13/10/2016 BBC Wales Today

Welcome to the programme. Tonight's headlines:

A ?700 million black hole in the finances

of the Welsh NHS in three years - the warning from leading experts.

This bus crash in France left Catrin Pugh

but the home of the Tiger Bay Brawlers is under threat.

Now thousands of people are rallying to save it.

The NHS in Wales is "facing the most financially challenging period"

According to new research by leading experts, the service could face

a ?700 million black hole in its finances

However, the Health Foundation suggests the gap could be

closed by finding savings and limiting pay rises.

Our health correspondent Owain Clarke has the story.

Since it was established almost 70 years ago,

advances in technology mean the NHS, a bit like a factory,

So if you think of the NHS as an industrial process

or a production line, you can argue it has been the victim

Better health care means we are living longer,

meaning more of us need care for long-term health conditions

Derek Cummings from Treorchy has been living with a serious lung

He's too ill to leave the house but full of praise

Without the back-up of the NHS, life would be impossible.

The different drugs we have to have, the different consultants we have

to deal with, the NHS, I can't praise them enough.

So if the NHS is consistently having to work harder, what is the impact?

Brand-new research gives us the clearest indication yet

According to the Health Foundation's analysis, the NHS here might have

to spend ?700 million more than it can afford

That's more than 10% of what the Health Service

Wales is going through a period where the population is ageing.

The numbers over 65 are going to grow by almost 30%

Making sure they are able to stay well and be well supported in their

homes and in their communities is really important for the NHS.

So can a financial black hole be filled?

Yes, according to the analysis, but it won't be easy.

It says the NHS needs to find efficiency savings of 1.5% a year

That's higher than the rest of the UK.

Some of the easier efficiencies have been delivered and each year it gets

harder to find where we're going to get them from.

Many industries like this power station in Newport are all the time

trying to become more efficient and save money but the analysis

suggests the NHS needs to do more than just working

The NHS in Wales is already struggling to recruit

The challenges we face in medical recruitment in every part of the NHS

family across the UK are not all about pay, they are often

The recruitment campaign for GPs we are about to launch

is about making sure people understand the offer -

what it is to train, live and work in Wales.

But the positive message in the analysis is the NHS

could still be affordable in the longer term.

It won't necessarily need to be shut down or sold off like a failing

works if it becomes more efficient and if the money spent on it keeps

Although the analysis suggests Brexit could still throw

But to get to a more secure position, the NHS in Wales will have

to first overcome what's being described as the biggest

The jury at the retrial of former Wales footballer Ched Evans,

for rape, has been told not to judge the morals of those involved.

The Chesterfield striker denies raping a 19-year-old woman

at a Premier Inn hotel in Denbighshire in 2011.

The prosecution argued she was too drunk to consent.

The judge at Cardiff Crown Court will continue her summary

A Cardiff Jobcentre was closed today after members of staff were taken

An investigation is underway and signs were put up at the office

on Cowbridge Road to advise job seekers about alternative

A spokesman for the Public and Commercial Services Union said

several members were given oxygen therapy for suspected

A woman from Wrexham who suffered burns to 96% of her body in a bus

crash in the French Alps in 2013 has won a settlement of more

than a million pounds from the coach firm.

22-year-old Catrin Pugh, from Rossett, was returning

from a season working in a ski resort when the coach burst

into flames, killing the driver and injuring dozens of passengers.

Returning home after five months working in a ski resort,

Catrin Pugh was sitting directly behind the coach driver when

Engulfed in flames, a friend pulled her from the wreckage.

I remember being on fire and I remember the aftermath

and I wouldn't be able to describe which was worse.

Being on fire is one of the hardest things I could ever explain.

The pain, literally the only places I had not burned were the top

I actually passed out and I don't remember anything else until

waking up in Whiston Hospital three months later.

Months of painful rehabilitation followed, where she learned to walk

She had 200 operations, including many skin grafts.

But visits from other burn victims, including Katie Piper,

who was scarred in an acid attack, inspired her psychological recovery.

That really was my big turning point because I could see

that there was a life and a future for me once all of this was over.

Catrin's family have helped her back from the brink and say she's become

It's very easy to hide yourself away when you have something

like this happen to you and I don't know whether I could have been

But I am very proud of her and I am proud of her brother and sister

as well for all the support they have given her.

The exact amount of money Catrin has been awarded by the coach firm

hasn't been disclosed, but it's believed to be more

The money that I have received is going to be used to make

adaptations to my health when I finally move out

from my parents - to change handles in the kitchen,

drawers and cupboards, to have a bathroom that is a wet room

so I can walk into the shower safely and have bars on the walls.

