13/09/2016 BBC Business Live


13/09/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News, with Rachel Horne and Sally Bundock.

:00:00.:00:08.

The world's most-powerful central bank unsettles

:00:09.:00:10.

the markets with mixed messages over interest rates.

:00:11.:00:19.

Live from London, that's our top story on Tuesday 13th September.

:00:20.:00:35.

The prospect of more-expensive borrowing in the world's biggest

:00:36.:00:38.

economy is dominating market movements.

:00:39.:00:41.

Transport of delight or an uncomfortable ride?

:00:42.:00:48.

Our reporter Michelle Fleury takes a trip in Ford's new driverless car.

:00:49.:00:54.

And the European trading day is now underway and most markets recover

:00:55.:00:57.

following Monday's losses as investors get over the fear

:00:58.:01:00.

Many of us are put off owning a car because of congestion

:01:01.:01:09.

We'll be hearing from the boss of EasyCar.

:01:10.:01:17.

We'll also be asking him about the sharing economy on wheels.

:01:18.:01:21.

Would you be happy renting your car to stranger?

:01:22.:01:25.

A fog of uncertainty has descended over the future

:01:26.:01:43.

of the world's largest economy, with those pulling the economic

:01:44.:01:50.

An influential member of the board that sets US interest rates has

:01:51.:01:54.

suggested a rate rise might damage the economy.

:01:55.:01:56.

Her comments directly contradict several Fed officials,

:01:57.:01:59.

who have recently suggested the economic conditions justified

:02:00.:02:03.

considering another increase in rates this month.

:02:04.:02:06.

Speaking in Chigaco, Lael Brainard said the US central

:02:07.:02:09.

bank should avoid moves to "tighten policy pre-emptively".

:02:10.:02:15.

This seemed to clash with Federal Reserve Bank

:02:16.:02:22.

of Boston President Eric Rosengren's comments on Friday.

:02:23.:02:24.

He said "a reasonable case can be made" for raising rates

:02:25.:02:27.

And if you're wondering how much words matter,

:02:28.:02:29.

just look at the last three trading days on the Dow.

:02:30.:02:32.

The main stock market in the US reacted swiftly to those

:02:33.:02:35.

That's because raising the cost of borrowing in the US will mean

:02:36.:02:39.

higher debt repayments for many emerging market governments

:02:40.:02:43.

and businesses around the world as the amount owed is denominated

:02:44.:02:47.

And with the prospect of higher interest rates in America,

:02:48.:02:51.

this is attractive to international investors who are hungry for better

:02:52.:02:54.

returns on their investment capital, so money will be headed to the US

:02:55.:03:00.

I have got a real expert to pick it apart. Nice to see you again. What

:03:01.:03:21.

will happen next week? The greatest probability is we don't get an

:03:22.:03:25.

increase, the odds are 40% in favour of an increase. But that is still a

:03:26.:03:30.

reasonable probability. The economy is doing reasonably well, the

:03:31.:03:35.

hesitation may be something to do with the forthcoming election. And

:03:36.:03:40.

the possibility that if we get a result, markets are unhappy and can

:03:41.:03:47.

tackle it at that point in time. The adverse reaction on Friday, markets

:03:48.:03:55.

reacting to the comments of the one Fed member, now we are in the quiet

:03:56.:04:01.

period they cannot say anything until next week's meeting, what do

:04:02.:04:07.

you make of the mixed views? It is not surprising and it is healthy

:04:08.:04:11.

that there are contrasting views. We are at the low point for interest

:04:12.:04:17.

rate. We have had one injuries -- increase, but it is quite low. The

:04:18.:04:23.

economy is growing slowly, inflation is furtively low, so the point at

:04:24.:04:26.

which you make the next increase is a hard judgment. It is not that

:04:27.:04:31.

clear that the economy is growing that strongly and that inflation is

:04:32.:04:35.

growing that much. But there is also a sense, and I think this is where

:04:36.:04:40.

the comments came from last week, that we want to start to move

:04:41.:04:44.

towards a more normalised environment less emergency ward

:04:45.:04:47.

interest-rate policy and more progressive. When will they make the

:04:48.:04:53.

next move? The greatest odds seem to be for the end of the year. That

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would be after the election, when there is clarity. It would be a year

:04:59.:05:04.

after the first move. Very slow and gradual, which is what markets are

:05:05.:05:09.

expecting. Jane will return later when we talked with the papers.

