26/08/2016 BBC Business Live


26/08/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Bland and Aaron Heslehurst.

:00:00.:00:07.

Today the world's leading central bankers are meeting

:00:08.:00:09.

Investors will be paying close attention to a speech

:00:10.:00:16.

by Janet Yellen, the chair of the US Federal Reserve.

:00:17.:00:22.

Live from London, that's our top story on Friday 26th of August.

:00:23.:00:41.

Is Janet Yellen pushing a boulder up a hill?

:00:42.:00:44.

As central banks around the world continue to pump money

:00:45.:00:46.

into the global economy, there are questions over

:00:47.:00:48.

whether the Fed will abandon its plans to move

:00:49.:00:50.

Also in the programme, Whatsapp opens the door

:00:51.:00:56.

It's the first change to the company's privacy policy

:00:57.:01:01.

since it was bought by the social media giant Facebook.

:01:02.:01:14.

Here's how the market start the trading day in Europe. Investors

:01:15.:01:19.

waiting to see what comes out of that meeting.

:01:20.:01:22.

Also in the programme, we have a special guest!

:01:23.:01:24.

We'll be speaking to the boss of a company which caters

:01:25.:01:27.

And he'll be joined by Monty the border terrier.

:01:28.:01:33.

Following changes to Whatsapp's privacy policy, today

:01:34.:01:38.

we want to know what you think about personalised adverts.

:01:39.:01:40.

Do social media companies know too much about you?

:01:41.:01:45.

Are targeted promotions too intrusive?

:01:46.:01:51.

Get in touch with us, just use that hashtag.

:01:52.:02:01.

Over the next three days, many of the world's most powerful

:02:02.:02:05.

financial players are gathering at Jackson Hole, a remote

:02:06.:02:07.

So how did this annual event become the Davos for central bankers?

:02:08.:02:16.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City first

:02:17.:02:18.

hosted its economic symposium at Jackson Hole in 1982.

:02:19.:02:24.

They chose the location because of trout fishing -

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back then it attracted Paul Volcker, Chairman of the Federal Reserve

:02:27.:02:29.

Volcker's regular attendance saw the event grow in importance.

:02:30.:02:34.

US Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen, Bank of

:02:35.:02:44.

England Governor Mark Carney, and President of the European

:02:45.:02:48.

Central Bank Mario Draghi are among those who will debate how to try

:02:49.:02:51.

Central banks have cut interest rates to zero and beyond,

:02:52.:02:59.

and pumped trillions of dollars into the global financial system -

:03:00.:03:02.

As for the markets, the thing that matters most is whether Janet Yellen

:03:03.:03:09.

will gives any clues for the next increase in interest rates

:03:10.:03:12.

Our economics editor Andrew Walker is with me.

:03:13.:03:23.

Great to see you. This gathering has been coming and coming! There's

:03:24.:03:33.

quite a few questions I want to ask. Briefly, do you think she's going to

:03:34.:03:38.

paint a clearer picture because it's been a bit muddled? Will they raise

:03:39.:03:43.

interest rates? I would be quite surprised if she pushes herself in

:03:44.:03:46.

one direction or the other. The general expectation is that there is

:03:47.:03:51.

a fairly good chance of a rise in rates by the end of the year.

:03:52.:03:55.

Perhaps that the December meeting. She has prepared the ground for

:03:56.:03:59.

that. I think she will want to ensure that the Fed is in the

:04:00.:04:08.

position to respond to figures as they come out. When that lady speaks

:04:09.:04:12.

and that central bank makes a decision, it does affect the rest of

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the world. Do the other central banks that are there, and because

:04:18.:04:25.

for the uninitiated, does it matter to them what the US central bank

:04:26.:04:29.

does, if they've got their own central bank? Of course it does.

:04:30.:04:36.

Explain! If the Fed is raising interest rates it tends to pull the

:04:37.:04:43.

dollar up. If there and currency down that can be quite helpful for

:04:44.:04:48.

the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, which has been

:04:49.:04:51.

worrying about the potential impact of the Vote Leave referendum result.

