Browse content similar to 01/12/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
Line | From | To | |
---|---|---|---|
Will the map of Europe be redrawn by Christmas? According to George | :00:09. | :00:12. | |
Osborne, the future of the British economy relies on the plan now | :00:12. | :00:17. | |
being hatched in Paris and Berlin. A new treaty for a new Europe. But | :00:17. | :00:21. | |
is anyone buying it? TRANSLATION: So, I say to you, | :00:21. | :00:27. | |
Europe has to be rethought, rebuilt, there is an emergency. The world | :00:28. | :00:35. | |
will not wait for Europe. Wel we will be discussing how the | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
eurodrama will unfold, and whether this is the last chance before we | :00:39. | :00:43. | |
go under the edge. Now we know big deficits will be | :00:43. | :00:49. | |
with us long after the next election, how will our parties and | :00:49. | :00:53. | |
political actors react. Tonight, we reveal how British | :00:53. | :00:59. | |
technology, which can monitor your phone, e-mails and tweets, has been | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
supplied to middle eastern regimes. The Syrian regime has access | :01:03. | :01:09. | |
supplied by western companies, that enables them to follow those users | :01:09. | :01:13. | |
and locate them and therefore arrest them. | :01:13. | :01:18. | |
And Martin Scorsese on film, art and the politics that permeate his | :01:18. | :01:25. | |
pictures. For me, Casino, for example, was a political film. The | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
amount of excess, there is nothing that is never enough, until finally | :01:29. | :01:39. | |
it explodes. Good evening. Maybe the eurozone | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
will break up, said the governor of the Bank of England today. Maybe it | :01:43. | :01:49. | |
will continue, but countries will default. The truth is, no-one knows. | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
It was a particularly worrying sentiment from the governor, given | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
the Chancellor, earlier this week, said Britain's economic future now | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
depends on what happens across the water. Tonight in Paris, President | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
Sarkozy began to set out yet another rescue plan. One that would | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
involve a new treaty to overhaul and re-think Europe. But has it any | :02:09. | :02:19. | |
:02:19. | :02:22. | ||
chance of working? Paul Mason reports. | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
There are, technically, just nine days left to bring financial order | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
to Europe. By the time the EU's leaders meet, a week tomorrow, they | :02:30. | :02:35. | |
need to have some kind of little piece of paper to wave, some plan, | :02:36. | :02:41. | |
some undertaking. But E-day is looming, and no such undertaking | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
his been given. We did get this, though. A speech | :02:45. | :02:51. | |
from the man who could sort it out. The credible signal is needed to | :02:51. | :02:56. | |
give ultimate assurance over the short-term. What I believe our | :02:56. | :03:02. | |
economic and monetary union needs is a new fiscal compact. A | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
fundamental restatement of the fiscal rules, together with a | :03:07. | :03:11. | |
mutual fiscal commitments. That means putting Brussels, Berlin and | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
maybe Paris in charge of everybody else's budget, leaving eurozone | :03:15. | :03:19. | |
voters to decide what colour ties the politicians doing their bidding | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
will wear. Here's the problem, peripheral Europe is effectively | :03:23. | :03:27. | |
bust, the money the rest of Europe raised to bail them out is not | :03:27. | :03:32. | |
enough. And, the ECB could sort it by printing money and lending it, | :03:32. | :03:40. | |
but it won't, that is the problem. And so tonight, a cunning new plan | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
from President Sarkozy. Well not a plan, but the promise of plan on | :03:44. | :03:54. | |
:03:54. | :03:56. | ||
Monday. It will involve treaty changes. TRANSLATION: France and | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
Germany, after so many tragedies, decide to unite their destiny, to | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
look towards the future together. My dear compatriots, to backtrack | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
on this strategy would be absolutely unforgivable. Germany | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
and France separated would result in the whole of Europe being | :04:14. | :04:19. | |
separated and weakened. Under the emerging plan, eurocountries will | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
hand powers to Brussels to oversee national budgets, to intervene and | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
cancel them where needed to stay within the rules. Then, and only | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
then, will the Germans allow the ECB to start buying the debts of | :04:33. | :04:37. | |
the distressed south. Ultimately, that would lead to pooling Europe's | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
debts in called eurobonds, a sticking point with the Germans up | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
to now. In Nicolas Sarkozy's speech tonight, we have a feeling that | :04:47. | :04:53. | |
perhaps if France is willing to go towards a new treaty, which is the | :04:54. | :04:56. | |
word Nicolas Sarkozy used in his speech, perhaps it means that | :04:56. | :05:03. | |
Germany is going towards the creation of eurobonds. Which today | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
looks a something that is inevitable, at least from France. | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
There is a credit crunch happening in Europe's banks, that creates two | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
dangers for Britain. One, economic slowdown, because that is our | :05:15. | :05:20. | |
export market, two, contagion, to our banks. The Bank of England | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
revealed today that RBS is heavily exposed to bank debts in the | :05:25. | :05:30. | |
troubled south of Europe to the tune of 30% of its core capital. | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
Add in the exposures to the debts of troubled countries, and 83% of | :05:34. | :05:38. | |
the core capital of Britain's big four banks is at risk. Of course, | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
that's only a problem if there is a credit crunch. You can see signs of | :05:42. | :05:46. | |
a credit crunch already in the euro area, I don't think that is begun | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
yet, but you can see how it would come through here, if funding costs | :05:50. | :05:54. | |
were to continue to be as high as they are. Now they are working on | :05:54. | :05:59. | |
