19/08/2016 BBC Business Live


19/08/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Alice Baxter

:00:14.:00:16.

Microsoft shareholders vote today on whether to approve a $26 billion

:00:17.:00:19.

offer to buy the social network, LinkedIn.

:00:20.:00:21.

Live from London, that's our top story.

:00:22.:00:40.

Linking-in to the $26 billion gamble.

:00:41.:00:43.

Microsoft shareholders get to vote on whether they want to buy

:00:44.:00:45.

the professional networking site Linkedin.

:00:46.:00:48.

But will the takeover be a perfect partnership?

:00:49.:00:54.

And offering lucrative pay packages to attract foreigners to help meet

:00:55.:01:00.

And global markets are all fairly subdued at the end

:01:01.:01:08.

of the trading week, with investors looking ahead to next

:01:09.:01:10.

week and a key speech from the US Federal Reserve.

:01:11.:01:15.

And we'll be looking back on the business week,

:01:16.:01:18.

talking about the mixed messages coming out of the US Fed,

:01:19.:01:21.

as the price of the black stuff hits $51 a barrel.

:01:22.:01:29.

And how Japan's yen continues hurting Japan's economy.

:01:30.:01:33.

All of that with our economics correspondent, Andrew Walker.

:01:34.:01:35.

Today we want to know with China offering lucrative deals to pilots

:01:36.:01:38.

what would tempt you to move abroad for work?

:01:39.:01:45.

Microsoft shareholders are voting today on whether to approve

:01:46.:02:05.

a $26 billion deal to buy the social network, LinkedIn.

:02:06.:02:12.

Microsoft is betting heavily that LinkedIn will secure its place

:02:13.:02:16.

in a world after Windows, but will it work?

:02:17.:02:19.

Microsoft's best-known brands are Windows, Office and Xbox.

:02:20.:02:24.

But consumers are turning to smartphones and tablets

:02:25.:02:26.

and many of these products are beginning to fade.

:02:27.:02:32.

How can LinkedIn help ensure Microsoft's future survival?

:02:33.:02:37.

LinkedIn has about 433 million members, with 105 million using it

:02:38.:02:42.

Crucially, 60% of usage is on mobile devices.

:02:43.:02:51.

In buying LinkedIn, Microsoft gets a ready-made platform

:02:52.:02:52.

to run its business on other people's computers in the cloud.

:02:53.:02:58.

But LinkedIn has made losses for the last two years.

:02:59.:03:03.

Earlier this year, shares fell more than 40 per cent in one day

:03:04.:03:07.

after it unveiled gloomy annual forecasts,

:03:08.:03:10.

but the share price rebounced following news of

:03:11.:03:12.

Microsoft has a mixed record on big-money acquisitions.

:03:13.:03:30.

In 2013, it bought Nokia's mobile phone unit for $7.2 billion

:03:31.:03:33.

Then in 2011 it bought the voice-over-internet business,

:03:34.:03:38.

It's still unclear if that has paid off yet.

:03:39.:03:47.

Tech Journalist Adrian Mars joins me now.

:03:48.:03:51.

OK, you are Microsoft and I am LinkedIn. I have not made any profit

:03:52.:03:58.

for the last couple of years. I am struggling to get new users and I

:03:59.:04:02.

have not really learned how to make money from my users. But you are

:04:03.:04:07.

going to give me $26 billion? It is a lot of money, the biggest ever

:04:08.:04:13.

paid for a tech buyout. And really, what they are paying is $62 per

:04:14.:04:20.

user. They are buying address books in many cases, these detailed

:04:21.:04:21.

profiles, potted Seve is that people profiles, potted Seve is that people

:04:22.:04:32.

use for recruitment. -- potted CVs. The problem is that many people

:04:33.:04:37.

using the site are not looking for jobs. Most of us gets nagging

:04:38.:04:41.

e-mails saying that we have been endorsed for skills, or we get

:04:42.:04:46.

harvest address books, we get invited en masse to join the thing.

