15/08/2016 Asia Business Report


15/08/2016

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Has Abenomics failed? Japan's yearly growth figures came in lower than

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expected. And the end of wining and dining for businesses. South Korea

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brings in a new law to crack down on corruption. Good morning, Asia.

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Hello, world. I'm Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore. Thank you for joining us

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for Asia Business Report. It's a Monday we will start with the third

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largest economy in the world, Japan. Growth figures for the three months

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between April and June came in weaker than expected at .2%. Some

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economists are questioning whether the Prime Minister's aggressive

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policies known as Abenomics have failed. Our guest has been lobbying

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businesses in Japan to use more female workers to boost productivity

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since the 1990s. I talked to her. It is the first time they have elevated

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the issue of female participation in the workplace at the national

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strategic growth level. In the past it has been viewed as something more

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along the lines of human rights and equality, that clearly this topic,

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in so far as trying to boost growth nationally, really the only way to

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do it is to increase participation. One of the areas is female

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participation. We have seen it chewed up in the last three years to

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66%. That is higher than the rates in America. Not that we are near

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where we need to be in Japan, there is still a long way to go, but there

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has definitely been progress. 66%, you say, in terms of female

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participation. That seems to be quite a change. Is at helping

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Japan's economy but we are still seeing and credibly slow growth. The

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problem is they are not all taking on full-time work, but rather

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part-time work. Part-time workers get paid about half a full-time

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worker. So they are not experiencing the gains they would if they were

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working full-time jobs. The government is aware of this. It is

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trying to change some of the tax and legal rules which is restricting

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women from taking on full-time work. It is a work in progress. But the

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direction is finally going in the right direction. What else can Abe

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san do to boost the economy? He has introduced a huge stimulus package

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in the last few weeks. Some people say that he has failed somewhat in

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the policies we have seen over the last two years. Obviously, if you

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have looked at the track record since he came into office in 2012

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you see a mixed picture. On the one hand, you see overall corporate

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rockets have essentially doubled, the stock market is up about 66%

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since its level since then. As I said, you have seen more women in

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the workplace than ever before. But on the other hand, the government

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has failed to achieve its targets, for example, for inflation

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expectations. They initially rose but have fallen back down despite

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incredible easing by the Bank of Japan. Has been some success and

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some failure. I think on the expectations front the government

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certainly needs to do more to boost those back up among society. Thank

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you. That us turn our attention now to Southeast Asia's largest economy,

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Indonesia. -- let's. It is overhauling its coffers. It is

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thinking of setting up two islands near Singapore as its own tax havens

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while corporate tax may be cut to attract multinationals us. It will

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allow repatriated funds to be invested in assets like gold and

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property. Will this work? I asked an economist. Indonesia is struggling

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at the moment with a lack of government revenue caused by low

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commodity prices. There is an idea that tax amnesty would bring in

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extra money but it hasn't brought in March to date. That is not a

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surprise. That is typical of these measures. The reasons people don't

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want to bring money into Indonesia, the day locals all foreigners, that

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doesn't have much to do with the tax breaks but the regulatory

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environment. -- be they. What is wrong with it? They have these

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enticements to put some of the money into asset. Over the last year also,

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the direction of economic and business policy in Indonesia has got

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much better. The business environment is improving. But it is

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the difficult. Any sectors are closed to foreign investment.

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Regulation change quite often depending on which of Indonesia's

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famous vested interests are more powerful at a moment in time. There

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is no belief that they will persist for a time which is what you need

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for sustained investment. A sustained regulatory environment is

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what you are saying. Indonesia are also talking about dropping their

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corporate tax rate to 70% to match Singapore. -- 17%. They are talking

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about having tax havens on two islands near Singapore. What could

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this do to an economy like Singapore which has benefited, to some extent,

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from this in the last two years? A key part of Singapore's success is

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that it is the easiest place to do business in all of Southeast Asia.

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That essentially makes it the headquarters for many in the region.

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I don't think these moves by Indonesia are going to be

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game-changers. They will be sensible. It makes sense to take

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advantage of islands that are nearby. Singapore could get some of

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the overspill as the cost rises to do business. But I think it is not

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so much the corporate tax rate that is the big turnoff for companies. I

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think it is the certainty in the business environment and being able

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to know that when you make an investment it is going to be

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profitable for, you know, the 10- 20 years that they will be put to work.

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In other business news, the International Monetary Fund has

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urged China to reduce its reliance on credit fuelled investment in its

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annual review, and they also said that Beijing needs to tackle rising

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corporate debt. China's richest man will reportedly win backing for a

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deal with the flagship firm of his empire. If approved, the deal worth

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nearly $4.5 billion would be Hong Kong's biggest ever privatisation.

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You might ask, what would business be without entertainment? Is GSS

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part of dealmaking? -- golf subpoen not in Southeast Asia after next

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month rules come in on how much can be spent entertaining people. It has

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been called to Draconian. Steve Evans wanted to know what the

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consequences might be over a business lunch in South Korea. This

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is a very, very nice restaurant. It is in the middle of Seoul. Classic

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business entertainment. But the rules will change at the end of next

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month. There will be strict limits on this kind of dining in South

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Korea. I have with me a government official and a is this man. These

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rules will be much tougher for this kind of entertainment. --

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businessman. Under the new rules, entertainment will be limited to

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about $30 a head in restaurants. And you cannot give gifts of more than

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$50 a head. Cash gifts, which are traditionally given at weddings,

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cannot be more than $100 a head. Antwon of the intriguing things is

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that teachers are covered in this. -- and one of the most. Parents give

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gifts to teachers to get more attention to their children. This

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country focuses on relationships. If you want to do something you have to

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build a relationship. If they have been overentertaining people, the

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government officer cannot be fair enough to do something. For the

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people and the cities. The loophole is that the law EU's focusing on

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this law for individual journalists. -- is. The problem is you still have

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20 odd newspapers in Seoul. The only way they can survive is through some

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advertising subsidies by the main conglomerates here. And of course,

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in return for getting the advertising, the newspapers are very

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careful about writing critical stories about these corporations. Oh

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dear. The bill has arrived. It is more than $30 a head. But it is like

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the new law does not come in place or a month, otherwise we would all

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be in deep trouble. A clever escape for Steve Evans. Let's take a look

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at the market before we go. Lacklustre markets. No real

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surprise. We saw GDP numbers coming from Japan at weaker than expected,

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0.2%. That is ironically the same the market is down. The All

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Ordinaries Index is low as well. Japan is seeing sharp shares

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falling. That is after the company said it completed its takeover. That

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is it for me is edition of Asia Business Report. Thank you for

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watching.

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