21/07/2016 Daily Politics


21/07/2016

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Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics.

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More than 180,000 people have signed up to Labour in just two days,

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but how many of them have joined to support Jeremy Corbyn,

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Mr Corbyn has this morning launched his campaign

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to remain as Labour leader, with a promise to crackdown on firms

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His challenger Owen Smith appears to have a mountain to climb.

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Theresa May begun talks with European leaders

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about the terms of Britain's exit from the EU - yesterday she was in

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Berlin with Angela Merkel, will she have a trickier time

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One month on from the referendum result which stunned the world,

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we'll hear from a Vote Leave campaign insider about

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And as MPs pack up and leave Westminster until September,

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what books will they take with them to the beach?

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We'll bring you their definitive summer reading list.

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All that in the next hour and with us for the whole

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of the programme today two journalists who may look

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like a highbrow pair, but really they're just

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as accessible and ready for the beach as any

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Think of them as the Dan Brown and James Patterson

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of political journalism - only without the sales figures.

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It's Steve Richards and Fraser Nelson.

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So, Parliament rises for its annual summer recess today,

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many MPs have already left Westminster for their constituencies

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and plenty of them will be breathing a sigh of relief after a period

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in politics which has been more turbulent than any in recent memory.

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But while some of them will be getting a holiday, for others it's

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going to be a long hot summer with plenty of hard work

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For Labour members it will be an unsettled few months,

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as Storm Owen Smith takes on Cyclone Jeremy Corbyn.

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The two will be travelling the country, as ballot papers sweep

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And the results will be announced at a special conference

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Two other parties will also have leadership contests over the summer.

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On the first weekend of September we will find out which

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Green Party hopeful will have their time in the sun.

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And next week we get the final list of Ukip leadership hopefuls,

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who come mid-September, will replace the El Nino of UK

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The Conservatives are experiencing a calmer front now their leadership

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question is settled, or at least as calm as it gets

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in the post-referendum world of politics.

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Theresa May will be hoping the Trade Winds are favourable

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as she grapples with preparations for the Brexit negotiations -

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having committed to triggering Article 50 by the end of the year.

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And she'll be hoping to avert predictions of gathering

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economic grey clouds, as yesterday the Bank of England

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reported many companies were adopting a "business

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as usual" approach after last month's referendum result.

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Well, the Prime Minister has been visiting European leaders

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to discuss her approach to leaving the EU.

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Today she's due to meet with President Hollande

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That follows her meeting yesterday with German Chancellor,

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Mrs Merkel agreed with Mrs May that the UK shouldn't

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rush for the exit door, but should take its time

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I want to work with Chancellor Merkel and my colleagues around

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the European Council in a constructive spirit,

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to make this a sensible and orderly departure.

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All of us will need time to prepare for these negotiations

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and the United Kingdom will not invoke Article 50

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That is why I have said already this will not happen before

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I understand this timescale will not please everyone but I think

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it is important to provide clarity on that now.

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We should strive for a solution which respects the decision

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of British voters, but also respects the interests of our

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Together we should maximise the opportunities for

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We're joined now by the Conservative MP Mark Field.

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Welcome to the Daily Politics. The last one before the recess. First

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meetings, you could say always contain warm words and it seemed to

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go well. But that doesn't necessarily mean it will be easy

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from now on Think everyone knows it is going to be tough. In the

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Conservative Party we know that and I think that Angela Merkel's team

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out in Germany are well awhich are there will be difficulties as we try

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to extricate ourselves from the European Union. It was a positive

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first meeting and it has been remarked by a number of political

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commentator that is there are profound similarities in the

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political stale of the two ladies, and I think it'll go well. It is

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quite amazing, I suppose, to see two women together at the top of

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politics, it isn't often that you see that. I think we will see more

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of it in the months and years to come. It is a good thing, isn't it?

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Well, any Scot will be well-used to seeing women at the top of the

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#35r789. Full of them. Can't move without them? In Scotland, it is

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leading world politics, in having women, as presiding officers and

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leading parties. It may be unusual here but in Holyrood people have

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been used to it for sometime. It could be perhaps, Hillary Clinton in

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and perhaps, a female President of France. Well, before that happens,

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Francois Hollande is still there in France. How tricky is that meeting

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going to be? He is going to be frosier, isn't he? I think it will

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be fine. Theresa May is an emollient politician. In contrast to Gordon

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Brown, nine years ago, he was almost bereft of ideas and a spent force.

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What has surprised everyone with Theresa May, she is full of ideas,

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firm ideas, on what she hopes to do, for example, to encourage social

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mobility which seems to have gone downhill. She's not enthralled by

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the way, Blair, Brown and Cameron and Osborne were with the City and

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metropolitan values. There is a real sense of mission there. But she

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doesn't know what she is going to do with Brexit and that at the moment

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will be the defining issue. I think you are right about that in one

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sense, however it is all the more reason why she has a domestic agenda

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she is also looking to put together. We don't know how long the Brexit

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issue will take. Don't get me wrong, I'm in the unreal it be, it is going

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to be a dark cloud with difficulties for the political class. It is all

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the more reason why what has been interesting, is she hasn't defined

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the early days of her Prime Ministerier by Brexit. We know by

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Mrs America Mark, she said to her own Parliament, that the UK can't

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cherry pick. - Mrs Merkel. And that will be the potential pit

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fall. I think it will be unrealistic to think that we can cherry pick on

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single market and passporting without having to give some leeway

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as far as free movement is concerned. However, I think you also

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have to remember there is a lot of volitility throughout Europe. We

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have elections in France and Germany. The Italian banks are in

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deep trouble. Actually, we have to remember we are going to be having

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this negotiation over the next two or three years once Article 50 is

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triggered but that's not going to be taking place in a vacuum, it will be

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being taking place in a volatile situation in the rest of Europe,

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there are tremendous opportunities, pro-I had vooing we diplomatically

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we grasp them. How do you assess her chances of getting a deal to sell to

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the British people With great difficulty. This early period

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reminds me of when John Major took over, it felt like a new Government

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after a traumatic period for the Conservative Party. He moved away

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from the past, abolishing things like the poll tax, which was

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associated with the Thatcherite passed and the way that Theresa May

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has moved away from the Cameroons now. But Europe hovered for John

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Major in the form of the Maastricht Treaty. And Brexit hovers for

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Theresa May and it is bigger and more problematic than max trict even

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though it was a nightmare for John Major. Although it feels fresh and

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new and she has moved into the job with poise. This is the honeymoon

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period and Brexit does pose many, many nightmarish problems for her.

