27/07/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Welcome to the Weather For The Week Ahead.

We're going to go further than a week -

we're going to look out towards the ten-day period to see what

the current thoughts are for such a long-range forecast.

It looks as if we're going to start the week with a North-South split,

with showers cropping up in the Southern half of the UK.

Some spells of sunshine in between.

Further north, it should be a largely dry day with variable cloud,

maybe the odd light shower here or there in Scotland

but I suspect most places are dry for most of the time.

And it should be warmer in Glasgow - only 16 or 17 degrees today,

up to around about 21 or so through tomorrow.

And across Northern England, pleasantly warm with variable cloud

and some sunshine, temperatures 22 or 23 degrees.

Similar temperatures down across the Southeast -

down on today's values, but still pleasantly warm

away from those showers, and the showers will come and go

but the winds are light so when they do arrive

they could stick around for quite some time.

As you can see, there are some drier, brighter interludes,

and in the Southwest, away from the showers,

temperatures of 21 or 22 degrees. So again, it's pleasantly warm.

A scattering of showers across Wales -

there'll be some drier, brighter interludes as well.

In Northern Ireland it is a largely dry picture,

and we should see temperatures around 19 or 20 degrees.

Through the evening, we've got to watch out from the Southeast

because there could well be another bout of heavy showers.

Could be some thunder and lightning with those,

but for many it is dry through Tuesday night,

although we'll see this weather front advancing as we look towards dawn.

By which stage temperatures are 14 to 15 degrees -

only 15 in the Southeast,

that's increasingly fresh nights over the coming few nights.

As you look towards Tuesday,

we've got this weather front in the North and West.

Behind that, it's a bit of a breeze -

these isobars are fairly tightly packed.

But that weather front is moving into an area of high pressure,

so the rainfall on it is just going to fizzle out.

But there will be some as it crosses its way across Scotland,

maybe some into Northern Ireland.

Down through the Midlands, some hazy sunshine,

and some sunshine towards London. Here it will be quite warm.

But for many it's only 21 or so degrees.

Now, as you go through Tuesday night into Wednesday,

this cold front will slip south, so as we get on into Wednesday

I think temperatures will drop by a couple of degrees

across most of the UK.

And we've got this increasingly fresh Northwesterly wind,

in fact, quite strong winds across the North of Scotland,

where it will be quite cloudy, quite windy,

and there will be outbreaks of rain around.

Maybe a scattering of showers for Northern Ireland and Northern England

but further south it's a largely dry day

with temperatures in London dropping back by a few degrees,

down to 23 or 24.

And for Thursday, low pressure still to the North of us,

it's driving in these West to Northwesterly winds.

I think the worst we're going to see on Thursday is a good crop of showers

coming in to the North and the West of the United Kingdom.

Maybe one or two cropping up further south,

but I suspect the Southeastern corner probably stays dry.

And here we'll see temperatures around about 24 or 25 degrees.

Towards the end of the week, low pressure really takes over,

and the weather fronts will be drifting in from the West.

Ahead of that I think we will see a fair bit of cloud

and outbreaks of rain on the Western side of England,

Wales, and showers across Scotland.

Then later on some heavier rain begins to develop

in Northern Ireland, and maybe a few showers cropping up further east.

As we look towards the six to ten-day period,

well, low pressure looks like it will be the dominant force.

It'll be unsettled, it'll be breezy with some rain at times,

so that could be quite heavy. But it's not all doom and gloom -

there should be some sunshine at times.

Here's the current thinking.

This low will be to the North of us,

high to the South,

the winds will be Westerly,

dragging in some fairly unsettled weather at times.

A lot of cloud, some rain - difficult to say where the heaviest rain

is likely to be, but at the moment it's probably in the North and West.