22/06/2016 BBC Business Live


22/06/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson

:00:00.:00:00.

It's less than 24 hours until the UK votes

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We'll assess the last minute campaigning and what markets make

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Live from London, that's our top story

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By this time tomorrow the first votes will have been cast

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Both sides have been using the last day of campaigning

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Pollution from millions of diesel cars increases when air temperatures

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fall too low. In this is how markets look across

:00:59.:01:03.

Europe ahead of the crucial vote on the UK's membership of the EU.

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And is poor eyesight an economic problem?

:01:13.:01:14.

We'll meet the man who says millions of people still lack access to basic

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care to cure poor vision and it's costing the world

:01:18.:01:20.

And - I quit - new figures show staff turnover

:01:21.:01:27.

mean more of us are prepared to ditch our job on the spot

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So we want to know, is a job for life a thing of the past?

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Let us know, use the hashtag BBC Biz Live.

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The UK's big vote on its future in Europe begins in less than 24 hours.

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So that means less than 24 hours of last minute

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Today, more than 1,000 business leaders have written to the UK's

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Times newspaper to warn that leaving the EU would harm

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Those who've signed include bosses of 51 FTSE 100 companies

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and hundreds of smaller businesses which between them, employ

:02:15.:02:21.

On the other side of the debate, the billionaire entrepreneur

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and inventor Sir James Dyson has written a piece describing a Remain

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victory as "an act of national self-harm."

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He says the vote offers "the last opportunity to regain

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Well, letters from bosses to their employees have also

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The latest, a senior vice President at Tate and Lyle Sugar,

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explaining to staff that, in his view, the EU has pushed

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Gerald Mason has not advised the 800 staff how to vote, but did say jobs

:02:48.:02:54.

And German newspaper Handelsblatt has published an interview

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with the EU's Financial Services commissioner who says that Banks

:03:02.:03:06.

could be forced to relocate jobs from London to Frankfurt or Paris

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It's worth pointing out though that the commissioner -

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Jonathan Hill - is a Brit and he was appointed

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to the European Commission by Prime Minister David Cameron,

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who wants the UK to remain in the EU.

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With me now is our business editor Simon Jack.

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Simon as we get closer to decision day, you really get a sense that

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business leaders are feeling they need to do all they can to influence

:03:32.:03:33.

those who work for them? Yes, this those who work for them? Yes, this

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is the biggest display of force yet by the Remain business camp. It is a

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better of 51 of the top FTSE 100 companies. There is hundreds of

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smaller companies. I think that, you know, in the headlines as well, we

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have got James Dyson and Tate Lyle, but it is wrong to suggest on

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the one hand that we have got this and on the other hand we've got

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that. I mean for every Dyson, we have people from Astra accident Ca-a

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Yo! Sushi. Among larger employers they are overwhelmingly in favour of

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remain. You could ask how effective they are as cheer lead tors get the

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vote out? Businesses can't vote. They don't have a voice. In the

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Scottish referendum big business came late to that party and come

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people credited them with turning that vote around. Big business is

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overwhelmingly in. Remain's lead is narrower. That could be to do with

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the greater importance that big business place on the single market

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which even Vote Leave admit we would have to leave. Has the voice of the

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smaller businessman, woman, entrepreneur, sole trader been

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drowned out by the big business leaders? It is an important point

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because small businesses employ more people. 50% of the entire UK

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workforce is employed by smaller businesses. There is an

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inevitability, there are household names on this, you know, your

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Vodafones, your Whitbreads and AstraZeneca and those are big names,

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you won't have the same appeal if you're running a plumbing business,

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there is a danger of that, I suppose. And like I say, the

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Remain's lead amongst smaller business is much more evenly split.