:04:47.:04:54.

Is it because we have the new CEO who some will say is trying to, and

:04:55.:05:00.

there is a lot of credit to this man, but they have missed the boat

:05:01.:05:06.

on a few moves in the tech world. This is the right company to help

:05:07.:05:12.

them catch up? The idea is that it will help themselves Office. But the

:05:13.:05:20.

fine the sales list? -- define the sales list. The idea that you can

:05:21.:05:26.

get a potted CV of people that you are meeting with, and it can in

:05:27.:05:33.

hands dynamics, the online see RM. Break that down. This is what

:05:34.:05:39.

salespeople use to track leads and customers. LinkedIn have their own

:05:40.:05:45.

product, and the big player in this is Sales force also competed to buy

:05:46.:05:48.

LinkedIn. Hopefully that will massively boost that side of the

:05:49.:05:54.

business, but ?26 billion is a lot of money. A lot of money. But not a

:05:55.:06:00.

lot of money if you look at their cash pile. $92 billion. But they are

:06:01.:06:07.

putting this down on the balance sheet as debt. It is still small

:06:08.:06:15.

change. OK. Small change. Wrapping this up, from your point of view is

:06:16.:06:23.

this the right move? If I had to bet on it, I think they are going to

:06:24.:06:28.

struggle to get that cashback but that said, it is a good fit.

:06:29.:06:34.

LinkedIn users are also Office users. The demographic is very good

:06:35.:06:38.

it is just a lot of money. I appreciate your time. Have a great

:06:39.:06:40.

weekend. In other news,

:06:41.:06:45.

the US Justice Department will phase out the use of privately owned

:06:46.:06:47.

prisons, citing safety concerns. Contracts with 13 private prisons

:06:48.:06:50.

will be reviewed and allowed The Federal government began to rely

:06:51.:06:53.

on private prisons in the 1990's The news site Gawker.com

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will shut down next week, just days after its parent

:07:00.:07:05.

company was purchased Gawker filed for bankruptcy

:07:06.:07:07.

after losing a $140 brought by former wrestler

:07:08.:07:16.

Hulk Hogan, paid for by Paypal Harley-Davidson is paying US

:07:17.:07:23.

authorities $12 million to settle allegations its motorbikes

:07:24.:07:36.

polluted the air at higher The motorcycle-maker said

:07:37.:07:38.

the settlement was "a good faith compromise on areas of law

:07:39.:07:43.

that they interpret differently". Have you ever ridden a

:07:44.:07:56.

Harley-Davidson? Sadly, no. I could see myself on it. But no one has

:07:57.:08:03.

ever asked me to drive one. Well, we could sort that out. Big news in

:08:04.:08:07.

London, one of the most visited cities in the world. The Knights

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Tube, we are going to hear more about it later, but it says here

:08:13.:08:17.

that the story is that this weekend, for the first time, ground-breaking

:08:18.:08:22.

news, we will have the tube open all night. Normally it shuts at about

:08:23.:08:26.

midnight and people have that last-minute run to the tube. After

:08:27.:08:34.

the people who use it will be workers but they also believe that

:08:35.:08:39.

it is going to add about ?77 million, about $110 million to the

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British economy. Because people can stay out drinking and eating. The

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pubs and bars love it. I cannot wait.

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In China, demand for air travel is ballooning.

:08:51.:08:56.

Media reports say Chinese airlines need to hire almost 100 pilots

:08:57.:09:01.

When they can't find enough pilots domestically, Chinese

:09:02.:09:13.

Joining us from Singapore, Tim McDonald has more.

:09:14.:09:20.

