29/04/2014 Newsnight


29/04/2014

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You wouldn't imagine things could get much better for UKIP, but then

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tonight they did. A Conservative MP discredited by sleaze stepped down,

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forcing a by-election, the party reckons it might be able to win. I'm

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an ex-soldier, I believe when I get something wrong you have to fess up

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and get on with it. No point in shelly shallying and trying to avoid

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it. We will ask if that ex-soldier just stuck a bayonet in the guts of

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his own party. Our chances of treating many forms of cancer have

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improved hugely. Is the emphasis on defeating the disease though

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starving other illnesses of resources? This shows one single

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stock market share being traded right around the world in half a

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second by a computer. Will we look back soon fondly on the mere greed

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of the City trader. Instead of the bottom of the class at Oxford and

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Cambridge going to work in the City, it is the top of the class. And the

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top of the class is capable of doing unlimited damage to everybody else.

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And this: Unsex me here and fill me from the crown to the toe, top full

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of diarist cruelty. They are here, they are there, they

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are everywhere, the United Kingdom Independence Party have achieved

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quite a feat considering they don't have a single MP in parliament. In

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just over three weeks' time at the European elections, we shall see

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whether the anxiety of the big parties which do have MPs is

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justified. And tonight, with the resignation of the disgraced Tory

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MP, Patrick Mercer, there is even the chance of the UKIP leader

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running for parliament himself. In the meantime there is the question

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of whether UKIP is racist? The UKIP council candidate who said that the

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black comedian Lenny Henry ought to emirate to what he called a "Black

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Country", and he didn't mean the West Midlands, which actually is

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where Lenny Henry comes from any way, resigned from the party today.

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But all the other parties, the older parties, continue to assert that

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UKIP is racist. # So while you work... Dads Army is

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coming back. Your name will also go on the list. What is it? Don't tell

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him Pike! 45 years after it was first seen on TV, it is about to hit

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the big screen as a feature film. The reworking, this time with Bill

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Nighy and Toby Jones, look impossible to fail. But the timing

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of the venture play be superb. Half a century on the story of a small

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island alone and under siege still seems to have enduring appeal. A

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small Band of Brothers, led by the local bank manager, waiting with

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baited breath for the invasion of an impending force, energy occupied

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Europe. Sound familiar? Not war but quite possibly a sentiment that goes

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straight to the heart of the UKIP message. That seems to be garnering

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support. Tonight news from an ex-soldier that may well blast a

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hole in the Tory battleship. Patrick Mercer, an MP suspended for six

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months over "cash for questions" allegations, has announced he had a

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stand -- will stand down, triggering a by-election. I believe when you

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get something wrong you have to fess up and get on with it, no point in

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shilly shallying and avoiding it, I'm ashamed of it. I will do what I

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can to put it right for the constituency of Newark. Bad enough

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for the Conservatives if it ended there, reminders of more financial

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sleaze, so soon after the Maria Miller affair, will do nothing to

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cheer the troops, weeks before voters held to the polls. But within

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minutes of the Mercer resignation came reports that Nigel Farage, or

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to give him the full title "the man who scares the living daylights out

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of the Conservatives" may try to stand in the seat that is vacant.

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Under by-election rules it can't be fought until after next month's

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European elections, when UKIP might be riding high. Today there were

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predictions for next week's European elections, they predict UKIP with 20

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seats up by 13 last time, beating the Conservatives into third place,

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and second to Labour who they are putting on 28 seats. It looks as if

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the UKIP gains will be disproportionately at the Tories'

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expense. But interesting to note that last year 4% of the Labour vote

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of 2010 was heading to UKIP, this year that number has almost doubled.

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UKIP is becoming an issue for all the main parties. The question now

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is how they choose to tackle it. Last week when UKIP launched their

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campaign, these posters were labelled racist by a Labour MP.

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Possibly the wrong approach, John WoodAlcock tells me, the mainstream

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parties can't afford the "fruitcakes, racist and loonies"

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line any more without isolating their own voters. Those posters

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might time with people, if we label the party racist, the worry is

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everyone who looks at those posters and is stirred in some way by them

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feels like we are calling them racist. They are not, they are

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concerned about their jobs and their livelihood. This week a cross-party

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group, Migration Mars, has launched the fightback, has accused UKIP of

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eur-racism, and some are not frayed to hit where it hurts. We need to

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expose the activists in UKIP who are the BNP in blazers. They are saying

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the same thing about foreigners and people of a different coloured

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different. As the National Front used to say before them. We need to

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show that these are not the charming, reasonable, normal people

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they pretend to be. Why do the main parties ause UKIP of being racist or

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zenophobic, but refuse to believe that could be applicable to those

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who vote UKIPble to those who vote UKIP. A party's leader and the

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people who vote for them are not always the same. The people who tap

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into the "the country is going to the dogs" sentiment. They talk about

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issues which have little to do with politics. They talk about the

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teacher killed yesterday in her own school. Or much more prosaically

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about the difficulty of finding a human voice when you call your local

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bank. They say that the three main parties have stopped listening,

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stopped caring, given up on Britain, now that is much harder for them to

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tackle than any one underlying policy. Tomorrow Nigel Farage has

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promised to announce if he will stand in Newark, place your bets

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now. The Conservatives have a 16,000 majority there, that could be hard

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to shift. Now Newark is not warm -- Warmington-on-sea, the fictional

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down in dads' army, but it may be the place where they go to war.

