Luis Guillermo Solis, president of Costa Rica HARDtalk


Luis Guillermo Solis, president of Costa Rica

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Welcome to HARDtalk, with me, Stephen Sackur.

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They used to call Costa Rica the Switzerland of Latin America.

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It seemed so much more stable, peaceful

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It didn't even bother maintaining a standing army. Well, it still

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doesn't have that army, but it does have some very un Swiss like

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problems. A budget crisis, endemic poverty, organised crime and

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corruption. My guest today is Costa Rica's president, Luis Guillermo

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Solis. He came into power promising change, so what has gone wrong?

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Mr President, Luis Guillermo Solis, welcome to HARDtalk.

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I am pleased to be his. I guess your career over the last two years is a

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lesson in how fickle public opinion can be. You came into office with an

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extraordinary mandate. I think it had 78% of the presidential vote.

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Today you have an approval rating which when I checked the polls was

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standing around 14 - 15%. What has gone so wrong? We are trying to

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solve all of the problems you mention at the beginning of the

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problem. We are finding a lot of resistance. Polls are like

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photographs. They change with time. I was fourth before being elected

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president and then something happened in 1.5 months, so I know it

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will change. What is important is to address issues we have mentioned,

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and others we are dealing with, and solve problems as the people would

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like to see them solved after years of neglect. What is interesting

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about you is as indicated you were not very well-known in Costa Rica as

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a big-time politician before running for president. You told the people

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you were fundamentally different. You would do politics differently.

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There were some symbols you indicated. You said if you win you

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won't have pictures of yourself in everyone's offers. You won't have

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placques referring to you as president. Things will be done

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differently. The public seems to not buy the idea that you are different.

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This is a big discussion -- plaques. How much can you change in four

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years and what was the expectation of the people? They convened by a

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campaign insisting change. I continue to say that we are changing

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things. But there is a dynamic in a country that has been as you mention

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stable for a long time and then started to decline 20- 30 years ago

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with economic problems, corruption problems. These are problems I

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promised to address in the campaign and which I am working with. As I

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say in Costa Rica, the people elected me for four years, not two.

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There comes a point and I guess you have reached it now when promises

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don't hold good. If you are not delivering, you are not delivering.

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If we get to the problems, let's start with the economy and public

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finances. You have completely failed to get on top of what is a

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dangerously high public deficit. Not quite. We are dealing with the laws

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require to be changed in Congress and furthermore the economy is

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strong sans the deficit. If you look at what I promised it was a growing

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economy, a stable and solid economy, which is happening, except with

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regards to the deficit. Politics is great because you can make promises

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that mean everything and nothing. You promised work and happiness. You

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don't have much happiness right now. What we have promised, it is not

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fair but what we have so far is an economy growing at 4.2%, double the

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average in Latin America. Zero inflation. How terrible that you can

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deliver that growth and have a deficit of 6%. Because of structural

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problems after decades... You promised to address it and you

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haven't. If we go through it you have choices. You can impose taxes.

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You have talked about a new VAT sales tax. It seems you haven't

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delivered on that. That is a process in which we are. We have some time

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to do it. It is the responsibility shared with the legislative. This is

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an issue that four previous governments couldn't address. This

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is a new bid. We presented the project change the laws to the

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Congress. Eight of them. Six have to do with expenditure, two with income

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and we are dealing with them as we speak. This is not the end. We are

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dealing with it. We will get to expenditures in a minute. If we

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stick with taxation for a moment, Costa Rica has an extraordinarily

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low level of income tax. 13%. 13% quacks Mac looking at it, only 14%

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of Costa Ricans pay tax at all -- 13%?! That is unsustainable. This is

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why we are trying to increase it a little bit. I don't believe in zero

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deficit. We have agreed with the international financial

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organisations to drop it 3.75% to a little more than 2.5% deficit. The

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IMF says you has no choice. In a report the IMF said that the public

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debt to GDP ratio in your country is on an unsustainable path. It is not

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something you have agreed. You have no choice. We have agreed. They have