This is my favourite story. I love this. I have some pilots in the

:09:21.:09:30.

family. But go to China, some reports suggest that they are

:09:31.:09:33.

offering 50% more than you could earn as a pilot in the US? It is

:09:34.:09:38.

quite incredible and I am beginning to think I picked the wrong line of

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work. It might be a gold rush for pilots. Some of the salaries we are

:09:43.:09:46.

hearing about in range of 300,000 plus. China's airlines are taking

:09:47.:09:53.

off, there are 55 more than there were just a few years ago, a massive

:09:54.:09:58.

increase accounting for a huge number of orders. There are even

:09:59.:10:03.

beginning to build their own planes. But pilots need time to train and

:10:04.:10:08.

there are not enough of them. Having them means that one airline might

:10:09.:10:12.

need to pay more than the next and competition forces the salaries

:10:13.:10:15.

higher. One wonder if wage competition might be forced up

:10:16.:10:21.

elsewhere, perhaps further afield, but pilots are a mobile group with

:10:22.:10:26.

options about where they live. Maybe salaries not everything. Perhaps an

:10:27.:10:29.

offer in western China looks good at the price is right but many have

:10:30.:10:30.

other options. Staying in Asia. Most stock benchmarks

:10:31.:10:50.

drifted lower on Friday thanks to some profit-taking

:10:51.:10:52.

and investors hunkering down ahead of a key speech

:10:53.:10:54.

by the Fed chief next week - although Japanese shares rose

:10:55.:10:57.

as the yen weakened. But gains were limited as many

:10:58.:10:59.

stayed cautious before next week's global meeting of central

:11:00.:11:01.

bankers in Jackson Hole, Investors are looking for clues

:11:02.:11:03.

about a US rate hike. Meanwhile here in Europe -

:11:04.:11:07.

stocks have opened with a similarly soggy start, with Britain's FTSE 100

:11:08.:11:10.

and Germany's DAX and France's CAC And Samira Hussain has the details

:11:11.:11:13.

about what's ahead Starting Friday the financial world

:11:14.:11:24.

will be watching as IEX or investor exchange, launches the first stage

:11:25.:11:29.

of its transition to a full-fledged stock exchange, with the promise of

:11:30.:11:33.

slow trading speeds to provide what the company says will be fair

:11:34.:11:38.

trading for all investors. Cosmetics maker Estee Lauder will be reporting

:11:39.:11:44.

that the demand for its products from Clinique has been slowing. The

:11:45.:11:48.

company has been trying to attract younger customers but other Estee

:11:49.:11:55.

Lauder brands have been doing well, especially in international markets.

:11:56.:12:00.

And also reporting Friday, Dear, the world's biggest agricultural

:12:01.:12:08.

equipment manufacturer. Global recession and weak demand has slowed

:12:09.:12:10.

sales. Joining us is Jeremy Cook,

:12:11.:12:20.

Chief Economist at World First. Happy Friday. Can we look at the UK

:12:21.:12:27.

economy, everybody wondering whether Brexit will cause demise. But the

:12:28.:12:34.

figures on inflation and retail. Inflation, unemployment and retail

:12:35.:12:37.

numbers. If you did not know Brexit had occurred, you would look at this

:12:38.:12:41.

month and go, that's not bad. The retail numbers for July, the UK

:12:42.:12:48.

consumer is a hardy beast. It takes a lot to turn us away from a shop.

:12:49.:12:55.

But the devaluation of the pound, which has dropped significantly

:12:56.:13:00.

since Brexit, and a lot of tourists are still coming. But that is a

:13:01.:13:04.

positive Brexit story. The pound drops, tourists come in and

:13:05.:13:10.

everything is 12% cheaper. Watches and jewellery went through the roof.

:13:11.:13:16.

Exactly. They are coming over here and a Swiss watch or a piece of

:13:17.:13:20.

British jewellery, it is a little cheaper. There is a benefit to

:13:21.:13:30.

having a devalued currency, and we may be seeing that in the retail

:13:31.:13:34.

sector right now. And interestingly, when we compare how robust those

:13:35.:13:39.

retail figures were in the UK, largely thanks to that 12% drop, and

:13:40.:13:43.

the warmer weather, if we compare that to retail figures in the US...

