20/10/2016 Outside Source


20/10/2016

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As I talk to you, Theresa May and the other 27 leaders of the EU are

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having dinner. This is what the Prime Minister said she arrived. The

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UK is leading the EU and we will continue to play a full role until

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we leave. We will also discuss the number of elections coming up within

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the EU and how that will affect Brexit negotiations. Plus, a report

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from Australia on the Australian enthusiasm to cut a new trade deal

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once Brexit is done. We will look at whether we will see more Australian

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goods in our shops. And we are getting lots and lots of questions.

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Keep them coming. You will see that on the screen throughout the

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programme. I am talking to you from where

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hundreds and hundreds of journalists across the European Union and the

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world gather on days like this, the first day of the major EU summit. We

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are able to mingle around the building as the leaders go about

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their business, sometimes leaders or their assistance. And give you a

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briefing, but one of the main time to get to speak directly to the

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leaders is when they arrive. So we recorded this in order to explain

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how it works. Theresa May has already arrived at this summit but

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other leaders from across the EU are still coming in in black cast. This

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is where they are greeted by the press. Got to be quite careful

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because there is an awful lot of television equipment, wires

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everywhere, journalists everywhere. Some people waiting for the leaders

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here. But if you come out here, there is an even bigger group of

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journalists waiting to shout out their questions, and you can see the

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clusters of journalists around the different leaders who are arriving.

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As you can see, Angela Merkel is now taking her turn to answer questions

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from the huge press front that is gathered. If there is only one

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person who would decide how the EU response to Brexit on trade and

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foreign policy challenges, it will be the German Chancellor. There she

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goes, walking into the EU Council building. There will be a dinner

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later on where Theresa May will bring her and the other EU leaders

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about Brexit. Let me play you a little of what Angela Merkel said to

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the German press on the subject of Brexit. This will be the first time

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that we will officially welcomed the British Prime Minister, Theresa May,

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to a European Council meeting. We will have Brexit on the agenda and

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we will make it clear once again that we are waiting for the

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application of article 50 by Britain. It is now down to Britain

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to say how they want to make this application. Let us look at some of

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the question you are sending me. Jones says, are the possibilities of

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the UK becoming an EQ associate? Everything is possible but

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everything the UK Government has been saying suggests that once a

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bespoke deal, it will not copy one country or another, it will get a

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deal which the Prime Minister would say is in Britain's best interests.

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While one relationship may provide inspiration, this will be specific

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to the UK. Richard says, how come since we announced the referendum,

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we have not heard much about the problems in Greece or the problems

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in the Eurozone? Two summers ago, the Greeks did cut a deal with their

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creditors and that triggered a feather bailout which gave the Greek

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economy some stability but earlier this month, the EU commission said

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it wanted Eurozone governments to agree fresh details on debt relief

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for Greece by the end of the year. That issue has not gone away. I can

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see lots more of your questions coming in and I will come back to

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those in a couple of minutes. Next I want to talk about trade. After

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Brexit, the UK will look to cut deals with the EU and lots of

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individual countries, and Australia has already signalled it is very

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keen to do that. That could mean many more Australian products coming

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to the UK. Raised on the green grass of New South Wales, could Brexit

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mean these cattle one day find a way into the British market? Australia

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sold 80% of its beef to the UK once. That all changed when Britain joined

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the EU. Brexit brings a welcome opportunity. There will be a great

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boon for Australia because it brings up a lot of competition. We know in

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Australia, the quality is very good. Some Australian products are already

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big in Britain, wine and beer. Brexit could bring even more

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opportunities but so far, it has been a bit of a headache. This

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winery usually sells 100,000 bottles a year to the UK but the price

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depends on the exchange rate. After the referendum, the pound slumped,

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the Australian dollar rose. Now trade is harder. The currency has

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gone down by 20%. So our winds will get more expensive now. As they

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start having to pay for them at the new rate. What dwarfs the trading

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goods is financial investment. The UK and Australia will already have a

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very big stake in each of the's economies as Britain chews over

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exactly what the terms of Brexit will be, there are plenty of

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Australians hoping it is a path that brings new business their way. There

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is one factor to do with the Brexit negotiations, that it is impossible

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to overstate. It is to do with a number of significant votes coming

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up in the next 12 months within the EU. Let me run you through them. In

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December, Italy is holding a referendum on constitutional changes

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and its Prime Minister has already suggested you may stand down if that

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vote goes against him. The polling is very tight so he may yet win but

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there is a possibility of a No vote and a possibility he will be

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replaced by an interim government. He is one of the most vocal leaders

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within the EU. Fast forward to March, you have a general election

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and the Netherlands. The government there under major pressure from the