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Immigration will be one of them. She restated about the commitment to

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bring net migration down to tens of thousands. She said it would take

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sometime. A realisation that perhaps it just isn't achievable. Well, not

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for the next ten years, anyway. If you look at the projections, nobody

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envisaging that happening. But interestingly she says will will

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control free movement rather than abolish it. This relishes the

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prospect... Of of a deal being done. Jiem' snot as gloomy as stee. There

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are many ways of leaving the EU. Britain voted for a way. I don't

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think there are many rocks ahead of her. But you have to satisfy many of

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the people who voted for Brexit and who wouldn't control of movement.

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But people voted for a different range of reasons. I think the schism

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could be the eurozone verses the EU I think there is an opportunity if

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we go down an down the Norwegian route, the EU-light approach, we

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would have a situation like the Czechs and Swedes, over the next few

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years. If it is achievable, of course. Let's look at the banking

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industry. There are companies like that sector that have been able to

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operate across the EU as long as they have a base in the UK called

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passporting that. Will not continue until a new deal is arranged for

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them as well? It'll continue until we know what will happen. Truth of

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the matter is obviously that will be something that will have to be

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negotiated to a certain extent. I think it is true to say... Are you

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worried about it? Think it is true to say that the City of Europe will

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lose some of that bishops it would be naive to think some won't go to

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Dublin, Frankfurt or Paris. How big a hit will it be? There are

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opportunities that also arise. One of the things about the City of

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London and I was saying this before the referendum it is not an Joan

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shore centre for Europe it is an off-shore centre for around the

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world that brings problems as well but tlurnts as a global financial

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centre. You have talked about them, but we don't know how they are going

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to form, fair enough. In the meantime you would expect other EU

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countries to jump in there. We have heard the French Prime Minister say

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- we want it build the financial capital, you remember Boris Johnson

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saying to the French businesses come to London, now they will do that in

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reverse. The same arguments were put is a years ago when we didn't join

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the euro. And the critical mass of London is stronger against Paris or

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Frankfurt since that time. I'm in the naive thinking there will not be

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difficulties but I don't think it is all doom and gloom and it won't be

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easy for par toys reinvent itself as a financial global cap. A how much

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goodwill is there across the EU to what Britain is trying to do? I

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think it is wrong to look at it with good L I agree with Mark. It'll be

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fine with France tonight, in tonal atmospherics, here is a new Prime

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Minister. But they will have to calculate what is in their own

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self-interest, so for example, the French presidential election will

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play a bigger calculation in how France plays this over the next 12

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months rather than goodwill on either side. Similarly the next

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German election which will be uppermost in Merkel's mind. This is

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where the game of chess gets so complicated. They will have to

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calculate what their electorates are thinking... Are prepared to...

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Prepared to accept. On the whole issue of free, movement, for

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example, the rise of Le Pen in France, may well mean the French are

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happy to row in behind some sort of hybrid deal we could be talking

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about come the early part of 2017. So there are opportunities, the

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diplomacy element and one thing I would say which has been evident, so

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many European reads such perfect English and read our primary

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sources. The one thing many of our ministers have to do is not spend

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their time with a mega phone saying what they are going to end up doing.

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The difficulty is so many people now read the Times and Telegraph on a

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daily basis... And all publications. The The contrast we have, we pick up

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once a month what is happening in the economist from Swedish politics

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and you what is happening in Italy cops from a diplomat. I think we

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need to, as I say we have a stronger hand that we might think and need to

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play the diplomatic cards carefully. Well, thank you very much.

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Now it's time for our daily quiz, and it's all about former

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It's been reported this morning that before last year's general election

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Mr Clegg spent two days and close to ?8,000 doing something

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that the party hoped would show he could be "fun".

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Did he, A) Go to a theme park in a baseball cap?

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C) Film his own version of a pop video?

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Or D) Erect a 'Cleggstone' in his back garden?

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At the end of the show Steve and Fraser

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The Labour Party is gearing up to spend a second consecutive summer

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While last year's was all about Jeremy Corbyn's surge

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from nowhere to beat his more established rivals, this year's

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looks like being a hard-fought and bitterly divisive contest

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between Mr Corbyn and his challenger Owen Smith, who is backed

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The election, which ends in September, is being fought

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on a one-member-one-vote basis, and there's been a scramble to sign

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In the past 48 hours, an extra 183,000 people have paid

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?25 to become registered supporters and vote in the ballot.

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That means a total of more than ?4.5 million for the party coffers.

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It's not clear how many people were signing up to vote

:15:00.:15:05.

for or against Mr Corbyn, but a spokesman for Mr Corbyn has

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said it is "reasonable to assume" that the majority

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of the new registrations come from supporters of the

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Well, Owen Smith is holding a rally in Birmingham later today,

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and this morning he was asked whether he was worried

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about lots of the new registrations being from Corbyn supporters.

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Well, they might be, but we don't know, do we?

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Let's be blunt, we don't know how those people have joined.

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I've got friends who have joined, one or two, because they want

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I'm sure a couple of Jeremy's friends have joined, as well.

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If they do end up being on that side, it looks pretty difficult

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for you, would that end up in a split of the party?

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The reason I'm running is very simply because I think the party

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is in danger of splitting and if we do split the Labour Party

:15:48.:15:51.

So that was Owen Smith, let's listen now to Jeremy Corbyn

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launching his re-election campaign in London just a short while ago.

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I wish they were all on board and I wish they would play a full part in

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the economic debate yesterday when euro John McDonnell -- when John

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McDonnell was really putting this to the government. We have a government

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creating worse divisions in our country, and it is their job to get

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behind the campaign against this government. This party is going

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places, it is strong and capable of winning a general election, and if

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I'm leader of the party I will be that Prime Minister.

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We're joined now by the Labour MP Kerry McCarthy, she's supporting

:16:39.:16:40.

Owen Smith for leader, and Barbara Ntumy from Momentum

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which is an organisation supporting Jeremy Corbyn.

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Barbara, what is the evidence that the majority of new registrations

:16:49.:17:00.

are Jeremy Corbyn supporters? Momentum had a lot of people engaged

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and we did a lot of recruiting of getting people to sign up for just

:17:05.:17:10.

?25 and we are very confident, even though we don't know the numbers,

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but we are confident people have joined to support Jeremy. There was

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also the saving Labour campaign, people were urging people to come

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together to save the Labour Party because this is absolute crisis

:17:23.:17:27.

point as Owen said, and there were people who signed up through that,

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you can't assume that the people that voted for Jeremy last time are

:17:31.:17:34.

going to vote for him this time. I've spoken to people in my

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constituency who say they realised they did the wrong thing. It is

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interesting. Just one example, one of the lobby correspondents said the

:17:46.:17:54.

latest sampling of 183,000 new registrations are 60-40 in favour of

:17:55.:17:59.

