08/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


08/06/2016

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Hello. We're going to see and feel quite a dramatic weather change

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as we go through Friday and into the weekend.

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It's going to turn much fresher, much cooler,

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so we're going to lose the warmth and humidity and energy

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that's been sparking all the thunderstorms

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over the past couple of days.

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This image of a lightning strike

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taken by one of our Weather Watchers.

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Chance of getting more lightning strikes,

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particularly during Wednesday afternoon.

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Most places having a drier morning. Quite a lot more cloud

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across the north-east and with the breeze coming in from the North Sea,

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those eastern coasts fresher once more.

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Elsewhere, the warmth and humidity will trigger

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some further thundery downpours -

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not as extensive, not as numerous as the ones on Tuesday.

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And again, like Tuesday, the south-west of England

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and much of South Wales staying dry.

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Shouldn't see too many storms across the south-east either,

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and temperatures here 24, 25 degrees.

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Much cooler on the east coast, but inland, some warm sunshine.

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And then we come to the zone

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where we're most likely to see those thunderstorms.

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North-west England, west Wales, Western Scotland.

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Should be a dry day, though, in Northern Ireland,

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and quite gloomy and pretty chilly across the far north-east.

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Those thundery downpours fade on Wednesday evening

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and most of us dry on Thursday, but again, quite misty on some coasts,

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increasing risk of mist and sea fog

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around western coasts during Thursday.

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Isolated thunderstorms, but most places dry,

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and in the sunshine, again, quite warm and humid.

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So a couple more days of the warm and humid air sitting across the UK

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but then the change - weather fronts streaming in from the Atlantic,

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bringing Atlantic air, bringing fresher air.

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We'll start to see that process during Friday, outbreaks of rain

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sweeping across the UK.

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Could be left with some of that rain across the east early on Saturday,

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some uncertainty about the timings of these weather fronts.

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Following on from that, it won't rain all day on Saturday,

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there'll be bright or sunny spells, but there will be plentiful showers.

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Temperatures already dropping down a bit on Saturday,

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and that process continues on Sunday as we have the potential

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for another rather aggressive weather front to sweep in.

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Again, the timings will be uncertain,

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but lots of isobars on the chart, it turns breezy

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as that band of potentially quite heavy rain sweeps its way in

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followed by more showers. Again, temperatures will be a notch lower,

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struggling just into the high teens at best.

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Looking further afield in time,

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we have to look much further afield across the Atlantic,

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and take on board what's going on off the south-east of the US.

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What's left of Tropical Storm Colin.

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Look at the way the cloud is swirling here across the Atlantic.

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That is basically the form of the jet stream at the moment,

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and at the base of it we have Colin.

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Now, Colin is no longer a tropical storm,

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but it will still bring a lot of energy

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and a lot of humidity as it tracks its way across the Atlantic,

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interacting with the jet stream.

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So the jet stream no longer meandering -

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by the time we get to Sunday and Monday next week,

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the jet stream will be coming more directly across the Atlantic

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towards the UK. And we are on the cold side of that jet stream,

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a breeding ground for low-pressure systems,

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so that's how things will change into the early part of next week.

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With low pressure sitting across the UK, it's going to be

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significantly cooler than it is now.

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There'll be rain at times for all of us,

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some dry and bright spells in between.

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Now, looking a little further ahead,

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it looks as if there signs that that low-pressure system

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may start to ebb away,

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so if you're after something drier and brighter,

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then better prospects later next week

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with high pressure potentially building in.

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But there's always going to be uncertainty,

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particularly when we've got tropical storms involved.

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So we'll continue to monitor it

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and we'll continue to keep you updated. Goodbye.

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