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Freedom party, which has an anti-immigration stance. It is not

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hard to imagine a scenario in which the government has the change in the

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Netherlands. In April and May, the French elections. Francois Hollande

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is incredibly unpopular if you read the polls. He has got to represent

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the Socialist party let alone winning it said there is a

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possibility the French President may change. And then you go on to

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August, September and October and the most important of the more, the

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German elections. Angela Merkel is yet to say whether she will stand

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even if she does, she would be favourite to win but she is also

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under pressure from the issue of immigration. The alternative for

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Germany party has made electoral progress. Let's talk with Heidi,

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journalist, and Peter, also a journalist. Talk to me about the

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German election. I presume Angela Merkel will stand. She is under

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pressure like she has never been before. She is much more under

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pressure compared to the last elections where she just sailed in

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and won by a huge margin. This will not be the case this time. It will

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be a tough campaign and will be totally unclear as to who she will

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govern all through her coalition partner may be. This also has an

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impact on European politics. Brexit will be complicated enough that if

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we have major leaders and players changing during negotiations, it

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becomes more complicated. I would say yes to that, that is a very

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clear statement. I think the UK will see this is much more difficult than

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has been anticipated, it will drag on for years, and there will be

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changes in government repeatedly over the years. The interest might

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change. Has Brexit been an inspiration to some politicians and

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political parties? The Danish People's' party would like to have a

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referendum but the word base that on whatever the UK gets, so that means

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the rest of the Danish parties would be very careful. An alternative for

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Germany, they are not a serious challenge. If they are in

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Parliament, and it will be as looks, everything will be more complicated,

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more muddling through, more difficult to form a government. They

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will not be part of a government so will have nothing to say in the way

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of how politics regarding Brexit is conducted but they would still make

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the process more difficult. Alex wants to ask, is there possibility

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another country could hold a referendum on leaving the soon? I

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would say no. Most other countries are not big enough to go it alone

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like the UK. If the French party was to win, they have promised to do

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that. Someone wants to ask, are people in your country supportive of

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the strong position that you cannot have the single market without the

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freedom of movement? Actually, yes. It is a fairness rule. If you want

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to be part of the club, you have to apply all the rules, and if you are

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out, you are out. This is no cherry picking. People are in favour of

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that. Some people who like changes, what access you have the different

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benefits, but the free movement, everybody likes that. Peter, you

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have got to go, so very good of you to stay with us, so Heidi, you will

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stay with us. We will also be joined with a Polish journalist so keep

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those questions coming. When there are developments here, you will hear

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a live on the BBC. In the UK, MPs have backed a proposal to strip the

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former owner of VHS, Philip Green, of his knighthood. Their decision is

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non-binding. He is accused in Parliament of asset stripping and

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failing to do with a company's pensions deficit. Sir Philip insists

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he's working on a deal that will resolve the issue. This night of the

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realm has been described by many as an emperor. And today, they get to

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bury him. I see... A spiv who should never have received a knighthood,

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who has shaped British capitalism. BHS is one of the biggest corporate

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scandals of many times. The whole house of sympathy for the thousands

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of workers were blessed their jobs and see their benefits reduced as a

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result of greed, incompetence. Strip of his knighthood, taking to task

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and get him to sell a few of his super yachts. This was not much a

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debate on some MPs were uneasy. The call for another committee to strip

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somebody of the non-, the one is only taken away if someone has

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committed a criminal offence, is the abuse of the House of Commons. But

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let's not forget about people losing their jobs. He should be stripped of

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his knighthood, 100%. He does not realise what he has done to

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everybody. And he is swanning around with the knighthood, it is not fair

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for what everybody else is going through. This does not mean he will

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lose his knighthood. Any decision on that will be made here in Whitehall.

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It is also very rare for people not found guilty of doing anything

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illegal to lose honours. Fred Goodwin of RBS was the last and most

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possible famous example but Philip Green has become the new poster to

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both the popular and political mistrust and business. During her

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party conference, Theresa May made a thinly disguised attack on him. A

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director who takes up massive dividend is one knowing the company

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pension is about to go bust. I am putting you on warning, this cannot

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go on any more. Philip Green was watching the events in Parliament

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today. Whatever happens to his knighthood, his only redemption may

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be insulting the pension out. Since before the referendum on the

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UK's place in the EU, we have been travelling around the UK and Europe,

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covering the story. Our latest stop is in Brussels because the EU is

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holding its late summer hit an all 28 leaders from the European Union

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are having dinner. When we get details about what they have been

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saying to each other, we will bring that to you. Coming up, if you're

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watching outside the UK, we will bring you American news. And in the

