11/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


11/02/2017

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Hello. We are not done with winter yet

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and those of you who live across the eastern half of the UK

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will know exactly what I'm talking about.

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This Weather Watchers picture from Friday afternoon in Newcastle

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really tells the scene -

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a light dusting of snow, a cold feel

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across the country and that story continues through the weekend.

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A lot of cloud around,

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the showers will be wintry in nature

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and the wind will strengthen as well,

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just making it feel even colder

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if that's possible.

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Now we'll start off with

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some wintry showers stretching through

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eastern Scotland across the north-east of England

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and some of those will push

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a little bit further westwards

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through the course of the afternoon,

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something that we've not seen in recent days,

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so I suspect by three o'clock Saturday afternoon

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there's likely to be a few showers,

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showers chiefly of rain,

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across the West Country,

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but not a particularly warm feel

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to the day, 3 or 4 degrees.

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There'll be some showers or sleet

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and snow mixed in there across Wales

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and really it will be rain

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close to the coastline

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in the south-east corner,

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but a cold feel when you add on

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the strength of that wind.

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Gales not out of the question,

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with further snow showers

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across the north of England.

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Northern Ireland and north-west Scotland,

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you will see the best of any brightness,

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but again into eastern Scotland,

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those nagging nuisance showers

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set to continue and in fact

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they'll enhance through the night

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on Saturday into Sunday,

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across the Pennines and the Peak District

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for a time, yet more accumulations

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of snow likely, but then as we go

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through Sunday, a brisk easterly wind,

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but it's likely that we'll see

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the snow showers turning back to rain.

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To the north and south perhaps

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something a little bit drier

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and perhaps brighter into the north-west,

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but still not particularly warm.

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Now as we move out of Sunday into Monday,

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we will start to see the isobars squeezing up,

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the wind strengthening again,

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but starting to swing round to a south-easterly,

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so there is a glimmer of hope

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in the story as we look further ahead.

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On Monday, there'll be a little more

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in the way of sunshine

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breaking up that cloud, that breeze,

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a little bit of drier air, not...

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not quite as cold as it has been,

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5 to 8 degrees the high.

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As we move out of Monday into Tuesday,

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we'll start to see the winds really slowly pivoting around from

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a south-easterly eventually to a southerly direction.

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This weather front likely to threaten

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into the south-west.

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It might bring some cloud

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and outbreaks of rain,

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but it'll start to, again,

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bring a slightly less cold feel

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across the country, 6 to 11, double digits

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in the far south-west.

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As we move into Wednesday,

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more of a southerly flow,

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a good deal of dry weather

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is expected in the story,

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lighter winds, so if you get

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some sunshine coming through,

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10, 12 degrees will certainly feel

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much better than it has done of late.

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So, as we go on to the latter stages of the week,

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it looks likely... it's going to be a slow process

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but this milder air will push right across the country

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and we've lost that bitterly cold

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wintry flavour.

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As we look further afield,

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the six- to ten-day period,

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that area of high pressure

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that's so been dominant

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just recently, if that sits close

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towards France, there's the potential

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of allowing those areas of low pressure to move in

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and that will bring some wet weather,

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so something perhaps a little more mobile,

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a little bit more unsettled,

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however there is the potential

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and this is the less likely scenario,

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but if that high pressure drifts

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a little bit further north

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and just centres itself more across

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England and Wales, the low pressures

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will skip to the extreme north

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and we're likely

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to stay drier yet again.

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That will cause a problem with some early morning frost and fog,

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but once that lifts, we could see some dry weather

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continuing into the longer

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six- to ten-day period.

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Take care.

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