16/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


16/06/2016

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Hello. Coming into work yesterday,

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I heard somebody use the phrase "flaming June".

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But perhaps not quite in the context that it's intended.

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Looking back at some of the Weather Watchers' photographs through today,

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you can really understand why it's been wet at times.

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Stormy often, with some dramatic thunderstorms.

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Even some funnel clouds being sent in

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on our Weather Watchers' pictures.

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The intensity of those storms...

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Well, they've caused some localised flooding.

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But by complete contrast,

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the Northern Isles have seen some beautiful weather this week.

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Orkney and Shetland, plenty of blue sky and sunshine.

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Why?

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Well, an area of low pressure has been sitting across the country.

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It's been driving this pause-rewind-repeat story

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of plenty of showers for many of us.

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It does look as though, as we head towards the weekend, though,

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we will start to see a change.

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For Thursday, though, it's back to same old same old.

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Starting off quiet.

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Through England and Wales,

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we'll see some showers developing through the course of the day.

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Some of them heavy, possibly slow-moving and thundery again.

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To the far north of Scotland,

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we'll have some outbreaks of light, patchy rain.

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But still a cooler feel here generally - 11 to 15 degrees.

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Further south, in the sunshine, if you dodged the showers,

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highest values of 20 Celsius.

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Now, most of the showers will start to ease

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through Thursday night, into Friday,

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and drift that little bit further south.

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It's going to be a relatively mild night, nine to 14 degrees.

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But the area of low pressure is starting to push its way southwards.

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So on Friday, it looks as though most of the showers

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will be confined south of the M4 corridor.

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We'll also, at the same time, pick up more cloud and outbreaks of rain

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across eastern Scotland and north-east England.

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Here, it stays cool and disappointing.

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Further south, highest values again

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of around 18, 19, possibly 20 degrees.

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By the weekend, though, we're likely to see a change.

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This ridge of high pressure starts to build from the south-west.

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It's a fleeting glimpse of something a little quieter,

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but at least it arrives for the weekend.

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And hopefully, we should see a good deal of dry weather.

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Fingers crossed, even a little bit of sunshine from time to time.

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So if we start Saturday, then,

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there will be some drier, brighter weather coming through.

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And it does look as though most of us

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should see some sunshine from time to time.

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12 to 18 degrees, the overall high.

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By the time we get into Sunday,

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there is an outside chance of a weak weather front

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producing a few showers out to the west, nothing significant.

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The best of the sunshine likely to be the further east you are.

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And again, highs of 15 to 19 degrees.

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But that area of high pressure is squeezed out of the way

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and another area of low moves in, bringing wet and windy weather.

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The isobars squeezing together

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and that'll be more of a significant feature for the start of next week.

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It's going to take its time in arriving,

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probably not getting into much of the eastern half of the UK

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until the end of the day on Monday.

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But it will bring outbreaks of rain, strong winds,

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albeit from a southerly direction.

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So a milder feel, with highs of 21 degrees,

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if you keep the sun.

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And then into next week, to the longer six to ten-day period.

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We start to see this battleground,

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with the high pressure down to the south-west

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and low pressure up into the north-west,

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where the isobars remain a feature.

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And this is going to be the level of uncertainty...

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Just how much wet weather

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we're likely to see and where it's going to be.

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At the moment, it looks likely

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that the north-west stays pretty unsettled.

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Fingers crossed, some of us in the south

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will see some drier, sunnier moments.

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I'll firm up on it tomorrow.

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Who did you say you were?

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I'm the police.

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The police were there?

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