:04:52.:04:56.

It does matter. What really matters as well is whatever the Fed does, it

:04:57.:05:01.

should work. They really need a strong growing US economy to be an

:05:02.:05:06.

important export market. If that works it's good for everyone. These

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gatherings, when these central bankers get together and I'd love to

:05:13.:05:15.

be a fly on the wall, if they all sit around after a few drinks and

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say, let's try to get a unified voice and tell governments around

:05:20.:05:25.

the world that this is not all our responsibility. This has been a big

:05:26.:05:30.

theme coming from central bankers that they can do a lot but not

:05:31.:05:34.

absolutely everything. There have been these repeated calls for more

:05:35.:05:39.

by way of structural reform in labour markets, making business

:05:40.:05:46.

competition more effective in business, and also believe it or not

:05:47.:05:51.

fiscal policy. Government spending and taxes. A lot of central banks

:05:52.:05:55.

would like to see governments throw off their hair shirt a little bit.

:05:56.:06:00.

Some do think they've been going too far by way of austerity and isn't

:06:01.:06:06.

that turn up, in a sense central bankers want governments to be a bit

:06:07.:06:09.

more irresponsible. Quite a surprise really. I just got hold in my ear

:06:10.:06:15.

that I introduced you as our economic editor. Andrew Walker our

:06:16.:06:24.

economic correspondent. I've just given you a promotion! Are you

:06:25.:06:27.

giving me the money? Not a chance! The Vice chairman of one of Korea's

:06:28.:06:31.

largest corporations has been found His body was discovered hours before

:06:32.:06:34.

he was due to be questioned by prosecutors who are conducting

:06:35.:06:39.

a criminal investigation Lotte's offices were raided back

:06:40.:06:41.

in June, when authorities were looking into a possible slush

:06:42.:06:46.

fund and a breach of trust involving Apple has released a software update

:06:47.:06:49.

to fix flaws in its iOS operating system which made it possible

:06:50.:06:56.

to install spyware merely by getting The discovery was made after a human

:06:57.:06:59.

rights lawyer alerted security researchers to unsolicited text

:07:00.:07:05.

messages he had received. Air New Zealand's profits

:07:06.:07:11.

are up a massive 42%. The airline posted record profits

:07:12.:07:14.

of US$338 million on the back New Zealand had 3.31 million visitor

:07:15.:07:19.

arrivals in the last year, I'm going to tell you something

:07:20.:07:44.

about New Zealand. Since the Brexit vote, since the UK voted to leave

:07:45.:07:50.

the European Union, enquiries from Brits to emigrate to New Zealand

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have doubled! In July nearly 10,000 enquiries. July last year, just

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under 5000 enquiries. Is this a heavy hint? New Zealand, look out,

:08:02.:08:05.

it's going to be a British invasion! Now to Asia - where it looks

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like Japan's deflationary The consumer price index

:08:10.:08:12.

fell by 0.5% in July - the biggest drop for more

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than three years. Leisha Chi is in Singapore for us

:08:17.:08:19.

this morning, Leisha - is Abenomics failing

:08:20.:08:24.

to do the trick? You can throw the kitchen sink at

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it, doesn't mean it'll work! It's not looking good for the Prime

:08:36.:08:40.

Minister. When he was elected a couple of years ago he unveiled

:08:41.:08:47.

these three things. Clearly still not working, missing their mark

:08:48.:08:50.

because they are still battling these falling prices. It's a battle

:08:51.:08:55.

they've been waiting for nearly two decades now. Those numbers still

:08:56.:08:59.

remain deeply in the red when the central bank target is 2%.

:09:00.:09:04.

