20/01/2017 Asia Business Report


20/01/2017

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Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:00.:00:15.

As Donald Trump gets ready to move into the White House we look at his

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plans to improve the US economy. And the latest growth figures in China

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will be scrutinised under worries of a potential trade war. Hello and

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welcome to Asia Business Report. The big day is finally here. Dan Norton

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up's inauguration and the many he is a controversial person to move into

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the White House and there is a lot of uncertainty as to how presidency

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will impact the economy. This was the moment democrats hoped

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would put that in check after financial crisis that led to the

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worst US recession since the Great Depression, President Obama and the

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American people were eager to see regulations that would put limits on

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bad behaviour and prevent US taxpayers from ever having to bail

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out the banks again. But Republicans have been attacking dog Frank since

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its inception saying it has gone too far. Now they are in power, scaling

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back some of those rules is finally in reach. Bank lending has been

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impeded. We have practically zero interest rate yet Gross domestic

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investment is negative or barely rising. GDP growth has not gone

:01:52.:01:59.

above 2%. Part of that reason is the overregulation. Although the

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incoming Trump administration says it will dismantle it, what exactly

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that will look like is a big unknown but the hope of what is to come has

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banking stocks euphoric. Supporters worry what could happen if they are

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repealed. A signature part was created by Paul. The rock provisions

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that hopefully can take care of things without disrupting the whole

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market. To stop the next crisis. The document is often criticised as an

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overly complicated one size fits all solution. With Donald Trump in his

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way to office, those regulations may be on the way out. The question then

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is whether or not it leaves the US exposed to yet another financial

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crisis. Rather unusually, US stocks fell

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ahead of the swearing in the remaining of Donald Trump. The

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longest losing streak since the election falling for a fifth

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straight day which is ironic when we saw Mr Trump's win in November had

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triggered a rally in US stocks. We were looking at the key 20,000

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level. What can we expect then in the next four years? Spoke to

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economists. The economy is in fine shape, unemployment is that only

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4.7% and as Janet Yellen said yesterday that is close to full

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employment and what Trump is planning to do is cut taxes and

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raise spending on infrastructure in particular and if he does that, he

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will generate quite a lot of inflation and I think bond yields

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will rise sharply as a result. Going back to the Labour issue, jobs

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coming back to the US - we have had a lot of the rhetoric, particularly

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with the auto company changing their outlook and strategy in a way

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because of Trump's push towards manufacturing in the US or else you

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face import tariffs. Is this all due to Trump? The US will impose a

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border tax adjustment and, in effect, will start subsidising

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exporters by exempting them from proper tax while ensuring that all

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important expenses will face attacks. This is supposed to be the

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equivalent of a VAT. It is probably not compliant but if it does go

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through it will have a chilling effect on global trade it was the

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largest economy will be moving towards a protection is a fact. The

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owner of the New York jets has been asked to join the Republican Party

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Cabinet. He has been named as ambassador. Paramount pictures is

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getting a $1 billion investment in cash from the Chinese firms.

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Paramount has been struggling to secure money. The three-year deal

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with the Shanghai group gives it a foot in the second largest box

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office market. China will release its economic data. Vigurs attempt to

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come in line with the official target so we are not really

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expecting any huge surprises. -- data is expected to. Earlier I asked

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an economist in Hong Kong about it. There are always question marks

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about the official markets. From an investing point of view, we do not

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only focus on one data series, such as GDP. In the past, government

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officials were rewarded in terms of our fast province could grow and

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with the anticorruption campaign we saw a different shift in terms of

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how people are rewarded. Different messages coming out from Beijing and

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we will see the targeted GDP number come down gradually. You hurt me

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talking about Donald Trump as the next president and concerns that

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that tensions will mount with China with his protectionist style. He

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implements Savea tariffs. The global trade environment is quite fragile

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so the World Trade Organisation estimated last year that trade only

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group 1.7% which is slower than GDP growth. If can't implement harsh

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penalties towards Asian companies, the knock-on effect will be towards

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the US consumer because the tariffs will be passed on from the company

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to the consumer and I doubt that is what he will want to see. The world

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economic foreign is often criticised as being a talking shop for the

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global elite. Inequality and the backlash against globalisation have

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the sheer taken front stage. Our companies listening? Capitalism is

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the very lifeblood of the World Economic Forum in Davos. People who

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come here are very committed to the idea that we trade is the basis of

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future asperity so how are they responding to the message from some

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voters who feel that that prosperity has not been evenly spread. Let's

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start with the US and Donald Trump. The fact that he won the election is

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not something that surprised or not surprise me but the fact that people

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are unsettled, not happy, wanting change, that is a very clear. But it

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is not just American voices expressing concern about the

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consequences of free trade. I personally think we cannot stop

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globalisation. There is no going back, it is in their and it will

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continue but I think we could definitely do it in a more conscious

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way, in a more inclusive manner and our leaders should foster more

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inclusive than us and try to find the middle ground. What has become

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clear in the last few days in doubles is that companies

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desperately want to hang on to the benefits of globalisation but at the

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same time are increasingly realising that governments have a

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responsibility towards those who risk losing out. What is not yet

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clear is how that responsibility can take shape. A quick look at the

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markets before we go. The Nick a is flat at the moment. -- nikkei. We

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have the Chinese GDP numbers are out in just under 20 minutes and a lot

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of caution setting out even so 6.7% is the expected figure. Thank you

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for watching.

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