05/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


05/02/2017

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Thanks for joining me.

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Before I talk about the weather for the week ahead, I want to

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show you this bullet that we dodged in the last 24 hours or so.

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This nasty storm slammed into France,

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bringing gusts of 92mph, very bad weather inland too -

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hundreds of thousands of people without power.

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And now there's another storm heading to France,

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a similar path as well.

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This one isn't going to be quite so bad, but it's just to

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the south of us, we're talking about a few hundred miles.

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Instead, what we've got is just a few showers, so we're very,

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very lucky to dodge those two nasty storms.

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Not so good for France, of course.

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This is how Sunday looks like in the morning, so pretty nippy,

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a lot of cloud, mist and drizzle in places as well.

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And then Sunday itself, a mix of weather around.

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There will be a fair bit of cloud around,

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but I think the best of any sunshine will be across these more

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northern areas, certainly the north of Scotland, Moray, Aberdeenshire.

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The rest of us,

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call it partly cloudy skies and there'll be some showers

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around Northern Ireland, Wales, down into the south-west as well.

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And then Sunday night into Monday, the skies are going to clear.

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This is pretty chilly air sat on top of us,

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so that means that first thing on Monday it is going to be nippy.

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We're in for a frost, but there's also rain on the way.

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This big area of low pressure will be swinging out of

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the Atlantic and bringing some big weather fronts in our direction.

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That means a lot of cloud and rain.

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So through the morning,

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increasing clouds in Northern Ireland, Wales and the south-west.

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Meanwhile, we've got that clear, frosty,

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much calmer start across most of Scotland and England.

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Then through the morning into the afternoon you can see how

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that rain nudges ever eastwards, so the country's quite literally

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split in half - a wet west, much drier east,

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and I think it's going to stay dry in the east through most of Monday.

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Then on Tuesday, the reverse is true,

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so eastern areas have that weather front which is straddling

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that coastline, so it's staying cloudy, cold and grey here,

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whereas these western areas, a little bit more sunshine and

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maybe one or two showers thrown in as well.

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And still pretty chilly - only six degrees there in Newcastle,

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and if it's going to be raining with a breeze off the North Sea,

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not a pleasant picture.

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And then on Wednesday, the remnants of that weather front still

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in the east, so I think a lot of cloud.

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There won't be much rain but the best of the weather

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will be across western areas.

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And then we've got another front trying to push our way,

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and it will be nudging in the direction of

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Northern Ireland, western Scotland, only very, very slowly.

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So this is another area of low pressure that's trying to

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push in and bring us some cloud and rain.

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The reason why it's so slow, because it kind of almost stalls here,

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is because of this area of high pressure.

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High pressures are like blocks, they're like stones -

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they stop weather fronts coming in and low pressures.

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Look at that, it tries to come in. In fact, that low retracts.

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So, that high, and we call it a blocking high,

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it blocks the weather, that blocking high is with us by next weekend.

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There's some cold, pretty cloudy weather

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stuck within it as well and all that cold,

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cloudy weather, the thinking is, at least currently, will be moving

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in our direction and the milder, wetter weather will be pushed

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back out into the Atlantic.

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So this is what it looks like early next week - cold and cloudy.

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There's just the chance that this won't happen,

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but the most likely scenario is that we get that cold easterly wind

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with that area of high pressure.

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So, the week ahead summary - we'll have some rain at times,

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it slowly turns colder,

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but just a degree of uncertainty there in that forecast.

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Bye-bye.

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