Economists have strong words for today's data, one of them said

:09:05.:09:11.

policies have failed. Tokyo announced this massive stimulus

:09:12.:09:16.

package but now following today's dated the expectation is that they

:09:17.:09:20.

could take even more steps at their September meeting. As. Reaction we

:09:21.:09:25.

saw the McKay and broader topics fall by more than 1% because of this

:09:26.:09:28.

negative news -- Nikkei. Asian stocks were steady on Friday

:09:29.:09:36.

with modest losses in some markets That reflects nervousness before

:09:37.:09:38.

that keenly anticipated speech by US Japan's Nikkei 225 fell by 0.5%

:09:39.:09:42.

after new figures showed that inflation remains way below

:09:43.:09:48.

the central bank's 2% target. For July it fell for

:09:49.:09:56.

the fifth consecutive month. US stocks were modestly lower

:09:57.:09:58.

on Thursday, weighed down by a drop in health care

:09:59.:10:02.

and consumer companies. European markets were also

:10:03.:10:10.

pulled lower on Thursday after White House candidate

:10:11.:10:12.

Hillary Clinton demanded price cuts Health care and mining stocks

:10:13.:10:14.

were a major weight on the FTSE 100. A bit lacklustre this morning as

:10:15.:10:30.

well. We are going to see what the US markets are going to do. Here's a

:10:31.:10:36.

look ahead. Wall Street's focus this Friday is on Janet Yellen. She is

:10:37.:10:47.

due to speak in Wyoming at the gathering of the world's central

:10:48.:10:54.

bankers. The Fed was targeting for rate hikes this year, now there is

:10:55.:10:56.

doubt they will manage one. Officials are split on whether it is

:10:57.:11:06.

needed soon. Markets have been treading water for most of the week

:11:07.:11:13.

in anticipation of her comments. Meanwhile, with unprecedented steps

:11:14.:11:17.

to stimulate economies, lack of growth is still a headache. The

:11:18.:11:20.

latest US economic data will bear that out and is expected to show

:11:21.:11:24.

that growth slowed in the second quarter more than previously

:11:25.:11:25.

thought. Joining us is Jane Sydenham,

:11:26.:11:29.

Investment Director Happy Friday. The meeting in

:11:30.:11:40.

Wyoming, I'm curious, are the markets more focused on something

:11:41.:11:44.

short like an interest rate rise or not, or are they interested in what

:11:45.:11:52.

the central bank's long-term strategy is? I think they focus more

:11:53.:11:56.

on the short term but whether or not it's reasonable for them to expect

:11:57.:12:00.

any short-term news, I suspect not. I suspect this is all about her

:12:01.:12:04.

setting up a long-term stall, what she can and can't do given different

:12:05.:12:08.

circumstances. There may be very little reaction at all unless there

:12:09.:12:14.

is some short-term news. Heavy weight of expectation. Some analysts

:12:15.:12:17.

earlier this week were saying we are not holding our breath any firm

:12:18.:12:20.

guidance on whether there will be a rise in interest rates. What we see

:12:21.:12:24.

is the markets basically holding their breath, investors not wanting

:12:25.:12:29.

to make any drastic moves until they do get a steer. In part it's because

:12:30.:12:33.

the US economy is performing quite well. We are expecting some kind of

:12:34.:12:38.

rate rise later this year, which obviously then starts to widen the

:12:39.:12:42.

gap between lowering rates in Europe, rising rates in America.

:12:43.:12:46.

There are economies moving at different speeds and different

:12:47.:12:50.

directions as far as policy is concerned. That's a big deal for

:12:51.:12:53.

people involved in markets because they have to start thinking

:12:54.:12:56.

differently about how they structure their funds. You are going to come

:12:57.:13:01.

up and take us through the papers. Watch out for that dog! He's a

:13:02.:13:06.

vicious rotter! No, he's cute I think.

:13:07.:13:08.

We've got a special guest here on Business Live!

:13:09.:13:11.

We'll be speaking to the boss of a company catering

:13:12.:13:13.

And he'll be joined by Monty the border terrier.

:13:14.:13:17.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:13:18.:13:24.

Could the North-South divide in house prices

:13:25.:13:26.

