29/02/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


29/02/2016

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Hello there. Now, of course, it's a leap year this year,

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so we get one extra day of winter, but meteorological spring

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just around the corner, starts on 1st March. Well, looking back

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at the winter, it will go down as a warm one and a wet one

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and there's more on those statistics

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online on the BBC Weather website.

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A cold start to the day on Monday

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across England and Wales

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in particular. Minus four, minus five

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in some rural spots.

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No problems with the frost in the west

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because here we've got more

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of a breeze from the south,

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some cloud and mostly light and patchy rain

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which will slowly drift

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its way across the Irish Sea.

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Patchy rain gets into the western side of Wales

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and the far south-west of England

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by the middle of the afternoon.

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Much of Wales and the eastern side of England

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doing well with some hazy sunshine,

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eight or nine degrees, the top temperatures.

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It's really through Monday evening

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when that rain starts to push its way

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across most of the UK.

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The winds will be picking up,

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lots of isobars on the charts.

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It will be quite wet, quite windy

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to start the day on Tuesday.

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That rain makes steady progress ever eastwards

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with not a very pleasant start

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to the day on Tuesday

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with wind and rain across much of the UK.

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It'll last longest across

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more eastern parts of England,

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but behind it there is something

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a bit drier following on behind,

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but also quite a few showers.

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Some of us may see double-figure temperatures

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on Tuesday, but, of course, you have

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to factor in that wind which will be quite keen.

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It stays pretty windy

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and very unsettled

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into the middle part of the week.

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The low pressure to the north of the UK

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dragging in the air from the long way north.

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There's some cold air coming down through the UK

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and this little feature looks like it

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could bring some pretty blustery winds with it.

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It's a very windy day.

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You could see some gales round the coasts,

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to the north, the west and in the south.

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And it's quite an unsettled day,

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lots of showers around,

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some of those will be heavy, thundery,

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a real mixture of rain, hail, sleet,

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a little bit of snow

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over the hills of northern England.

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In fact, across northern parts of the UK,

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some of that snow might

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get down to the lower levels.

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On into Thursday, and we've got low pressure

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to west of the UK and out towards the east.

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In between, we've still got this cold air

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coming down from the north.

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That bit drier, I suspect,

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for many places on Thursday,

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particularly along the south coast,

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but not completely dry

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cos there will be a few showers

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towards the North Sea coast,

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northern Scotland and later on

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we start to see some rain just

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nudging its way into the far south and west.

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That is due to an area of low pressure

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which is driven along

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by the jet stream. So let's take a look at the jet stream later on

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this coming week and it will be a key feature of things

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because it looks like it'll be pushing its way on long way north

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up towards Greenland but then arcing quite a long way south

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and as it does so, it continues to pull in cold air.

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And we are also going to see low-pressure systems

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developing in this trough which develops towards the start

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of the coming weekend, so into next weekend and it looks

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like we're going to stay pretty unsettled with low pressure

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pretty much on top of the UK.

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This is at least for the first part of the coming weekend.

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The isobars, you can trace them back to a long way north,

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so, again, cold air filtering down across the United Kingdom.

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So quite an unsettled look to things,

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further heavy showers in the forecast

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for the start of the weekend. The second part of the weekend,

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things might just begin to settle down from the west

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as this area of high pressure drifts its way in from the Atlantic.

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So we've still got low-pressure to the east of the UK

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and in between the two, well, the resultant winds are coming down

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from the north, so yet more cold air filtering down across the UK.

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Not quite done with that wintry feel to things.

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So into next weekend and beyond,

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it looks as if we're going to stay quite cold,

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daytime temperatures will be struggling a little bit,

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still some night-time frost

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and it looks quite unsettled

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with further wintry showers to be

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had on into the following week

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but at least there will

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be some spells of sunshine.

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There's a lot going on

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in the next few days -

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you can keep up-to-date with all of it online.

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