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My guests are with me. Doesn't the very formation of a cross-party

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campaign from all vested interests like you and your colleagues and

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other parties demonstrate precisely why UKIP is successful. That you are

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out-of-touch with public opinion and they are not? No I don't think it

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does at all. I think it is the mainstream parties saying there are

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very real differences about Europe, there are very real differences

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about immigration and let as discuss them. But don't let's have it in the

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way where we pander to the lowest common denominator, where we have a

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campaign in which if we were talking about black people or Asian people,

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people would be up in arms, but it is OK to talk about people from

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Europe, 26 million of them apparently, are coming over here

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looking for jobs. Let's look at the poster here, you tell us why this

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poster, 26 million people in Europe are looking for work, whose jobs are

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they after, why is that racist? Because it is an absolute nonsense.

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It may be nonsense, that doesn't mean it is racist? There are 26

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million people, alarmist in Europe. That wasn't your accusation, your

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accusation it was racist, why? If you substituted for the word

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"Europe", you substituted "people from Africa" or "people from Asia"

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are coming here for work, everybody would think that is racist. There is

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no reason why it says Europe that isn't racist in exactly the same

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way. It is alarmist, it is nonsense, as Nicholas Soames says it is

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completely devisive. Where does your party appeal to racists? I don't

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think it does any more than the other parties. I think we are under

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enormous media scrutiny, which I don't complain about, as ming

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Campbell said to me yesterday, "welcome to Test Match cricket",

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where there are people who have expressed racist sentiments we root

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them out and take disciplinary action. You don't accept the poster

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is racist? Of course it isn't. We in UKIP are proposing an immigration

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policy which would be a level playing field with every country in

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the world. A points-based system so the migrants who can benefit Britain

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can come here. What we have at the moment is open-door migration from

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more than two dozen neighbouring countries and the absurd situation

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where an Indian engineer or New Zealand brain surgeon would struggle

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to get in, but an eastern European a very grant has a complete right to

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come. That is the double standard, and it is crazy. Why are you raising

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your eyebrows? I think Patrick doesn't quite appreciate that we

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have a system at the moment which is points-based. Not for the EU. Anyone

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can come from the EU? We have the level playing field. It is not

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level, that is the point. There are a lot of British people, as you

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know, working and living in Europe and you give them no thought. But

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the question is this isn't it, we hear almost on a daily basis about

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extreme candidates. If they are not attacking Lenny Henry, you have

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these UKIP candidates now, today, attacking Mo MoFarah for not being

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British enough, and talking about banning Islam. Isn't it enough when

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you have the leader of your party saying to the Guardian on Saturday

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when asked should people be worried about Romanian families living in

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their street? He says yes. Is it any wonder that you are encouraging

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racists of this kind. I completely refute that accusation. Quite rank

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frankly, let's be real about this, people value their sense of

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community. When any people come from another community or nationality,

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that causes them to worry about their community cohesion. So you

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disagree with your leader on this subject? You would be happy to have

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Romanians living next to you, unlike your leader. What we know about the

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Romanian influx is there is cashpoint fraud, and begging in the

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streets. That is a whole country. You have an amazing thing of putting

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words in my mouth, if you let me finish. There are many Romanians who

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work extremely hard, and Romanians who, with those values coming to

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live in your street fine, once you get to know them. If it is a

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Romanian running a cashpoint skimming gang you have every right

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to be concerned and sustain that concern. The question wasn't are you

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happy to have people indulging in criminal activity living next to

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you. It was Romanians in general. To make the whole statement about a

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whole country strikes me as extraordinary, is it any wonder you

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have people aligning themselves with you with this view. It is great

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pity, there are very, very many decent people who have voted for

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UKIP in the past. How sweet of you to say so. And who will vote for

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UKIP in the future. They will. It is a great shame that some of their

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representatives and candidates have these extreme views. Two things we

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know, 70% plus of the British public don't want open-door, unlimited

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immigration from the rest of the European Union. The second thing we

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know is there is an extraordinary degree of antipathy towards the

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Westminster political class represented by you today. You are a

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lovely person but with enemies like you who needs friends, that would be

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UKIP's analysis of today. We will stop this before it gets personal.

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Thank you both. For anyone, if any of us is unlucky enough to be

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diagnosed with cancer figures published today give some comfort.

