26/09/2016 Scotland 2016


26/09/2016

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Not that long ago she said he couldn't lead Labour to victory.

:00:00.:00:00.

But now Kezia Dugdale's looking forward to working

:00:07.:00:08.

It was smiles all round on the Conference floor today

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but can Labour really heal its wounds now and move forward?

:00:37.:00:40.

And the pressure's on for Clinton and Trump as they go

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head-to-head in the first televised debate of the campaign.

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It was the day when everyone was supposed to have moved on.

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After the bitterness of the leadership battle,

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time to come together, to start working towards winning

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So has peace really broken out at the Labour party

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Liverpool has reinvented itself and is awash with designer bars and

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clubs. Inside the conference centre is a party trying to do the same.

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This is Jeremy Corbyn? Labour, a party that says it will come

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together united in a socialist cause. I get emotional about this

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part of Conference. As Scottish Labour leader Kezia Dugdale took to

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the stage today, a hint of emotions running high. She reinforced the

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anti-austerity message. Today I can announce when the Scottish

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Government presents a budget of parliament, we will place amendments

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to introduce a 50p tax, and add a penny to income tax to pay for

:02:10.:02:14.

public services. Labour will not help the SNP pass an austerity

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budget on our watch. Not surprisingly it was a loud applause

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for this. We do not need the risk of uncertainty of another independence

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referendum and that is why we will vote against any proposal for a

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second independence referendum in this Parliament. Shadow Chancellor

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John McDonnell's main headline was a higher living wage. Not new, but

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they liked it all the same. Onto the next Labour government everyone will

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earn enough to live on. When we win the next election we will write into

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law a real living wage. During the leadership election Kezia Dugdale

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openly backed Owen Smith, saying Jeremy Corbyn could never take the

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party to a general election win. Yesterday she did a massive U-turn.

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One area of contention between them is the question of the National

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Executive Committee. The Labour ruling body. Last week it approved

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proposals to grant Scottish Labour more autonomy in the form of

:03:24.:03:26.

regional representatives to be chosen by Kezia Dugdale. Allies of

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Jeremy Corbyn last night resisted the move. They see such a process as

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having the potential to tip the NEC in favour of the anti-Corvin camp.

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But the fine balance between those who support Jeremy Corbyn and those

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who oppose him will be decided at conference tomorrow. So has the talk

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of policy today done enough to take attention away from the question of

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disunity? Labour can announce as many policies as it wants to but

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there are two things. First of all it has been dominated by the

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re-election of Jeremy Corbyn and whether he can pull the party

:04:02.:04:05.

together. Again he's not showing signs of doing that. We do not see

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any signs of peace, any doves arriving. It is just not happening.

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And secondly, policies have got to be credible. They have to speak to

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the biggest issue facing country just now, Wrexham. It has hardly

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been debated here at all. The last line of this speech was one of old

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optimism. Let us resolve to unite around our values and rediscover our

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radical roots and again be what's a mini people in Scotland and across

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the UK want us to be. The greatest fighting force for progress that

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this country has ever known. It is easy to get applause from a friendly

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audience. The test comes when you take your policies to the people who

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could elect you. Well our Westminster Correspondent

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Nick Eardley has been talking to the Labour leader

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Jeremy Corbyn today. After Labour's worst ever election

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result at Holyrood this May, he asked him -

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what needs to change? We recently won three by-elections

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in Scotland and gain seats. The party membership has gone up. We

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have elections next year and later this year we will be doing a serious

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economic conference in Scotland for the Scottish economy and the labour

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view on it. So there is a great deal of hope there. Many traditional

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supporters have abandoned the party for the SNP, they support

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independence, are you listening to them? Of course, we listen to people

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all the time and work with people all the time. A growing UK economy,

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investment led, will produce jobs for the future. Will produce the

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income which could fund the necessary services. We cannot go on

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cutting college places, with continued housing shortages. That

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was the message in the month of May and did not seem to make its way

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through to the electorate. As time goes on people realise that the SNP

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and their proclaimed opposition to austerity, the reality is they are

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not using the powers they have in the Scottish Parliament and local

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government cuts continue. Some people lose their jobs and services

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deteriorate. Do you think that you can win a general election in

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Scotland? We can win a lot of support in Scotland. We have one

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local election by-elections, we have elections next year and of course we

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have bigger elections later on for the Westminster election. The

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Scottish party is in good heart. One school of thought says the UK Labour

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Party cannot get back into power at Westminster without reclaiming a