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But within the big business community definitely the bias is on

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Remain. Have there been any surprises. Even will vote on their

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personal circumstances. If you have trade with Europe, if you rely on t

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you probably want to stay in. If you're not fussed, you probably want

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to state out and that's the debate? There are a couple of people who

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signed the letter. There was an earlier letter in February at the

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beginning of the campaign, then they had 36 FTSE 100 bosses and 200

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smaller businesses. This is lots more people have joined. For

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example, the boss of, the Chairman of Barclay's didn't sign the last

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letter, he signed this letter. As to your other point in the headlines

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there, there is fear amongst the banks that at the moment if you are

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in the EU and you are a bank, you can sell financial services anywhere

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in world. Switzerland have got to put lots of people inside the EU and

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that's why you see big groups of employees from places like UBS and

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credit Suisse in London, people fear they might lose that. The FTSE 100

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is not a British index, it is extremely international. Therefore,

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half the views on there represent many, many countries? Only 51 signed

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it. It is difficult to get Chief Executives or chairmen to sign it.

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They have got to clear it with their board. The FTSE 100 is stuffed full

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of mining companies who wouldn't feel appropriate to get involved in

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this. It is not a UK Plc index, but they employ a lot of people here in

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the UK. Simon, thank you. We will let gu. A busy day ahead for Simon

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and for the rest of us for that matter.

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New research seen by the BBC suggests pollution from many popular

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diesel cars is much worse when air temperatures drop below 18 Celsius.

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It's thought pollution control software, fitted

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in millions of vehicles, is turned off for most

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of the year in the UK, because of the cool weather here.

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The UK's Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders says no

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The US electric car-maker, Tesla, has made an offer to buy solar

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The deal is thought to be worth $2.8 billion.

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Tesla boss Elon Musk, is already the chairman

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of Solar City and the largest shareholder in both companies.

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He's described the deal as a "no brainer", creating a company that

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would sell customers an electric car, a home battery and a solar

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US plane-maker, Boeing, has reached a deal to sell

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At list price, that's to say, without any discounts,

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The agreement marks an important step in economic relations

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between US and Iran after economic sanctions

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If the deal is approved, it will be the largest business

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transaction between a US firm and Iran since the 1979 revolution.

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There is more on the Business Live page. It is dominated by the UK

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referendum today. For good reason and many, many bosses have been

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talking to the BBC including the Prime Minister, David Cameron, and

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also, of course, Boris Johnson, who is leading the Leave campaign. So

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you can get all their views and what they have been saying today on the

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Business Live page. This is Tim Martin the Chairman of

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Wetherspoon's. We spoke to him yesterday. He has been talking to

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Fif Live and sterling is keeping hold of those gains it made earlier

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this week. At the end of last week we saw falls. Down 2%. But then on

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Monday, managing to win back some of those falls and ending up 1.5%. All

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of that, could have, related to some uncertainty ahead of the EU

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referendum, but lots concerns about a slowdown in China. Can I mention

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Hornby? It is having a tough time. Difficult disappointing, extremely

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challenging here for the model rail company. It has come out with its

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latest numbers. So now you know! Business Live, it is all there.

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Everything you need! A rare break from the referendum!

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Let's talk about expensive city. There is a new poll.

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Well, believe it or not, it used to be Luanda,

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But, in the latest global survey, another city has emerged

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Mariko Oi has the details for us, she's in Singapore.

:09:51.:09:58.

Tell us more about the annual survey? Indeed, Sally. It wasn't

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London. It wasn't New York. It was actually Hong Kong which was ranked

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as the most expensive city for ex-pats. You can spend $8, $8 US

:10:12.:10:18.

dollars for a cup of coffee, but living here in Singapore that

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doesn't sound too outrageous, Singapore is expensive as well.

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Coming in fourth and also Tokyo and Beijing, both ranked in the top ten

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as well. London, in fact, has dropped to 17th. This is all

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according to the survey done by Human Resources consultancy company,

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Mercer, but there is another survey that comes out and that's done by

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the Economist Intelligence Unit and that ranks the most expensive city

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in general, not just for ex-pats, for that ranking Singapore comes at

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the top ahead of London, or New York as an ex-pat living in Singapore, I

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find the rankings rather depressing every time they come out. Good

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stuff. Rather expensive place to live, but a nice place to live, I

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think, it is fair to say. So paying the price there.