Owen Smith. That is a surprise, but there are many people already

:18:00.:18:03.

members, Jeremy Hunt the support of many of the members, not just the ?3

:18:04.:18:10.

voters, and in the next week we will have Jeremy and Owen putting their

:18:11.:18:14.

manifesto forward, and I'm slightly worried that Owen is pitching to the

:18:15.:18:19.

left, because Jeremy has changed the debate, so people know they have got

:18:20.:18:22.

to say the things that people can hold onto. You say you are worried,

:18:23.:18:29.

surely that would fill you with confidence? I'm worried he is

:18:30.:18:35.

pitching to the left even though he is not that left, his record does

:18:36.:18:37.

not show that he has been campaigning on these issues, he

:18:38.:18:42.

abstained on the welfare debate, you can't abstain on very crucial things

:18:43.:18:44.

which will affect millions of people. As Secretary of State for

:18:45.:18:50.

Work and Pensions Owen led the charge against tax credits where we

:18:51.:18:56.

got the government to do a U-turn, the government MPs voted against it.

:18:57.:19:01.

This is a nonsense line which is being peddled, in the same way they

:19:02.:19:04.

tried to cast aspersions on commitment to the NHS which is free

:19:05.:19:09.

at the point of delivery, we have got to get away from that. We need a

:19:10.:19:14.

genuine and honest debate about these candidates and what they stand

:19:15.:19:17.

for and what they can do and what their abilities are. It is not just

:19:18.:19:22.

what you say, it is what you do as a politician and whether you have a

:19:23.:19:26.

strategy for dealing with the crisis the country finds itself in. I

:19:27.:19:31.

agree, is what you do. I find it hard to believe that loads of people

:19:32.:19:35.

that resign from the Shadow Cabinet are now saying they tried their best

:19:36.:19:39.

to work with him, if you look at what has unfolded, it seems half the

:19:40.:19:43.

effort was put in and the other half was thinking of a way to get rid of

:19:44.:19:47.

him. It was not a spontaneous thing, it was very organised. You can't

:19:48.:19:51.

spend time saying you are trying to work hard with someone, and then

:19:52.:19:54.

throw that away at the drop of a hat. 80% of the Parliamentary Labour

:19:55.:20:00.

Party, that spans all the politics which exists within the

:20:01.:20:02.

Parliamentary Labour Party, certainly. I did not think he was

:20:03.:20:07.

doing a great job as leader and I did not support him to become leader

:20:08.:20:12.

but I recognised he had a mandate. In my case I was disappointed with

:20:13.:20:16.

his lack of leadership, and it was obvious he was not fully on board

:20:17.:20:27.

with the Remain campaign. There seemed a complete lack of concern,

:20:28.:20:34.

used the phrase, we campaigned around the country but we were

:20:35.:20:37.

ultimately unsuccessful, and that is all he said, but everyone else said

:20:38.:20:41.

it was devastating, so many issues we need to be addressing. We are

:20:42.:20:46.

looking to the leader to set out what happens next. We had a PLP

:20:47.:20:50.

hustings on Monday and Jeremy said we have two years to trigger article

:20:51.:20:55.

50 and that brings it home. That is not even true. He does not

:20:56.:21:00.

understand... He does not understand anything about Brexit. Labour

:21:01.:21:05.

supporters of voted to stay, it was Ukip and the Conservative supporters

:21:06.:21:12.

who voted to leave, you cannot blame Brexit on Jeremy Corbyn. Don't talk

:21:13.:21:18.

over each other. I'm not blaming Jeremy Corbyn for the referendum

:21:19.:21:22.

result, but I do think he was very lacklustre during the campaign. What

:21:23.:21:26.

I was looking for after the referendum result, a sign that he

:21:27.:21:30.

was bothered about it, and he did not seem bothered at all, but also

:21:31.:21:34.

that he had a sense of where we were going to go next. He called for

:21:35.:21:39.

article 50, only him and Nigel Farage called for it to be triggered

:21:40.:21:42.

immediately, and that shows he did not understand what the situation

:21:43.:21:48.

was and the importance of triggering Article 50 and at the PLP hustings

:21:49.:21:52.

on Monday he said we have two years to trigger article 50 which is not

:21:53.:21:56.

the case. He doesn't understand and he doesn't really care about it. To

:21:57.:22:02.

the nature of the campaign. Jeremy Corbyn says he doesn't want the

:22:03.:22:06.

contest to end up in the gutter. We are going to put up a poster, pitch

:22:07.:22:10.

of Jeremy Corbyn and Owen Smith, in a moment, does this represent not

:22:11.:22:14.

going to the gutter? -- a picture. Owen Smith says he was invited to a

:22:15.:22:29.

defence event because it was a significant employer in his

:22:30.:22:34.

constituency, but he didn't go. Is that post-affair? I did not make the

:22:35.:22:45.

poster. -- poster fair? Jeremy Corbyn supporters have done it.

:22:46.:22:50.

Should it be called out? Definitely, it is not accept of all, but none of

:22:51.:22:54.

this started with Jeremy and it will not end with Jeremy. People have

:22:55.:22:59.

gone out of their way. It is never as nasty as this. Women are attacked

:23:00.:23:03.

on Twitter for having certain politics. You don't think that the

:23:04.:23:10.

intimidation of women MPs that has been cited by those women

:23:11.:23:13.

themselves, you don't think that is exaggerated? Not saying it is worse,

:23:14.:23:20.

it is something that has always existed and we should continue to

:23:21.:23:23.

say it is an acceptable, but I'm very concerned when the narrative is

:23:24.:23:26.

given that this is only happening because of Jeremy and he is

:23:27.:23:30.

instigating it when that is not necessarily true. Is that really

:23:31.:23:34.

fair? I've been a member of the Labour Party 25 years and all of my

:23:35.:23:38.

colleagues that have been involved, they say it has never been as nasty

:23:39.:23:46.

as this now. Social media exaggerates it because it is easier

:23:47.:23:50.

to attack people and you have anonymous trolls, but it feels far

:23:51.:23:53.

more on present than anything I can remember and I feel it is stoked up,

:23:54.:23:58.

the narrative of betrayal. Everyone who doesn't support Jeremy is a

:23:59.:24:02.

traitor, unprincipled, has no socialist values and no place in the

:24:03.:24:07.

Labour Party. He has encouraged it. He says he would like to reach out

:24:08.:24:11.

to Labour MPs and he would like them to come back into the Labour fold

:24:12.:24:16.

which is growing under him because of the increasing party membership.

:24:17.:24:21.

He said that again this morning. He also said he doesn't expect this

:24:22.:24:26.

loyalty from MPs if he wins again and there is a threat there that

:24:27.:24:31.

there would be increasing cause for the selection of MPs that don't

:24:32.:24:34.

support him. Should that happen? -- calls. They need to decide how to

:24:35.:24:43.

hold the representative to account. It feels like people are not willing

:24:44.:24:47.

to put differences aside to try and work together as much as possible,

:24:48.:24:51.

and constituencies should hold the elected representative to account.