:13:44.:13:49.

US data, it has been quite good in the summer. But the US consumer

:13:50.:13:57.

seems to be taking a pause. We saw a lot of car sales, auto sales as they

:13:58.:14:01.

call it over there. In July, it tends to be the end of the product

:14:02.:14:05.

line, the new Sheppey is released in August. The new pick-ups and things

:14:06.:14:12.

like that. Dealers are trying to cut prices, trying to get rid of stock.

:14:13.:14:17.

But if you buy a car in a month, you're not buying much else. We are

:14:18.:14:23.

expecting a bounce back. You're going to stick around and take us

:14:24.:14:30.

through the papers. Japan and the US interest rates coming up and we will

:14:31.:14:38.

look back at a busy week. This is Business Live. Don't go away.

:14:39.:14:47.

When we think of the post-Brexit economy, the first topic

:14:48.:14:50.

According to a new survey, trade surged in the months

:14:51.:14:53.

before the EU vote only to falter in the immediate

:14:54.:14:56.

Adam Marshall is acting director general

:14:57.:14:58.

of the British Chambers of Commerce, the body behind the survey.

:14:59.:15:01.

Adam joins us now from the BBC Newsroom.

:15:02.:15:03.

Welcome. Happy Friday. Take us through this. What is the picture?

:15:04.:15:13.

A lot of companies in the UK were fulfilling orders with their clients

:15:14.:15:19.

in the immediate run-up to the summer and the EU referendum. Orders

:15:20.:15:23.

and sales in general are pretty static. A lot of companies tried to

:15:24.:15:27.

get those orders sorted and get them through and to their clients but not

:15:28.:15:33.

necessarily taking too many on. Because of course, and, we don't yet

:15:34.:15:36.

know what sort of trade deals we are going to be able to produce in a

:15:37.:15:43.

post-Brexit reality, do we? That's absolutely right. We still don't

:15:44.:15:48.

have the economic data we need to take a definitive view on how trade

:15:49.:15:52.

is going between the EU and these global markets in the wake of the

:15:53.:15:56.

referendum. You have to remember that trade happens between

:15:57.:15:59.

businesses. Whether we have free trade agreements or not. Just as

:16:00.:16:04.

much depends on the animal spirits of British businesses as it does on

:16:05.:16:09.

those formal negotiations between governments. There are lots of

:16:10.:16:11.

different models available on the table. The base case scenarios would

:16:12.:16:17.

be to go with World Trade Organisation rules. If that were to

:16:18.:16:22.

be the case are you still optimistic about what the future could hold for

:16:23.:16:26.

trading relations? You have to be optimistic in business because if

:16:27.:16:32.

you are not, you are likely to be dead, so you have to seize

:16:33.:16:35.

opportunities where they exist. What we are saying to the UK Government

:16:36.:16:39.

is that British businesses we speak to in every corner of the UK want

:16:40.:16:42.

the best possible terms of trade both with the EU and markets around

:16:43.:16:46.

the world for the future. That doesn't necessarily mean signing up

:16:47.:16:52.

to some pre-existing model, it means figuring out what we need and

:16:53.:16:54.

negotiating with partners over time. What would you say is the key

:16:55.:17:00.

concern when negotiating trade deals in ten seconds? Key concern:

:17:01.:17:04.

receptive audience overseas. But I think we'll have one. Still got more

:17:05.:17:15.

on the London night chewed. Victoria and Central lines. Very exciting.

:17:16.:17:17.

You're watching Business Live - our top story Microsoft

:17:18.:17:20.

shareholders are voting today on whether to approve

:17:21.:17:23.

a $26 billion deal to buy the social network, LinkedIn.

:17:24.:17:29.

A quick look at how markets are faring.

:17:30.:17:36.

Got off to a soggy and flat start, taking their cue from Asia.