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helped us with projects presented to the legislature. We have a good

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relationship with the IMF. They have agreed what we are seeking is what

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is needed. We don't need to go to zero deficit as some of my opponents

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would like to see. This is out of the question. We cannot have that

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without risking Costa Rica to social turmoil. We will get to that

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possibility in a minute. All of the other things are fine. LAUGHTER they

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are not fine! Look at the international ratings agencies, SNP

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reduce your credit rating to negative outlook BB-. You are in

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danger of becoming the sort of country no one will lend to. That is

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because of the deficit. I know that! If you look at the other indicators,

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they are up, GDP growth for .2%. Last year the indicators were 2.8.

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We have almost double that. -- 4.2% this is double the average in Latin

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America. More investments, up 14%! Here you are in London trying to

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persuade business to invest. I think you seem to see foreign direct

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investment as a way out of your economic troubles. Undoubtedly.

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Imagine I am an investor. Let's talk, you and me. I am thinking

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about putting money in Costa Rica. I see the credit ratings agency have

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cut your rating. That alarms me. It means there is more risk. I also see

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that you are struggling to keep a lid on labour unrest. You have had a

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national strike, the health service, the schools service in uproar

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because of cuts you're trying to make to public expenditures. I am

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thinking as an investor, this country is not stable at all, never

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mind Switzerland. You have not seen the other statistics I am trying for

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you to look at. Costa Rica remains one of the most stable political

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democracies in the western hemisphere. It continues to enjoy a

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solid social security system, which I think explains the stability of

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the country. It continues to have one of the most experienced and well

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thought of educational systems, public educational systems, in Latin

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America. (CROSSTALK). The problem is you cannot afford these things.

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Social welfare, education system. Not only do we afford them but we

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are keeping that responsible path. We have a constitutional mandate to

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invest as much as 8% of GDP on education. My Administration has

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taken that amount to 7.89%. I have vowed to have the 8% achieved at the

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end of my mandate. That continues to be a serious objective of the

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government that we have not neglected at all. Let us talk about

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the way in which you pitch your bit for foreign investment around the

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world. It seems to me the one place where you have really had traction

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in recent years is China. China has put a lot of money into Costa Rica.

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Not quite. The US and Europe. China has not put much. They have put a

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lot of money in Latin America but in Costa Rica it has not been the case.

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China has been investing in one huge road which will make San Jose close

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to the Caribbean but the new port... You have been to see the

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President. Three times. You came back bearing gifts. You were

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delighted you have a grant of $25 million. But then soon afterwards

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news came that one of the most important ventures with the Chinese,

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which was a major new oil refinery which you had been planning for the

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last nine years, the whole project collapsed. The contract didn't work.

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It was not my contract. I inherited it. We try to change it. President

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Xi try to change it. It didn't work out. We decided that it was not

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worth pursuing. What is the lesson on the dangers of relying on foreign

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direct investment to get your economy going? You have to do things

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right, not wrong, you need contract and good incentives, you need to

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seek for what you can do and have a clear vision of what you need. So

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far we have developed enormously in the service sector. Tourism is up,

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double digits, we are back... The numbers before the crisis in 2008.

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We are extremely well suited in medical devices, for example. We are

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in sophisticated manufacturing. And so you have to find investment in

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areas where the country can profit from and these are a couple of them.

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And we have others, obviously, but these are fundamental. Isn't one of

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the saddest indictments of not just your record but the record of the

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last few administrations that you've delivered economic growth, as you

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say Costa Rica is a tourism centre for people from the US, Europe.