:24:52.:24:57.

Jeremy voted against the Labour whip over 500 times, he called for John

:24:58.:25:02.

Smith to have a leadership challenge two months after he was elected,

:25:03.:25:08.

with 91% of the vote. Those were the things he did then. Five days after

:25:09.:25:13.

Black Wednesday and we were ahead in the polls. It seems to be one rule

:25:14.:25:20.

for Jeremy and one for everyone else. What will happen in the

:25:21.:25:29.

contest? I've just read the polls. Actually, Paul has which those

:25:30.:25:33.

figures around, it is 60-40 in favour of Jeremy Corbyn. A

:25:34.:25:37.

significant turnaround and that confirms a poll in the times on

:25:38.:25:43.

their front page, yesterday. We must assume at this stage Jeremy Corbyn

:25:44.:25:48.

starts miles ahead and they are highly effective at organising these

:25:49.:25:53.

kind of events as we know from last summer. If that proves to be the

:25:54.:25:58.

case it raises a number of questions about what the Labour MPs are trying

:25:59.:26:04.

to achieve through this. I've been doing a 3-part series on Corbyn's

:26:05.:26:08.

first year and the last goes out on Monday on Radio 4 and it is clear

:26:09.:26:14.

that there was very little coordination amongst the dissenters

:26:15.:26:20.

after the referendum. Margaret Hodge did one thing. Hilary Benn did

:26:21.:26:25.

something else. The Shadow Cabinet did something else. When John

:26:26.:26:31.

McDonnell said at a rally the other day, I won't repeat it exactly, but

:26:32.:26:35.

he said they are not very good at organising. Use the supporters, yes.

:26:36.:26:40.

That is proving to be the case so far. -- useless. It Jeremy Corbyn

:26:41.:26:47.

wants this as a long-term project he needs a different parliamentary

:26:48.:26:50.

party and the Parliamentary party needs a different leader, that much

:26:51.:26:56.

is clear. In terms of the party, the figures are astounding, in terms of

:26:57.:26:59.

new membership, the money that will be rolling into the Labour Party for

:27:00.:27:02.

the first time in many years, that is also pretty astounding. There's

:27:03.:27:07.

also the massive disconnect the mechanic a movement in the way that

:27:08.:27:11.

Jeremy Corbyn and the grassroots supporters think without the

:27:12.:27:17.

Parliamentary party? -- massive disconnect, but can it be a

:27:18.:27:25.

movement. Yes, it can be, the people who have just signed up, that is

:27:26.:27:29.

more than the Tory party membership, so it is a movement. Can it be a

:27:30.:27:35.

government? That is not the aim of Jeremy Corbyn, his aim is to capture

:27:36.:27:40.

the Labour Party with his hard left views. It is not hard left. The

:27:41.:27:55.

thing is, we want to form a government and Jeremy has been very

:27:56.:27:59.

effective in opposing the Tories and their cuts and he has been very

:28:00.:28:02.

effective on issues of social justice. Actually fund education.

:28:03.:28:07.

Many older people have the chance to go to education for free, the cost

:28:08.:28:13.

of rising is -- the cost of living is rising. It is enough. Things can

:28:14.:28:18.

be better and we want things to be better and we understand you need to

:28:19.:28:21.

be in government to do that and that is what we are doing. We will knock

:28:22.:28:25.

on the doors, we went out on our hundreds to knock on the doors for

:28:26.:28:28.

Sadiq Khan to be the Mayor of London, we need to stop distort the

:28:29.:28:35.

facts, we want Jeremy Corbyn to be Prime Minister and we want the

:28:36.:28:38.

country to be better for everyone and not just a few people. That is

:28:39.:28:43.

the passion of view, Jeremy Corbyn can lead a Labour government into

:28:44.:28:47.

the government. He's not electable, he's not a future Prime Minister,

:28:48.:28:52.

and when I go... On the Bristol MP, there are parts of Bristol where he

:28:53.:28:56.

goes down very well, amongst the former Green voters, people who are

:28:57.:29:02.

in organisations, but if I go out to be more traditional Labour voters,

:29:03.:29:09.

it is hard to convince them that he could be a Prime Minister. He wants

:29:10.:29:15.

to speak to those people, the evidence is that Ed Miliband has

:29:16.:29:22.

lost Labour loads of support, but Jeremy said... You said it would be

:29:23.:29:28.

a disaster when he came, but he has not lost any by-elections. Can I ask

:29:29.:29:34.

one question regarding the rules, is it right that the Jeremy Corbyn

:29:35.:29:41.

supporters have offered to pay ?25 for anyone to back their leader? Is

:29:42.:29:45.

that right? It was heartbreaking when I heard that the NEC had

:29:46.:30:01.

decided... Shore. -- that is fine. The problem is, wider working class

:30:02.:30:06.

people have to pay so much -- wider working class people have to pay so

:30:07.:30:10.

much to be a member of the party? Thanks for joining us.

:30:11.:30:16.

Today marks one month since Britain voted to leave the EU -

:30:17.:30:19.

A result that surprised the pollsters, the pundits

:30:20.:30:22.

Recently on the show we had an 'in' campaigner

:30:23.:30:27.

reflecting on what went wrong, and today we're going to hear

:30:28.:30:30.

from a central figure in the Leave campaign

:30:31.:30:32.

Here's Vote Leave's chief executive, Matthew Elliott, with his account

:30:33.:30:35.

So, Big Ben has struck 10.00pm, and we can now start

:30:36.:30:47.

trying to discover which side thinks it's carried the day.

:30:48.:30:50.

At 10.00pm on 23rd June, the consensus was that Vote

:30:51.:30:52.

A contact of mine at Number 10 texted me to say,

:30:53.:30:57.

And even Nigel Farage was predicting a Remain victory.

:30:58.:31:01.

But after our final conference call with Boris Johnson, Michael Gove,

:31:02.:31:03.

and Dominic Cummings, our campaign director,

:31:04.:31:05.

Gisela Stuart and I were still upbeat.

:31:06.:31:09.

People were talking that we'd lost, the evidence wasn't there.

:31:10.:31:21.

And, of course, as the evening went by, it became clearer and clearer

:31:22.:31:24.

that we were winning but I did not accept it until David Dimbleby said,

:31:25.:31:27.

"We can now officially declare that Vote Leave has won."

:31:28.:31:30.

I kept saying, "We need two speeches."

:31:31.:31:43.

The UK has voted to leave the European Union.

:31:44.:31:49.

I kept saying, "We need two speeches."

:31:50.:31:51.

But this was not really reciprocated.

:31:52.:31:53.

The mood was - we only need a speech to concede defeat gracefully,

:31:54.:31:56.

but you and I didn't quite see it that way.

