10/03/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


10/03/2018

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Hello. Mild and unsettled pretty much covers it for the weekend.

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How long can that last through our 10-day forecast?

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Well, I'll tell you in just a moment.

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For the time being,

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let's concentrate on the here and now

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because with low pressure out to the west,

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we're drawing southerly winds across the British Isles,

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introducing some really mild air for the weekend.

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Temperatures in parts of the south getting up to 15, maybe 16 degrees,

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but with that we will see

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some outbreaks of rain at times.

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So here's how Saturday pans out.

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Outbreaks of rain moving across Wales, the Midlands,

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northern England, Northern Ireland

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and up into Scotland where we could see some snow over high ground.

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But much of what falls will be rain

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because things will become increasingly mild from the south.

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Where we get breaks in the cloud,

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that's where we could get

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to 14, 15, maybe 16 degrees.

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Always that bit colder

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further north across Scotland.

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But as we move into Sunday and this area of low pressure

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continues to spin around to the west,

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we'll continue to draw southerly winds in across the country.

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So even in Scotland we can expect many places to see

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highs in double digits

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on Sunday afternoon.

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There could be a lot of mist and fog on Sunday morning.

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That should clear away,

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then a decent amount of dry weather, spells of sunshine.

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Some hefty showers across southern and western areas

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of England, Wales, also into Northern Ireland.

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Some of these could contain the odd rumble of thunder.

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13 degrees in London,

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but even in Aberdeen we're looking at highs of 11 degrees.

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On Monday there will be various areas of wet weather

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swarming around close to the UK.

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But in-between, some decent dry conditions for many of us.

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A lot of cloud around.

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Best chance of any breaks in that cloud, any sunny spells,

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in western areas.

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Could be the odd shower here.

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Those temperatures may be down a bit,

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but still fairly respectable for the time of year.

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It looks on the chart here like

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low pressure will remain in charge into Tuesday.

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But look at this bump in the isobars.

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That's a little transient ridge of high pressure.

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Tuesday looks like a largely dry day for many.

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Always more cloud, we suspect,

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across the eastern half of the country,

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maybe the odd shower. Best chance of sunshine out west.

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And those temperatures again doing quite well.

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10 in Edinburgh, 11 degrees in Cardiff.

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For Wednesday, we start off

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dry and bright in eastern areas,

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but it looks like we'll bring

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outbreaks of heavy rain into western areas.

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And strengthening winds as well.

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But this is obviously quite a few days ahead,

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so the timing of this weather system may change.

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Still mild, you'll notice.

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10 to 13 degrees for many.

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Let's look further ahead towards the end of next week.

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The jet stream really undulating its way northwards

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and southwards as it moves across the Atlantic.

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Where we get these dips in the Jet stream,

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they'll essentially trap areas of low pressure,

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so these lows will just sit and spin

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as we head into next weekend.

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However, the change is we're likely to see an area

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of high pressure trying to build down from Scandinavia.

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And this weather set-up will give us

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something of a split in our fortunes.

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Because across many areas, particularly towards the south,

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we'll continue to see a feed

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of warm, or at least mild, south-westerly winds.

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But around this area of high pressure,

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Scotland may start to tap into

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something a little bit colder.

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So, as we go into next weekend,

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we'll see sunny spells, heavy showers too,

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a continuation of that unsettled theme.

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Mild for many, but just a chance that things across Scotland

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could turn a little bit colder.

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That's all for me from now,

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we'll keep you up-to-date over the next few days.

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