorstep and all the

parties of ad content with that. Through into the mix the steel

crisis and as a result result part of the story has been about fears of

a low turnout. We will have to see what happens tomorrow in terms of

turnout, the weather will help. The political parties themselves have a

responsibility to come out with policies that engage and infuse

people. We will find out tomorrow whether they have done that.

Where could this election be won and lost? Our political correspondence

Arwyn Jones has been looking at the key battle grounds.

Hello and welcome back to our virtual reality

studio here in the Senedd in Cardiff Bay.

I want to talk to you now about how many seats are

How different might this political map

of Wales lock after the Assembly elections.

I'll show you now the list of seats which are most marginal,

the smallest majorities they have.

Top of the list you will see Cardiff Central, Llanelli and

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire.

Currently held by Labour but only 38 votes ahead of the

Liberal Democrats in second place after the last election.

Then you come to Llanelli, again held by Labour.

Plaid Cymru, the main challenger here.

Certainly hoping to take that seat away from this year.

Then we come further west again, Carmarthen West

and South Pembrokeshire. Currently held by the Conservatives.

What is interesting here is Plaid Cymru are also in the mix

That is a three way key marginal seat.

Always interesting on the night there.

Elsewhere, places the Conservatives might well be

They certainly will be looking at Cardiff North,

They already hold that seat at a Parliamentary level in

They will be hopeful of somewhere like

A big scalp for them on the night because that is the seat

of the leader of the Lib Dems in Wales, Kirsty Williams.

The Conservatives will be hopeful in parts of north-east Wales,

In the last general election, the UK election, they took the

Vale of Clwyd so they will be hopeful there as well.

Also places like Delyn and Wrexham, they might well

Those are the seas that may well change hands.

I haven't mentioned one party which is Ukip.

That is because we're not expecting many changes on the

The expectation is that they might make gains on the regions.

Wales is split up into five regions when it comes

to the Assembly, each sending four AMs to Cardiff Bay.

After the 2011 election in North Wales, the

Conservatives were doing quite well there, two seats

Then you've got this huge Mid and West Wales region where

Labour were doing better here in 2011.

You've then got the smaller regions, South Wales West where the

Conservatives were very strong as they were in

In South Wales East, the final region,

the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru sharing the votes.

Actually, it is on these regions that the opinion

polls are suggesting Ukip may well make gains.

That will change the dynamic and colour of the political map

of Wales and probably the Conservatives

and Lib Dems may be the big losers if that were

I say if because we don't know because the votes haven't been cast

We won't know that until Thursday night.

The Prime Minister, David Cameron, has said the Government is talking

intensively with Tata steel to ensure there is a "serious sales

process", but he conceded that it's a very short timetable.

He was responding to questions from Aberavon MP, Stephen Kinnock,

who asked what steps the Government was taking to make sure Tata

was holding its promise to be a responsible seller.

We need to work intensively with Tata and those buyers to get that

list down to those who are really seriously intending

But he is right, it is a very short timetable.

He asks what we're doing, what we're doing is

talking intensively with Tata to make sure they do everything they

can to make sure this is a serious sales process.

Six men, including former Wales international footballer

Mark Aizlewood and former Cardiff City player Paul Sugrue,

have been charged in connection with a fraud involving

It's alleged Luis Michael Training Limited claimed payments

from several Further Education Colleges and football clubs

for training and education services it did not provide.

Two GPs have gone on trial accused of the manslaughter

The Newport councillor's suspension comes after trees hero two years ago

came to light in which he was critical of some juice people. The

council says they are investigating the claims.

Six men, including former Wales international footballer

Two GPs have gone on trial accused of the manslaughter

Ryan Morse, from Brynithel near Abertillery, died in December

Cardiff Crown Court heard how Dr Lindsey Thomas

and Dr Joanne Rudling failed to diagnose the condition.

Ryan Morse was just days away from his 13th birthday when he died

Cardiff Crown Court heard how he was fit and healthy.

That was until the summer of 2012 when he started complaining

of a bad head, a sore throat and aching legs.

The court also heard his skin had become very discoloured.

Ryan's mother, Carol, made several appointments at

Abernant surgery in Abertillery but his doctors failed

The day before he died the jury heard she phoned the

surgery twice to say his symptoms had become worse and he was unable

He weighed just four stone and 11 pounds when he died.

Two of his GPs, Dr Lindsey Thomas and Dr Joanne Rudling, are accused

of manslaughter through gross negligence.

Dr Rudling is also accused of altering Ryan's

medical records in the days after his death.