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An average of half of us could expect to still be alive in ten

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years' time, the survival rate is much better for some cancers than

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others, but the advances in treament treatment have been so impressive

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that the picture is quite changed. Cancer one of Britain's biggest

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fears. Partly because as recently as the 1970s, treatment was very

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ineffective. People thought of it as a death sentence. It is certainly

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still common, in 2011, 330,000 people were diagnosed with a form of

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the disease. In the same year, 160,000 people died. But there is

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good news. Back in the 1970s, around one half of people diagnosed with

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cancer died within a year. But survival rates have been rising and

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rising. The latest estimates imply that around one half of people

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diagnosed with cancer will survive a decade. That's because we have got

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better at all parts of the treatment process. We are spotting diseases

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earlier and treatments are much better. But the progress hides some

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major variation. Ten -year survival rates for breast cancer are 78%. For

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bladder cancer they are 50%, for lung capser they are 5%, and for

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pancreatic cancer they are just 1%. More common cancers tend to attract

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more research time. But, even some relatively prevalent cancers like

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lung cancer have just proved difficult to crack. Differences in

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survival rates also reflect things like how quickly the cancers tend to

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get found and diagnosed. That is an important reason why survival rates

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for pancreatic cancer have barely moved in 40 years. Still there has

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been improvements, it is of course great thing. But we should also

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remember that Britain could do much better. A recent study found that 9%

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of British people with lung cancer survived for five years. In Norway

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it was 14%. In Australia 17%. And in Canada it was 18%. So we should

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celebrate the recent improvements in care, cancer is, in many cases, now

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a manageable condition. But, there is still a long way to go.

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Here now is the Medical Director of Cancer Partners UK. And Chris, who

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has lived with breast cancer for five years and set up the cancer

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awareness cancer charity, Coppafeel. And a member of the Alzheimer's

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Society. This changing experience of cancer, how is it altering the way

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we look at the disease? I think cancer is rapidly becoming a chronic

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illness, like diabetes and high blood pressure. That is a long-term

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illness? A long-term illness. When I began as a consultant 25 35 years

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ago, 25% of patients would survive ten years, now it is 50%, and in the

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next 20 years it will be 75%. The fear goes with the statistics. So

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that changes the way people think about it? It does, people come to

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the clinic, telling someone they have cancer no longer has that

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dreadful conotation it did when I started. Having said that there are

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still sad situations and people are still going to die of cancer. So we

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could do much better if we put more effort into it. Tell me if the

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terminology is wrong, you have lived with cancer now, you were diagnosed

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how long ago? Five years ago. Breast cancer? Yeah. And you have lived

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with it since then? Yes, I was already diagnosed with secondaries

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when I was first told I had cancer. So I didn't go through a stage of

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being diagnosed and thinking I was going to be OK. It was already stage

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four breast cancer when it was found. And do you recall what the

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impact of that news was and can you contrast it with how you feel about

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the disease now? I knew very little about it. And I actually didn't know

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what the conotations were of it, being the secondary compared to it

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being primary. So I just, I didn't also know anything positive about it

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either, so I knew it was bad. But I didn't really think I would be here

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five years on. What do you think about it now? I am very much veering

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towards the side of it being more of a chronic illness. Because I'm

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living with it. And I have an identical twin sister and you

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wouldn't be able to tell I'm the one who has cancer. And I know so many

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other people living with the disease as well. So surely that's when we're

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starting to think it is a manageable disease. This is a great advance

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isn't it? Absolutely. I think it is really great news for cancer and for

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people with cancer, but it is also a great news story for medical

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research in general. Because it shows that by putting the right

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investment in medical research, we can realise a discovery as new

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treatments and cures for medical conditions. It is great news for

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cancer, we need to see the same happening for dementia and

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Alzheimer's and other diseases. I want to clear up one point with the

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professor here, why is it there is a huge discrepancy between the

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survival rate in some cannisters and others? -- cancers and others?

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Pancreatic is the worst, 3% 40 yearsing and 3% now. It is partly

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because of late diagnosis, but also because there is something about the

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cells of the pan crease of the pancreas that we don't understand.

:19:41.:19:45.

We are hoping to discover it through molecular analysis, so what applies

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to cancer will apply to dementia. It is about reducing a reductionist

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interpretation of what makes it cancerous. Clearly it would be

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better if we had survival rates of the kind that exist in Norway or

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Estonia, I think that is another one, or Australia. How do you

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improve those? You need some money and you need to change the system.

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You need to get better earlier diagnosis. What Chris is doing

:20:14.:20:18.

through her charity is raising awareness of breast abnormalities,

:20:19.:20:22.

persisting through an often negative system, general practitioners, going

:20:23.:20:26.

to clinics, getting through that there is something wrong with you. I

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guess the name explains what your charity is about Coppafeel, feel

:20:33.:20:38.

your breasts, and that is a step towards early diagnosis? And not

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ignoring symptoms, having the confidence to say to your GP, I have

:20:43.:20:46.

noticed these changes, they are not right for me, it needs to be

:20:47.:20:51.

investigated. Is there some sort of measurable result? Awareness is very

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hard to measure, but we are seeing more stories come through, case

:20:56.:20:58.

studies of people saying it was because of your message that I went

:20:59.:21:02.

back to my GP and it was taken more seriously and I asked to be referred

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and I was subsequently diagnosed with breast cancer and it was found

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early. We need to make shower that breast cancers are found early, that

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is when you are more likely to survive it. You have already

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referred to the difference between the sort of resource that is are

:21:20.:21:26.

available in cancer care. And the sort of resources, Alzheimer's is

:21:27.:21:32.

your field, dementia. Do you resent the attention that cancer gets?