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number of seats in Scotland. Is that your target? The plan is to campaign

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all over the UK of course, campaign in Scotland, campaign on those

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Labour traditional values and also point out if there is to be a

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growing economy in Scotland, it can only be done as part of a growing

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economy across the UK. That means investment, better infrastructure,

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and also ensuring those jobs that are now at risk because of the

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decline in the oil industry especially in Aberdeen and Dundee,

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are secured through investment for different technologies and

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industries for the future. Have you tried to stop Kezia Dugdale

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appointing representatives to the Executive? No, the party has put

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forward a rule change which will allow her to be a Scottish

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representative on the national executive. That will be agreed

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tomorrow by Conference. Some Scottish Labour think you and your

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supporters have tried to block Kezia Dugdale appointing their position. I

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have said they has to be a Scottish member of the national executive and

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for that matter a Welsh member. The method of decision-making on that is

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what the discussion was about, we will come to that conclusion and

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there will be a Scottish member of the national executive. Are you

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happy for it to be appointed by Kezia Dugdale? Very happy, we work

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well together. It appears the package of reform will go ahead as a

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whole tomorrow. Do you want your supporters to back it? Yes, the

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package of reforms, the national executive is only part of that,

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there would be much greater discussion about democracy of the UK

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Labour Party as a whole which will include possibly more members

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representing individual party members over the whole country as

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well as a change in the policy-making process. We are now a

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party of nearly 600,000 members and they will want to say and that is

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good. Do you want in Murray back in your Shadow Cabinet? If he's

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available the door is open. Well shortly before we came on air

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Nick spoke to us from Liverpool. Another day done at Labour

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conference and it seems another row averted. Jeremy Corbyn saying in the

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interview there that he is happy for Kezia Dugdale to appoint a

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representative to the NEC. I think that is holding out an olive branch,

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suggesting we're now at a stage where agreement has been reached,

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and I think it makes it likely that those measures will be passed

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tomorrow. That will give Scottish Labour two things, autonomy to set

:09:27.:09:31.

its own policies, chooses candidates, and the power to send

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someone to the UK executive to make arguments on the health of the

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Scottish party. But anything goes in the Labour Party just now, it is not

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impossible that the issue could be raised again tomorrow. There are

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other issues remaining as well, one of them personnel. How does Jeremy

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Corbyn with his new mandate, get those MPs who left his Shadow

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Cabinet, who expressed no confidence in him, back onside. In Murray is

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one of them, the former shadow Scottish Secretary. He said today

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Jeremy Corbyn needs to meet the rebels halfway. I think Jeremy

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Corbyn wants to listen to those arguments but we're not quite there

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yet with Shadow Cabinet elections. Some members of the current Shadow

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Cabinet expressed some scepticism, that this could be a plan to try to

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undermine Jeremy Corbyn. So one issue is resolved, others remaining.

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Plenty more to come from the Labour conference.

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With just six weeks to go until the US elects a new President,

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the pressure really gets cranked up later tonight.

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Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump are going head-to-head

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With the race currently too close to call, they're facing the voters

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together on camera for the first time in this long campaign.

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Shortly before we came on air I spoke to three political

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commentators about just what's at stake tonight.

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Joining as from Washington is James Fallows, National correspondent for

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the Atlantic magazine. In Edinburgh doctor mail Kenny, a lecturer in

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gender at the University of Edinburgh and historian and Daily

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Telegraph journalist Tim Stanley. Good evening. James Fallows, most of

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us here are going to be asleep when the showdown goes live but just how

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significant an event is it over there? I think it is being seen as

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pretty significant. Political scientists argue sometimes debates

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do not change elections, but John Kennedy was going to win anyway,

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Ronald Reagan was going to win anyway. But with all the

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unpredictability, the stark contrast between Donald Trump and Hillary

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Clinton, it feels as if this could be a moment when trends change in

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one direction or the other. They are virtually neck and neck in the polls

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and I guess they both have a lot to lose tonight. Yes and given the very

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different dynamics, Donald Trump, his style is so aggressive and

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extreme, Hillary Clinton, her style has been so controlled. You can

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imagine different ways in which either could lose. If Donald Trump

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were to explode in some way, if Hillary Clinton were to seem offer a

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game or defensive. So everyone will have some theory that all yes it was

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inevitable but right now before the debate you can imagine many

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scenarios without being sure of which is more likely to occur. Tim

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Stanley, what we know about how both candidates have been preparing for

