28/10/2016 Channel Islands News


28/10/2016

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Guernsey's working population has fallen.

:00:24.:00:25.

The latest figures from the States show that there's been a drop

:00:26.:00:28.

in the number of people aged between 16 and 64.

:00:29.:00:31.

It comes at a time when the number of pensioners is increasing.

:00:32.:00:34.

Mike Wilkins reports on the demographic time bomb.

:00:35.:00:36.

At the end of last year, Guernsey's population was 62,50 ,

:00:37.:00:38.

It is the largest increase in five years.

:00:39.:00:41.

But it is not necessarily in the age group that the Government is hoping.

:00:42.:00:44.

The number of pensioners is increasing, but critically,

:00:45.:00:47.

the working age population has fallen.

:00:48.:00:48.

It may sometimes feel like there's a lot of people pounding

:00:49.:00:53.

the pavements in town, but last year, the working `ge group

:00:54.:00:56.

And when you look back further, almost 2000 people have been lost

:00:57.:01:00.

from this group over the last five years.

:01:01.:01:03.

That's a lot of people who could be paying income tax.

:01:04.:01:06.

So why is the working population declining?

:01:07.:01:08.

Some feel there isn't enough diversity in the economy for

:01:09.:01:11.

younger workers, while others feel the island's restrictive

:01:12.:01:15.

This woman is responsible for employment and social sdcurity.

:01:16.:01:21.

She says it's unclear if the population management regime

:01:22.:01:23.

will help when it comes into force in April.

:01:24.:01:26.

because I hear some negativhty about some of the population.

:01:27.:01:32.

I think, because we are not there yet and it

:01:33.:01:36.

will not come into force until next April, people are starting to have

:01:37.:01:39.

some concerns about certain elements of that policy.

:01:40.:01:43.

I think it is one of those things that until we actually

:01:44.:01:46.

enter the policy, it will be work in progress.

:01:47.:01:52.

It's long been forecast that Guernsey would have an ageing

:01:53.:01:55.

population, but now, what were future forecasts

:01:56.:01:58.

are playing out as problems in the present.

:01:59.:02:03.

Described as the largest tax evasion network in the world,

:02:04.:02:07.

Guernsey and Jersey have cole under fire in the House of Commons.

:02:08.:02:11.

The UK Shadow Home Secretarx, Diane Abbott criticised

:02:12.:02:14.

the Crown Dependencies and Overseas British Territories

:02:15.:02:18.

during a debate on a bill about financial crime,

:02:19.:02:21.

looking at issues like monex laundering and tax evasion.

:02:22.:02:23.

The MP said there needs to be more focus on places

:02:24.:02:26.

Guernsey's government says the island meets all the relevant

:02:27.:02:30.

international standards set by international bodies,

:02:31.:02:33.

and Diane Abbott's comments are ill-informed and inaccurate

:02:34.:02:40.

Alderney States will pay up to ?120,000 to provide an extra

:02:41.:02:44.

150 flights to Guernsey and Southampton next year.

:02:45.:02:46.

It says it's in a bid to boost economic activity

:02:47.:02:50.

The government's underwriting the flights and says that if Aurigny

:02:51.:02:57.

puts on the flights and thex're sold out, then it won't cost the States

:02:58.:03:02.

Jersey's mail order plant industry has shrunk by almost two thhrds

:03:03.:03:08.

A recent farming statistic report showed its value fell from over ?23

:03:09.:03:13.

pounds in 2012 to just over ?8 million last year.

:03:14.:03:17.

It's the lasting effect of the loss of low value consignment relief

:03:18.:03:21.

There's now only one business still trading,

:03:22.:03:26.

Only a few years ago, businesses like this one in Jersey

:03:27.:03:33.

were generating tens of millions of pounds.

:03:34.:03:36.

But now that value has fallen by 70%.

:03:37.:03:38.

entirely down to the loss of low value consignment relief.

:03:39.:03:43.

