19/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


19/12/2015

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Hello there. We'll sneak a peek at the weather patterns

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for Christmas time in just a moment.

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Right now, though, we've got some extremely mild air across the UK.

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Night-time temperatures

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10 degrees above normal

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means it's a very mild-looking picture

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for Saturday, but there's some rain around

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and this rain is quite slow moving.

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It's stuck in the same sort of area all day.

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So rain keeps going

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across south-west England

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and particularly Wales.

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Heavy rain all mounting up there

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over the hills of South Wales.

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Much of the Midlands towards the south-east

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will be dry, brightening up, a little sunshine.

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Temperatures could hit 16 degrees,

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extremely mild to the east of the Pennines.

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Not much rain here, a bit wetter

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over into the west of the Pennines

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and across Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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a little sunshine at times

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and a scattering of showers too.

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This rain band, though,

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still producing some rain

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into the night-time,

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and pushing back northwards again.

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The rain turning heavier too.

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It may edge its way into Northern Ireland

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and Scotland for a while,

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but tending to clear away

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out into the North Sea

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right at the end of the night.

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Another very mild night because of the cloud,

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because of the wind

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and also because of the rain.

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That weather front, though,

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clearing away on Sunday.

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We're left with an area of low pressure

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to the north of the UK

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and its feeding around a showery airflow.

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There'll be some sunshine around as well,

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particularly across England and Wales,

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a scattering of showers.

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The showers much more frequent

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for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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could be quite heavy as well.

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There'll be a strong and blustery wind.

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It'll be a bit cooler, I think,

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for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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still some higher temperatures further south,

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but all those numbers are above average

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for the time of year.

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Still very changeable weather, though,

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as we head to the run-up to Christmas.

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Zooming in from the Atlantic,

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this next weather front will be packing

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some strong to gale-force winds,

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maybe even some severe gales

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as well around coasts

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and hills in the west.

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Now, this rain could be heavy

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especially over western hills

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and there may well be

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increasing river levels, I think,

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by the end of the day.

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The rain moves through fairly quickly

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for most of us, except in the south

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where it never really clears away.

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Then it starts to push back

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northwards again overnight

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and into Tuesday.

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Again, lots of isobars on the chart,

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again, it's going to be very windy,

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but for the most part,

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it's a very mild wind.

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The rain from overnight

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does tend to clear away,

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last of all from the south-east

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of England in the afternoon

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and then showers follow on behind.

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Those temperatures, nine in the north

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to 14 in the south.

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And then Tuesday into Wednesday,

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we've still got low pressure

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sitting to the north of the UK,

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but we're back into

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this showery airstream as well.

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The weather fronts focusing

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some bands of showers,

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could be quite heavy as well,

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little sunshine at times,

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maybe a touch of wintriness over the hills

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and mountains of Scotland

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as temperatures here a little bit lower,

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about seven degrees or so, which is

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about normal for this time of year, but what we're seeing as we head

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into next week is this milder air sitting across the bulk of the UK.

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There are signs of some colder air coming in from the other side

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of the Atlantic, approaching northern parts of the UK

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just in time for Christmas, all because the jet stream is buckling.

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It's buckling a little bit further south,

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so it's going to allow the colder air

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to push into more northern parts of the UK

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over the time that we looking at the Christmas festivities.

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If there's a white Christmas,

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it'll be over the hills

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across Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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northern England.

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For much of England and Wales,

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it's going to stay in the mild air.

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South of the jet stream, then there could be some heavy rain.

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Jet stream after Christmas moves northwards bringing the milder air

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northwards across the country,

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maybe a little bit drier in the south-east.

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