18/02/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


18/02/2018

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Hello. There's a bit of a battle going on,

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between milder air in the Atlantic and something colder further east.

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Over the next few days,

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it looks like it's the milder air

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that's going to win through.

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Shown here with the yellow colours,

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gradually extending their way across the UK.

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They don't hang around for very long

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because, through next week, these bluer colours -

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the colder air further east -

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start the push their way back westwards.

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More on that in just a moment. Back to the here and now.

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For many, Saturday was a sunny one.

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A few exceptions - we had more cloud around

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across northern and central parts of England,

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some showery rain for a time - that's started to fade.

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and then a different sort of day tomorrow.

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We have this warm front pushing its way towards the UK.

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As its name implies, behind it is some milder air.

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But not at first tomorrow - a cold, frosty start.

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We hang onto the dry, bright weather

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for much of the day across eastern areas,

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but cloud will be increasing from the west all the time,

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and that will bring some outbreaks of rain

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into Northern Ireland, western Scotland,

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north-western England, the north of Wales and south-west England.

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Highs tomorrow, 7 to 11 Celsius -

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for some, feeling milder than it has done recently.

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Now, that front makes slow progress eastwards through tomorrow evening.

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So, eventually, all of us will see some outbreaks of rain.

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Doesn't go very far on Monday,

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and grinds to a halt across eastern areas.

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It will keep a lot of cloud across the country on Monday.

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There'll be some mist and fog and murky conditions

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with further outbreaks of rain,

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which are likely to linger for a time

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across East Anglia and south-east England.

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But a mild start to the week - highs of 11 or 12 Celsius,

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even across parts of Scotland. Much milder than recently.

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The best of any brighter weather will be further west.

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Now, these fronts are not going to go anywhere fast

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as we go into Tuesday,

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cos we've got areas of high pressure on both sides.

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So, once again, it stalls on Tuesday.

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Still keeping a lot of cloud

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with some outbreaks of rain across England and Wales.

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Drier and brighter with the best of the sunshine

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across Northern Ireland and Scotland.

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But temperatures starting to come down,

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particularly for eastern counties.

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Still just about holding on to something milder further west.

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We do start to see those easterly winds

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starting to develop as we go through Wednesday.

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And you see this area of high pressure?

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That's going to keep things mainly dry and settled across the country.

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Any fronts will have fizzled out by that stage.

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So there'll be some cloud around on Wednesday,

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but generally a quiet day and, after a cold, frosty start,

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we'll see some spells of sunshine,

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but temperatures are going to struggle to recover -

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five to seven Celsius quite typically on Wednesday.

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So we are back into the cold air.

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As we go ahead into Thursday,

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again, much of the country dry with some sunshine.

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A cold, frosty start.

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This band of rain could just start to affect

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north-western parts of Scotland,

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and maybe Northern Ireland later in the day on Thursday.

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But, again, it's this battle

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between the colder air further east

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and something milder further west.

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And, certainly for the end of the week,

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it looks like that colder air is going to win through.

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Still some discussion amongst the models

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as to exactly where this area of high pressure across Scandinavia

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is going to be, and just how cold it could get.

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But it certainly looks like daytime temperatures

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are not going to get much above six or seven Celsius

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for the end of the week, and we're still dry and settled.

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And although milder air is never too far away,

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it does look likely that this colder air,

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with those easterly winds,

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are going to continue to affect the country.

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So what does that mean further ahead?

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Well, perhaps just milder for a time,

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particularly for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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but we're going to hang on to those easterly winds for most,

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and it will be turning much colder.

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That's all from me.

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Phil Avery will have the forecasts for you tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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