:05:10.:05:11.

Reid Hoffman, the co-founder of the internet-based

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networking site LinkedIn, says he will donate up to $5 million

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to a veterans' charity if Donald Trump releases his tax

:05:18.:05:20.

returns before the US Presidential election in November.

:05:21.:05:24.

Mr Trump, who has released a self-reported financial disclosure

:05:25.:05:28.

form, says he will not make his tax returns public until

:05:29.:05:31.

the Internal Revenue Service completes audits of them.

:05:32.:05:35.

China's industrial output and retail-sales growth

:05:36.:05:38.

accelerated in August, with both of them exceeding

:05:39.:05:40.

expectations, in encouraging signs for the world's second-largest

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Industrial output rose by 6.3% in August from a year earlier,

:05:45.:05:49.

surprising analysts, who had expected it to pick up

:05:50.:05:53.

Retail sales, a key measure of consumer spending,

:05:54.:05:57.

also rose 10.6% in August, also ahead of expectations

:05:58.:06:03.

Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics were accused of agreeing

:06:04.:06:13.

not to poach each other's US employees, according to a US civil

:06:14.:06:16.

The proposed class action, filed in a California court

:06:17.:06:19.

by a former LG sales manager, accuses the two firms of antitrust

:06:20.:06:24.

violations and driving down employee wages.

:06:25.:06:26.

The case is similar to one against Apple, Google

:06:27.:06:28.

and other tech companies, which settled last

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Have you ever been in that place where you have bought your flatpack

:06:32.:06:45.

furniture and do have got to put it together?

:06:46.:06:49.

Yes, but we have a division of Labour in our house, I'd buy it, he

:06:50.:06:53.

constructs it. I don't put it together, because it

:06:54.:07:00.

would be a total disaster. Ikea are doing very well, the wealth's

:07:01.:07:05.

biggest furniture retailer, and sales have jumped 7% to a record

:07:06.:07:11.

34.2 billion euros. It says that China remains one of its

:07:12.:07:15.

fastest-growing markets. They are putting shelves together like there

:07:16.:07:19.

is no tomorrow in China. Ikea is almost worldwide domination.

:07:20.:07:23.

I remember before one opened in Northern Ireland, people would get

:07:24.:07:30.

the ferry to Scotland to stock up. Those candles, things you don't

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intend to buy it. You can tell we have been there!

:07:34.:07:38.

In China, there has been an enormous market flotation. Tell us more. It

:07:39.:07:49.

is called Postal Savings Bank of China, it has been called a monster

:07:50.:07:57.

size IPO. They are looking to raise $8.1 billion, making it the world's

:07:58.:08:00.

largest since Ali Baba went public two years ago. The bank is

:08:01.:08:05.

well-known in all of China's small towns, I had never heard of it

:08:06.:08:10.

before, but it has more outlets than any other Chinese lender. It has a

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pretty strong deposit base, giving it a reputation among investors as a

:08:17.:08:21.

sleepy but safe investment. But there are questions over this bank's

:08:22.:08:26.

exposure to shadow lending, which is unregulated activity. It will list

:08:27.:08:32.

in Hong Kong, more than 12 billion new shares will be sold, it begins

:08:33.:08:38.

today and will run for a week, and the shares are due to list and trade

:08:39.:08:40.

on September 28. The markets are bouncing back.

:08:41.:08:54.

Coming back following heavy losses at the start of the week, thanks to

:08:55.:08:59.

the comments we were talking about which gave the impression that we

:09:00.:09:02.

will not see increased rates in the US next week. In Europe, the markets

:09:03.:09:07.

are up, ending a three-day losing streak. Chasing those comments from

:09:08.:09:15.

the Federal reserve. What is happening on Wall Street today?

:09:16.:09:21.