:21:33.:21:39.

Absolutely not. The amount going into Cancer Research is fantastic,

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even though today's news is good news, there is still a lot more that

:21:42.:21:45.

needs to be done in cancer. What we can do in the dementia field is

:21:46.:21:52.

learn a lot from Cancer Research colleagues about awareness raising.

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We can bring new money in to dementia to make progress. The

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Government have doubled its spend on dementia, and the Alzheimer's

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Society will spend extra over the next ten years. That is a step in

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the right direction, we need to keep the momentum going. The political

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spotlight we have on dementia but seeing a big increase in research.

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Do you feel because cancer has a particular talismanic, terrifying

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impression upon people, that you some how have an unfair share of the

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cake? I do feel that sometimes. I have been a great campaigner and I

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think maybe I'm taking it away from someone. But I think the great thing

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I know about Cancer Research, the lessons we are learning there will

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alie right across the board of many different diseases. The epidemics of

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our time are not the plague and infection, they are non-communable

:22:52.:22:55.

conditions, chronic diseases. In all of them the molecular basis of them,

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and how we treat them better, comes down to an analysis of the genes and

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DNA, where it has gone wrong. The social implications of dementia and

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older people especially living with cancer there is a lot of commonalty.

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And cancer patients have other diseases as they get older. Do you

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feel you are slightly jeopardising funding for other areas of medicine?

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No. Not at all. If anything awareness is quite different to

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buying items needed for research. I can still go out on the street to

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tell someone to check their breasts without money in my pocket. That is

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not to say we don't need money because we need it to do the

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projects we are talking about. We are about taking the message early

:23:48.:23:51.

and educating young people, so they don't start learning the fear of

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cancer and get anything there before they even start doing that. Thank

:23:55.:23:59.

you all very much. President Obama rounded off a visit to the Far East

:24:00.:24:02.

today by trying to defend the way he deals with the rest of the world.

:24:03.:24:08.

Soft and consistent seem to be his themes. They could hardly be a

:24:09.:24:14.

greater contrast to his predecessors George W Bush's eagerness to send

:24:15.:24:19.

soldiers to Iraq and Afghanistan. But yet failing to appreciate the

:24:20.:24:23.

mood of Russia and failing to do in Syria. As he approaches the end of

:24:24.:24:27.

his time in the White House. Obama is obviously thinking of his

:24:28.:24:33.

reputation. Aware of how many people see him as a disappointment. This

:24:34.:24:40.

week the President has been in the Far East. A trip designed to

:24:41.:24:45.

emphasise his foreign policy tilt towards the Pacific. Come on now,

:24:46.:24:52.

ready, right here. But the scorecard has been mixed. America has given

:24:53.:24:57.

guarantees on Japanese and South Korean security but not got a whole

:24:58.:25:03.

lot back. And with the crises simplering elsewhere in Syria and

:25:04.:25:07.

Ukraine, President Obama felt he had to answer his critics. Typically

:25:08.:25:15.

criticism of our foreign policy has been directed at the failure to use

:25:16.:25:21.

military force. And the question I think I would have is why is it that

:25:22.:25:25.

everybody is so eager to use military force. After we have just

:25:26.:25:34.

gone through a decade of war at enormous to our troops and to our

:25:35.:25:41.

budget. When it comes to sports and photo opportunities, basketball has

:25:42.:25:44.

always been the Obama game of choice, and even during his first

:25:45.:25:49.

campaign, his emphasis on ending wars and choosing diplomacy was a

:25:50.:25:53.

Lambert dunk with the American public. President Obama came to

:25:54.:25:58.

office with the thought that when you talk to the people around him

:25:59.:26:02.

that the US was overinvested in the big land wars of the Middle East and

:26:03.:26:07.

south Asia, Iraq and Afghanistan, and underinvested in terms of his

:26:08.:26:12.

time and attention in terms of East Asia. Power in the world, economic

:26:13.:26:15.

and military power is shifting towards East Asia, I think President

:26:16.:26:19.

Obama, I think maybe his greatest achievement has President has been

:26:20.:26:22.

to redirect the strategic attention of the country towards the Far East.

:26:23.:26:27.

And along with the abandonment of unpopular wars came a deliberate

:26:28.:26:33.

focus on healing America's economic ills. Over the last decade we have

:26:34.:26:38.

spent a drill I don't know dollars on war, at a time of rising debt and

:26:39.:26:44.

hard economic times. Now we must invest in America's greatest

:26:45.:26:48.

resource, our people. America it is time to focus on nation building

:26:49.:26:56.

here at home. And in the 2012 campaign that was portrayed by his

:26:57.:27:00.

opponent as an abandonment of American global leadership. In an

:27:01.:27:05.