contingency plans for a eurobreak up, what kind of event are they | :05:59. | :06:04. | |
planning for? Maybe it won't break up, maybe it will in various forms. | :06:04. | :06:10. | |
Maybe there will be questions of default. None of us know. It is no | :06:10. | :06:15. | |
sense to say there is a single one event in which we have to make | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
contingencies. While those in power contemplate Armageddon, people in | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
the high streets, here and across Europe, have to sense the gloomy | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
atmosphere and hope for the best. The best might have to be a large | :06:26. | :06:31. | |
amount of money. It is still possible they will come up with the | :06:31. | :06:37. | |
called bazooka mark II, about 300 billion euros from the IMF, 250 | :06:37. | :06:42. | |
billion from the EU stability fund, and maybe 160 billion from the | :06:42. | :06:45. | |
European Central Bank itself. Analysts believe it is this, money | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
cobbled together from wherever you can, that has the best chance of | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
ending the crisis. But all ending the crisis means, this time, is | :06:53. | :06:57. | |
putting it off for a year, or maybe two. | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
Tomorrow David Cameron heads for Paris, he has pledged to do what he | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
can. The problem is, that's not much, except stick to the old | :07:05. | :07:11. | |
addage, keep calm, and carry on cutting. Paul Mason, to peer | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
through the economic gloom is Ken Rogoff, who wrote the book on debt, | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
quoted by George Osborne, to justify his economic strategy, Lord | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
Lamont, once Chancellor himself, of course, and by Gillian Tett of the | :07:23. | :07:27. | |
Financial Times, who is in New York. First of all, Ken Rogoff, a hedge | :07:27. | :07:32. | |
fund manager said, was he worried? He wasn't just worried as a hedge | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
fund manager, he was worried as a father what was happening. We don't | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
have to worry about his own personal finance, how long do you | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
think Merkel and Sarkozy have got to sort this out? Let's put it this | :07:45. | :07:50. | |
way, they can make things blow up really quickly, but I don't think | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
they can fix things really fast. The discussion here is very, very | :07:54. | :07:58. | |
simple, the Germans don't want to put water into a leaky bucket. It | :07:58. | :08:02. | |
is not just a matter of having a big bazooka, it is not just a | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
matter of having enough this time, they need a system so it doesn't | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
just keep going. Germany is being asked, essentially, to take on a | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
lot of debt, and open-ended guarantee, in return for handshake | :08:14. | :08:22. | |
from the periphery of Europe. It is a very, very delicate deal. Gillian | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
Tett, the Germans don't want to put water into leaky bucket, if it | :08:26. | :08:31. | |
could be fibgsd that would be better, this is this super-- fixed | :08:31. | :08:36. | |
that would be better, this is where you have this superdeal with | :08:36. | :08:41. | |
fingers in every pie in Europe. There is a game of brinkmanship, | :08:41. | :08:44. | |
and Angela Merkel is taking it to the brink. The key thing to | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
understand is what the central banks did on Wednesday in terms of | :08:47. | :08:51. | |
their joint arrangements, is really provide a breathing space for the | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
next eight or nine days, for the eurozone leaders to get their act | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
together. The brilliant irony is the Central Bankers around the | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
world are in some ways quite a co- ordinated bunch, they understand | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
each other and operate together smoothly. The problem is, it is | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
still not clear if you have a deal on the table. There is real concern | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
in the US, where I'm sitting, if they don't get their act together | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
in seven days, they will have missed their last, best chance. | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
What does it look like from your position, Lord Lamont, first of all, | :09:21. | :09:23. | |
before we talk about David Cameron's reaction to all of this, | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
does it looks a if a deal could be on the table? From what has been | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
outlined in the programme, it sounds as if it is going to be more | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
supervision of national budgets, peer group pressure, with a little | :09:34. | :09:37. | |
bit more teeth, a bit more discipline. To be honest, I don't | :09:37. | :09:41. | |
think that would really work, I'm rather surprised that the | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
suggestion is, that if they can get more control of other country's | :09:45. | :09:51. | |
budgets, the ECB would then be asked to buy the bonds of these | :09:51. | :09:58. | |
peripheral countries. I personallyam -- personally am | :09:58. | :10:01. | |
rather surprised Germany would accept this. Let's talk about the | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
British response, the idea there would be a new treaty, do you think | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
that David Cameron's position would be that in order to get this new | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
treaty through, he would be prepared to wave it through or -- | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
wave it through, or looking for differences in Working Time | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
Directives or is it the wrong time to make those arguments? If the | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
provisions don't affect Britain, it would be reasonable to say we would | :10:28. | :10:33. | |
allow them to go through. It would be ridiculous to call a referendum | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
in Britain over something that didn't affect us. He has to | :10:38. | :10:42. | |
absolutely ensure any new treaty changes can't, in some indirect way, | :10:42. | :10:47. | |
be used against British interests, be used as protection. Be used to | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