The monthly budget report for August will come out, expected to show a

:09:22.:09:28.

budget deficit of $108 billion. Compare that with the month earlier

:09:29.:09:33.

in July, whether deficit was 113 billion. The Chief Executive of

:09:34.:09:38.

valiant pharmaceuticals will be at an investor conference in New York.

:09:39.:09:43.

Not surprisingly, he will be asked about interest from potential buyers

:09:44.:09:48.

of some of their assets of the company tries to dig itself out of a

:09:49.:09:53.

mountain of debt. Finally, the International energy agency will

:09:54.:09:55.

release its monthly oil report. Earlier this month they suggested

:09:56.:10:02.

that the current oversupply on oil markets will eventually ease by

:10:03.:10:07.

2017. But analysts and traders have become increasingly sceptical that

:10:08.:10:11.

the world's major producers will be able to agree to cap their output.

:10:12.:10:19.

Keep an eye on oil. We mentioned earlier in the programme some nice

:10:20.:10:30.

data out of China, which normally would grab our attention, but we are

:10:31.:10:34.

a test with the Federal reserve, but it is looking good. Yes, we were

:10:35.:10:40.

worrying about China and its rate of growth and whether or not it could

:10:41.:10:44.

manage the slowdown, and as you say our attention has been elsewhere,

:10:45.:10:49.

but the Chinese monetary authorities appear to be managing the balance

:10:50.:10:54.

between producing the amount of borrowing and credit in the economy

:10:55.:10:58.

and slowing it, but also maintaining a reasonable rate of growth in terms

:10:59.:11:01.

of retail sales and manufacturing and investment and so on. This was a

:11:02.:11:07.

good set of data, and slightly reassuring. UK if inflation figures

:11:08.:11:12.

out this morning for August, what are we expecting? We should start to

:11:13.:11:17.

see a pick-up in producer prices. That means imports and the raw

:11:18.:11:22.

materials that companies use for manufacturing and so on. Sterling's

:11:23.:11:29.

for means that goods coming from overseas are more expensive. In

:11:30.:11:32.

terms of the CPI, the inflation rate for the economy as a whole, that

:11:33.:11:36.

should also take up a little bit, but not as much. Is it about

:11:37.:11:43.

sterling being weaker? To a large extent, but having said that,

:11:44.:11:49.

employment is relatively full now, wages are ticking up a little bit,

:11:50.:11:55.

but not run away numbers, but we are seeing some upward pressure on

:11:56.:12:00.

inflation. She is not finished yet, we are making her work for her money

:12:01.:12:02.

this morning! We'll be talking to the boss

:12:03.:12:04.

of EasyCar and asking him if flexible hire really

:12:05.:12:07.

is a substitute for the convenience You're with Business

:12:08.:12:10.

Live from BBC News. JD Sports has just posted record

:12:11.:12:15.

half-year profits as they cash What can you tell us? Big contrast

:12:16.:12:31.

with Sports Direct, who we heard about last week, their profits are

:12:32.:12:36.

expected to fall, not doing too well. Contrasted with JD sports,

:12:37.:12:43.

pre-tax profits of 66%, ?77.4 million. Overall revenues up 20%,

:12:44.:12:51.

just under ?1 billion. I would like to draw your attention to the share

:12:52.:12:54.

price. This is the past six months. The middle of June it felt

:12:55.:12:59.

dramatically, just after the EU referendum. There was a reason, it

:13:00.:13:04.

was because JD Sports has been expanding heavily in Europe. In

:13:05.:13:09.

Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, and so on. It bought

:13:10.:13:17.

eight chain in logical. Since then, the share price has been recovering.

:13:18.:13:22.

After these results, the market welcomed them, up 6%. This is a

:13:23.:13:27.

chain that is doing extremely well, it has a diversify strategy, and a

:13:28.:13:32.

lot of brands. It is worth remembering these results are up to

:13:33.:13:36.

the end of July, so only a month or so after the referendum vote. The

:13:37.:13:41.

company say so far it has seen positive reaction from the vote,

:13:42.:13:47.

because of the strength of the Euro, its European businesses gained their

:13:48.:13:51.

revenues in Europe, that has been a bonus for them. Further afield, the

:13:52.:13:56.

operations in Malaysia, for example, there are possible headwinds in the

:13:57.:14:00.

future, because of the weakness of sterling, but the first half of the

:14:01.:14:03.

year has gone well, we will have to see what happens in the second-half

:14:04.:14:06.

of the year, the peak period in run-up to Christmas.