:31:57.:31:58.

Getting to that point was a long road.

:31:59.:32:03.

Five years ago I ran the "No to AV" referendum campaign.

:32:04.:32:07.

I took on this challenge, the test run for a possible EU referendum.

:32:08.:32:10.

We manageded to turn public opinion from being 2-1 in favour

:32:11.:32:12.

of electoral reform, to being 2-1 against.

:32:13.:32:16.

Alongside me at No to AV was Peter Crudder.

:32:17.:32:18.

When I joined No to AV it was a bit political.

:32:19.:32:27.

It needed that injection of business knowledge.

:32:28.:32:29.

I think the same applied to Vote Leave.

:32:30.:32:31.

What I brought was this business acumen.

:32:32.:32:36.

Having the funding and the right campaign team in place

:32:37.:32:38.

for Vote Leave was essential but we had three big

:32:39.:32:40.

We were taking on the establishment, we were fighting Ukip.

:32:41.:32:52.

And we had to overcome the natural bias in a referendum

:32:53.:32:54.

To take on the establishment, we needed to recruit big

:32:55.:33:00.

We needed to show swing voters that serious people from politics,

:33:01.:33:04.

business and other walks of life, backed voting Leave.

:33:05.:33:12.

If you look back to 1975, one of the reasons why the Leave

:33:13.:33:16.

campaign then was so unsuccessful was because leading political

:33:17.:33:18.

figures were seen as very much outliers, in some cases extremists.

:33:19.:33:25.

So to demonstrate there were senior, centrist, moderate figures

:33:26.:33:28.

campaigning to leave the European Union, I hope

:33:29.:33:30.

made a real contribution to the result of the referendum.

:33:31.:33:34.

But at the same time as taking on the establishment,

:33:35.:33:37.

we were also fighting Ukip and Nigel Farage.

:33:38.:33:43.

We knew that swing voters didn't want to feel they were voting

:33:44.:33:46.

Resisting the overtures from Ukip, to create a properly

:33:47.:33:50.

cross-party campaign, was probably the toughest

:33:51.:33:52.

aspect of the referendum for the campaign team.

:33:53.:34:15.

But at one point, the group closest to Ukip - Leave.EU -

:34:16.:34:17.

sent out a statement to MPs and the media, saying that

:34:18.:34:20.

Dominic Cummings and I couldn't run a sweet shop and Nigel Farage

:34:21.:34:23.

appeared on the Daily Politics saying both of us should be sacked.

:34:24.:34:26.

This was a massively stressful period and the pressure

:34:27.:34:28.

A week before the referendum, we were riding high.

:34:29.:34:34.

Vote Leave had punctured a hole in project fear by organising 60 MPs

:34:35.:34:38.

to say they would vote against George Osborne's Brexit

:34:39.:34:40.

budget and we had the wind in our sails but then Nigel Farage

:34:41.:34:43.

unveiled the most controversial poster of the referendum.

:34:44.:34:45.

The Breaking Point image was damaging enough

:34:46.:34:47.

but in the context of Jo Cox's murder, it threatened

:34:48.:34:49.

Thankfully it was clear to voters that Ukip was not

:34:50.:34:53.

The final challenge we faced was to overcome the natural

:34:54.:34:56.

status quo bias of any referendum campaign.

:34:57.:35:02.

As was the case with the Alternative Vote,

:35:03.:35:04.

or Scottish independence, the change side often loses

:35:05.:35:08.

because people's natural caution kicks in.

:35:09.:35:10.

We had to show how there was no status quo.

:35:11.:35:13.

We highlighted the risk of Remain and we showed how Leave

:35:14.:35:16.

Getting to what people feel, rather than what they say,

:35:17.:35:26.

is where the future of research is and this is what we did

:35:27.:35:29.

and the one key thing that emerged on this was the strength

:35:30.:35:31.

of emotional connectivity with that "take control" argument.

:35:32.:35:36.

So that single message was actually a decision of genius, in many ways,

:35:37.:35:40.

because it was exactly what people could understand.

:35:41.:35:43.

It was something that people just got.

:35:44.:35:47.

It cut through straightaway to so many people.

:35:48.:35:52.

At Vote Leave we were challenged for telling voters that the UK

:35:53.:35:56.

is billed ?350 million each week for our membership of the EU.

:35:57.:36:03.

It is a legitimate figure, it is entirely right.

:36:04.:36:06.

We emblazoned this figure on our bus and on our literature and our

:36:07.:36:09.

spokespeople repeated it again and again.

:36:10.:36:14.

In direct comparison to the arguments for Remain,

:36:15.:36:28.

around the perceived impact on the economy in a head-to-head

:36:29.:36:31.

question, if you like, the ?350 million question won every

:36:32.:36:33.

At heart, I'm a policy wonk before I'm a referendum campaigner.

:36:34.:36:41.

At Vote Leave we probably achieved the biggest policy change, ever,

:36:42.:36:47.

A month on, the repercussions from Vote leave victories have

:36:48.:36:52.

The economic scares that people predicted haven't materialised.

:36:53.:36:58.

British politics has been turned upside down.

:36:59.:37:00.

And even the European Union is showing signs of reform.

:37:01.:37:06.

As Liam Fox wrote on Vote Leave's white board on referendum night,

:37:07.:37:09.

Is it true there was only one speech written for night? I was with Gisela

:37:10.:37:28.

Stuart had seemed astounded by the are you, delighted but astounded and

:37:29.:37:32.

the only speech that had been written was the one to condition

:37:33.:37:37.

seed defeat. I think the most difficult speech to make was to

:37:38.:37:43.

concede defeat. A victory speech was easier. Was there only one? There

:37:44.:37:50.

was one but about midnight she started skripling away on her

:37:51.:37:54.

victory acceptance speech. You say you were always confident but not

:37:55.:37:58.

everyone in Vote Leave was so sure? From February, once we saw the deal

:37:59.:38:03.

and terrain, we felt sure if it got to the final stage of the

:38:04.:38:06.

referendum, it was still 50-50, still in contention, then we could

:38:07.:38:11.

get across the line and win. We knew we had - our voters were more

:38:12.:38:15.

enthusiastic and we felt our ground game was better. On the ground game.

:38:16.:38:20.

Let's talk about a that ?350 #34i8 yob fichlingt you say you make no

:38:21.:38:23.

aapproximately joy for t but you promised something you couldn't

:38:24.:38:26.

deliver and you knew you couldn't deliver ?350 million being spent on

:38:27.:38:30.

the NHS. So you lied, effectively. I disagree. A referendum campaign is

:38:31.:38:34.

very different to an election, in the sense that... You don't have to

:38:35.:38:38.

at the time truth... We are a campaign team, we are campaigning

:38:39.:38:42.

for a certain result and we hoped that the Government would use that

:38:43.:38:46.

money for the NHS. You didn't say, that you said "Lets avenue give our

:38:47.:38:52.