discriminate against the British financial services industry. He has | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
to be absolutely sure about that. Obviously the financial | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
transactions tax has to be something that, if it ever comes | :10:56. | :11:00. | |
into existence, does not have any effect on Britain. Ken Rogoff, are | :11:00. | :11:06. | |
you as pessimistic as Lord Lamont, as to whether this supervisory | :11:06. | :11:11. | |
structure would actually work, nation-to-nation? I agree entirely | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
with Lord Lamont, that it is not going to work, at least not for | :11:15. | :11:19. | |
years and years. The Maastricht Treaty didn't really work, that was | :11:19. | :11:22. | |
a treaty. The Maastricht Treaty the French and the Germans just | :11:22. | :11:28. | |
violated it, they won't over the 60% rule, Tewin suited them. What | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
they realise -- when it suited them, they realised there wasn't a lot | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
they could do about it. There is basically a handshake, this isn't a | :11:35. | :11:40. | |
treaty, even if it was a treaty, what are the ramifications. You | :11:40. | :11:43. | |
really need more of a political union. It is not enough just to | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
talk about superadvising national budgets. You have to have a | :11:46. | :11:49. | |
Treasury that has huge taxation power, you have to transfer a lot | :11:49. | :11:54. | |
of power to the centre, or at least lay out a road map where that will | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
happen. Do you agree with that? There has to be something, a much | :11:58. | :12:02. | |
bigger idea than what has been put forward just now, Gillian Tett? | :12:02. | :12:05. | |
think the problem right now, we have been up and down this hill so | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
many times in the eurozone in the last six months, the trust has | :12:09. | :12:15. | |
really shattered. People, as Ken says, doesn't trust a handshake, | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
but want tangible action. What people are looking for, in terplgs | :12:18. | :12:22. | |
of creating a union that work -- terms of creating a union that | :12:22. | :12:26. | |
works, is some element of fiscal union and transfers, be it joint | :12:26. | :12:29. | |
eurobonds or something like that t will be a question of whether they | :12:29. | :12:33. | |
can come up with something tangible that will matter in the next eight | :12:33. | :12:38. | |
days. A giant Treasury, a big fiscal union? When Mrs Merkel uses | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
the phrase "fiscal union", she means something completely | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
different, she doesn't mean a European Treasury, or European | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
minister of finance, she just means more supervision of other country's | :12:48. | :12:51. | |
budgets, with Germany in a leading position. But, frankly, that is | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
more or less what we have had, and when you have the criminals as the | :12:55. | :13:01. | |
jury, you don't get very far. Inevitably, will the shape of | :13:01. | :13:05. | |
Europe change, there will be defaults, will countries drop out | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
of the eurozone in order to keep the northern centre holding? | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
think we have moved into more dangerous territory, because you | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
are now, for the first time, getting people openly talking about | :13:16. | :13:21. | |
the shape of the eurozone altering, about individual countries dropping | :13:21. | :13:27. | |
out, about the possibility of the whole thing imploding. This is | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
quite unusual for people openly to be discussing this. We had that at | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
the Cannes summit, when the for the first time, having denied Greece | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
could ever leave the euro, people suddenly said, yes, if Greece | :13:38. | :13:41. | |
doesn't want to abide by the rules, it may have to be chucked out. | :13:41. | :13:46. | |
Previously they said that was unthinkable. Ken Rogoff, in your | :13:47. | :13:54. | |
view, will there be 19 countries in the eurozone after the new year, or | :13:54. | :14:03. | |
will we see a much smaller eurozone s that inevitable? I think it will | :14:03. | :14:08. | |
have to get smaller before it gets bigger. I don't see how they can | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
have a real fiscal union, more political union, without looking | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
hard at the current membership, and realising some of the countries, | :14:17. | :14:21. | |
Greece is the obvious one, but I think there are others, Portugal, | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
they are really ready to be in that. What worries me about what they are | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
doing, they seem to be making this handshake as if they don't have to | :14:29. | :14:33. | |
make those decisions. Then it is hopeless, Italy is at least an | :14:33. | :14:39. | |
interesting case. You might be able to keep Italy in, Greece has | :14:39. | :14:43. | |
reached absurdity. Gillian Tett, as you said, we have been marched up | :14:44. | :14:47. | |
and down the hill. We heard Mervyn King, hearing about the nine days | :14:47. | :14:51. | |
ahead. Will this just be kicked forward again, or does this | :14:51. | :14:59. | |
actually have to be the real crunch? The onus is we -- the | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
answer is we just don't know. One of my reporters went ahead to a | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
conference in New York, of emerging market investors from around the | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
world. The question was asked of the audience, how many of you think | :15:08. | :15:12. | |
the eurozone will be together, in its current form, with all 17 | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
members in a year's time, 80% of the audience said they didn't think | :15:16. | :15:22. | |
it would hang together. That is the indication of the scepticism and | :15:22. | :15:29. | |
cynicism in the markets. If you, from what Lord Lamont said about | :15:29. | :15:33. | |
what Angela Merkel thinks fiscal union is, they think everyone needs | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
to be German right now, and the rest of the world is saying it | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
won't happen. We are in the middle of a decade of economic pain, | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
living standards are dropping, the gulf between the rich and poor yawn, | :15:44. | :15:49. | |
and the structural deficit, George Osborne admits, will be with us | :15:49. | :15:53. | |
through the next election. The bombshell, how will the political | :15:53. | :16:00. | |