New figures this morning show house price growth in southern cities

:13:27.:13:37.

is beginning to slow, with northern cities

:13:38.:13:38.

Glasgow had the fastest growing quarterly growth at 5.2%

:13:39.:13:41.

while cities like Cambridge have seen a 1% fall.

:13:42.:13:47.

Richard Donnell is Insight Director at Hometrack who compiled the Index.

:13:48.:13:52.

What's the matter with Cambridge? Cambridge has performed almost like

:13:53.:14:04.

London, it seems stellar grades in the last five years but because it's

:14:05.:14:08.

a smaller city, prices are more volatile. What we are seeing is that

:14:09.:14:13.

prices have fallen a bit. The year-on-year rate of growth in

:14:14.:14:17.

Cambridge is still at 7%. Cambridge is slowing quite quickly. What do

:14:18.:14:23.

you put this difference down to, Richard? Well, the difference across

:14:24.:14:29.

the country is really, I mean London and the south-east, house prices are

:14:30.:14:33.

up almost 60% compared to eight years ago. In a lot of big northern

:14:34.:14:37.

cities house prices are still on a par with where they were eight years

:14:38.:14:42.

ago. Affordability is better in places like Manchester, Glass go and

:14:43.:14:46.

other places. Consumers are feeling more confident. -- Manchester and

:14:47.:14:52.

Glasgow. Sales are holding up in northern cities whereas in London we

:14:53.:14:57.

have a widening supply and demand imbalance with demand growing. The

:14:58.:15:04.

whole UK story is the house price story, has always been a supply and

:15:05.:15:06.

demand issue. That's correct. Short-changes all

:15:07.:15:19.

driven by changes in demand. We are effectively short on supply, so it

:15:20.:15:23.

is about changes which can feed directly into prices. That is what

:15:24.:15:27.

we are seeing in southern places. Stamp duty changes happened, few

:15:28.:15:33.

investors are now buying as a result. The cooling in demand is now

:15:34.:15:40.

feeding into the house prices. Thanks very much, have a great

:15:41.:15:44.

weekend. I cannot get the picture working on this. This is the head of

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Sue was recycling and recovery talking about picking up tonnes of

:15:53.:15:56.

waste after Notting Hill Carnival. waste after Notting Hill Carnival.

:15:57.:16:01.

You're watching Business Live - our top story - today the world's

:16:02.:16:03.

leading central bankers are meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

:16:04.:16:06.

Investors will be paying close attention to a speech by the chair

:16:07.:16:09.

of the US Federal Reserve as it contemplates raising interest rates.

:16:10.:16:14.

A quick look at how markets are faring.

:16:15.:16:19.

It's August, it's boring, not much going on. We're all waiting this

:16:20.:16:27.

meeting. Although, Jane said there might not be much of a reaction.

:16:28.:16:32.

But, you know, people on holiday, that is all there is. Take them off,

:16:33.:16:35.

let's move on, we have something more exciting.

:16:36.:16:36.

It's the debate that never ends - but how much would you spend

:16:37.:16:40.

The pet food market is worth $70 billion globally,

:16:41.:16:44.

with the US and Canada spending more than any other country in the world.

:16:45.:16:52.

And with 25% of American pet owners worried that the food on offer

:16:53.:16:55.

is making their pets obese, it's clear that healthy eating

:16:56.:16:58.

Look at that fatty. Don't talk about me like that.

:16:59.:17:10.

Tails.com is capitalising on the trend - the business sells

:17:11.:17:13.

specialist food for dogs, taking into account breed, age,

:17:14.:17:15.

He's the co founder and CEO of Tails.com -

:17:16.:17:24.

a start-up that creates tailor-made food for dogs.

:17:25.:17:30.

And we can just see Monty. Hello. CHUCKLES

:17:31.:17:42.