NHS the ?350 million the EU takes every week." That was disputed that

:38:53.:38:58.

?3 #r50 million was sent to the EU, in fact it was disproved but then to

:38:59.:39:02.

promise that amount, which people distanced themselves from

:39:03.:39:04.

immediately afterwards s dishonest. The key point was, it could have

:39:05.:39:08.

been delivered by the Government, we would have liked it could have been

:39:09.:39:12.

delivered by the Government but Vote leave didn't become the Government

:39:13.:39:14.

afterwards. What about the in-fighting? You talked about that

:39:15.:39:18.

and said it was difficult to deal with. Was it something that really

:39:19.:39:22.

undermined the Vote Leave campaign? The key point was, we had the vision

:39:23.:39:28.

of a cross-party business-led campaign involving senior people

:39:29.:39:31.

from business, politics, the military other walks of life. It was

:39:32.:39:35.

the best way of conadvicing swing voters it was a moderate, sensible,

:39:36.:39:40.

mainstream thing to do, to vote Leave. It was why it was important

:39:41.:39:43.

that we weren't dominated by Ukip and had a separate independent

:39:44.:39:47.

campaign. You were on the Leave side, Fraser, were you surprised?

:39:48.:39:51.

Yes, really surprised. I don't know any journalist o actually who

:39:52.:39:56.

predicted that Leave would win. The polls repeatedly told us otherwise,

:39:57.:40:00.

we knew not to trust them from last time around but you would think they

:40:01.:40:04.

would have their house in order. The momentum seemed to be going with the

:40:05.:40:08.

Government's side. Pretty much every single member of the establishment,

:40:09.:40:12.

on behalf of the status quoe, the Government, blink and all economists

:40:13.:40:17.

and you had a rag tag bag of insurgents on the other side. So, I

:40:18.:40:22.

didn't know anybody who predicted a Brexit strike but one arrived in

:40:23.:40:25.

what was certainly the most extraordinary political victory in

:40:26.:40:28.

our living memory. It feels like a lifetime now since the vote, or it

:40:29.:40:33.

does to us anyway. Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, key personalities in

:40:34.:40:36.

that Leave campaign. They won the war, if you like, but they haven't

:40:37.:40:41.

been anywhere in the piece? Well, Boris is Foreign Secretary. But one

:40:42.:40:49.

of the extraordinary things about politics is what follow a tumultuous

:40:50.:40:54.

event, like you have just brilliantly described, is never

:40:55.:40:58.

logical. So you have a Remain Prime Minister in place, albeit one that

:40:59.:41:02.

kept a very low-profile during the referendum. Michael Gove, nowhere to

:41:03.:41:05.

be seen. If you like, Boris Johnson, it was a surprise even to him, I

:41:06.:41:10.

think in the end. What, becoming Foreign Secretary? He had two

:41:11.:41:15.

surprises, Michael Gove suddenly standing, an extraordinary

:41:16.:41:17.

Shakespearean drama and then returning when many people were

:41:18.:41:21.

saying, well he is going back to writing books. That was a major

:41:22.:41:25.

weakness, I think in the campaign, that was there no follow-through.

:41:26.:41:29.

The lack of organisation was jaw-dropping, staggering and I

:41:30.:41:33.

think, indefensible. On that, looking ahead, what about a group

:41:34.:41:37.

being formed to hold the Brexit department to account? To watch for

:41:38.:41:43.

any, as you would no doubt see t backsliding? I think there is a need

:41:44.:41:48.

for a group to work with the Government. You have groups like the

:41:49.:41:53.

Centre for Social Justice who work closely with Iain Duncan Smith or

:41:54.:41:56.

the networks that worked with Michael Gove when he was at the

:41:57.:42:00.

Department for Education so there might be a need for a group to

:42:01.:42:04.

expand on the idea. Do you think there should be one? I think so.

:42:05.:42:09.

Would you be part of that? We will have to wait and see. This is what

:42:10.:42:13.

is being talked about now, is holding Government it account.

:42:14.:42:15.

Absolutely, the important thing to my mind, state of the EU immigrants,

:42:16.:42:18.

throughout the campaign, everybody said there should be no question

:42:19.:42:26.

that EU immigrants should stay here, no question of repatriation,

:42:27.:42:29.

everyone said that, and Theresa May has put the skids under three

:42:30.:42:34.

million nationals living in Britain. They are being sent letters up in

:42:35.:42:39.

Scotland saying, you are OK for now. The lack of precision in the

:42:40.:42:44.

immediate aftermath. I don't blame the Brexiteers, they had to win a

:42:45.:42:49.

campaign and they won T I don't blame what you did in the NHS. All

:42:50.:42:53.

is fair in a xavenlt I blame David Cameron for offering this in the

:42:54.:42:57.

first place, as a binary referendum, on in or out, where no-ones with a

:42:58.:43:02.

under any pressure to explain what out would mean in any great deat the

:43:03.:43:06.

same time. You had a campaign to win, but that's a different

:43:07.:43:09.

objective, which you did brilliantly and that is the problem with

:43:10.:43:12.

referendums. I understand why he felt he had to call t but they are

:43:13.:43:18.

dangerous devices because you then, once it is called, you just focus on

:43:19.:43:23.

how you win it. And the threshold... And now face the consequences and

:43:24.:43:27.

no-one is entirely sure what it is going to mean. Did you enjoy it? I

:43:28.:43:33.

loved T However difficult it was. Would you have said that if you had

:43:34.:43:39.

lost? Of it a tough year, it was a really tough year, but it feels a

:43:40.:43:43.

great sense of achievement. Yes, because you won. I think it would

:43:44.:43:47.

have been much tougher if we had lost. Well, you didn't so thank you

:43:48.:43:50.

very much. Now, let's turn to the situation, in

:43:51.:43:52.

Turkey. Following last Friday's failed army

:43:53.:43:57.

coup, President Erdogan has declared a state of emergency in the country

:43:58.:44:00.

for three months, giving him More than 50,000 state employees

:44:01.:44:03.

have been rounded up, sacked or suspended in recent days,

:44:04.:44:06.

as the government says it is attempting to root out

:44:07.:44:08.

the "virus" behind the coup. Well let's speak now

:44:09.:44:12.

to our correspondent Nick, have there been any further

:44:13.:44:23.

developments? Well, the people are really trying to digest, now, the

:44:24.:44:27.

news of this state of emergency. The President announced it late last

:44:28.:44:31.

night, just before midnight. We know it'll last for three months. Under

:44:32.:44:35.

the constitution it could have lasted significance months and some

:44:36.:44:38.

of his critics are clutching at straws really, saying perhaps this

:44:39.:44:42.

is not as bad as it could have been. Anyway, Turkey, since the coup, only

:44:43.:44:46.

five or six days ago, has been living under a kind of de facto

:44:47.:44:50.

state of emergency anyway, so some people, even critics of the

:44:51.:44:53.

government are saying - better to know where we stand than to be in

:44:54.:44:59.

this sort of legal quagmire. People, however, are also concerned, what

:45:00.:45:02.

will happen now? The huge numbers you referred to, more than 50,000

:45:03.:45:06.

people suspended from their jobs. Teachers called back from their

:45:07.:45:10.

summer holidays to be told they are now under investigation. More than

:45:11.:45:15.

