16/11/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


16/11/2017

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Hello. It's time to find out what the weather's up to over the next

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few days, and in the short term, we're fairly confident,

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as is often the case,

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but when it comes to around about Sunday time, that period,

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that's when the confidence goes downhill a little bit.

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In the short term, through the early hours of Thursday,

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there's still a lot of mist and murk around.

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You can see a lot of cloud on the satellite picture here.

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But this area of cloud here, that's a cold front, and that cold front

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will be introducing a shot of colder air over the next 24 hours or so.

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And this process is going to be happening through the early

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hours of Thursday. Here's our cold front.

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The rain marches into Northern Ireland and Scotland.

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Behind it, Atlantic winds drag in that polar air, so you can see

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temperatures dipping down to six there in Glasgow.

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Still relatively mild across the south, around ten degrees.

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So, let's have a look at the weather on Thursday morning.

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In the south, it's still a mild start,

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temperatures around double figures.

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You can see ten degrees there in London, 11 in Southampton.

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Still a little bit of drizzle around.

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And then we get to around about the north-west of England,

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around the Lake District here and into Newcastle.

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This is where the cold front is, and the other side of that

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there's quite a marked drop in the temperature.

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The winds are quite strong, as well,

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possibly up to gale force there, and a number of showers

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moving through parts of north-western Scotland.

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So, our front makes its journey further southwards during the course

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of Thursday, bringing a spell of rain for some of us,

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but really, by the end of the day,

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the northern two thirds of the country are in that crisp,

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cold air, whereas in the south it's still relatively mild.

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And then eventually, Thursday night into Friday,

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that cold front moves out of the way.

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There's another little one affecting Scotland,

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but the main message is the high pressure builds,

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so across most parts of the country it starts off on a sunny note.

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In fact, Friday's going to be a beautiful day,

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apart from Scotland, where you'll have showers.

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This little mini cold front moves through

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and brings some blustery showers, maybe even wintry across the hills.

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Friday night is expected to be clear, which means that

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Saturday morning is going to be frosty, particularly out of town.

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There'll be a lot of dry and bright weather around,

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apart from a few showers maybe closer towards the east,

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and those temperatures typically between seven and ten degrees.

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And then Saturday, after a relatively decent day, comes Sunday.

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This low pressure starts marching in, we think.

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It looks like rain will eventually reach western areas

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sometime on Sunday, but many central and eastern areas

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may actually get away with a dry day.

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It's the timing that's proving a little bit tricky with that rain,

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but eventually, what will happen with this low here,

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later on Sunday it moves through. So, this is Sunday night.

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You can see most of us get a bit of rain.

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And then Monday, that rain clears out of the way.

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So on Monday we're in-between weather systems here,

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so we think that Monday should be a fairly decent day.

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So once again it's that dodgy period between Sunday

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and Monday - we're not entirely sure when the rain clears through.

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And then beyond that, the thinking is that another low pressure

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might move in, so about Wednesday time,

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and it's going to be a typical picture,

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drawing up slightly milder air from the south,

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and then behind the back side of this low we'll see colder,

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again polar air coming in,

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so a very typical scenario for this time of the year.

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So the vague message is for next week

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chilly and blustery across the north, which is

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what you'd expect this time of year, and just that little bit

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milder and perhaps wetter, given the

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lows go further south, in the south. Bye-bye.

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