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A look at the numbers for you. That's what happened in Asia. I want

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to pick up on what happened in the US because yesterday more news from

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Janet Yellen the chair of the US Federal Reserve talking about

:11:26.:11:28.

considerable uncertainty in the economy. There is a surprise! She

:11:29.:11:32.

pinned that clearly on the UK referendum, but warning that the

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Senate Committee that interest interests in the world's largest

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economy are in no rush to rise. I'm not sure if I can show you the board

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for Europe. But it is an important day ahead of the EU referendum that

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gets under way tomorrow. We will look at the numbers in a moment. But

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that's the state of play overnight in Asia and we will have a look at

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European numbers with Sally. Thank you, Ben. The FTSE 100 up

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slightly. I've got Brenda Kelly with me.

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It is interesting to see how Europe held on to the gains since the start

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of this trading week when we saw great volatility last week? It is

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certainly is. It does come to pass that a lot of polls have been very

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close, but confusing as well. Why are the markets assuming they will

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get the result that will be the result that they feel is the right

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one ie, remain? Why are they begt on that? Why is the pound going up?

:12:34.:12:37.

Markets exude a certain amount of hope and that's an element of it,

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but I think an element of with the tail wagging the dog at the moment,

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the markets are looking at what the betting markets and the betting

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markets are looking at what the financial markets are doing and they

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are in a vicious circle and there is no real clarity as to how the result

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could go and we could see some up side and down side volatility.

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Quickly, it is very, there is hardly any liquidity there at the moment

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which makes everything more exaggerated? Exactly. When you get

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low volume in terms of the trade, it will exaggerate the move BT the up

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side and the down side. The pound is elevated against the US dollar and

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against the euro, but there is still a certain amount of down side risk

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there. Brenda, briefly, we were discussing this, I was down outside

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the Bank of England on Monday talking about what the investors and

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the City was thinking and one of my guests made the point, this is

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computers doing the trading, it is not people, it is not real emotion?

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A certain aspect is algor rism. There will be still people watching

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it and putting those trades on and taking care of their risks. Still

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real people involved, good to know! Still to come, we meet the man

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trying to help the world to see. Poor eyesight is a hidden disability

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and one that costs the world James Chen's foundation

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is looking for the answer. You're with Business

:13:59.:14:01.

Live from BBC News. Let's talk some more about the rise

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and fall of sterling. Currency markets changing their mind with

:14:18.:14:20.

every small shift in the EU referendum polls. Andrew Walker is

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in our business unit. He has the figures to hand. How is it going?

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Here we have sterling against the dollar over the last three days. A

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cumulative rise of 2.3%. We have seen currency traders taking the

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view that the probability of a remain vote increase with where we

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were a week or so ago. There has been an element of what is called a

:14:51.:14:56.

short-covering rally, that is to say, traders who have sold sterling

:14:57.:15:01.

in the market which they borrowed in anticipation of a possible fall,

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have been looking at this rise and thinking, Nabi we need to buy the

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sterling back -- maybe we need to buy the sterling back. That process

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has kind of run out of steam. This is yesterday. That process probably

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came more or less to an end. We have also seen investors take the view

:15:24.:15:27.

that although they do think a Remain vote is the most likely outcome,

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which they see as essentially positive for the value of the

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currency, it is still pretty much neck and neck. The short answer is

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they do not know the answer of what the result will be any more than we

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do. There is money to be made everywhere. It is being made by

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those people providing currency transactions. It is a good time to

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be one of them? Indeed. It seems a lot of tourists are becoming

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currency speculators in a small way. The tourist office said yesterday it

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had an enormous number of enquiries from people in the last couple of

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days because they want to ensure they do not get caught out if we get

:16:10.:16:12.

a Leave vote and sterling falls sharply. Thank you very much, Andrew

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Walker, one of economic correspondence. It will be a busy

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few days. As we try to digests what it means for business. Here is

:16:28.:16:30.

another person who has been adding his voice to the campaign. It is

:16:31.:16:37.