:14:07.:14:12.

I am not going to burst into song. This is in the music, Esure is

:14:13.:14:23.

spinning off go compare into a separate business. A whole new

:14:24.:14:26.

advertising campaign should be lodged.

:14:27.:14:29.

I don't want them to change it! The chairman of Esure has said that

:14:30.:14:34.

the companies are distinct businesses which are owed

:14:35.:14:40.

underpinned by strong brands are but a demerger would allow separate

:14:41.:14:42.

management teams to focus them more independently. That is management

:14:43.:14:47.

speak for, we are splitting up. It sounds good.

:14:48.:14:51.

Our top story, mixed messages from the US Federal Reserve

:14:52.:14:55.

Leading members of the world's most powerful central bank have issued

:14:56.:15:00.

conflicting statements over interest rates.

:15:01.:15:04.

A quick look at how markets are faring.

:15:05.:15:13.

So far so good, but yesterday we saw alt the markets in Europe down by

:15:14.:15:21.

over, well over 1% on Monday. So as the week progresses we will see how

:15:22.:15:23.

it goes. Are the days of owning

:15:24.:15:28.

your own car numbered? Congestion, rising insurance charges

:15:29.:15:30.

and road pricing mean that many of us only

:15:31.:15:32.

use cars occasionally. And having such an expensive item

:15:33.:15:34.

gathering dust on the driveway means ownership doesn't make much economic

:15:35.:15:36.

sense for some people. Our next guest thinks all this means

:15:37.:15:39.

a real opportunity for flexible car rental companies

:15:40.:15:43.

like his - Easy car. Launched in 2000 as an extension

:15:44.:15:50.

of the EasyGroup, EasyCar is now operating in more than 160

:15:51.:15:53.

countries worldwide. Primarily offering a traditional car

:15:54.:15:55.

rental service, the company has revenues of over

:15:56.:15:57.

?20 million and rising. It's recent branching

:15:58.:16:04.

into the UK sharing economy saw them launch peer-to-peer

:16:05.:16:06.

EasyCar Club in Britain. But with London accounting for over

:16:07.:16:10.

85% of its activity and the rest of its customers based in cities,

:16:11.:16:13.

what scope is there Here to tell us more

:16:14.:16:15.

about the company's inception and ambitions in the sharing economy

:16:16.:16:19.

is Richard Laughton, Welcome to Business Live. We asked

:16:20.:16:34.

our viewers to get involved in this conversation a thief done. We will

:16:35.:16:37.

introduce their tweets later on. Tell us about you. How did you end

:16:38.:16:43.

up in the world of EasyCar? You were not within this sharing economy

:16:44.:16:46.

world at all, were you, you started off in banking in the City? I

:16:47.:16:51.

started trading at the start of my career before going through consul

:16:52.:16:56.

tans why and in house venturing. I set-up my own first venture around

:16:57.:17:02.

2000 which was a wine trading company. Wine not compatible with

:17:03.:17:09.

driving your car? Best not to be done at the same time. That venture

:17:10.:17:12.

was interesting. It was early for that particular one, but I got

:17:13.:17:17.

involved in other early stage ventures before being approached to

:17:18.:17:21.

join EasyCar and given my interest in markets, experience in the

:17:22.:17:25.

peer-to-peer world and you know the opportunity to work with a group

:17:26.:17:29.

which has disrupted a market, I thought it would be a challenge to

:17:30.:17:32.

accept. Now, we were discussing upstairs and one of the main things

:17:33.:17:36.

we were talking about is how would it work when it comes to insurance?

:17:37.:17:41.

If I've got my car on the driveway, I have got my insurance and maybe my

:17:42.:17:45.

partner is named on it. If I was to rent my car out, and if something

:17:46.:17:48.

happened to it, would it be covered by EasyCar EasyCar, would my

:17:49.:17:52.

insurance become invalid because I'm renting it out? We've partnered with

:17:53.:17:58.