Seriously, we come to you, we say I've got a five-year-old .com it has

:17:43.:17:44.

a skin condition, you actually put a skin condition, you actually put

:17:45.:17:48.

the food together for that specific dog. -- a five-year-old dog. That's

:17:49.:17:55.

right, we will work out the nutrition requirement to give the

:17:56.:17:59.

dog ate healthy and long life. How's business? -- a healthy. Really good.

:18:00.:18:07.

We get 100 independent reviews each week telling us how good we have

:18:08.:18:14.

been for their pet, it's great. What breed is this for? Not just a breed.

:18:15.:18:21.

Monty is a border terrier, one-year-old. And this one is for a

:18:22.:18:23.

Siberian Husky, who is a ten-year-old. A Siberian Husky. That

:18:24.:18:31.

is a different blend. He will eat it, but he prefers his own blend. It

:18:32.:18:40.

is essential to give your dog the right nutrition, as it is for

:18:41.:18:44.

humans. Nutrition is immense medicine to humans, and that is the

:18:45.:18:48.

same for dogs. Talking about the obese pets, could you pass me one of

:18:49.:18:52.

those and explain how these work? The -- these are designed to make

:18:53.:19:00.

sure you don't give your pet too much food. 45% of owners are unaware

:19:01.:19:07.

their dog is overweight. We give one of those for portion control. That

:19:08.:19:15.

is for a 25 kilos Siberian Husky. Monty, who is six kilos, he needs

:19:16.:19:19.

fewer calories, hence the difference in size. It is expensive, isn't it?

:19:20.:19:24.

Compared to what is out there. People say, I would just buy a can

:19:25.:19:28.

of the shelf. Because we work directly with our customers we have

:19:29.:19:35.

an average customer paying 50p per day. Monty is even less than that.

:19:36.:19:44.

I'm curious, are you a vet? The vet was one of our co-founders. He had

:19:45.:19:48.

the original idea. There are 11 of us overall. We all came from a wide

:19:49.:19:55.

variety of different backgrounds. My background was for human food and

:19:56.:19:58.

how to manufacture it at a high-quality. We have vets,

:19:59.:20:02.

nutritionists, veterinary nurses, a very experienced team who designed

:20:03.:20:08.

the food and lens. Do you have stiff competition? Just looking at the

:20:09.:20:14.

supermarket shelves, there are gourmet varieties from cats and dogs

:20:15.:20:21.

already. -- and blends. We are focused on nutrition. And the very

:20:22.:20:26.

best nutrition for the type of dog. Not many people are doing that in

:20:27.:20:30.

the same way as we are. In fact, we are the only people making a real

:20:31.:20:34.

success of it. I've heard this, is it difficult to switch a dog from a

:20:35.:20:39.

food that is used to eating, which is probably full of rubbish, to

:20:40.:20:44.

better quality food? Because they may not eat it and then you are

:20:45.:20:48.

stuck with it. It can be difficult for owners to get through it. We

:20:49.:20:52.

offer lots of advice. Adding a bit of water to the blend. Phasing it in

:20:53.:20:56.

with the food they are used to. Warming it to release some of the

:20:57.:21:00.

smells. If you want to get your pet on to better food, it is worth

:21:01.:21:03.

taking the time and effort to help the transition process go as smooth

:21:04.:21:07.

as possible. How much of a role does Monty play in the business? He is in

:21:08.:21:12.

our office most days of the week. He has a big job, along with the other

:21:13.:21:16.

dogs in the office. But he doesn't want to play at the moment, does he?

:21:17.:21:23.

This is very new for him. A lot of us have dogs and test the products

:21:24.:21:27.

and understand what works. Oh! Oh! He's going for me.

:21:28.:21:33.

CHUCKLES You may have come up with some good

:21:34.:21:37.

nutritional food, but you are a rubbish dog trainer. Practice on the

:21:38.:21:42.

training, will you? I'm joking. We have to wrap it up. Are you going to

:21:43.:21:48.

get into cats? Our owners ask ask and we are thinking about it. My

:21:49.:21:53.

wife has two little kittens, and they need some food. Good on you,

:21:54.:21:58.