6,000 arrests in the army, 100 top generals, more than one in four of

:45:16.:45:20.

the top brass of the military here all under arrest. So a lot of

:45:21.:45:23.

concern in society. A lot of worry but also a sense that this Turkey

:45:24.:45:31.

just survived a coup. A military attacks on Parliament and police

:45:32.:45:35.

headquarters, so there is also some understanding that clear, firm

:45:36.:45:37.

measures are needed at a time like this. Thank you very much.

:45:38.:45:41.

We're joined now by the Liberal Democrat peer Meral Hussein -

:45:42.:45:43.

she sits on the all-party parliamentary group for Turkey.

:45:44.:45:46.

It sounds devastating in terms of the scale of the state of emergency.

:45:47.:45:52.

The state of emergency was five days late. As the president said last

:45:53.:45:58.

night, Francis had a state of emergency since last November. --

:45:59.:46:04.

France has had. People are still reeling from the repercussions of

:46:05.:46:08.

the attempted coup and people in Turkey have memories of the last

:46:09.:46:17.

four attempted coups and so they feel very much in favour of the

:46:18.:46:22.

president, and the majority, that includes Kurds and secular wrists.

:46:23.:46:33.

Looking at it very simply, it is the Muslims are more in favour of what

:46:34.:46:36.

the President is saying, it has been said. People are coming together to

:46:37.:46:41.

give support to the button which is unprecedented. Amnesty International

:46:42.:46:47.

says there's a crackdown of exceptional proportions, do you

:46:48.:46:51.

think they are wrong? It is exceptional, but we don't know... Is

:46:52.:47:01.

it justified? We don't know. The people feel there is a conspiracy,

:47:02.:47:06.

people in all sections of public life embedded who are sympathisers

:47:07.:47:14.

who have had a hand in this coup, and the president has said he's

:47:15.:47:18.

going to this out. The majority of people think this is a good thing

:47:19.:47:22.

but it seems he is going way too far and we don't know what is going to

:47:23.:47:29.

come out the other end, what kind of society is going to emerge. The

:47:30.:47:34.

question is, has he always wanted to do this? We know from following his

:47:35.:47:41.

government in Turkey, there have already been moves to clamp down on

:47:42.:47:45.

certain freedoms in the press, for example. He's now doing what he

:47:46.:47:52.

wants. He is, it is true that he was clamping down on freedom of the

:47:53.:47:56.

media and journalists, but there was a strong indication that he was

:47:57.:48:00.

moving against certain sections of the military and the other

:48:01.:48:06.

establishment before the coup and people in Turkey I've spoken to have

:48:07.:48:11.

said to me this coup was pre-empting what they thought he might have

:48:12.:48:16.

done. Is this the beginning of the end of democratic rule in Turkey? It

:48:17.:48:22.

looks as if he is taking this opportunity to clamp-down on away

:48:23.:48:28.

which is staggering in scale -- a way. He's really going for the

:48:29.:48:36.

academic and universities, teachers, everybody. An extraordinary

:48:37.:48:43.

reaction. You are better placed to make judgments on internal targets

:48:44.:48:47.

politics, but it seems the assessment early on was it was a

:48:48.:48:52.

clumsy ill judged coup but it has been treated as if it was the most

:48:53.:48:55.

extraordinary threat to this government. Clearly by implication,

:48:56.:49:03.

people were involved in every walk of Turkish society, if he is going

:49:04.:49:08.

to justify this level of clamp-down, but I think he's using it as a

:49:09.:49:13.

excuse to seize control of every element of Turkish society. These

:49:14.:49:19.

people involved in the coup, beyond the military, what should the EU do

:49:20.:49:26.

question up we are doing this deal which has been successful in terms

:49:27.:49:28.

of stemming the flow of migrants through grace -- what should the EU

:49:29.:49:36.

do? We have given them billions in aid, to Turkey. The EU was pretty

:49:37.:49:43.

useless before and it will be so now. Right now Germany, Italy, they

:49:44.:49:52.

are terrified, so they are in a weak position if Erdogan loses, I cannot

:49:53.:49:59.

see any punishment working at the moment. That is the problem with the

:50:00.:50:04.

EU, it is great as a free-trade bloc, but as a political entity,

:50:05.:50:08.

useless. What do you think is going to happen? I think it will go

:50:09.:50:15.

further and I agree with Steve, he's Bubba be taking this as an

:50:16.:50:21.

opportunity to get firmer control -- he's probably taking this as an

:50:22.:50:26.

opportunity. The EU have lost any influence they have had, and the

:50:27.:50:33.

fact the United Kingdom, after what happened in the Brexit campaign, in

:50:34.:50:36.

which Turkey was the fight, because of the poster and all the rest of it

:50:37.:50:45.

-- in which Turkey was vilified. I was talking to friends last night,

:50:46.:50:49.

they say the majority of the Turkish public and they think the UK and the

:50:50.:50:53.

United States are involved in a conspiracy to shut down their

:50:54.:50:56.

democracy, they really believe this. They were slow to condemn the coup

:50:57.:51:01.

and they don't seem to be taking it as serious way in terms of the

:51:02.:51:05.

United States wanting a next edition, so there are many aspects

:51:06.:51:11.

to this, layer upon layer. -- wanting an extradition. Thanks for

:51:12.:51:13.

joining us. With Parliament rising MPs are

:51:14.:51:16.

leaving Westminster until September. They'll be able to concentrate

:51:17.:51:18.

on work in their constituencies, fight the odd leadership battle,

:51:19.:51:20.

and in some cases even manage So what will they be reading

:51:21.:51:23.

if they do make it as a far Come aboard London's floating book

:51:24.:51:27.

shop for a selection from the MPs' Want to know more

:51:28.:51:38.

about the Labour leader? How about Comrade Corbyn by former

:51:39.:51:43.

lobby journalist Rosa Prince. Everyone is desperate for insight

:51:44.:51:46.

into the new Prime Minister. Our Joe is a biography of the former

:51:47.:51:48.

Conservative mayor of Birmingham in the 19th century,

:51:49.:51:59.