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UK, it is the news at ten next stop there is a report on the British

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government's part in thousands of gay and bisexual men who are

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convicted under sexual offences under now abolished laws. Russia is

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one of the main issues on the agenda here at the European Union and the

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relationship between the EU and Russia has been tense for a while

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now. We have the annexation of Crimea, the support of separatists

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in the east of Ukraine but significant though those events, the

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real focus at the is Aleppo and the Russian and Syrian government

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bombing Eastern Aleppo which is under the control of anti-government

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rebels. A number of the most senior players of the EU have been talking

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about what Russia is doing in Aleppo. Let me play some of those

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clips. Robust and united European stance in the face of Russian

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aggression. The UK has put Russian actions in Syria on the agenda for

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the summit. We must continue to work together and it is vital we work

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together to continue to put pressure on Russia to stop its appalling

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atrocities in Syria. It would be important to send a signal to Russia

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that what they do by killing civilians in Syria is unacceptable

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to the international community. The problem is there is no agreement to

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send such a signal. It would mean sanctions. We will put pressure on

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that amid Putin to do his duty, to make the truce, stop the bombing and

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to stop supporting the Syrian government. Today is not about

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decisions but I want to underline that the EU should keep all options

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open, including sanctions. If the crimes continue. There would be some

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people who would argue however hard the EU tries, it is failing to

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influence what Russia does. Let's talked to a couple of guest said. We

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still have Heidi here and we are joined by Thomas from Poland. Do you

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get frustrated by the inability of the EU to stop Russia? I come from

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Poland with the frustration is very deep-rooted. At least we have some

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leaders calling for stronger engagement of Russia in Syria and

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hoping it will help. At least you now have the knowledge and

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conviction of most of the leaders here that Russia and Syria have bad

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intentions. Most people understand is the one of the reasons we have

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these problems are because we do not use power like Russia. And the

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reason is because we want to engage diplomatically but there is only so

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much you can do. We will carry on talking about immigration in a

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moment because that is the issue that has been talked this Thursday

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afternoon in Brussels among EU leaders and the migrant crisis has

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been a huge issue for the EU for a couple of years now. The Italians in

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particular are upset about the EU response. Let me try and explain

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why. Over 300,000 people have come into the EU just this year and that

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number goes up every day. If we break that down a little, we can say

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half of those people go to Italy and half go to Greece. The reason the

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Italians are upset if it is they feel the whole EU is not sharing the

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load of processing those people and when necessary looking after them as

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well. Look at this quote from the Italian Prime Minister. This was a

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BBC interview recently in which he said, enough, we've been focusing on

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Brexit for more than two years now. It holds up key EU business. Let's

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get Brexit over and move on. The point he is making there is he is

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concerned the need or desire to put on a unified front during the Brexit

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negotiations is undermining the ability to push through tough

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decisions on immigration. Let's see if Thomas and Heidi agree. It's

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Brexit stopping the EU taking tough decisions? There has been a tendency

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to wait before taking decisions. We are in a waiting position. But when

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we get into Brexit again, everyone will be afraid to take decisions

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that might open up something the Brits want. Brexit negotiations are

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not the main reasons for the EU, not to take tough and strong decisions

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on immigration. The main problem is many leaders in countries are

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convinced that the crisis is over because of the way, Turkey to Greece

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and Germany is closed, and the pace of immigration to Italy is the same

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as one year in two years ago. So business as usual. I would agree on

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the fact that migration, it is not Brexit that is stopping us taking

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decisions, it is just because it is difficult. It is a poisonous

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subject. Some would say countries like yours are stopping a solution.

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They are saying, we will not take these people in. Why will they not

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share the responsibility of what is happening? I will not defend the

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Polish government. The reasons are popular stick and xenophobic. These

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countries started to spread their opposition loudly a year ago. In

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fact you have many other countries, including France and the

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Netherlands, which were very moderate in their language here in

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Brussels, but they were not accepting refugees as well. We are

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out of time. After the dinner is finished, are you hoping your

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leaders will come out and speak to you? I am sure they will. I am going

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to stay here. Both of you, thank you very much indeed. We are expecting

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significant briefing from EU leaders once they finish their dinner and

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come out. No one is sure the timing of that but whenever it happens, you

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will get coverage on the BBC. Lots of you are asking this question,

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Nigel says, why does everyone want the Prime Minister to disclose our

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negotiating stance? That would put us at a huge disadvantage. There are

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some, and the government as part of this group, who says we cannot do

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everything in the public domain because these are negotiations and

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there are others, particularly some MPs, who say it is not appropriate

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for the country in Parliament to have no idea what approach is going

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to be taken. We shall have to see how Theresa May chooses to play

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