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Canada. All sorts of places, you have strong points, but you have

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consistently failed to deliver up on poverty reduction or indeed

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elimination. Compared with other central American countries you are a

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richer countries. One fifth of the population. That 20% who are poor,

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some of them really poor, it hasn't died in the last 20 years. Whereas

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Nicaragua, much poorer, but they are actually delivering on poverty

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reduction. Why are you failing so badly? It has to do with several

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things, fundamentally employment, with the economy not growing as fast

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as it should. This is the main explanation. We opted for making the

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Costa Rican economy associated with the most dynamic processes on the

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global world and we forgot that most of our own educated workforce was in

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the agricultural sector, and that was left behind. One of the things

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that I vowed to do and I am doing was try to bring that back. To

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strengthen the internal markets where the small and medium-size

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enterprises can generate more jobs. This is I think the fundamental, key

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issue. We will grow stronger and it will grow faster, and that number

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will go down. This will explain some of the country is growing as fast as

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they have. And other explanation is, you are frank about it, you talk

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about it, corruption. The elite and those who are well-to-do in Costa

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Rica have consistently creamed off quite a lot of the assets of the

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country by way of corruption. This was the case in the past. 7% of GDP

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you said was lost in corruption. Latin America. This is the overall

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number, the ID, international development bank, users. I have had

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no cases of corruption in the last two years in my Administration --

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IDB. In your administration? In your due respect I don't think that's

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what most Costa Ricans believe. They are wrong. Show me where it is one.

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There is no corruption. Obviously I am not talking about petty

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corruption, that could happen everywhere. I am talking cases where

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leaders of the country or hierarchs in institutions are somehow found

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doing wrong doing. That's not the case. If there is no corruption, if

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all your public officials in all branches of government are

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completely honest, then they must be incompetent, especially in law

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enforcement, because if you look at what the United States bureau of

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international narcotics and law enforcement is about your country

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and other international observers of the drugs cartels and their money

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laundering activities, you will see that right now in your country today

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there is major money laundering going on. The drugs cartels use your

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country as a sort of entrepot for getting drugs from Columbia to the

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United States and Mexico. You know this is happening. If officials are

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not helping them they are just incompetent. In your country and

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elsewhere, money laundering is a huge problem. Nobody can claim that

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it has been detected and solved anywhere.

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The country currently catching more drugs is Costa Rica. Much more than

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those who are closer to the US. We have been getting more than

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everybody else because we are popular and the police force is

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competent but the drug-trafficking continues to be a big challenge to

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all the countries here. That is true. But is their culpability in

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and out of the country? The bureau of narcotics in the USA that Costa

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Rica a complex bureaucracy which slows capture and it remains a

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nagging issue. One of the top three countries for cocaine transition

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into the US. Organised criminal elements are wielding a growing

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influence. We have been working with the US agencies including the FBI

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and the EA. Diplomatically. We want to deal with this. You talk a good

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game but the fact is that on the ground times of cocaine are still

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going through your country every us. -- tons. This is a regional issue.

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And producing the flow we are part of the corridor. Other countries in

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Central America are fighting it off on land, in the sea, in the air, and

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we are doing it successfully. Is there a continuation of this

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phenomenon in the region? Of course. It will continue to be. This is one

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of the most profitable criminal businesses in the world. This raises

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the other element in our conversation, you are desperate to

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save money and have been imposing austerity on things like law

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enforcement. Going back to a US report, they say this trend, drugs

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going through your country, raises serious concerns about the Costa

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Rican's ability to prevent these criminal organisations from

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furthering their business. Even though you say you are committed to

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the fight against international drugs crime you and putting the

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resources into it to allow you to prevent it. -- aren't. This

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situation needs to be handled every day. Investments in security are

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necessary to deal with drugs, but also contraband and other organised

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crime activities. The government has committed to this and will work with

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the private sector to stop this. We aren't capable of putting an end to

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drug-trafficking in Costa Rica and the Caribbean area, this has to do

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with the production of drugs down south and the incoming drugs in the

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USA and Europe. Drugs are thriving. We are victims of this, not part of

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the problem. Do you agree with your Attorney General who said recently,

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a quote, there is no returning to the peaceful Costa Rica that was

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free of violence and criminal organisations. Costa Rica is now a

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violent country. If you look at the numbers for Costa Rica itself, that

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may be the case. But Costa Rica is one of the more safe and less

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violent countries in Latin America. But it is a question of trajectory.

