02/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. Our new year brought with it a new feel to the weather -

a cold, crisp, frosty start for many of us,

even with a light dusting of snow in the Highlands as well.

And, for a time, there was a good deal of dry weather in the forecast.

Unfortunately, that is not set to last as we move into the weekend.

Weather warnings have been issued for eastern Scotland,

which means be prepared for further disruption

due to the intensity of the rain.

Further flooding is certainly not out of the question.

Let's take a look at what's going to happen.

Two areas of low pressure for the weekend,

one for Saturday,

another starting to move in for Sunday.

That's going to bring further spells

of wet and pretty windy weather,

particularly down to the south-west

first thing on Saturday.

Bands of rain continue to push

steadily north through the day,

circulating around that area of low pressure,

so it's going to be a pretty wet,

cool, unsettled afternoon

for many and, at times, quite windy.

Highs likely of 8 to 12 degrees,

with the rain pretty much grinding to a halt

across the far north-east of Scotland.

Those showers or bands of rain continue

through the night in the north-east

and then the next area of low pressure

moves in during Sunday morning.

For a time there will be some

heavy rain across the south-west

and into Wales,

but it is moving through and it will continue

to push into the north-east of Scotland,

where here we're expecting it

to stagnate for quite some time

through Sunday afternoon and overnight,

hence the cause for concern

for possibility of further flooding.

Six to eight degrees for the north,

ten to 11 further south.

That area of low pressure really

stays in the driving seat during

the first half of Monday.

It will slowly slip its way south

and west, still the winds very much

a feature, but eventually we will see

an area of high pressure

across eastern Europe,

starting to influence the

weather into the north,

so things will turn a little bit colder

for the start of next week,

hopefully a little bit quieter as well.

The first signs of that during Monday.

We will have some showers first thing

in the far north-east,

but they will steadily ease through the day.

Temperatures sitting at around six degrees here.

Further showers closer to that low pressure

the further south and west you are.

The low slowly drifting its way

across the south-west of England

during Monday night into Tuesday,

allowing that colder air to start to

sink its way in from Scandinavia.

And an eastly breeze as well,

so an exposed North Sea coast.

It will feel notably different out there,

but a drier story across Scotland,

Northern Ireland

and eventually northern England on Tuesday -

further showers remaining down to the south.

It's during Tuesday night into Wednesday,

when the low pushes off into the near continent,

and we see a quieter theme of weather for a time

before more fronts wait out in the wings.

On Wednesday, there is a potential

for some dry, sunnier spells of weather,

something a little more optimistic,

but noticeably for most of us -

three to eight or nine

degrees is the maximum.

It looks as though the jet stream

through the longer six-to-ten-day period

continues to split into two, so weakening

because of that area of high pressure

that's in eastern Europe,

the blocking high,

preventing the jet stream from having

a significant impact.

That means that the low pressures

will tend to sit down to the south and west,

where we're likely to see perhaps

more potential for rain here,

but it continues to stay

cold to the north, so that means

that any showers that we get

could fall as snow

to the far north of Scotland.

Winds will return later on in the week,

so still plenty to play for,

but keep watching the weather forecast

as we move through the weekend.

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