23/01/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


23/01/2017

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Hello. It's been a relatively quiet winter so far,

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certainly not as stormy as last winter, nor as wet and windy.

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There hasn't been that much snowfall, a lot of dry weather.

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There have been periods of frost and fog,

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and the fog is back with a vengeance now.

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The next couple of days, it could be a real problem.

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Some disruption possible. There are warnings out from the Met Office.

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Check out your BBC local radio station or go online for the

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latest details where you are.

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The worst of the fog on Monday probably across

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more south-eastern parts of the UK.

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Where you've got fog, it could stick around for much of the day,

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keeping it particularly chilly, but that said,

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actually a lot of fine weather out there on Monday, and

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hopefully where you are you'll see something in the way of sunshine.

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And with light winds, temperatures will bounce back quite nicely.

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Seven to nine degrees cross parts of the West Country should feel

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very nice indeed.

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Where the fog and the murk linger, it'll be a different story.

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Some eastern areas will struggle to get much above freezing.

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So a lot of variety in temperatures

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depending on how much sunshine you see.

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Further north and west, there's some fine weather around, a few lingering

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fog patches, but for the vast majority it shouldn't be too bad.

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This is three o'clock in the afternoon.

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Not exactly warm, but with light winds and some sunshine,

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it shouldn't feel too bad.

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As we head into the evening and night, with light winds,

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that's going to allow the fog to re-form again,

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not necessarily in exactly the same areas.

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It looks as if some central and perhaps northern parts of

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England could be prone to some thicker fog by Tuesday morning.

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A different story for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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patchy rain pushing in from the west and a breeze here.

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And that will introduce some milder air, actually,

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to Scotland, Northern Ireland.

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Double figures in some places

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in the western fringes of England and Wales.

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Further south and east, despite some sunshine,

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once the fog clears, it will again be quite chilly.

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As we head towards the middle of the week,

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just notice how the isobars get closer together. That's a good sign.

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That means the winds will freshen up, clearing most of the fog,

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so fog shouldn't be so much of an issue on Wednesday, we think.

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Particularly strong winds across the north-west,

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with this approaching weather front bringing some patchy rain

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into the west of Scotland in particular,

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but again mild across the north-west, double figures,

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chilly despite some sunshine further south and east.

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And that theme will continue to Thursday.

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In fact, we're going to start to tap into some colder air from the

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near Continent around that block of high pressure still.

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I think Thursday could be a particularly raw day,

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with those cold winds, and despite some sunshine across some

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central and eastern parts of England in particular,

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temperatures will struggle to get

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much higher than, what, two or three degrees.

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Further west, it won't exactly be warm, with a stiff southerly wind,

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but the wind will again push those weather fronts offshore,

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so for the majority of us again on Thursday it should be a dry day.

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Big question marks by the end of the week as to how quickly these fronts

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push in again, so don't take the position of this too literally.

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It could be further west or east, but patchy rain trying to push in.

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Having said that, many eastern areas will again have a dry day,

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albeit quite a chilly one.

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It does look as if by the weekend the fronts will start to push in

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across the country.

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How quickly that happens is very uncertain,

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but what they will introduce eventually is an Atlantic feed,

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milder winds, driven by a strengthening jet stream

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through this weekend.

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The jet stream is focused across the north-west of the UK,

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and actually, beyond the weekend,

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this is where most of the wet and windy weather will be.

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Furthest away from the jet stream, it stays mostly dry.

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So as we end the month, it does look like a north-west/south-east split.

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Certainly milder than recently, wettest and windiest across

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the north-west, but further south

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and east, this dry winter continues. I'll update you again tomorrow.

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