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Not so long ago I was in Honduras with HARDtalk, it has the highest

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murder rate in the world for a country not at war. Honduras, you

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know more than I do, drug cartels are killing those countries. It

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could happen to you. Of course. That is why we are dealing with these

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issues. We want young man who are unemployed to stop getting involved

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in drugs. Statistics say it is most likely them. That is why employment

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is also important. Not only in cities, but the borders and the

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coasts of Costa Rica. But if you look at the statistics, yes, violent

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crime has risen. Last year we had a peak. It has come down already. We

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want to keep it down. It is a permanent concern of ours in order

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to keep it down. There is a very violent debate about legalising

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drugs in Latin America. Uruguay has gone that way. Colorado and other

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states in America have looked at it. Europe, Portugal, they have

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legalised drug use to a certain extent. Is that the answer? That

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isn't the answer. The problem isn't marijuana, it is cocaine. And nobody

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is talking about legalising that. Maybe it is time. It isn't being

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discussed. Should be? Maybe. We should put it on the table. Argue

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putting it on the table? I think the legalisation of drugs in general

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needs to be discussed. -- Are you putting. We need to see the benefits

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and negative consequences. Are you for it? I am against it. But I am an

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academic. I like to see evidence of things. And I don't see conclusive

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evidence yet. I haven't seen countries that have legalised

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marijuana dealing well with hard drugs. We also have to look at the

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networking around cocaine which is extremely violent. That is in the

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case with marijuana all the time, especially with personal usage,

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which isn't a criminal activity in Costa Rica. We haven't criticising

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the person using marijuana as in most countries around the world. But

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the legalisation of the drug trade and hard drugs in particular is not

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a good idea. It down is like a daft question but I was intrigued. You

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say it isn't illegal to use marijuana. Have you used it? No, I

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haven't. Let's talk about something else. We have talked drugs. The

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movement of poor people in particular. In the case of the

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Western Hemisphere, those who want to get to the US. For you, it is a

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2-pronged challenge. One is Cuba. Americans have lifted the wall. That

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is affecting you. Many Cubans are worried the US laws may change soon

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because of the normalisation of relationships. They are trained to

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get to the US right now. Many are coming through your country. --

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trying. How worried are you about the amount of Cubans you are having

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to deal with? We have had 6500 stay in Costa Rica because Nicaragua

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closed the borders to them. We have had to deal with that mass of human

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beings. They were potentially a letter to Mexico. They were. Others

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went by land. -- airlifted. First to El Salvador and then on. The same

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thing happened with the migrants in Panama. They have just enacted a

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similar strategy with Mexico for 3500 Cubans that they had. It

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sounds... Many could still come because they are in Ecuador. That is

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right. Is your message to the US that you have to change the law?

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Yes. I sent a message to President Obama. Unless they have a drive for

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the policy... For example, the Cuban Adjustment Act and other laws.

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Otherwise it will continue. They are coming formerly out. It isn't the

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situation with other migrants coming through Central America without

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papers. -- formally. Poor people are often seeking... They are flying to

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South America and are desperate to move up the continent to get to the

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US. I use for defying your borders to make sure they don't get through

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the country? -- are you for defying. Those who come and are

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identified at the border are put through migration procedures which

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basically means they are brought into a detention centre. We try to

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find out where they come from, whether they have children. They are

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then taken to a place they can safely be given help, not a

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detention centre. They should not assume they can come through, but

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they can. We can't guard every inch of the border. The alternatives are

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to deport them back to where they come from and sometimes we don't

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know where that is. A final thought. You were a surprise

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president. You have two years left and you have had to years. Are you

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still think you can accomplish everything you have promised even

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though you aren't going to have a second term? I will deliver those

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promises. I haven't hated being a president. Eye-watering to them. Are

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you sure? Absolutely sure. -- I will deliver them. Mr president, thank

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you very much for being on HARDtalk. Thank you for your time.

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A lovely day on Tuesday, many places were dry and bright,

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The closer you were to the North Sea coast there was a nagging

:24:28.:24:31.

north-easterly breeze making it feel chilly at times and more cloud into

:24:32.:24:35.

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