Admiral, the car insurance provider to make sure we have got the car

:17:59.:18:03.

insurance covered up. When anyone signs up as a aren'tal with EasyCar

:18:04.:18:11.

Club, we make sure that Admiral is happy to cover them. If anything

:18:12.:18:15.

happens, it will be covered by Admiral. EasyCar Club is happening

:18:16.:18:21.

in the UK and it has been for a few years, but not the UK, but EasyCar

:18:22.:18:27.

is global, isn't it? It is, yes. Through EasyCar, you can book a car

:18:28.:18:31.

in 160 different territories around the world. EasyCar Club we focussed

:18:32.:18:36.

on the UK to start with because it is a new modelment the model does

:18:37.:18:40.

exist elsewhere, but we will be looking to expand that. Some users

:18:41.:18:44.

said they used EasyCar every time years ago because it was cheaper,

:18:45.:18:49.

but you're no longer cheaper. There is a lot of competition out there,

:18:50.:18:55.

why would we choose EasyCar? We have a best price guarantee. What we find

:18:56.:18:59.

with the peer-to-peer side is we tend to price below standard rental

:19:00.:19:03.

and because the cars are much closer to your house, if you are looking at

:19:04.:19:09.

the peer-to-peer business, it tends to be cheaper and more convenient.

:19:10.:19:13.

Within the brokerage, we aim to be price competitive. You talk about

:19:14.:19:17.

being a disruptor, a couple of years ago when it started, it was a

:19:18.:19:21.

disruptor, but the whole sharing economy is something that's become

:19:22.:19:25.

the norm now. Now that it is more established, what new challenges are

:19:26.:19:30.

you facing? Well, I think, so the sharing economy is much, it features

:19:31.:19:33.

larger in the public consciousness. There is still a hell of a long way

:19:34.:19:38.

to go in terms of growing it out. I think as technology changes, and we

:19:39.:19:40.

have been talking about the internet of things for many years, but now we

:19:41.:19:45.

are starting to see sensors placed not only in holes, but in cars and

:19:46.:19:49.

as that technology rolls out, it will make sharing easy. Does it only

:19:50.:19:53.

work in big cities? I don't think so. We do, as you said, most of our

:19:54.:20:00.

members are in London. And that's where we launched originally because

:20:01.:20:06.

had it had good demographics for this service, we have members over

:20:07.:20:09.

the country who don't rent their cars out every day, but have

:20:10.:20:11.

opportunities to rent their cars out from time to time. So we have, you

:20:12.:20:16.

know, someone who runs a B in the Orkney Islands who rents her car

:20:17.:20:19.

three or four times a year. It is an opportunity to make money from an

:20:20.:20:22.

asset which would otherwise be gathering dust. We have had a tweet

:20:23.:20:25.

from a viewer saying, "If the stranger will care for the car as I

:20:26.:20:30.

do and I can track its every move" Then he would be happy to do it. Is

:20:31.:20:34.

there any way that you can track where the car is going or do you set

:20:35.:20:39.

a maximum mileage? We let owners set that if they want to. There are

:20:40.:20:43.

technologies that allow you to track cars. We don't install the

:20:44.:20:48.

technology that allows you to do that or on board diagnostics, but

:20:49.:20:52.

those things are becoming much more standard in cars already. We are

:20:53.:20:57.

doing experimentation and things like on board diagnostics and dash

:20:58.:21:04.

cams to catch what happens. Can you be specific about children? No

:21:05.:21:09.

children, smearing or no dogs, no... You can. We say no smoking, no dogs,

:21:10.:21:14.

but people can change their settings. We haven't set no children

:21:15.:21:18.

yet! But I can understand why you might!

:21:19.:21:26.

I have We have got three little boys between us.

:21:27.:21:30.

US car giant Ford says it will have a mass-produced

:21:31.:21:33.

self-driving car for sale by 2025 and now wants to be seen

:21:34.:21:36.

However the firm has a long way to go if it's going to catch

:21:37.:21:40.

up with the likes of Google, Volvo and Tesla.