There were ourselves and at least two other people in the market

:03:44.:03:47.

here, they have now stopped trading and it is only us left.

:03:48.:03:51.

We had to cut costs and let some people go

:03:52.:03:56.

Obviously, when you put prices up, sales go down.

:03:57.:04:02.

So, that is the biggest change in the market.

:04:03.:04:04.

Tim says the government could have prevented this if they

:04:05.:04:06.

If we dealt with it differently at the time,

:04:07.:04:14.

we probably could have got a better deal

:04:15.:04:17.

I think the UK had dug their heels in a bit.

:04:18.:04:40.

That is despite acknowledging the value this

:04:41.:04:42.

Politicians say there is nothing they can do to support its future.

:04:43.:04:46.

there is nothing I would like more than to sde

:04:47.:04:49.

and brings money into the island.

:04:50.:04:53.

We have fought as hard as wd could to keep it going, we went to

:04:54.:04:56.

the High Court, spent a lot of money on top lawyers,

:04:57.:04:59.

the judge made this decision and we are left

:05:00.:05:02.

Although many have stopped trading in the island,

:05:03.:05:05.

this one remaining company hopes to grow the industry

:05:06.:05:07.

even without the help of Jersey's government.

:05:08.:05:14.

Jersey's cricketers are in Los Angeles hoping to win

:05:15.:05:16.

promotion to the highest level in their history.

:05:17.:05:18.

They play their first match in World League Four

:05:19.:05:20.

They won the right to play in the six-team event by clhnching

:05:21.:05:25.

the division five trophy on home turf back in the summer.

:05:26.:05:27.

Jersey have played at this level twice before and on both occasions

:05:28.:05:30.

There's an optimism though that the competition in Calhfornia

:05:31.:05:35.

This time, I feel like we h`ve worked really hard and we h`ve a bit

:05:36.:05:41.

There are a lot of youngsters in the squad but we have

:05:42.:05:45.

had experience of these tournaments now.

:05:46.:05:50.

Hopefully we can get a really good result out of it.

:05:51.:05:56.

And staying with sport, in the past hour Jersey Reds have

:05:57.:05:58.

lost to Yorkshire Carnegie, 35-29 in Leeds.

:05:59.:06:00.

But now time for the weather, with Bee.

:06:01.:06:04.

Good evening. If you are out trick or treating this weekend, it looks

:06:05.:06:10.

like it will be fairly similar to the past few days. Dry, a fdw bright

:06:11.:06:18.

spells, but a lot of cloud `bout. In the morning, only mist and fog. The

:06:19.:06:21.

reason for this benign pattdrn in our weather, this large are` of high

:06:22.:06:27.

pressure in the United Kingdom. Very little change over the next couple

:06:28.:06:33.

of days. As we go through tonight, it is fairly quiet. It should be

:06:34.:06:37.

dry. With all the cloud covdr, it will be low in places, it whll not

:06:38.:06:43.

be a particularly cold night. That sets itself up for a fairly great

:06:44.:06:49.

start to the day tomorrow. The odd light shower, for most of us dry. A

:06:50.:06:55.

few showers, on balance mord cloud than sunshine. If you do get

:06:56.:07:00.

brightness, temperatures up to 4 or 15 degrees. Halloween on Monday a

:07:01.:07:06.

tribe at cloudy day. By night, the return of some mist and fog. Very

:07:07.:07:15.

quiet over the next few days. The weekend dry. Some mist and fog.

:07:16.:07:19.

Temperatures are above aver`ge for this time of the year. More sunshine

:07:20.:07:26.

on Monday but again the risk of mist and fog forming overnight. We'll be

:07:27.:07:31.

back at 6:30am on Monday, to come into the beginning of next

:07:32.:07:34.

week as well. Now the national picture.

:07:35.:07:40.

Hello, it's been a pretty good week for getting out and enjoying the

:07:41.:07:47.

autumn colours, especially if you have seen

:07:48.:07:48.

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