John Price QC, the prosecuting barrister,

told the court Addison's disease is difficult to diagnose but he said

the two doctors on duty that day should have

Had they done that, he said, they would have

confirmed the severity of the situation, they would have

seen a very sick child in need of immediate attention.

The trial is expected to last four weeks.

Still to come tonight: A special report into claims that many

disabled people in Wales are being let down

And back in the nest three years after migrating, Clarach

Conservationists describe it as a milestone.

It's being called one of the most significant archaeological finds

A research team from the University of Wales Trinity Saint David

are currently examining a set of antlers found on Borth beach,

which they believe could be between 4,000 and 6,000 years old.

Amazingly preserved, a set of red deer antlers

which scientists believe dates back to the dawn of

They were discovered here on Borth beach in Ceredigion.

Geoarchaeologist, Doctor Martin Bates, leads his team

to try and find out more about this rocky and sandy beach.

But it is believed thousands of years ago this

was a forest with an estuary running through it where the deer would have

I've spent the last five or six years studying the geological

deposits along the beach in Borth where there is this forest.

Cutting through the forest is a channel and it is from

this channel these remains have come.

The forest dates between 4000 and 6000 years ago.

I think this channel is contemporary with that, of the same age.

The antlers were spotted by holiday-makers visiting

They photographed them from a distance as they were still

They are now being examined by an archaeological research

team at the University of Wales Trinity Saint David's

Much of the material we get that is eroded of the

beach, out of the estuaries around Wales largely due to storms.

They expose bones but bones often get rolled about.

They often get washed out to sea, so we are very lucky to find them

and very lucky to find them in such good condition.

A tiny fragment of the antlers has been sent off to a laboratory in

Florida to be radiocarbon dated to help age them.

The archaeological team here believe this is already

one of the most significant finds in the area in around 60 years.

Tomorrow, thousands of people across Wales will be

heading to polling stations to cast their votes

in the Assembly and Police and Crime Commissioner elections.

However, it's being claimed that disabled people are being treated

like second class citizens when it comes to casting their vote.

The organisation, Disability Wales says many people with physical,

sensory and learning disabilities are being let down

The author and campaigner, Melanie Davies, has

Tomorrow thousands of us will go to our nearby

But for many disabled people the democratic process

According to the Equalities and Human Rights Commission,

disabled people should not be disadvantaged when it comes to

Local authorities have a duty to make sure that

polling stations such as this are fully accessible for everyone.

In last year's general election, Damien tied

to vote at his local polling station here in the Vale of Glamorgan.

The polling booth is set too high for somebody in a wheelchair,

to the point where I actually had to ask somebody to

come and help me use the polling station.

They just did not understand that, actually, your vote

In Wales, disabled people make up over

But last year, a survey found almost a quarter of them experienced

difficulties voting in person in the general election.

That is something Nicky and Marilyn know all about.

They both need visual aids to help them put their cross in the box.

We went to get my ballot paper and I asked for the tactile

device which is supposed to help me to vote.

I said, I will have to take my support worker

I opted for postal vote this year but I couldn't put it

back in into the envelope because you have to fold at a certain way.

You have to make sure that envelope A has got voting slip A.

It is all just a huge inconvenience for

something that is so simple and can be made so simple.

Across Wales, charities are working hard to make sure

the voices of disabled people are heard.

We have seen major improvements over the years.

Yet, quite often, disabled people are left to feel

second-class citizens and we want to see radical action

taken by national government and locally to ensure all accessible

polling stations are available to all disabled people, and disabled

people can access and cast their vote along with everybody else.

Would you know what this is all about?

Charlie is one of 65,000 people in Wales who have

In the last Assembly elections only one in five people

I won't be voting because on the ballot paper words

Make it easier for me, the ballot papers,

is to explain a bit more how to do it.

Many of the decisions that affect disabled people are made

by elected politicians but charities say there is still inequalities

in the voting system, denying disabled people

the right to a private, independent vote.

The election campaign's nearly over, but we've still got a couple

of My Manifesto stories to bring you.

Over the past few weeks we've been asking people what they'd do

We've been to see Teifi Davies from Ceredigion, he says he'd

support farmers to keep rural communities alive.

Teifi Davies used to be a dairy farmer but couldn't make a profit

He changed tack and now sells his own beef and

vegetables alongside other local produce at his farm shop near

He tweeted us to say what he would do if he was

Help rural Wales especially farming and tourism.

Teifi still farms over 100 acres and says it is

a tough time for those still in the milk business.

Prices are as low as 10p a litre while we

were getting twice that much and more in the '80s and '90s.

If you have a reasonable prosperous farmer,

he will spend his money in the local countryside and up to 60 other

Farmers haven't got money, the countryside suffers.