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the debate? We know their preparation reflect the personality

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and what we expect to happen. Hillary Clinton has been hunkered

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down in hotel close to the place where the debate will take place,

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she has been there for around three days, she had two sessions of

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preparation per day, members of staff impersonating Donald Trump and

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asking tough and sometimes personal questions as they fear he might. She

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has said she's all about the detail and intends to get on top of the

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facts. Meanwhile Donald Trump is thought to have done next to no

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preparation. He has met with some friends at the golf course,

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supposedly has kicked some questions around, there was talk about the

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campaign sending out a survey to supporters to ask if he should refer

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to Hillary Clinton as a crook live on air. But having said that, he is

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a reality TV star, that is how he became really famous in America,

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being the host of the apprentice. Throughout this campaign we have

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watched his performance on TV and said that he breaks all the rules,

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doing everything wrong according to politics as usual. But we no longer

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live in the kind of Europe where politicians are supposed to be on

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top of the fact that heavily programmed and all about experience.

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We're moving into a era where people are voting on the basis of emotion

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and so I would say that Donald Trump is better prepared for this debate

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then Hillary Clinton because he understands television.

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This is that the first time in history but a woman has appeared in

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one of his televised presidential debates. Does pose particular

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problems for Hillary Clinton is a FEMA candidate? I think it does and

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I think the Hillary Clinton, the bar is high and that reflects the bar

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that many women candidates have the cross which is that she has the sure

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she is competent but also that she is likeable. For women, that is the

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double bind. The more competent you are, the less likeable you are

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perceived to be and vice versa. You think the bar is high ethical

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Hillary Clinton? She has a lot to balance. She has the challenge trump

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and on the other hand we know perceptions are different for women

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than men. She may be perceived as being aggressive, overly

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condescending, so she has a lot that she has the juggle as the Trump, the

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bar is low. Did you agree with that? We've heard tram's campaign manager

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saying his natural connective tissue with people would be on show

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tonight. Would he stumble over policy detail though? I agree about

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the difficulty that prominent women have. I think there may be one or

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two ways in which that works the Hillary Clinton's advantage. One is

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that not, who is so aggressive, he has been notably shrinking when

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confronted with strong women in person. He does not like to be

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face-to-face with the woman who is standing up to him so that might not

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be something that will work for his advantage. Hillary Clinton has been

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her best historically when under attack, whether it is the Benghazi

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commission, running for the Senate or in 2008 when Barack Obama was

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condescending to her. It has actually brought out the best for

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her and expanded this narrow tightrope that prominent women are

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allowed to work on in American politics. The dynamics of this might

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strangely give latitude than she would have against a normal

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opponent. 90 minutes is a very long time on live television. There has

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got the be a bit of an endurance contest for both of them. Is that

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something that might play badly for Donald Trump? Some fear that Hillary

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Clinton could cough. There had been rumours that she has poor health so

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something might happen. Reflecting on the previous debates, Donald

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Trump tends to lose energy after ten or 15 minutes. He has the

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notoriously short attention span so I expect him to suffer in that way.

:17:25.:17:28.

By one to second the comments that have just been made. It is true that

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being a woman puts Hillary Clinton at a disadvantage of if she is too

:17:33.:17:38.

clever, I feel intimidated by her. But it is much as male voters

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watching. Women are, too. And the basic dynamic of your selections

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since the 1980s is that the Republicans consistently use the

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popular vote because while they do well among white people they do very

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badly among non-white people and particularly among women. It is

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possible this evening that even if in terms of theatre, it looks like

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Donald Trump is in, the kind of people who like the things he says

:18:06.:18:10.

are voting for him anyway but don't be surprised beneath the radar, he

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alienates a whole load of bull however he says. There are still a

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lot of undecided voters there. How much do think the final result could

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hinge on whether the third-party candidates actually pick up voters

:18:27.:18:31.

from those who are disaffected by the mainstream? Trump and

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third-party candidates are tapping into this sense of political

:18:36.:18:39.

alienation and disaffection but I want to echo the comments that the

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Trump, the challenge is to expand beyond that base. For Hillary

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Clinton, the challenge is to expand an appeal to those millennial 's who

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may have voted for Bernie Sanders and the kinds of voters who should

:18:58.:19:00.

be coming over to her campaign at this point but are not necessarily

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end that is why we are seeing this closing of the gap. But even though

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the polls are narrowing, there is still a hugely significant gender

:19:10.:19:13.