American century we lead the free world and the free world leads the

:27:06.:27:08.

entire world. If we don't have the strength or vision to lead, then

:27:09.:27:14.

other powers will take our place, pulling history in a very different

:27:15.:27:19.

direction. And as the President defended his emphasis on healing

:27:20.:27:24.

America first, he ridiculed his opponent for suggesting that America

:27:25.:27:29.

might still have enemies, like Russia. I'm glad that you recognise

:27:30.:27:34.

that Al-Qaeda is a threat, because a few months ago when you were asked

:27:35.:27:37.

what is the biggest geopolitical threat facing America, you said

:27:38.:27:43.

Russia, not Al-Qaeda, in the 1980s are calling to ask for their foreign

:27:44.:27:47.

policy back. The reset in relations with Russia was a cornerstone of

:27:48.:27:56.

Obama's first attempt at foreign policy, and the attempt to make a

:27:57.:28:00.

friend of an enemy that have subsequently led to charges of

:28:01.:28:05.

naivity. Both Republican candidates in the 2008 and 2012 presidential

:28:06.:28:10.

races were explicit in their opposition to Russia. With

:28:11.:28:15.

Republicans and other critics of the administration are hitting home is

:28:16.:28:18.

on Syria President Obama did draw a lion in the sand, and when President

:28:19.:28:23.

Assad crossed it, President Obama did not respond in the brutal,

:28:24.:28:28.

cynical world of Middle East politics that was a blow to US

:28:29.:28:33.

credibility. In the Ukraine and the Crimea process, President Putin has

:28:34.:28:36.

been highly opportunistic, strategic, very quick and decisive

:28:37.:28:42.

and both Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Obama have been a

:28:43.:28:45.

couple of steps reacting behind him. Russia, in basketball terms is the

:28:46.:28:53.

President's biggest mis. For the plans in Syria and the wider Middle

:28:54.:28:58.

East, and even the administration concede as complete re-think on

:28:59.:29:04.

security policy. Basketball aficionados might have noticed he

:29:05.:29:09.

has slowed down since he was Senator Obama, the dynamic of simple policy

:29:10.:29:14.

has gone, to be replaced by a more complex calculation, and the

:29:15.:29:17.

knowledge that sometimes a draw is the best you can hope for. A little

:29:18.:29:26.

earlier I spoke to a spokeswoman for the Obama administration at the

:29:27.:29:31.

state department. In what way is the world a safer place than it was when

:29:32.:29:41.

President Obama took office? I would make a few points, when he took

:29:42.:29:46.

office we had 150,000 US troops overseas engaged in two large wars.

:29:47.:29:50.

Today one of those wars is over. Americans are home with their

:29:51.:29:54.

families. If you look at the threat from terrorism, from Al-Qaeda corp,

:29:55.:29:59.

the group that attacked us on 9/11 was out there when the President

:30:00.:30:04.

took office, they were operating freely in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

:30:05.:30:08.

Today that group sumpivically is a shadow of what it once was. I could

:30:09.:30:12.

mention many more things but the negotiations with Iran over the

:30:13.:30:16.

nuclear programme today. We are engaged in the most serious and

:30:17.:30:20.

sensitive negotiations with the best chance of peacefully resolving our

:30:21.:30:22.

concerns over their nuclear programme. None of this is easy,

:30:23.:30:27.

many, many challenges remain. Those are just a few examples of how we

:30:28.:30:31.

have made progress during the last six years now. Do you still believe

:30:32.:30:35.

that the relationship between your country and Russia has been, as it

:30:36.:30:46.

was put, "reset"? Well that was -- Well that was a certain time in our

:30:47.:30:49.

policy, how we describe our relationship with Russia today is

:30:50.:30:53.

complicated. Anyone looking at the situation would describe it in the

:30:54.:30:56.

same way. We clearly have fundamental deep-seated differences

:30:57.:31:00.

with how Russia is behaving in Ukraine today, we have been clear

:31:01.:31:03.

about, that yesterday sanctioning more Russian officials, when we can

:31:04.:31:07.

work together, for example on the Iran negotiations I mentioned, we

:31:08.:31:11.

will continue to do so because it is in our national security interests

:31:12.:31:16.

to do so. Wh Secretary of State Kerry describes the Ukraine crisis

:31:17.:31:21.

as "putting the entire model of global leadership at stake", what

:31:22.:31:30.

does he mean. ? What he means is in 2014 it is unacceptable for a

:31:31.:31:33.

country to invade its neighbour. To take the steps we have seen Russia

:31:34.:31:36.

take when it comes to Ukraine. We have been very clear that countries'

:31:37.:31:42.

territorial integrity and sovereignty is a key notion that

:31:43.:31:47.

underpins the whole international system of which Russia is a key

:31:48.:31:51.

part. That is what it is referred to. Are there any circumstances

:31:52.:31:56.

under which the United States commit troops should the Russians intervene

:31:57.:32:02.

militarily in Ukraine? No, we are not talking about that. For a couple

:32:03.:32:09.