debate change, and are our politicians up to the challenge? As | :16:00. | :16:03. | |
the dust settled on the Autumn Statement, what became clear is | :16:03. | :16:06. | |
that the Conservative attempt to demonstrate the support for women, | :16:06. | :16:10. | |
is hardly going smoothly. It is women, overwhelmingly, who will be | :16:11. | :16:16. | |
hit by the Chancellor's decision to snatch back �110 a year, promised | :16:16. | :16:21. | |
to many of Britain's poorest families. How could the Liberal | :16:21. | :16:27. | |
Democrats show themselves as distinct from the Tories, amidst | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
the prognosis of economic doom beyond the next election. Danny | :16:30. | :16:34. | |
Alexander said it himself on Tuesday's Newsnight. You are going | :16:34. | :16:38. | |
into the next election, promising further billions of pounds in cuts | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
and public spending. That is what you are going to say in your | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
manifesto in the next election. afraid so. Senior Liberal Democrats | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
Newsnight spoke to today, have intimated their fears for the | :16:51. | :17:01. | |
:17:01. | :17:12. | ||
party's distinctiveness. One senior Does the public believe that Labour | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
has a different and credible economic script? When the task of | :17:16. | :17:21. | |
the next Government will be to curb a still large deficit. The polls | :17:21. | :17:27. | |
suggest that people think things would be even worse under Labour. | :17:28. | :17:34. | |
How are the politicians going to deal with this future for political | :17:34. | :17:38. | |
insiders, I'm joined by Danny Finkelstein of the Times, and once | :17:38. | :17:45. | |
of Conservative Central Office, Tony McNulty, and Edward hare sis | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
former ld MP. The idea we are all in this glrb Liberal Democrat MP. | :17:50. | :17:54. | |
The idea we are all in this together, with the Conservatives | :17:54. | :17:59. | |
thinking about women and the idea of that, with the fewer public | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
sector workers, the idea that violent and mental issues won't be | :18:02. | :18:08. | |
at the fore any more. It is back to the barricades. There will be | :18:08. | :18:11. | |
massive distributional issues making cuts of that kind. Making | :18:11. | :18:14. | |
cuts in public spending will come from people who depend on spending | :18:14. | :18:18. | |
more or who work in the public sector, that is very hard. For | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
people who are Conservative modernisers it is very difficult. | :18:21. | :18:25. | |
Isn't the problem with this, David Cameron set himself out to be the | :18:26. | :18:32. | |
moderniser, that was the USP, and here you have it, the retrenchment | :18:32. | :18:35. | |
again, the language doesn't sell that in any kind of positive way, | :18:35. | :18:40. | |
does it? It is very, very difficult. The problem for all political | :18:40. | :18:43. | |
parties, is the next election will be one in which you are not looking | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
at how do you spend the money in the future, you are looking at how | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
to make more cuts, how do you make a little bit less and a bit more. | :18:51. | :18:55. | |
You have Steve Hilton not believing in climate change any more? I don't | :18:55. | :19:00. | |
know about that. This leaves a problem for the Liberal Democrats, | :19:00. | :19:05. | |
Evan Harris, you are tied in a sense to the Conservatives' coat | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
tails, Danny Alexander himself said, you go into the next election with | :19:10. | :19:13. | |
the deficit not obliterated, having to promote the same level of cuts. | :19:14. | :19:17. | |
The problem that exists for Conservative modernisers is even | :19:17. | :19:21. | |
greater for Liberal Democrats, that is why I think, it is quite clear | :19:21. | :19:25. | |
when you make cuts, as most Liberal Democrats accept has to be done, as | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
Danny said, it will affect people who use public services the most. | :19:29. | :19:32. | |
That is why I think Liberal Democrats will now concentrate on | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
stopping story tax cuts for better- off people, the 50p rate must stay. | :19:36. | :19:43. | |
There must be no question of there being inheritance tax cuts, things | :19:43. | :19:47. | |
like that will be well defined. has to be something more creative, | :19:47. | :19:51. | |
otherwise you seem joined at the hip? There will be differenciation, | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
more on those issues, they become even more important. How do the | :19:55. | :19:57. | |
Liberal Democrats do that? I think actually there is a position for | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
the Liberal Democrats, it is on distributional issues. I think the | :20:01. | :20:07. | |
Tories will obviously try to close it down, they won't go after the | :20:07. | :20:13. | |
50p or the in herance tax, that gives them a problem -- inheritance | :20:13. | :20:16. | |
tax, and that gives them a problem with their base. The Liberal | :20:16. | :20:19. | |
Democrats believe in redistribution and they can argue about the | :20:19. | :20:22. | |
fairness of the measures and moderate them. If we are | :20:22. | :20:26. | |
Conservative fiscal, it is in the coalition, it is not in the next | :20:26. | :20:31. | |
manifest at the moment that is why I think Danny Alexander did get it | :20:31. | :20:41. | |
:20:41. | :20:42. | ||
wrong. If you say your people are in the public sector, will you get | :20:42. | :20:47. | |
the vote next time round with this platform? Danny Alexander nor Nick | :20:47. | :20:52. | |
Clegg writes the manifesto, you can call them the architect, he was | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
chairman of the body that wrote it, he didn't win many of those battles. | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
What I have been told today, and you said this in the introduction, | :21:00. | :21:02. | |
rightly, when he said the Liberal Democrats would go into the | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
election with, not just more cuts set out, which may be the case, but | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
a specific agreed cuts with another party. That is not going to happen, | :21:10. | :21:16. | |
because we are committed to being independent of the other parties. | :21:16. | :21:19. | |
Let's talk about that with Tony McNulty, you are independent of | :21:19. | :21:24. | |
both parties. Can we see a position, or would it just be so beyond the | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
pale, that Labour could do a deal with the Liberal Democrats? I think | :21:27. | :21:32. | |
this week has been seismic in terms of politics for some of the reasons | :21:32. | :21:36. | |
suggested. The notion that the next election, whatever the outcome, if | :21:36. | :21:45. | |