:17:37.:17:43.

Let's get the inside track on the economic week

:17:44.:17:47.

with our business correspondent, Andrew Walker.

:17:48.:17:55.

You're a bit of everything, aren't you? That's why we love him. Lots to

:17:56.:18:02.

talk about. Starting with the Fed and this clear as mud thing. One

:18:03.:18:08.

official who is a permanent voter on the American central bank came out

:18:09.:18:14.

and hinted, hey, there might be a rate rise by September, then we had

:18:15.:18:18.

the minutes from the last thing coming out. Showing that one member,

:18:19.:18:23.

Mr George, thought there should have been a rate rise at that meeting.

:18:24.:18:28.

She was looking at inflation towards the Fed target of 2%. Strong job

:18:29.:18:34.

games, reasonable economic growth. All that lead to take the view they

:18:35.:18:37.

should have taken the next step in this process of getting back towards

:18:38.:18:40.

more than that normal levels of rates. She was in a minority, in

:18:41.:18:45.

fact she was completely on her own. The other is thinking inflation is

:18:46.:18:51.

getting up a bit but got a way to go before it hits the target. Certainly

:18:52.:18:56.

there is no question that September rise is not to be out altogether.

:18:57.:19:04.

But most people think later. If you look at the estimates, maybe

:19:05.:19:09.

December is the time you to say there is better than evens chance

:19:10.:19:13.

would happen. But how many times have we seen that timetable pushed

:19:14.:19:18.

further and further back. Some were saying seeing the dollar edging up

:19:19.:19:21.

ever so slightly, punting for a rate rise come September. At the same

:19:22.:19:26.

time, edging up the dollar takes some of the edge off inflation. So

:19:27.:19:31.

in a way contributes to an environment in which the Fed might

:19:32.:19:36.

be more reluctant to raise rates. Of course then there is all the

:19:37.:19:39.

aggressive monetary policy loosening that's been taking place in the UK,

:19:40.:19:45.

Japan, the Eurozone. All that can at least have the potential to feed

:19:46.:19:50.

into the strength of the dollar. And thereby make the Fed inflation

:19:51.:19:56.

problem more persistent. Can we move on and do this? I want to talk about

:19:57.:20:07.

oil. There we go, there is the question. Will oil exporters strike

:20:08.:20:13.

a deal in Algeria? This is about the sideline meeting of a meeting and

:20:14.:20:19.

oil is at 51 bucks a barrel. It's not even a proper, formal Opec

:20:20.:20:24.

meeting where we would be hanging on their every word to hear about a

:20:25.:20:29.

production cut. What's this sideline meeting of a meeting? There had been

:20:30.:20:33.

hints there is more chance of them come into that kind of agreement to

:20:34.:20:37.

freeze production at whatever level applies at the time. Remember back

:20:38.:20:42.

in April there was a meeting in Doha where Russia and Opec were expected

:20:43.:20:48.

to have some chance of coming to a deal. It all fell apart, partly, it

:20:49.:20:53.

seems, because of the intervention of the deputy Saudi Crown Prince who

:20:54.:20:58.

did not want a deal that did not involve Iran. Iran has increased

:20:59.:21:01.

production rather a lot and there it is thought to be a chance they are

:21:02.:21:06.

willing to come on board. But it would be a freeze of production at a

:21:07.:21:08.

higher level. I'm hearing it is not higher level. I'm hearing it is not

:21:09.:21:15.

the black stuff, but that, it is the stuff we all use. The kerosene.

:21:16.:21:22.

There are very strong stocks around of finished, refined oil products.

:21:23.:21:27.

And that does mean it will take a long time before any production

:21:28.:21:30.

freeze on the crude side would feed through into a decisive increase in

:21:31.:21:33.

the price of oil. Still on oil watch. I want to ask quickly about

:21:34.:21:40.