of reasons. What we want to s is the situation deescalated not

:32:10.:32:17.

escalating, also we have no interest whatsoever in engaging with some

:32:18.:32:21.

sort of proxy war with Russia that harkens back to a time decades ago,

:32:22.:32:25.

which we have no intention of going back to and don't think the Russians

:32:26.:32:29.

should want to either. This is rather like the situation in Syria

:32:30.:32:33.

where a threat is made and the country doesn't have the means or

:32:34.:32:41.

the desire to follow it through? Absolutely not, I would disagree

:32:42.:32:48.

with the emise, in the Ukraine we have promised a number of things,

:32:49.:32:53.

economic pressure through sanctions, economic and diplomatic pressure to

:32:54.:32:58.

punish them for what they have been doing in Ukraine. We won't commit

:32:59.:33:02.

military resources there, because we don't think there is a military

:33:03.:33:05.

solution. We have also said on the flip side we will stand by the

:33:06.:33:09.

Ukrainian Government and people. We believe the best way to support them

:33:10.:33:14.

is through economic, diplomatic assistance. That is exactly what we

:33:15.:33:17.

are doing now, exactly what we said we would do. Do you like the Braing

:33:18.:33:23.

snake-hipped greedy Charlatans that become the poster boys for 21st

:33:24.:33:27.

Septemberry capitalism. Silly question, no-one does, or anything

:33:28.:33:35.

like how much they love themselves. The red-meat eating good guys come

:33:36.:33:39.

last trading world doesn't care. And capitalism depends on them to

:33:40.:33:44.

function N a remarkable new book, Michael Lewis analyses the damage

:33:45.:33:48.

being done to capitalism, by the way some so called high freakcy traders

:33:49.:33:54.

are behave -- frequency traders are behaving. First an explanation of

:33:55.:34:00.

what they have been doing. Imagine reaching into the chiller

:34:01.:34:04.

cabinet, only to have someone snatch it from you and make you pay extra

:34:05.:34:09.

to get your hands on it? That is one of the ways that high frequency

:34:10.:34:13.

traders make money, taking millions of pound out of our savings and

:34:14.:34:18.

investments in such tiny amounts we don't even notice. For example the

:34:19.:34:23.

big pension fund might place a big order for shares in one exchange,

:34:24.:34:27.

because the order is so bad there are not enough shares on that

:34:28.:34:30.

exchange so it is pinged around to other exchanges in turn. What the

:34:31.:34:39.

high frequency der gets there first and buys them up and sells them on

:34:40.:34:45.

to the pension fund with an increased price. We are not talking

:34:46.:34:50.

about peanuts here, one fund manager lost 1% of his total every year to

:34:51.:34:54.

the high frequency traders. You can get an idea of how staggeringly

:34:55.:35:00.

lucrative it is, when you look at how much they will spend to get the

:35:01.:35:07.

tiniest advances. One company spent ?300 million to shave three seconds

:35:08.:35:13.

off the link up time between Chicago and New York. It is ultimately paid

:35:14.:35:17.

for by our pensions and savings. At the moment we are talking about

:35:18.:35:21.

things, the high-frequency traders do that are illegal if morally

:35:22.:35:26.

questionable. However the FBI this month announced it is considering

:35:27.:35:29.

whether this practice of frontrunning, chatsing orders around

:35:30.:35:32.

the world should be considered -- chasing orders around the world

:35:33.:35:36.

should be considered illegal and insider training. There are some

:35:37.:35:40.

things that some high frequency traders do that are flat out

:35:41.:35:46.

criminal. Like spoofing. A trader might like to buy a quantity of oil

:35:47.:35:53.

more cheaply by putting a order in below the prize price, they then

:35:54.:36:00.

places orders at increasingly lower prices, fooling traders that it is

:36:01.:36:06.

dropping, he buys quickly cheap and cancels the sell order. He can make

:36:07.:36:10.

a quick profit by doing the reverse. It is all over by the time it takes

:36:11.:36:18.

you to blink. The popular idea of financial markets looks like this,

:36:19.:36:22.

but this is what they look like, black boxes using trading strategies

:36:23.:36:27.

none of us understand. This is risky, a catastrophic meltdown, only

:36:28.:36:34.

ever a nanosecond away. I caught up with Michael Lewis yesterday. Was

:36:35.:36:41.

what these guys are doing wrong? It is an open question whether it is

:36:42.:36:45.

illegal. It is unclear whether the way the stock market has evolved is

:36:46.:36:49.

in the end illegal, I think it will be answered in the court of law

:36:50.:36:54.

whether it is illegal. But the, what is troubling about it is you have

:36:55.:37:02.

got a financial system that is behaving in ways that are not good

:37:03.:37:07.

for investors. There is a lot of behaviour that is probably all legal

:37:08.:37:11.

but still distasteful. Has anyone been charged as a result of your

:37:12.:37:20.

reflations? The -- investigations. The FBI has opened an investigation

:37:21.:37:24.

in the last month or so, they haven't charged anybody yet. They

:37:25.:37:31.