it is not a majority Labour Government, that we do deals with | :21:45. | :21:52. | |
Huhne and others that is gone. That is a question for the Liberal | :21:52. | :21:58. | |
Democrats. They are getting rid of four of their beasts? Let's see if | :21:58. | :22:04. | |
they get four seats. What about the Labour Party? We have to put | :22:04. | :22:10. | |
ourselves in the polls. The redistribution we have seen that | :22:10. | :22:14. | |
the liberals are endorsed have been from the poorest to the richest. | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
The new cuts announced have been much more severe on the bottom | :22:18. | :22:22. | |
percentage than higher. Labour has some flexibility. I don't think the | :22:22. | :22:26. | |
Liberal Democrats have, you can't issue a red book with an as tricks | :22:26. | :22:36. | |
:22:36. | :22:37. | ||
that said only subject to the agreement of the Liberal Democrats, | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
The Labour Party has a degree of flexibility, you still have to | :22:41. | :22:44. | |
commit to vast cuts and explain, roughly speaking, where they come | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
from. There may be some flexibility for slowing down the cuts, at that | :22:47. | :22:52. | |
point, you won't be able to cancel them all. You will have to fight | :22:52. | :22:59. | |
that on the election. How will Labour get its credibility back, | :22:59. | :23:06. | |
will Ed Balls say slash, cut, slash, cut? They have to say it now, not | :23:06. | :23:10. | |
six months down the road towards the next election. The policy of | :23:10. | :23:15. | |
Labour has not to come forward with the big decisions because they see | :23:15. | :23:19. | |
it as foolish? They don't have to go into the detail, Cameron learned | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
that from the last election. They must get to stage where Labour's | :23:23. | :23:28. | |
economic narrative become as real one. Part of that is challenging | :23:28. | :23:33. | |
the analysis so far. David Miliband started that last night with a good | :23:33. | :23:38. | |
speech. With the Labour Party needs to recover, it is almost as | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
tempting as being tribunal and saying we don't do a -- tribal and | :23:42. | :23:46. | |
saying we don't do a deal. Let him speak? You have this problem, there | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
are plenty of people in the Labour Party who think if the economy | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
tanks or doesn't improve or flatlines Labour won't need to | :23:53. | :23:58. | |
regain credibility. That is tempting, just as it is tempting to | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
personalise politics and say whatever the merits after the next | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
election of getting power, we are not going to deal with individuals, | :24:05. | :24:08. | |
I don't think your leader take that is same view. | :24:08. | :24:12. | |
What I think we are missing a big point, that is all the parties are | :24:12. | :24:16. | |
going to face something that nobody has faced in this country ever, | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
that is we simply not going to be able to afford the state, in the | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
way that we have been able to afford it in the past. We are all | :24:24. | :24:27. | |
going to have to propose new ways of doing things, on a very grand | :24:27. | :24:30. | |
scale. What we have learned is the economy is far less wealthy. So | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
this changes not just this kind of politics, the politics we have | :24:34. | :24:37. | |
talked about, but much more fundamental things. I think there | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
is room for the superrich to pay more, that might well be a dividing | :24:42. | :24:44. | |
line. I'm not convinced that those in the Liberal Democrats will take | :24:44. | :24:49. | |
that view and win out. That will be a battle. We will want to | :24:49. | :24:52. | |
differentiate ourselves, even more than we have in the past. And I | :24:52. | :24:57. | |
don't accept this idea that the red book writes the manifesto, that is | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
absolutely wrong. I don't think Nick Clegg agreed with what Danny | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
Alexander said on this programme. We can explore this, even further | :25:04. | :25:08. | |
in weeks to come and months to come. If everybody is going to be | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
batoning down the hatchs in the economy and there is no room for | :25:12. | :25:15. | |
manoeuvre. In what way does politics play out, what do people | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
want from politicians they are not getting now? First of all, everyone | :25:18. | :25:22. | |
knows the situation is very, very grim. They don't expect politicians | :25:22. | :25:26. | |
to solve the problems immediately, but they do expect some hope at the | :25:26. | :25:30. | |
end of the day. The problem will be, not what politicians say, but | :25:30. | :25:34. | |
simply the actual reduction in people's real living standards, for | :25:34. | :25:37. | |
people who don't earn very much. That will be very difficult for the | :25:37. | :25:41. | |
Government. The problem for Labour is, it weakens them because they | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
will fight an election where their narrative is let's borrow some more | :25:45. | :25:51. | |
in order to borrow less. Such an unconvincing line that nobody will | :25:51. | :25:55. | |
believe. The line is to let's borrow more as a result of failure, | :25:55. | :25:59. | |
that can't be right either. Syria is now in state of civil war, a UN | :25:59. | :26:04. | |
official said today, it is estimated more than 4,000 people | :26:04. | :26:09. | |
have been killed by pro-Government forces since March, who is | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
supplying President Assad and other repressive regimes with the | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
technology to hunt down the dissenters. An investigation by | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
Newsnight and the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, has found | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
a British company, based in Oxfordshire, has been implicated in | :26:22. | :26:26. | |
the sale of state-of-the-art technology to Syria. It is not the | :26:26. | :26:31. | |
only British company with a role in allowing despotic regimes to access | :26:31. | :26:39. | |
technologies to help them spy on their sit ens. | :26:39. | :26:47. | |
-- citizens. The Arab Spring, Egypt, Libya, now Syria. Popular uprisings, | :26:47. | :26:52. | |
fuelled by new technology. Co- ordinated using mobile phones, the | :26:52. | :27:00. | |
Internet, texts and tweets. These pictures captured last week | :27:00. | :27:06. | |
from Syria, spread around the globe, on the World Wide Web. But now, the | :27:06. | :27:10. | |
very technologies that helped spark these revolutions are being used to | :27:10. | :27:18. | |
