19/07/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. There's reasonably strong signals

that the longer-term outlook into next week promises more warm weather,

but the real weather action is in the short-term.

The heat again triggering some thunderstorms.

The atmosphere is really volatile at the moment,

storms tracking their way Northwards

over the next 24 hours.

Some places will miss them,

there'll be warm sunshine on Saturday,

but be prepared for some torrential rain,

particularly across Western Scotland.

The storms mostly across Eastern Northern Ireland in the morning,

maybe largely dry afternoon here.

And much of the day,

dry in Eastern Scotland as well,

though it will be quite cloudy.

A risk of further thunderstorms

developing across parts of England and Wales.

They will be hit and miss and well scattered.

Some places will avoid them and stay dry.

In the sunshine across parts of the East,

temperatures could get close to 30 Celsius.

But the heat and humidity means that when the storms occur,

they could be violent, dropping a lot of rain in a short space of time.

A risk of localised flooding,

a risk of further disruption to transport.

And they don't stop on Saturday afternoon,

they keep going through the evening,

clumps of storms heading Northwards.

We could import some more from France

across East Anglia and the South-East.

For some, the weather calms down

a little bit on Saturday night,

it will still be warm,

still humid, still quite misty,

particularly around some coasts.

Sunday is again a day

where we're watching the skies,

watching the storms develop,

most likely across Eastern areas,

close to this weather front at first.

But it is tending to pull away through the day

and there are signs of

a ridge trying to build in.

That's mostly for Monday though.

Still on Sunday, the emphasis

will be on showers, not as many,

maybe not as violent,

but still the potential

for some intense downpours, come the afternoon.

In the brighter spells,

it will still feel pretty warm and humid,

with temperatures widely into the low to mid 20s.

Now, the weather fronts, the low-pressure systems

are still close by on Sunday night

and into Monday, but amongst all this debris,

this little bump in the isobars

does push its way across the UK.

It's a ridge of high pressure

and it's likely to calm the weather right down

for much of next week.

There'll still be rain

across North-East Scotland on Monday

and a few showers can't be completely ruled out.

But generally Monday, dry and bright,

and that area of high pressure really starts

to push in across the UK

on Tuesday and for Wednesday.

Weather fronts are trying to come in from the West,

but it looks at the moment as if

the high pressure will keep them

at bay on Tuesday, maybe more cloud in the West,

one or two late showers,

but generally it's a fine day

and starting to warm up again as well.

Temperatures widely in the mid to maybe high 20s.

That weather front makes a few more inroads on Wednesday.

Could bring rain, particularly to Northern Ireland.

But generally, high pressure keeping things fine,

could be an Easterly breeze

bringing showers across the South-East,

but for most, the weather looks set fair.

And that trend may well continue.

It does look as if, for the back end of next week into the weekend,

high pressure will dominate and be close by.

Probably out into the North Sea,

which could allow low-pressure systems to come

into the South-East, and the far North-West.

So these areas likely to see a bit more cloud

and that's where we could see some showery rain.

But for most, high pressure calming things down,

bringing dry and warm sunshine.

In the shorter term, do watch out for those thunderstorms.

All the weather warnings are available on the BBC weather website.