Catrin wants to keep growing stronger, doing

the activities she loves, like swimming and skiing.

But her priority is to give hope to others.

Three and a half years after the crash, Catrin Pugh isn't

The Welsh Government has named four foreign-owned companies

who are competing to run train services and create

The eventual winner of the Wales and Borders franchise will have

to deliver a major upgrade to the network in Cardiff

Officials said the four preferred bidders were the only ones to come

Plans to tackle pollution in our streams and rivers

by introducing new areas covered by strict rules have been discussed

by more than a hundred farmers in Haverfordwest tonight.

The Welsh Government is consulting on introducing more so-called

But farmers say the rules on how they store and spread slurry

could put some of them out of business.

We've got perfect weather at the moment for spreading slurry.

Why then do we have to stop at a certain date?

Whereas maybe in February, when it has opened up again,

it is far too wet and the streams will be polluted.

That's the challenge that we have and that's what we are asking,

Carmarthen Ham has been awarded protected name status by the EU.

It's been earned by other foods such as Pembrokeshire Early Potatoes

The Rees family, who have been producing the traditionally

air-dried and salt cured ham for five generations say they're

over the moon, although there was a bit of a scare

about qualifying for the European status after Brexit.

Football, and Wrexham have parted company with manager Gary Mills

The club are 15th in the National League,

Now, it houses roller derby, fencing, cheerleading and swimming.

Around 4,500 people take part in a variety of activities

at the Cardiff Central Sports and Community Centre every week.

But its future is uncertain as the council is reviewing

So far nearly 3,000 people have signed a petition to keep it open,

The rough and tumble of roller derby.

The Tiger Bay Brawlers are one of the top ten teams in the UK

and are in the top one hundred in the world.

They're one of several sports clubs

It's the former Welsh National Tennis Centre,

which is reviewing the use of its buildings.

but groups like these might have to move out by March.

We have struggled to find somewhere we can call our own.

We've looked at trying to get loans to buy buildings

and then we found this place, we managed to get the floor

that meant we could skate on it, and it was just finally,

The question mark now of not having anywhere,

it's not just having this place, it's not having anywhere to skate.

The Tiger Bay Brawlers also have a separate scheme funded

by Sport Wales to encourage young women from disadvantaged backgrounds

And the club's youth team, the Tiger Bay Cubs,

is the only junior roller derby team in south Wales.

We've moved quite a few times since I've joined

It's our own track so I'm not too fussed on

We're all a really tight pack and a really good group of friends.

And it's something different about you

so it makes you more interesting as a person.

The centre is also home to the Cardiff Academy of Fencing,

including several children who've made it into the British squad.

Hundreds of other young people are members of Central Explosion,

And nearly 500 people a week take part in lessons

as part of their community programme.

By far the biggest group here is Cardiff Central Youth Club,

a gymnastics club with more than a thousand members.

Its base has been secured with a ten year lease but all the other groups

are here under a temporary licence which comes to an end next March.

The council says it's reviewing its buildings

to ensure they deliver the best value for the tax-payer.

The groups here hope they'll all be able to stay afloat.

Time for the weather forecast now. Derek, what's coming our way?

There is a change on the way. Over the weekend it is going to turn

milder. That will bring some rain and heavy showers but I can promise

some sunshine as well. Most of the country dry tonight. The odd shower

in the north-east. A few mist and fog patches forming. We could see a

touch of frost. And tomorrow morning, mist and fog patches will

slowly lift. I would not rule out the odd spot of rain in the south,

otherwise drive. Plenty of cloud but some dry spells. Across the rest of

the UK, showers in the North, Northern Ireland, wet and windy for

eastern Scotland, gales in the north-east. Most places dry. Maybe

some rain in the father south-east of England. The best of the sunshine

in north-west England. In Wales, tomorrow afternoon not too bad. Some

sunshine. Some showers in Pembrokeshire later in the

afternoon. A top temperature of 14 Celsius in Aberystwyth. Later in the

night, a front will spread some rain into southern and western counties.

That rain all tied to this area of low pressure on our doorstep and it

is going to dominate our weather over the weekend. On Saturday

showers will spread northwards and then clear. Then a window of

sunshine, but then more rain later in the afternoon and during the

evening. Sunday will be breezy with a mixture of sunshine and scattered

showers and feeling milder over the weekend.

We'll be back with updates from around 6:25am in the morning.

But for now, from all of us here, good night.