crush them. Technology of this kind can be every bit as lethal as the | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
bullets directly sold by a munitions company, or armments | :27:20. | :27:30. | |
quartermastre. Brighton beach, on the Sussex coast, | :27:30. | :27:35. | |
an unlikely venue to host a hub of dissent. But the current Syrian | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
popular uprising is organised on an international scale. Here in | :27:39. | :27:48. | |
Brighton, mam mam plays his party. The Arab Spring has turned into | :27:48. | :27:53. | |
winter in Syria, we have 20,000 people in prison, 4,500 people are | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
dead and people are struggling on daily basis. He has no permanent | :27:58. | :28:04. | |
address. He flits from place-to- place, using friends' address, | :28:04. | :28:08. | |
using their internet connections, laptops and computers, fearful he's | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
being monitored by the Syrian Security Services, here on British | :28:11. | :28:19. | |
soil. He maintains daily contact with | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
friends and colleagues, in Syria. Helping to desem raitate | :28:23. | :28:27. | |
information about developments in - - deseminate information about | :28:27. | :28:31. | |
developments in his country. And such has been their success, that | :28:31. | :28:35. | |
even the cyberactivists, operating behind closed doors, those | :28:35. | :28:37. | |
uploading images of the demonstrations, are now being | :28:37. | :28:42. | |
targeted too. The people who are usually using | :28:42. | :28:48. | |
the Internet to communicate with us are at more risk being arrested by | :28:48. | :28:52. | |
the regime than people on the streets. This is because we believe | :28:53. | :28:57. | |
that the Syrian regime, and we have evidence for that, that the Syrian | :28:58. | :29:01. | |
regime has access to software supplied by western countries, that | :29:01. | :29:07. | |
enables them to follow those users, and locate them. How many people do | :29:07. | :29:14. | |
you personally know of who have been actively targeted by the | :29:14. | :29:22. | |
state? Since May, and early July, I know of about 40-50 people, I went | :29:22. | :29:26. | |
to school with when I was back in Syria, they have been arrested and | :29:26. | :29:30. | |
we believe they have been arrested as a result of the new technology | :29:30. | :29:35. | |
and software that the Syrian regime is using to target activists. | :29:35. | :29:39. | |
Newsnight has learned that Syria has been provided with technology, | :29:39. | :29:46. | |
produced by the British-owned company, Sophos. This is its sales | :29:46. | :29:52. | |
pitch. Access to retain telecomdata, has become an important tool for | :29:52. | :29:57. | |
law enforcement and Intelligence Services in their fight against | :29:57. | :30:03. | |
Toryism. We asked Sophos for -- Terrorism. We asked Sophos for an | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
interview. They confirmed that it supplied technology to an Italian | :30:07. | :30:14. | |
company last year, they knew it was part of a bigger contract with | :30:14. | :30:20. | |
Syria. We don't monitor data, that is done within the | :30:20. | :30:23. | |
telecommunications software. The software is designed so when data | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
is requested by police forces can be safely be passed to the police | :30:27. | :30:32. | |
force. But you are selling it to nation states?, you are providing | :30:32. | :30:36. | |
it to nation states where the police force don't have a | :30:36. | :30:40. | |
particularly good track record, if we look at Syria there are problems | :30:40. | :30:45. | |
for many years? As a company we ensure, whoever we sell to, we | :30:45. | :30:51. | |
ensure we follow EU regulations and guidelines. Our customers are | :30:51. | :30:53. | |
telecommunications companies. say you follow the letter of the | :30:53. | :30:58. | |
law, isn't there a moral responsibility? Yeah, when we see | :30:58. | :31:04. | |
situations like Syria, absolutely, we are concerned, and we will take | :31:04. | :31:07. | |
further steps, the moral responsibility. We don't have the | :31:07. | :31:12. | |
benefit of hindsight to look back and remove our software where it | :31:13. | :31:21. | |
has been sold. Steve Mumford admits Sophos doesn't know if its product | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
has been sold to other authoritarian regimes. We showed | :31:25. | :31:32. | |
him the interview with Mahmood. have evidence that the Syrian | :31:32. | :31:37. | |
regime has access to software supplied by western companies, that | :31:37. | :31:42. | |
enables them to follow those users and locate them. Will you think | :31:42. | :31:48. | |
hard about who you supply in the future? First of all, I think, from | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
what I hear on this report, none of our software would be involved in | :31:53. | :31:56. | |
that. You would not need our software to do the tracking down | :31:57. | :32:04. | |
and the finding of people. Secondly, absolutely, when we see activities | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
like this, we absolutely will stop doing business with anyone | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
contributing to this. He agreed there was a need for tighter | :32:12. | :32:20. | |
regulation of the industry. industry which now sells equipment | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
to dictators and democracies alike. Today WikiLeaks, in conjunction | :32:25. | :32:29. | |
with Privacy International, launched a database detailing the | :32:29. | :32:34. | |
scale of the electronics surveillance industry. It is worth | :32:34. | :32:37. | |
surveillance industry. It is worth more than 3 billion a year, with | :32:37. | :32:43. | |
more than 160 companies in 25 countries. Most pariah states don't | :32:43. | :32:48. | |
have the technology base to develop good surveillance software. The | :32:48. | :32:50. | |
Chinese can, I would be very surprised if countries like Syria | :32:50. | :32:54. | |
could. If you are the secret police in Syria, you are naturally going | :32:55. | :32:58. | |
to buy your surveillance software from Britain or France, or America | :32:58. | :33:05. | |
or Italy or wherever you can get it. It is not that hard to find. This | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
is the Milipol International Trade Fair held in Paris a few weeks ago. | :33:09. | :33:15. | |
We went along. Amid the sniper rifles, machine guns, weapons and | :33:15. | :33:19. | |
military hardware up for sale. An entire section was devoted to | :33:19. | :33:23. | |
surveillance. I spoke with one salesman, I asked him if he was at | :33:23. | :33:27. | |
all concerned about how his company's technology might be used | :33:27. | :33:32. | |
by certain regimes. This is a direct quote. "We have no control | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
over what they will do, targeting, we can't have any control on that, | :33:36. | :33:40. | |
the person who may be bad for you, may not be bad for me. So we can't | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