were They were asleep on the job until somebody woke them up? I'm not

:37:32.:37:35.

sure what woke them up, the characters in my book might have

:37:36.:37:39.

woken them up before I did. The people who are really asleep on the

:37:40.:37:44.

job was the Securities and Exchange Commission, the regulators of the

:37:45.:37:49.

financial sector. They seemed incapable of being at all active in

:37:50.:37:53.

the financial market. They respond to crises but don't prevent them

:37:54.:37:57.

happening. I don't know what these guys who were fixing the market were

:37:58.:38:02.

doing that was wrong? If it was smiled upon by the regulators, they

:38:03.:38:07.

were just acting as those sort of people have always acted, weren't

:38:08.:38:13.

they? I think that's probably their point of view. That their behaviour

:38:14.:38:19.

was just, was being condoned by the financial regulator, how could you

:38:20.:38:23.

possibly accuse them of illegal activity, however that is what the

:38:24.:38:27.

New York Attorney-General is about to do. So we may have a very curious

:38:28.:38:31.

situation where people are accused of crimes for doing things that the

:38:32.:38:37.

financial regulators condone. But you know this world, has something

:38:38.:38:44.

changed in it? Are they different sort of people? Yeah it used to be

:38:45.:38:50.

just nice men who went to work in the financial sector. The appearance

:38:51.:38:55.

of probity really mattered to those figures? They didn't require high

:38:56.:39:00.

intellect, this was an advantage, they can only do so much damage when

:39:01.:39:04.

they aren't that bright. What has happened now is instead of the

:39:05.:39:08.

bottom of the class of Oxford and Cambridge going to work in the City

:39:09.:39:11.

it is the top of the class. And they are capable of doing unlimited

:39:12.:39:16.

damage to everybody else, making it complicated in ways we don't

:39:17.:39:20.

understand. That complexity is like a no-pass, it is like what is going

:39:21.:39:24.

on. If the only people who lose money as a consequence of their

:39:25.:39:29.

activities are hedge fund deals, those sort of people who cares? If

:39:30.:39:34.

that was true I would care a lot less. But the effect of the rigging

:39:35.:39:40.

of the stock market is to essentially tax all investment

:39:41.:39:43.

capital. It isn't just hedge funders on the other end of this, every

:39:44.:39:49.

stock market transaction is susceptible to being scalped. Trades

:39:50.:39:52.

by little people, trades by big people. The bigger problem isn't

:39:53.:39:59.

just the scalping going on. In order to arrange the technology so it can

:40:00.:40:04.

owe cushion you have to make it a lot more complicated than it would

:40:05.:40:11.

have been. Their complexity ends up being unstable, they have companies

:40:12.:40:16.

crashing and exchanges going down for hours at a time. Even within the

:40:17.:40:21.

financial system there is a misgiving about the way they have

:40:22.:40:26.

structured it and a concern it is like a catastrophe waiting to happen

:40:27.:40:30.

because the technology has got too complicated. Let's hope it is not a

:40:31.:40:36.

catastrophe, a scandal has been revealed, you have revealed a

:40:37.:40:41.

scandal here, and the authorities will bring in new rules and then the

:40:42.:40:46.

next bunch of smart kids will work a way around them? That is one

:40:47.:40:50.

possible outcome. Surely that is the whole pattern? That has been the

:40:51.:40:56.

pattern. The reason I was interested in telling the story, this is the

:40:57.:41:00.

first time that there has been reform within the market that hasn't

:41:01.:41:04.

depended on regulators doing anything. You had people who were

:41:05.:41:07.

Wall Street insiders, from exchanges and high freakcy trading firms from

:41:08.:41:14.

banks -- frequency trading firms from banks, they need to say the

:41:15.:41:21.

stock market needs to be unrigable and announce to everybody that the

:41:22.:41:25.

markets are rigging things. The people whose money they control and

:41:26.:41:28.

those they were supposed to be creating, once you create that

:41:29.:41:33.

market pressure to move the market into place where it can't be

:41:34.:41:38.

scalped, I think you possibly have a sustainable, unrigable, unAble

:41:39.:41:45.

future. I think the broader picture when you pack away is Wall Street is

:41:46.:41:52.

less and less necessary. It is more and more obnoxiousious. But

:41:53.:41:57.

technology has eliminated the need of what they do. It is a case of the

:41:58.:42:01.

society forcing the issue and saying we don't need you in this, get out.

:42:02.:42:06.

We may be headed in that direction. If you are the sort of person who

:42:07.:42:13.

thinks the old Young British Artists are, were Charlatans, here is a

:42:14.:42:19.

treat. Julian Scnable has a new exhibition in London. It is greeted

:42:20.:42:25.

by a few mixed review, from awful to utterly dreadful according to the

:42:26.:42:29.

Evening Standard. But as the artist and film director told Steven Smith,

:42:30.:42:36.

don't people have a sense of humour. Why not just walk past him while he

:42:37.:42:40.

is standing there. He will be annoyed? He will be fine. You are

:42:41.:42:50.

not left in any doubt you are with a big art world figure when you meet

:42:51.:43:01.

