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Hello, thanks for joining me. | 0:00:02 | 0:00:03 | |
We'll be giving you a fair amount of detail | 0:00:03 | 0:00:05 | |
on how we expect to see the weather developing | 0:00:05 | 0:00:07 | |
right across the British Isles over the next few days, | 0:00:07 | 0:00:09 | |
and that will take us through the weekend | 0:00:09 | 0:00:10 | |
and into the first part of next week. | 0:00:10 | 0:00:12 | |
Then we'll try and give you some themes | 0:00:12 | 0:00:14 | |
about what happens next week. | 0:00:14 | 0:00:15 | |
In the shorter term, | 0:00:15 | 0:00:16 | |
fairly quiet spell of weather at the moment, | 0:00:16 | 0:00:18 | |
a little weak ridge of high pressure, there, | 0:00:18 | 0:00:20 | |
following in behind an old weather front | 0:00:20 | 0:00:22 | |
that was all over the eastern side | 0:00:22 | 0:00:24 | |
of the British Isles on Wednesday, | 0:00:24 | 0:00:25 | |
still producing enough cloud | 0:00:25 | 0:00:27 | |
for the odd bit and piece of rain, here. | 0:00:27 | 0:00:28 | |
The main story, first up, though, | 0:00:28 | 0:00:30 | |
across many western areas is one of fog, | 0:00:30 | 0:00:32 | |
and some of that fog | 0:00:32 | 0:00:33 | |
may well linger on through the day - | 0:00:33 | 0:00:35 | |
but, if you manage to get rid of that, | 0:00:35 | 0:00:37 | |
it is in the west | 0:00:37 | 0:00:38 | |
that you're more likely to see | 0:00:38 | 0:00:39 | |
the better chance of sunshine. | 0:00:39 | 0:00:40 | |
Temperatures, though, | 0:00:40 | 0:00:41 | |
not really responding to that - | 0:00:41 | 0:00:43 | |
particularly where you hold on to the fog | 0:00:43 | 0:00:44 | |
you could be down 2, 3, 4 degrees | 0:00:44 | 0:00:46 | |
either in the west or in the east, | 0:00:46 | 0:00:48 | |
close by to that old front. | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
That old front, | 0:00:50 | 0:00:51 | |
there's still enough about it | 0:00:51 | 0:00:52 | |
still to be producing the odd spot of drizzle | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
as we get on through Thursday night | 0:00:54 | 0:00:56 | |
into the first part of Friday. | 0:00:56 | 0:00:58 | |
Out towards the west, again, | 0:00:58 | 0:00:59 | |
it's a combination of pretty chilly fare | 0:00:59 | 0:01:02 | |
and that prospect of some fog, as well. | 0:01:02 | 0:01:05 | |
Those quiet conditions look set to stay on | 0:01:05 | 0:01:08 | |
into the first part of Friday, certainly, | 0:01:08 | 0:01:10 | |
although we'll begin to see | 0:01:10 | 0:01:11 | |
something of a change moving in | 0:01:11 | 0:01:13 | |
towards the west as, initially, | 0:01:13 | 0:01:15 | |
it's the breeze that picks up, | 0:01:15 | 0:01:16 | |
so, I don't think Northern Ireland | 0:01:16 | 0:01:18 | |
will see much of a problem with fog | 0:01:18 | 0:01:19 | |
on Friday morning. | 0:01:19 | 0:01:20 | |
It could still be an issue for other parts, | 0:01:20 | 0:01:23 | |
but, again, it's a cloudy day, | 0:01:23 | 0:01:24 | |
the odd spot of rain, | 0:01:24 | 0:01:26 | |
where the cloud thickens up | 0:01:26 | 0:01:27 | |
for any length of time. | 0:01:27 | 0:01:28 | |
Hints of brightness, yes, | 0:01:28 | 0:01:30 | |
but that's for the favoured few | 0:01:30 | 0:01:32 | |
rather than for the many. | 0:01:32 | 0:01:34 | |
Even on into the weekend, | 0:01:34 | 0:01:35 | |
this area of low pressure | 0:01:35 | 0:01:37 | |
is trying to throw that frontal system | 0:01:37 | 0:01:39 | |
in towards British Isles, | 0:01:39 | 0:01:40 | |
but making heavy weather of it, | 0:01:40 | 0:01:41 | |