judge that. We're just providing the technology for finding people | :33:44. | :33:51. | |
who are of concern to a particular nation." We reject the view that | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
Government's oppression of the internet, phone networks and social | :33:54. | :33:58. | |
media at times of unrest is acceptable. Britain will always be | :33:58. | :34:03. | |
on the side of people aspiring for political and economic freedom. In | :34:03. | :34:09. | |
the Middle East and around the world. Laudible sentiments from | :34:09. | :34:15. | |
Foreign Secretary, William Hague, but actions speak louder than words. | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
Newsnight, and the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, have been | :34:18. | :34:21. | |
looking at the role of UK-based companies, exporting state-of-the- | :34:21. | :34:27. | |
art technology, which can be put to use by questionable regimes. | :34:27. | :34:31. | |
ThorpeGlen, Suffolk, said to have sold tracking and monitoring | :34:31. | :34:39. | |
technology to Indonesia. Gamma Group, Andover Hampshire, via a | :34:39. | :34:43. | |
third party, offered monitoring technology to President Mubarak's | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
regime in Egypt. Hidden Technology Systems Limited, Essex, sold | :34:47. | :34:51. | |
tracking devices to Saudi Arabia, who, it says, wanted to buy the | :34:51. | :35:00. | |
best of British. And, Creativity Software, Kingston upon Thames, | :35:00. | :35:07. | |
Surrey, sold tracking technology to a mobile phone tracking network in | :35:07. | :35:13. | |
Iran. It is this involvement with Iran that has prompted concern from | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
leading politicians. The crossbench peer Lord Alton has asked dozens of | :35:18. | :35:22. | |
questions in the House of Lords. He cites the case of an Iranian | :35:22. | :35:26. | |
journalist tortured in jail. He was subjected not only to physical | :35:26. | :35:30. | |
abuse, but they detailed all of the conversation that is he had, and | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
they were able to say whom he had met as a result of using technology | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
which had been sold to the Iranian regime. My concern is, that it is | :35:37. | :35:40. | |
not just Iran, but throughout the whole of the region, that we have | :35:40. | :35:44. | |
been aiding and abetting, the very despots that democracy activists | :35:45. | :35:49. | |
and human rights campaigners have been trying to replace through the | :35:49. | :35:54. | |
Arab Spring. The details of Creativity Software's deal with | :35:54. | :35:58. | |
Iran are not known. Through Lord Alton's persistent questioning, it | :35:58. | :36:04. | |
has emerged it had a stamp of approval through GCHQ. I find it | :36:04. | :36:07. | |
really extraordinary that in many to a question I tabled, that the | :36:07. | :36:12. | |
Government have conceded that an agency, operating out of GCHQ, held | :36:12. | :36:17. | |
a meeting with Creativity Software, and they discussed the dual | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
application of this technology, and then nothing at all was done to | :36:21. | :36:26. | |
deter the export of technology, that could be used to abuse humam | :36:26. | :36:30. | |
rights activists, to arrest democracy activists and to lead to | :36:30. | :36:34. | |
people being tortured in Iranian prisons. We contacted all of the | :36:34. | :36:39. | |
companies named in our investigation. Creativity Software, | :36:39. | :36:46. | |
confirmed its commercial engagments started in 200 9, it says it wasn't | :36:46. | :36:51. | |
deployed until 2011. It says any connection with alleged human | :36:51. | :36:57. | |
rights abuses is clearly erroneous. Hidden Technology, confirmed is | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
supplied tracking technology to Saudi Arabia. ThorpeGlen, we made | :37:01. | :37:07. | |
repeated requests for comments, it is yet to reply. Gamma Group, it | :37:07. | :37:10. | |
said in statement that it did not supply a specific tracking | :37:10. | :37:16. | |
technology to Egypt. Sophos say the deal with Syria has | :37:16. | :37:22. | |
now been terminated. It and its Italian business partner said the | :37:22. | :37:27. | |
system was installed but not operational. As the protests in | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
Syria continue, cyberactivists are looking at new ways to avoid | :37:31. | :37:35. | |
detection, fully aware that a growing number of western companies | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
are successfully selling monitoring and tracking technology to whoever | :37:38. | :37:43. | |
is prepared to pay. No Government minister was | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
available to speak to us about the sale of British technology abroad. | :37:47. | :37:56. | |
:37:57. | :38:25. | ||
Machismo, religion, redemption, Martin Scorsese's films from Taxi | :38:25. | :38:28. | |
Driver, Mean Streets and Raging Bull, have shed light on all the | :38:28. | :38:33. | |
darkest places, now he has come out with Hugo, a family film, and a | :38:33. | :38:38. | |
celebration of moving pictures in 3D, no less, this week Scorcese was | :38:38. | :38:42. | |
in London and met Peter Marshall to talk about movies, music, in what | :38:42. | :38:46. | |
he considers to be his major political work, you may be | :38:47. | :38:51. | |
surprised by his answer. The master on set and in his | :38:51. | :38:55. | |
element. Martin Scorsese's first family film, Hugo, honours the | :38:55. | :38:59. | |
history of cinema itself. With a British cast, homage is paid to the | :38:59. | :39:03. | |
pioneers that brought, what the director calls, the magic, into his | :39:03. | :39:10. | |
life. The first thing that came to mind, or the feeling, was being | :39:10. | :39:15. | |
always, more or less, streeted as an invalid as a child, because of | :39:15. | :39:19. | |
the asthma I had for so many years. You had asthma? Yes, from the age | :39:19. | :39:25. | |
of three on. Being kept away from sports, nature, anything green, and | :39:25. | :39:31. | |
certainly animals, and no running, no hysterical laughter, and so I | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
was in the movie theatres a lot. Whatever I couldn't do or be a part | :39:34. | :39:40. | |
of, in the life around me, some how in the imagination, and in the | :39:40. | :39:46. | |
spirit of the cinema, I experienced it. I shared it with my father, | :39:46. | :39:52. | |
mainly, in the early days. The message from Hugo, in ultra | :39:52. | :39:57. | |
modern 3D is for getting the past only kills the present. Kingsley is | :39:57. | :40:02. | |
the great director, now reduced to running a toy shop, his film work | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
disregarded, as the movies have moved on. History, says Scorcese, | :40:05. | :40:13. | |
is the key to understanding. are a human encliek peedia! I saw, | :40:13. | :40:17. | |
I was able to see many of these films at the time, when I was home | :40:17. | :40:20. | |