Julian Snachble. You don't forget he's a garlanded movie director

:43:02.:43:17.

either. This painting I Always Thought of Myself as Taller was

:43:18.:43:24.

inspired by old neighbour, Lou Reid. It is as if this is imming were d on

:43:25.:43:32.

the material instead of on them. We had an SVU, and -- SUV and I I was

:43:33.:43:38.

opening the boot, and I said I'm sorry you have to watch the top, and

:43:39.:43:43.

he said I always thought of myself as taller. It was an apology for him

:43:44.:43:57.

being scared for a moment. He is really not dead, can you hear street

:43:58.:44:04.

hassle, and Pale Blue Eyes, he was so relevant. He directed a

:44:05.:44:19.

documentary by the underrated album, he knew a different side of the

:44:20.:44:26.

artist aside from the swagger. When my father died I called Lou and he

:44:27.:44:34.

came over, and we sat next to my father dead in bed and looked at him

:44:35.:44:39.

for a couple of hours and talked to him. And then I wrapped a rag around

:44:40.:44:44.

his face so his mouth would say shut and I put him in the bag. We went

:44:45.:44:54.

through a lot of things together. It isn't only American artists that

:44:55.:45:00.

have inspired him. How did you come upon the works of Bez of Happy

:45:01.:45:08.

Mondays fame? I love them, Black Grape is a great record. I paint to

:45:09.:45:12.

music a lot. And the fact that he doesn't sing or say anything is sort

:45:13.:45:18.

of an emblem of painting, which is mute. So it is kind of a secret. Is

:45:19.:45:26.

he aware that you have immortalised him in that way? We couldn't let

:45:27.:45:32.

things rest there could we? I have never, ever seen his work before.

:45:33.:45:37.

But I am amazed by it. But it is a bit mad with my name all over it

:45:38.:45:40.

though, it is a little bit like I have come along afterwards and done

:45:41.:45:46.

a bit of groupie stuff and ruined the picture. But I love it, it is

:45:47.:45:52.

proper psycadelic sort of graffiti type art. I don't know if they are

:45:53.:45:59.

good and bad when I paint them. What do you think now? I like them more

:46:00.:46:04.

than when I painted them. Since he burst on the art world some 40 years

:46:05.:46:08.

ago, he has not lacked for confidence. And has played the part

:46:09.:46:15.

of the Maestro to the hilt. Often affecting pyjamas at the easal, as

:46:16.:46:21.

here? I have no apologies, sometimes the world needs to catch up with

:46:22.:46:25.

you. A lot of people don't have a big sense of had you more, and

:46:26.:46:29.

things are done and said in tongue and cheek, and there is one where

:46:30.:46:35.

basically my head is being put cut off by an art dealer. The artist

:46:36.:46:45.

insists his paintings will have as long a shelf like as his movies,

:46:46.:46:52.

like The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, about an artist with

:46:53.:46:57.

locked in inDrome, which won the prize at Cannes. Then he says film

:46:58.:47:03.

and art should all hit the same spot? It is like a drug, you want to

:47:04.:47:08.

have that feeling, you take that, inject it into your arm and you walk

:47:09.:47:12.

out of that. That is the feeling you get from the diving and butterfly

:47:13.:47:16.

and looking at one of the paintings, they are just tools to get you into

:47:17.:47:21.

that state to where you might be conscious of yourself in some way.

:47:22.:47:29.

Why are we here, what are we doing? That's almost it for tonight. Back

:47:30.:47:34.

tomorrow, our celebration of Shakespeare's 450th birthday

:47:35.:47:37.

continues now with Dame Harriet Walter and a murderous sill key from

:47:38.:47:48.

act one scene five of Macbeth. The raven himself is hoarse, but cokes

:47:49.:47:59.

the fatal entrance of Duncan, under my battlements. Come you spirits,

:48:00.:48:07.

attend on mortal thoughts. Unsex me here, and fill me from the crown to

:48:08.:48:16.

the toe, top full of direist cruelty. Make sick my blood. Stop up

:48:17.:48:24.

the access and passage to remorse that no compunctions of visiting

:48:25.:48:29.

nature shake my foul purpose, nor keep peace between the effect and

:48:30.:48:40.

it. Come to my woman's breast and take my milk for gall, you murdering

:48:41.:48:48.

ministers. Wherever in your sightless substances you wait on

:48:49.:49:00.

nature's mischief. Come, sick night, and pull thee in the host of hell,

:49:01.:49:10.

that I see not the wound it makes, nor heaven Pope through the blanket

:49:11.:49:17.

of the dark to cry "hold, hold, hold". ??FORCEDWHIT

:49:18.:49:32.

A lot of low crowd and patchy fog by the morning. Particular low across

:49:33.:49:36.

the southern parts of England. The fog lifting and the cloud thinning

:49:37.:49:41.

and breaking and we should see sunny spells emerging. Probably in

:49:42.:49:45.

different places though for most of the day it is

:49:46.:49:46.

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