Japan, exports falling for the tenth month in a run despite the stall in

:21:41.:21:43.

the end. Despite the fact the bank of Japan has been throwing all kinds

:21:44.:21:49.

of things, not directly at the exchange rate, but certainly hoping

:21:50.:21:53.

the end would weaken. Yet it's something like 20% up against the

:21:54.:21:57.

dollar. So it's a real problem. When you look at their domestic economy,

:21:58.:22:03.

consumer spending in the latest figures did rise, but barely.

:22:04.:22:07.

Business spending was down. Fascinating, investors love the yen,

:22:08.:22:10.

that's why it goes up in value, right? People by end. It's a safe

:22:11.:22:20.

haven. We are going to wrap it up, mate. Have a good weekend.

:22:21.:22:24.

London may have the world's oldest underground network -

:22:25.:22:27.

but finally the tube will run all night - but only at weekends.

:22:28.:22:32.

The frantic dash for the last tube has been part of many

:22:33.:22:37.

But this weekend - a new Night Tube changes all of that.

:22:38.:22:48.

While some may be nostalgic - it comes as welcome

:22:49.:22:50.

relief for others - as Josephine McDermott found out.

:22:51.:22:57.

The last traveller heads for home and the city shuts its eyes.

:22:58.:23:07.

Midnight stations remember the bustle of the mid-day rush.

:23:08.:23:11.

Stations across the underground slam shut on Friday and Saturday nights.

:23:12.:23:17.

These days, one of those last travellers is Lucas,

:23:18.:23:23.

who often runs for the last Tube when he finishes his shift

:23:24.:23:25.

When I get the last tube, it is a bit lively.

:23:26.:23:34.

People are coming home from work or the pub or whatever.

:23:35.:23:42.

There is usually a decent amount of people rushing to get it,

:23:43.:23:45.

Missing the last Tube can mean a longer journey home

:23:46.:23:50.

I took the last one so I am very happy but I am very tired.

:23:51.:23:56.

But with the new 24-hour service, the weekend last Tube dash

:23:57.:23:59.

This story caught a lot of us by surprise, Volvo will make these

:24:00.:24:24.

driverless cars, Uber will buy them, joint deal worth 300 million bucks.

:24:25.:24:29.

Uber got into the autonomous car market last year. Many have been

:24:30.:24:32.

dancing around the subject for years, Google have been talking

:24:33.:24:36.

about it, Apple have been talking about a car or a driverless car.

:24:37.:24:40.

Soon in Pittsburgh instead of going on to app and getting a car you will

:24:41.:24:46.

be able to a driverless car. You will have two Uber engineers in the

:24:47.:24:49.

front to make sure it does not go off the rails. Or off the road. And

:24:50.:24:54.

it's free for the trial? Are people ready for this? Pittsburgh, if you

:24:55.:25:02.

are watching, are you ready? I think it's great. From an economist 's

:25:03.:25:05.

point of view we have to look at the other side and say, what does this

:25:06.:25:09.

do for the jobs market. We've seen a lot of moves in what they call the

:25:10.:25:14.

gig economy, people getting a gig here, bartending, food delivery,

:25:15.:25:17.

Uber driving, what does it mean for these people going forward with

:25:18.:25:21.

white that was in the Washington Street Journal, that story.

:25:22.:25:24.

Can we move the times and this headline here? It's about what are

:25:25.:25:32.

you worth, right? The office for National statistics has done this

:25:33.:25:36.

survey about what you're worth. Criterion on how much everyone is

:25:37.:25:41.

worth. It looks at the value of people's qualifications, health,

:25:42.:25:43.

personalities, I don't know how you measure that. Whatever. Measuring

:25:44.:25:49.

the total potential future earnings of everyone, boil it down, you are

:25:50.:26:02.

worth ?135,000. Which is about $200,000. So that is your worth. On

:26:03.:26:06.

that note, have a great weekend. See you soon, goodbye.

:26:07.:26:13.

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