if you'll forgive the pun, | 0:01:41 | 0:01:43 | |
simply because it's running into the high pressure | 0:01:43 | 0:01:45 | |
dominant over Europe. | 0:01:45 | 0:01:46 | |
So, the front, if you happen to get it, | 0:01:46 | 0:01:48 | |
stays with you for the greater part of the day, | 0:01:48 | 0:01:50 | |
and that means many western parts, | 0:01:50 | 0:01:52 | |
and especially through Northern Ireland, | 0:01:52 | 0:01:54 | |
and here we are, as far ahead as Sunday, | 0:01:54 | 0:01:56 | |
and that weather front rather dying a death. | 0:01:56 | 0:01:58 | |
Here, you'll have to join the dots | 0:01:58 | 0:01:59 | |
through central and eastern parts. | 0:01:59 | 0:02:01 | |
That's the remnants of that front. | 0:02:01 | 0:02:02 | |
Something a good deal more active | 0:02:02 | 0:02:04 | |
coming in from the Atlantic | 0:02:04 | 0:02:05 | |
producing very much more wet and very much more windy weather - | 0:02:05 | 0:02:09 | |
and here comes that weather front. | 0:02:09 | 0:02:11 | |
Gradually, we suspect, at this range - | 0:02:11 | 0:02:13 | |
and it is a suspicion - | 0:02:13 | 0:02:14 | |
working its way across the British Isles. | 0:02:14 | 0:02:17 | |
I think that's fairly well nailed on, | 0:02:17 | 0:02:19 | |
but my suspicions are raised | 0:02:19 | 0:02:20 | |
about just how quickly it's going to get away | 0:02:20 | 0:02:22 | |
from the eastern side of the British Isles. | 0:02:22 | 0:02:24 | |
Following on behind, | 0:02:24 | 0:02:25 | |
there are brighter skies, | 0:02:25 | 0:02:26 | |
but, my word, I think the temperatures | 0:02:26 | 0:02:28 | |
are going to begin to dip away, | 0:02:28 | 0:02:30 | |
and that's because we will find ourselves | 0:02:30 | 0:02:32 | |
in the first part of next week | 0:02:32 | 0:02:34 | |
on the cold side of the jet stream. | 0:02:34 | 0:02:37 | |
You'll see that there is mild air to be had, | 0:02:37 | 0:02:39 | |
but, my word, it's away, away down | 0:02:39 | 0:02:41 | |
towards the south-west of the British Isles, | 0:02:41 | 0:02:44 | |
and the contrast is such | 0:02:44 | 0:02:45 | |
between the colder air to the north | 0:02:45 | 0:02:46 | |
and the milder air to the south | 0:02:46 | 0:02:48 | |
that there will be a lot of wind generated, | 0:02:48 | 0:02:49 | |
and there will be westerlies, | 0:02:49 | 0:02:51 | |
and they'll rattle in a number of showers. | 0:02:51 | 0:02:53 | |
Some of those really quite squally, thundery, | 0:02:53 | 0:02:55 | |
and they'll be snowy on the higher ground. | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
As we move towards the end of the week, | 0:02:57 | 0:02:58 | |
so the low pressure moves its station | 0:02:58 | 0:03:01 | |
from the north-west of us out towards the east, | 0:03:01 | 0:03:03 | |
high pressure builds out towards the west, | 0:03:03 | 0:03:05 | |
and that generates | 0:03:05 | 0:03:06 | |
something of a north to north-westerly wind | 0:03:06 | 0:03:09 | |
down and across all parts of the British Isles. | 0:03:09 | 0:03:11 | |
Now, that orientation | 0:03:11 | 0:03:13 | |
is pretty short-lived. | 0:03:13 | 0:03:14 | |
I think what we have to work on | 0:03:14 | 0:03:15 | |
for the greater part of that week | 0:03:15 | 0:03:17 | |
is that it'll be often windy, | 0:03:17 | 0:03:18 | |
really quite wintry, those showers, | 0:03:18 | 0:03:20 | |
across the northern half of the British Isles, | 0:03:20 | 0:03:22 | |
and then, with that change in orientation | 0:03:22 | 0:03:23 | |
to the north, | 0:03:23 | 0:03:24 | |
a bit of a short, sharp shock | 0:03:24 | 0:03:26 | |
of colder weather to many parts. | 0:03:26 | 0:03:28 |