18/08/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. We are looking at a windy and a rather cool start to our week.

The question you probably want to know is, will this trend continue

right through the next ten days towards the Bank Holiday weekend?

More on that in just a moment.

But let's take a look at the reason for this cool and windy start.

It's due to this area of low pressure which is now migrating over to

Scandinavia, still allowing for this Northerly flow

and the strongest of the winds on Monday to the Northeast.

Here we could see potential gusts of 50 mph.

Pretty rough seas here as well.

It will be quite a cloudy start to the week.

Eventually some brightness developing and a few sharp showers as well.

But I suspect on Monday, West will be best in terms of the drier,

brighter weather,

and in little shelter with some sunshine it shouldn't feel too bad

across the Southwest, for Wales, and the Northwest of England.

We still can't rule out the risk of a few sharp

showers across the South Midlands, into the Southeast corner

and perhaps towards the east of the Pennines due to that

Northeasterly breeze.

A cool feel to the afternoon across Northern Ireland

and on exposed coasts of Scotland.

Fewer showers than we've seen on Sunday,

but nevertheless still the risk of some showers driving in along

the North.

So that's the story on Monday.

We keep the risk of some showers for a time, Monday evening,

running down through North Sea coasts, but then through

the night we'll have lighter winds and temperatures falling away.

Lows down to around 8 to 11 degrees.

We start off then on Tuesday on a relatively quiet note,

but we run the risk of a few more sharp showers developing

because of this little trough line here, enhancing the showers out

of Northern Ireland into Northwest England and Wales for a time

during the day.

So I suspect on Tuesday we could see more organised

showers across the Northwest and Wales for a time.

We also keep some sharp showers across Northern parts of Scotland.

The winds gusting to gale force first thing across the Northern Isles,

but eventually the wind starting to ease,

falling lighter right across the country.

13 to 19 degrees,

so temperatures disappointing for the middle of August.

As we move out of Tuesday and into Wednesday you can see

the isobars starting to open up - the winds falling lighter in nature.

A relatively quiet theme to our day on Wednesday.

There will be a few more showers running down

through North Sea-facing coasts.

Top temperatures of 13 to 20 degrees.

With those lighter winds, overnight Wednesday into Thursday

could be a pretty cool night.

Low single figures in rural spots to the North and West.

And there is the question mark of some more enhanced rainfall

up into the far Northwest.

Still a level of uncertainty about this one.

We will need to keep a close eye on it,

but the potential for some pretty wet weather.

And look at the temperatures. 12 to 14 degrees.

The best of the drier weather on Thursday looks likely to

be across England and Wales.

But that frontal system may well

just drift a little further South,

through Thursday night into Friday and so enhancing the showers or

longer spells of rain across England and Wales for a time.

We keep the showers

and the cooler theme continuing to the far North of Scotland.

Into Bank Holiday weekend.

We start to see this high pressure building and influencing our

weather a little and the westerly winds becoming more of a feature.

That means that temperatures may well return to where

they should be for this time of year.

It also means, for the start of the weekend,

it looks likely to be mostly dry,

maybe the best of the Bank Holiday weekend,

because eventually we could see that Westerly wind just

driving in, and more fronts from the Atlantic, but temperatures

will return back to the average, so feeling just that little bit better.

Take care.