Michael O'Leary. He is in favour of remaining. The single market brings

:16:38.:16:41.

enormous benefits, he says. Read more on the business life page.

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-- Business Live. This morning more than 1200 bosses,

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including directors from what than 50 FTSE companies, have signed the

:17:04.:17:06.

letter backing the UK membership of the European Union.

:17:07.:17:09.

Meanwhile, Tate Lyle Sugars, one of the UK's oldest firms,

:17:10.:17:12.

has written a pro-Brexit letter to staff saying that leaving the EU

:17:13.:17:15.

Also James Dyson adding his voice to the Leave campaign.

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Let's get the inside track now on a Hong Kong philanthropist

:17:24.:17:25.

and entrepreneur who believes he has a clear vision for the future -

:17:26.:17:28.

James Chen, is chair of a third generation family run

:17:29.:17:34.

Chinese manufacturing company the Wahum Group.

:17:35.:17:38.

Not satisfied with just running a big company,

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he has now set his sights on the problem of low

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It aims to get the 2.65 billion people in the world who have poor

:17:44.:17:49.

vision, seeing clearly within the next 30 years.

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As well as the significant personal cost associated with bad eyesight,

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it's estimated that it costs the global economy somewhere

:17:58.:18:01.

in the region of $3 trillion each year in lost productivity.

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Part of James Chen's solution is the Clearly Vision Prize,

:18:06.:18:07.

which will award $250,000 in prize money to the best innovations

:18:08.:18:12.

I can just about read that autocue. I am struggling a bit! Maybe you can

:18:13.:18:29.

help me, James! Tell us more about this idea that you have had? It is a

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huge problem and yet you have kind of grabbed it with both hands, you

:18:37.:18:40.

are tackling it, and you are hoping you can solve it within 30 years?

:18:41.:18:47.

Yes. We have had glasses for the last 700 years and yet today there

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are still 2.5 billion people in the world with poor vision and no access

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to vision correction. In Rwanda am I have helped to develop a programme

:19:01.:19:04.

where we were able to provide citizens with vision correction when

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they have a problem. About 80% of the 2.5, 2.65 billion, it is just

:19:10.:19:19.

about glasses and screening. So now today, with technology like

:19:20.:19:23.

smartphones, with drones, you can see how this could disrupt, why

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people thought you could not solve this problem. We think we can do

:19:31.:19:37.

that today. $3 trillion is the cost to the economy every year. Give us

:19:38.:19:41.

some examples of how poor eyesight is holding people back. It sounds

:19:42.:19:45.

obvious but there are very practical day-to-day things people cannot do?

:19:46.:19:57.

Yes, we did a pilot in Ghana, people in an adult literacy programme. They

:19:58.:20:00.

were rice farmers. They collected the rise, they beaded to get the

:20:01.:20:07.

rice grains off. When they sweep it up, they get the gravel. The rice

:20:08.:20:12.

they could sell was at a low price. But when they could see Clearly,

:20:13.:20:16.

they could pick up the gravel and be able to sell the rice for a higher

:20:17.:20:22.

price. That is a really good example of how, with vision, you can really

:20:23.:20:28.

improve the economic benefit. To you it is a no-brainer. To us it is a

:20:29.:20:32.

no-brainer. I would imagine for many viewers it is as well. But first

:20:33.:20:36.

some communities who have never really had the money, the funding or

:20:37.:20:40.

the access to services, it is something they live without. It is

:20:41.:20:45.

not just about getting the money there, it is about cultural change,

:20:46.:20:54.

getting government on board? Yes. With the Clearly campaign, what we

:20:55.:21:00.

are trying to do, we have one very simple question. How can the whole

:21:01.:21:04.

world see? With the campaign, what we are trying to do is uncover

:21:05.:21:08.

answers to this question. We want to bring in people from the eye

:21:09.:21:17.

community... There are lots of brilliant minds, people with great

:21:18.:21:20.

ideas. They are not particularly applying it to the issue of vision,

:21:21.:21:25.

but they can. Jeromes would be a good example. -- drones. You can

:21:26.:21:33.