Over in Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan,

The price of sheep is at the top of the agenda.

From week to week it has been difficult.

Farmers don't know when they come to market what they are

How does the price compare this year to last year?

Probably down by about ?10 to ?12 ahead.

That is a significant change, isn't it?

Tony Williams brings his grandson Lewis to the mart every week

He rents land near Barry and has only been farming for six years.

He says he'd like to see the return of council run farms so tenants

like him can take out long leases and build up a business.

If I were First Minister I would reduce the

paperwork and provide more council farms.

There is nothing I can rent from them.

I have to try to get from local landowners and they are very

reluctant to let any ground for modern 12 months.

I built the sheep numbers up and then for one reason

or another I lost the ground the following year.

I had nowhere to put the sheep so I had to sell

For the little one, it would be nice to be able to think

I could have something to leave to him.

Tony knows exactly what he would change

if he was in charge of Wales and there is still one day left to tell

us what you would do if youwere First Minister.

Get your e-mails, Facebook messages and tweets to us by tomorrow

and we will pass on your ideas to the next Welsh Government.

A chick born at the Dyfi Valley Osprey breeding programme in 2013

who migrated the same year, has returned to Wales.

The bird called Clarach landed in a nest at Wales' other osprey

project at Glaslyn, near Porthmadog, yesterday.

Conservationists say it's a "milestone" in efforts

Roger Pinney is at the Glaslyn Wildlife Centre this evening.

Eat your heart out spring watch because take a look at that. That is

a live nest cam image of the ospreys sitting on her clutch of eggs. There

are three that but the thing to unlikely to hatch. Yesterday, she

was sitting by that when another female osprey, Clarach, dropped in

on her. She had been born 30 miles south of their in Dyfi. E show you

where that nesters. It is over either way in some tall pine trees.

Over year we have Alwyn Evans. What is so special about her coming year?

It is the first cheque from the Dyfi nest too has come back. They usually

return from West Africa in two or three years. It is a big red letter

day for Wales yesterday. Not only are you producing chicks but they

are surviving. Statistics show only one in three survive but in the last

two years all be Welsh nests have produced 22 checks. We are on the

increase in numbers of ospreys in Wales. It is a really good sign. You

are working closely with the other project the Dyfi to keep the ospreys

coming. We want to thank them for sharing that they do and

information. Our aim is to improve the number of ospreys in Wales. Just

15 years ago have really been lucky to see one. I am told there have

been 40 today the stop yes, we have had ospreys passing through. With

the new cameras come if they can close to the nest with Canon

identified the ring numbers. We had the Scottish female here. Thank you

very much. This is a wildlife success story and it is happening

here in Wales. Glamorgan have lost their

championship match at Kent The home side reached their target

of 187 soon after lunch. It's a second defeat

in their opening three George north has ruled himself out

of a place in the GB 7's Squad He says he'll be taking a few

weeks off in the summer. Meanwhile Sam Warburton is expected

to be fit for Wales' summer The captain injured his shoulder

while playing for the Cardiff Blues but it doesn't appear to be

as bad as first feared. Well, Derek, you promised us

sunshine today, and it finally Lots of sunshine and a few cirrus

clouds. Today's hot spot -

Hawarden in Flintshire. 18 Celsius there but the north west

is cooler and breezy. Only 12 Celsius in Aberdaron

with a brisk wind off the sea. Cloud increasing in the north west

and turning chilly inland. Temperatures dropping as low

as two or three Celsius. Here's the picture for

eight in the morning. At this stage, the far

north west may be cloudy. Perhaps the odd spot of rain

on Anglesey but no more than that. Elsewhere fine with

a good deal of sunshine. Any mist will soon clear

with temperatures rising quickly. During the day it will

brighten-up on Anglesey. The whole country enjoying

a fine afternoon. And it will turn out

warmer than today. Top temperatures 17 to 19

Celsius with light winds. Mind you places on the north

and west coast will 14 Celsius in Llandudno

and in Newquay with a light That's because the sea surface

temperature is still low So don't forget the sun-cream

and tree pollen levels high as well with pollen from

Birch and Oak trees. High cloud making the sunshine

hazy and turn out warm. Saturday warm but more humid

with a risk of showers. Heavy and thundery in places

but some pleasant weather as well. Some hazy sunshine

and scattered showers. So a taste of summer

over the next few days. There are just a few hours of

campaigning left ahead of the Assembly elections. Polls open at

seven o'clock tomorrow morning. Voters will also choose their Police

and Crime Commissioner 's. We'll have a quick update at eight,

more after the BBC News at Ten. But that's Wales Today,

from all of us on the programme,