Monty. You mess down there and you are dead.

:21:59.:22:03.

You have cats, and you are going to go home and smell of dog.

:22:04.:22:05.

I know. In a moment we'll take a look

:22:06.:22:07.

through the Business Pages but first here's a quick reminder of how

:22:08.:22:10.

to get in touch with us. We will keep you up-to-date with all

:22:11.:22:20.

that the latest detail with insight and analysis from the BBC's team of

:22:21.:22:25.

editors around the world. We want to hear from you. Get involved in the

:22:26.:22:34.

business -- get involved on the BBC business live page. You can find us

:22:35.:22:41.

on Facebook, as well. Business Live on TV and online whenever you need

:22:42.:22:42.

to know. Let's see what other

:22:43.:22:44.

stories are being talked Jane is back. Good to see you. We

:22:45.:23:02.

are going to pick up with WhatsApp. I love it. I don't use Facebook. Am

:23:03.:23:09.

I safe? Possibly. This is about Facebook trying to monetise

:23:10.:23:15.

WhatsApp, trying to get some advertising revenue. We should start

:23:16.:23:19.

to see some of that coming through. You can opt out. You don't have to

:23:20.:23:25.

have this advertising. They have got to start earning money from it at

:23:26.:23:30.

some point. Exactly. We expect things to be free, but they can't

:23:31.:23:36.

be, right? Lots of tweets. I'd rather pay a subscription than

:23:37.:23:39.

the adverts, we already bombarded with too many on those social media

:23:40.:23:43.

platforms. Jack says it pays for your free

:23:44.:23:51.

product content, how else does everybody get paid? Understand that.

:23:52.:23:54.

Michael from Durham says they should give the option to pay as they did

:23:55.:23:59.

previously. There is a general census, people are prepared to pay a

:24:00.:24:02.

little bit. I think we are coming into a new era where people would

:24:03.:24:05.

rather have the content they want, rather than stuff targeted at them

:24:06.:24:13.

in a random fashion. We had lots on this one. Peter says disgusting, an

:24:14.:24:20.

invasion of privacy, any smartphone made without social media

:24:21.:24:22.

applications would be better, but I think some people would be lost

:24:23.:24:25.

without them. What other stories? Volkswagen have

:24:26.:24:30.

done this deal with dealers in the US. But it might not be enough? It

:24:31.:24:36.

looks as though the larger cars, the three litre cask of which there are

:24:37.:24:40.

85,000, they've still got to find some way of fixing the problem. --

:24:41.:24:47.

three litre cars. They are still on the road. This needs to be fixed.

:24:48.:24:53.

The judge has said if you can't replace them, you need to fix them.

:24:54.:24:59.

This will cost BMW even more. On top of that, if the Europeans jumped

:25:00.:25:04.

on... We don't have the class action lawsuit, we were doing this story

:25:05.:25:09.

few ago where Volkswagen owners in the US were going to get $20,000?

:25:10.:25:15.

That's right. If you owned a Volkswagen that was affected by the

:25:16.:25:19.

dodgy emissions stuff, you would get a plastic pipe in Europe, that's not

:25:20.:25:23.

fair, so they are trying to get together. If they have to pay

:25:24.:25:29.

Europeans, as well? Big bill. But it is a big company. It is, the share

:25:30.:25:34.

prices is already reflecting this. It has fallen substantially. They

:25:35.:25:38.

have the wherewithal to deal with it, but this is another step towards

:25:39.:25:44.

a larger liability. As this will dog them for years to come.

:25:45.:25:48.

Consumers have memory sometimes, don't we? Have a great, long

:25:49.:25:52.

weekend. Thank you for joining us. There will be more business

:25:53.:25:55.

news throughout the day on the BBC Live web page

:25:56.:25:59.

and on World Business Report We'll Good morning. The bank holiday

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weekend looming large. Looks like there will be reasonable weather on

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offer but there will be some rain on Saturday night into Sunday. Today

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looks like a decent

:26:19.:26:19.

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