:21:41.:21:43.

Michelle Fleury reports now from Michigan where Ford is testing

:21:44.:21:45.

You will be in a level four technology fusion.

:21:46.:22:00.

That will drive autonomously with a safety driver.

:22:01.:22:02.

He won't be doing anything and it will be driving through this campus

:22:03.:22:05.

This is a 10,000 person campus with people doing what they do

:22:06.:22:11.

So that's the level of capability we have right now.

:22:12.:22:17.

Ford is keen to prove it can do anything Silicon Valley can.

:22:18.:22:20.

Uber is launching a self-driving taxi service in Pittsburgh

:22:21.:22:22.

It feels like being a passenger in an ordinary car.

:22:23.:22:28.

Light beams and cameras are used to read the environment around the car.

:22:29.:22:37.

So hang on a second, there's a truck right up in front.

:22:38.:22:42.

There is also a stop sign so we're going to stop.

:22:43.:22:45.

So you promise your foot wasn't on the brake?

:22:46.:22:48.

I wouldn't call it a wild ride, but then that's probably no bad

:22:49.:22:52.

thing when you're talking about driverless cars on the road.

:22:53.:22:54.

The question of safety has come up again after a driver was killed

:22:55.:22:57.

recently using at Teslar's auto pilot feature.

:22:58.:22:59.

Part of the problem is that the technology is moving

:23:00.:23:01.

faster than the rules can be written.

:23:02.:23:16.

Would you get in a driverless car? It feels a bit early. I would want

:23:17.:23:29.

to be behind the steering wheel with the option of overriding. Foot

:23:30.:23:35.

hoovering over the brake. I might as well drive myself! The new ?5 is

:23:36.:23:40.

entering circulation today and it is a plastic fiver. So it will last

:23:41.:23:45.

longer. It will not get torn, it goes through ATMs in a better

:23:46.:23:52.

fashion. And washing machines. It survives the washing machine, Jane,

:23:53.:23:55.

do we need one of these? I haven't actually seen a five pound note

:23:56.:23:59.

coming out of a cash machine for sometime. The ones I go to only seem

:24:00.:24:07.

to issue ?10 notes! But yes, of course, they are used a lot and I

:24:08.:24:11.

think this extends their life by five times so it has got to be worth

:24:12.:24:17.

it. There are two issues, one, many people are saying with contactless

:24:18.:24:22.

and the rise you can phone, your watch, your card, is it the time to

:24:23.:24:27.

be bringing it out? We have these back in Northern Ireland, Northern

:24:28.:24:32.

Bank issued plastic ?5 notes as a commemorative notes and I saw them

:24:33.:24:36.

on eBay this morning for ?15. So maybe it is a good way to get a

:24:37.:24:42.

return... No, I spent it. You spent them all in IKEA, didn't you?

:24:43.:24:47.

Apparently they can be sticky because they're plastic. So if it is

:24:48.:24:53.

hot they might stick together. This is in the Guardian.

:24:54.:25:07.

Guardian Jean-Claude Juncker has launched an investigation. Explain

:25:08.:25:15.

what's going on here. 140,000 people signed a petition about this. The

:25:16.:25:21.

former EU Commissioner is going to have a lot of inside information as

:25:22.:25:25.

to how the EU works and is it really, you know, is he going to

:25:26.:25:29.

give that to Goldman Sachs, is he going to cross ethical lines? Is it

:25:30.:25:35.

sort of too blurred, the lines are too blurred between politics and

:25:36.:25:38.

business, and does it give Goldman Sachs an unfair advantage? If you

:25:39.:25:42.

are an European Commission president does that mean that jobs you take

:25:43.:25:45.

afterwards have to be specific, there is EU rules about that? There

:25:46.:25:50.

is a life long obligation to act with integrity. For all of us. Yes.

:25:51.:25:56.

Jane, thank you for your time today. She worked hard for Business Live

:25:57.:26:00.

today. We appreciate that. That's it from Business Live today.

:26:01.:26:04.

There will be more business news throughout the day on the channel:

:26:05.:26:10.

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