alone, waiting for my parents to come back from work, there was a | :40:20. | :40:26. | |
television set. Jean Cocteau, the basic American films and British | :40:26. | :40:33. | |
films. The British cinema is a very important to me from 1945 on. | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
Scorcese's own place in film history is assured. From Taxi | :40:38. | :40:47. | |
Driver to Raging Bull, and then, into the new century, an Oscar for | :40:47. | :40:53. | |
The Departed, these days his music documentaries are matching the | :40:53. | :40:57. | |
success. If I had the ability to compose and play music, that is | :40:57. | :41:01. | |
where I would have found myself, in a sense, expressing myself. I think | :41:01. | :41:05. | |
music in its basic form is a pure form. You bring them together and | :41:05. | :41:09. | |
make them work together in way which seems to enhance both? Film | :41:09. | :41:14. | |
to me is very musical. A film without music is very musical, | :41:14. | :41:19. | |
because of the rhythm of the cuts and how you proceed, the pacing of | :41:19. | :41:23. | |
the picture. The pace of the film and how the audience reacts, I | :41:23. | :41:29. | |
should say, camera moves, obviously a musical. The rhythm of motion in | :41:29. | :41:38. | |
a way. So, for me, music is part of your blood, in a way, it has to be | :41:38. | :41:41. | |
so much part of your life. My brother played guitar, my father | :41:41. | :41:45. | |
used to be able to. I was never able to. You have fairly Catholic | :41:45. | :41:53. | |
tastes as well? I think so, yes. We're New Yorkers, and you know, | :41:54. | :41:59. | |
working-class people, radio playing all the time, whether it was opera, | :41:59. | :42:03. | |
or swing music, or whether it was American or British swing, some | :42:03. | :42:13. | |
jazz, of course. Dylan's music in No Direction Home, | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
was punched up to startling effect. With George Harrison's Living In A | :42:18. | :42:23. | |
Material World, he has repeated the trick. Scorcese enjoys music with a | :42:23. | :42:29. | |
wallop, he loved punk. # He's in love with rock'n'roll. | :42:29. | :42:34. | |
There was a freshness to it, because it had, direct, it had | :42:34. | :42:38. | |
something to say, they weren't going to be stopped. Somebody told | :42:38. | :42:48. | |
:42:48. | :42:48. | ||
me family member made meat balls for the clash? My mother. Your mum | :42:49. | :42:54. | |
and Joe Strummer? I know Joe, and the manager, and a young lady named | :42:54. | :43:00. | |
Pearl Harbour, yes. And we had some good Italian dinners, we used to | :43:00. | :43:04. | |
cook every Sunday, my mother would come. She would say I'm sure all | :43:04. | :43:08. | |
the buys would come, she would hold and hug -- these boys would come, | :43:08. | :43:13. | |
she would hold them and hug them. Punks for lunch? They were very | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
sweet. As far back as I would remember, I always wanted to be a | :43:17. | :43:23. | |
gangster. Scorcese's best known for his gangster films like Goodfellas, | :43:23. | :43:27. | |
rarely stinting on the body count. But the director said one of his | :43:27. | :43:32. | |
hardest hitting, Casino, was more than anything, a political story. | :43:32. | :43:36. | |
The crash we all now endure, he says he put on screen two decades | :43:36. | :43:45. | |
ago. For me it has to be in the microcosim, in way, for me, Casino, | :43:45. | :43:50. | |
for example, was a very political film. In the sense that in the | :43:50. | :43:57. | |
opening image you have Robert De Niro walk out on the screen, in a | :43:57. | :44:01. | |
salmon-coloured sports coat, white slacks, and patent leather shoes, | :44:01. | :44:06. | |
gets into this Cadillac, turns the key and the car blows up. It is a | :44:06. | :44:11. | |
true story. The amount of excess, the amount of never, there is | :44:11. | :44:19. | |
nothing that is ever enough, until finally it explodes. | :44:19. | :44:26. | |
This was in 1995. It was a concern of mine that, and that is one of | :44:26. | :44:30. | |
the reasons of making the George Harrison film, Harrison pointed it | :44:30. | :44:35. | |
out, he had everything at the age of 19, 21, but there has to be more, | :44:35. | :44:40. | |
there has to be more to being alive. It was like how much more do we | :44:40. | :44:45. | |
need of this. Look at this, they are tearing down the old Vegas, | :44:45. | :44:49. | |
where it was like an old western, where you would have gun fighters | :44:49. | :44:54. | |
or gamblers coming in, they would gamble, that is what they do, they | :44:54. | :45:00. | |
gamble. Here, and the new Vegas, by the end of that film, it is a Vegas | :45:00. | :45:05. | |
where they bring the family, because we have theme parks for | :45:05. | :45:07. | |
them outside, while you are gambling away the money, for us, | :45:07. | :45:13. | |
because you are not going to win it, we will keep it. It is purely evil. | :45:13. | :45:17. | |
Martin Scorsese, tomorrow morning's front pages, beginning with the | :45:17. | :45:22. | |
Financial Times, Mario Draghi, the petd of the ECB hints at eurozone | :45:22. | :45:32. | |
:45:32. | :45:58. | ||
Unison have offered Jeremy Clarkson a day to be care worker, it seems | :45:58. | :46:08. | |
like great idea. Today marks the start of the | :46:08. | :46:12. | |
Australian summer, celebrated on Bondi beach by some night surfing. | :46:12. | :46:22. | |
:46:22. | :46:42. | ||
# Night swimming # Your photograph on the dashboard | :46:42. | :46:52. | |
:46:52. | :46:56. | ||
Hi there. Good evening. It will turn out to be a cold night, clear | :46:56. | :47:00. | |
and starry skies, widespread frost will develop, especially into the | :47:00. | :47:03. | |
countryside. A chilly start to Friday morning, patches of ice | :47:03. | :47:07. | |
around, with overnight showers. As we go through Friday, most places | :47:07. | :47:10. | |
will have decent sunshine, it will tend to turn cloudy from the west | :47:10. | :47:15. | |
as we go through the afternoon. Eastern England having decent | :47:15. | :47:19. | |
sunshine, temperatures up to eight degrees. As we travel further | :47:19. | :47:22. | |
westwards, here we will notice the freshening south-westerly breeze, | :47:22. | :47:28. | |
the cloud will thicken up, and eventually outbreaks of rain moving | :47:28. | :47:32. | |
in. Cloudier in the morning, outbreaks of rain pushing into | :47:32. | :47:37. | |
western coastal counties, across the hills, damp weather for the | :47:37. | :47:43. | |
Isle of Man. Cold night, with cloud coming over the top forp for | :47:43. | :47:49. | |
Northern Ireland, temperatures four or five. Turpblg -- turning to snow | :47:49. | :47:52. | |
across the Scottish mountains. Through Friday and Saturday, we | :47:52. | :47:56. | |
lose the outbreaks of rain, it should be dryer generally across | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
England and Wales through the weekend. The exception is across | :47:59. | :48:03. | |
southern parts on Saturday. We will see outbreaks of rain, for example, | :48:03. | :48:06. | |
in London, that should clear fairly quickly. The rain clears away from | :48:06. | :48:09. | |
the far south of England and Wales. During Saturday morning, most | :48:10. | :48:13. |