drop glasses. Right now, getting distribution into villages in the

:21:34.:21:37.

developing world is a problem. Dare I say it is not an exciting problem

:21:38.:21:41.

and when it comes to charitable cases, you want to pull on the

:21:42.:21:45.

heartstrings, you want to get people involved. I would imagine among that

:21:46.:21:48.

list of worthy causes and things that are competing for money, there

:21:49.:21:54.

does not seem to be an end point. You cannot solve bad eyesight. It is

:21:55.:21:59.

about helping people to see better. You cannot permanently make it

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better. You cannot make the poor eyesight go away. How do you win

:22:04.:22:07.

that support and that funding when it is an ongoing battle? I think

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this is the first time in history, because of technology like

:22:13.:22:17.

smartphones or drones, there are no apps you can use that can do

:22:18.:22:23.

screening and diagnosis. That to me is a really exciting development.

:22:24.:22:32.

For example, you have seen Elon mass who has the ambition to send people

:22:33.:22:35.

to Mars within the next 20 years. What we want to do is to be able,

:22:36.:22:42.

for when he does that, that people on earth, everyone unearthed can see

:22:43.:22:48.

that. I think the technology exists today. We need people to be aware of

:22:49.:22:54.

the issue and to be able to address it. James Chen, we see where you are

:22:55.:23:01.

going! Thank you for coming in. Keep in touch with us and how it is

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going. In a moment, the business pages.

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But first, here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:23:10.:23:13.

The Business Live page is where you can stay ahead of the breaking

:23:14.:23:18.

business news. We will keep you up-to-date with the latest details,

:23:19.:23:23.

with insight and analysis from the team of editors around the world. We

:23:24.:23:28.

want to hear from you. Get involved on the BBC Business Live web page.

:23:29.:23:38.

We are on Twitter and Facebook. Business Live on TV and online.

:23:39.:23:40.

Whenever you need to know. Brenda is back with us. This story

:23:41.:23:51.

caught might eye this morning. Luxury hotels in Paris, and the

:23:52.:23:56.

bosses they have got rid of because they cannot afford to pay them. What

:23:57.:24:01.

is going on? This is certainly one of the offshoots of what has been

:24:02.:24:06.

happening in Paris in recent months, and the terrorism attacks. It has

:24:07.:24:10.

impacted tourism. We have seen a registered drop of 13.7% in visitors

:24:11.:24:16.

this year compared to last year, and the effect is that business --

:24:17.:24:20.

hotels are losing revenue, the top or tiles are losing customers. They

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are the high end customers? Precisely. -- the top hotels. It

:24:27.:24:33.

shows you the impact of terrorism on the tourism industry, particularly

:24:34.:24:37.

in the luxury sector. You might say, that is the luxury sector. But there

:24:38.:24:43.

are a lot of jobs to be dealed -- cleaned out of that sector. I felt a

:24:44.:24:48.

bit sorry for these bosses. I thought, unprecedented times. When

:24:49.:24:52.

you go to hotel management school, I doubt this is an issue they looked

:24:53.:24:57.

at. Is it ever OK just to quit on the spot and leave a job? This is in

:24:58.:25:02.

the Wall Street Journal. Apparently more of us are doing that today than

:25:03.:25:06.

ever before in recent times. What is your take on this? It implies a

:25:07.:25:13.

confidence in the economy and labour market if someone quits. Look at the

:25:14.:25:17.

quit rate in economics. We assess that all the time. This piece is

:25:18.:25:21.

quite interesting because it has seen a big rise in that. I would say

:25:22.:25:27.

it is not necessarily a good idea to quit on the spot. I would say, sleep

:25:28.:25:32.

on it, regional contract beforehand. Stuart Campbell said, no. And Pamela

:25:33.:25:40.

Donaldson says, I did it on one occasion 12 years ago. It was the

:25:41.:25:44.

most wonderful feeling. Well done, Pamela. Thank you, Brenda. We are

:25:45.:25:49.

not quitting. We are here tomorrow. By bye-bye. -- bye-bye.

:25:50.:25:56.

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