Joseph Chamberlain. Written by Theresa May's chief

:52:00.:52:01.

of staff Nick Timothy. We've recently increased our stock

:52:02.:52:04.

of ex-prime ministers by one and here's a trio of prime

:52:05.:52:08.

ministerial biographies. First of all this one of Tony Blair

:52:09.:52:11.

by the investigative journalist Tom Bower,

:52:12.:52:13.

called Broken Vows. And then there is this book

:52:14.:52:16.

about Harold Wilson called What a nice way to celebrate 100

:52:17.:52:21.

years since he was born. And finally this book about Disraeli

:52:22.:52:27.

called The Novel Politician. If you want the insider account

:52:28.:52:30.

of the last government, how about Coalition by the former

:52:31.:52:52.

Liberal Democrat If you want to get really insidery,

:52:53.:52:54.

how about the Black Door? It is all about how prime ministers

:52:55.:53:01.

have interacted with 100 years since the Easter

:53:02.:53:03.

uprising in Ireland. If you want to know about that,

:53:04.:53:22.

Fearghal McGarry has drawn on 1700 If you want to visit the battlefield

:53:23.:53:25.

of the Somme, Major and Mrs Holt have written

:53:26.:53:43.

the definitive guide of where to go. If you fancy something

:53:44.:53:45.

historical but a bit lighter, All about the epic task of keeping

:53:46.:53:47.

Britain fed in the Second World War. I love visiting friends

:53:48.:53:52.

in their posh mansions, and now you can read about it

:53:53.:53:54.

in a book called The Long weekend: Life in the English Country

:53:55.:53:57.

House Between The Wars. And if you can't bear the idea

:53:58.:53:59.

of being away from Westminster, don't worry, you could always

:54:00.:54:02.

read Mr Barry's War, all about rebuilding parliament

:54:03.:54:05.

after it burnt down in 1834, or my colleague Ben Wright's book

:54:06.:54:11.

about politics and alcohol. And Keith Simpson joins

:54:12.:54:14.

us now to tell us more He's moved a branch of Waterstones

:54:15.:54:35.

into the studio, have you read all of them? No, but a fair number. What

:54:36.:54:45.

recommendations? I would start, not necessarily on the beach, but Nick

:54:46.:54:54.

Timothy's Our Joe, Joseph Chamberlain's Conservative legacy,

:54:55.:54:56.

Nick Timothy wrote this for the Conservative history group and he is

:54:57.:54:59.

now the joint Chief of staff with Theresa May. You can see parts of

:55:00.:55:06.

this went into her speech at Birmingham and then her speech

:55:07.:55:09.

outside number ten. You will see a template for government under

:55:10.:55:16.

Theresa May? I think you will. It is about what Joseph chamber and was

:55:17.:55:22.

doing in Birmingham, to alleviate the lot of the people at the bottom

:55:23.:55:27.

of the social ladder -- Joseph Chamberlain was doing in Birmingham.

:55:28.:55:33.

You can see this has influenced her. It is also short, it would be a good

:55:34.:55:37.

one to start with. There are some pictures. At the lighter end, a

:55:38.:55:45.

wonderful book called the long weekend, life in the end this

:55:46.:55:55.

country house between the wars and he combines the stories of amazingly

:55:56.:55:58.

eccentric people. One of these country houses, they needed to put

:55:59.:56:04.

wiring and the owner refused to have the floor pulled up, and they got

:56:05.:56:07.

round it by putting a dead rabbit at one end and a ferret and they tied

:56:08.:56:14.

to the ferret a string and the wire, and I'm not making that up. I

:56:15.:56:18.

imagine that was very smelly. Looking at the list, as I did. It is

:56:19.:56:26.

quite heavy. Even by your standards, quite a heavy list of books in terms

:56:27.:56:32.

of content. It is serious, part and parcel of the time we are living in,

:56:33.:56:39.

we are in a serious mood and Theresa May is a very serious politician and

:56:40.:56:43.

Jeremy Corbyn is, as well. If someone else would like to produce

:56:44.:56:47.

another list. The Lady Whipp said she was going to be choose a list of

:56:48.:56:53.

chick lit but she has not got round to it. No one is going to compete

:56:54.:56:59.

against you. What Angel fancy? The Nick Timothy Burke. -- what takes

:57:00.:57:13.

your fancy? There are very few speeches from sick terry macro, but

:57:14.:57:15.

we know Nick Timothy is probably more influential than any adviser in

:57:16.:57:21.

the direction of government because she trusts so few people -- there

:57:22.:57:24.

are very few speeches from Theresa May. What about for you Steve? The

:57:25.:57:34.

Joe Chamberlain one and maybe the Harold Wilson won, because Harold

:57:35.:57:40.

Wilson won a referendum on Europe in 1975 and he knew how to win. Maybe

:57:41.:57:44.

you should have read that before the referendum. Maybe David Cameron

:57:45.:57:49.

should. He knew how to win elections and keep his party at gully -- keep

:57:50.:58:01.

his party united, skills which Theresa May and whoever leads Labour

:58:02.:58:11.

will require. Any laughs? Yes, this one. I have stolen a review copy

:58:12.:58:17.

from the Spectator. If you are a Scottish right-winger like me, this

:58:18.:58:21.

is wonderful. That might be a niche market. There are a few others. All

:58:22.:58:29.

reading this on the beach in the summer. It was funny comedy, sage

:58:30.:58:37.

and with Ken Clarke. -- it was funny, the conversation with Ken

:58:38.:58:42.

Clarke. I have put some books on the list, including Ken Clarke's memoirs

:58:43.:58:48.

which is coming out in time for the party conference, and Denis

:58:49.:58:54.

Healey's, he has a broad hinterland, you have him coming out, Ed Balls's

:58:55.:58:59.

memoir and a view of politics, just in time for the Labour Party. The

:59:00.:59:04.

title of his book? Putting the boot in. LAUGHTER

:59:05.:59:11.

Actually, I can't remember. If I was a Labour member, there is a

:59:12.:59:17.

biography of Clement Attlee coming out in time for the Labour Party

:59:18.:59:18.

conference. There's just time before we go

:59:19.:59:23.

to find out the answer to our quiz. The question was what did Nick Clegg

:59:24.:59:27.

spend two says and nearly ?8,000 doing to show that he could be fun

:59:28.:59:30.

during the last election campaign? A) Go to a theme park

:59:31.:59:33.

in a baseball cap C) Film his own version

:59:34.:59:36.

of a pop video Or D) Erect a 'Cleggstone'

:59:37.:59:39.

in his back garden. It has got to be the pop video. It

:59:40.:59:47.

is. But we have not seen it, of course.

:59:48.:59:48.

That's all for today, and that's all from the Daily

:59:49.:59:51.

We'll be back when Parliament returns on Monday 5th September -

:59:52.:59:55.

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