gap in her favour of Hillary. You are nodding your head but we do keep

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hearing that the public have had it with slick politicians, with no

:19:21.:19:25.

little politicians, experts. Do you think in the end, Clinton can

:19:26.:19:31.

overcome that? Based on every fact of history and logic and

:19:32.:19:35.

demographics and numbers, you would expect Hillary Clinton to win. The

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question is, why she not winning easily? As both of your other

:19:39.:19:45.

panellists have said, the one group with whom Donald Trump is running

:19:46.:19:52.

better than Mitt Romney is white men without a college degree. Every

:19:53.:19:59.

other demographic of whites, blacks, Latinos with college degrees, he is

:20:00.:20:10.

running behind Mitt Romney. Based on basic physics, you would still

:20:11.:20:14.

expect Hillary Clinton to win a notable part is that it seems as

:20:15.:20:19.

close as it does because of the passion many people have the Donald

:20:20.:20:24.

Trump. But I bet enough for them to get that across? I am going to ask

:20:25.:20:27.

you will not put your money where your mouth is. Who do you think will

:20:28.:20:32.

come out on top of the my's debate and come out on top in six weeks'

:20:33.:20:37.

time? I think again, the demographics point in Clinton's

:20:38.:20:44.

favour, but it is not what happens inside the bait. It is also the

:20:45.:20:52.

postdebate spin. We have to remember that there are low expectations for

:20:53.:20:56.

Trump and the expectation is he will buy haps me those or exceed those,

:20:57.:21:01.

given all of the bar is. Are you a betting man? I am not a betting man.

:21:02.:21:10.

I would bet hope the Hillary Clinton wins the election. The expectations

:21:11.:21:15.

game may have been triple spun so it could actually work in Hillary

:21:16.:21:18.

Clinton's favour ie people now expect Donald Trump to do better. I

:21:19.:21:25.

would expect a narrow margin, heard to have been seen as coming out

:21:26.:21:30.

stronger from this encounter. I expect Trump to do very well

:21:31.:21:34.

perceiving. I think he's the king of reality TV and has injected that

:21:35.:21:43.

into mainstream politics and has transformed our expectations. For

:21:44.:21:47.

that reason, I will not put my money on either count on right now. Thank

:21:48.:21:52.

you very much for joining us this evening.

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And if you can't sleep tonight and want to watch the debate

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live you can see it over on the News Channel from 2am.

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Joining me to discuss the day's big stories are the former

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Scottish Labour adviser Simon Pia - and the political commentator

:22:04.:22:06.

Let's kick off the Labour Party conference in Liverpool and it tends

:22:07.:22:22.

to put all that bad blood and infighting behind them. How's that

:22:23.:22:29.

going them? I think it is going a bit better than we expected

:22:30.:22:33.

beforehand. Everything is still getting blown out of proportion but

:22:34.:22:38.

the media are not getting blood red meat. It went quite smoothly and

:22:39.:22:46.

everything went as expected. I believe the Scottish NEC dispute

:22:47.:22:52.

will be resolved as well. What do you make of her response over the

:22:53.:23:01.

weekend to Jeremy Corbyn's election? Some people might call flip-flop. Is

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that something she can per behind the now? Yes. In a few months' time,

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that will be forgotten. It will not just be cast up all the time? It was

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not great but is not significant. What is more significant is if they

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do win tomorrow's the vote, appoint someone at the NSC, and if things

:23:25.:23:29.

settle down if the momentum group within Labour supporter Jeremy

:23:30.:23:35.

Corbyn comes after those who supported his opponent, including Mr

:23:36.:23:41.

Dugdale, and she grows into the job. The problem of Scottish Labour's

:23:42.:23:46.

troubles has been that the young inexperienced leader has said the

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time when even someone long in the tooth would have struggled anyway. I

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wonder if it was a mistake for her to so openly come out against Jeremy

:23:57.:24:02.

Corbyn. We heard today John McDonald talking about socialism. She is

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trying to position late Scottish Labour to the left of the group.

:24:07.:24:12.

Would you not have the would be a natural bedfellows? Should be. She

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has made up her mind about a lot of things but is also influenced by

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people like Ian Murray and Ian grieve. I think it was a bit rash of

:24:23.:24:26.

her but I agree that it will soon fade away as what happens now.

:24:27.:24:33.

Jeremy Corbyn has given Scottish Labour are very free hand, more than

:24:34.:24:38.

any other Labour leader. He was speaking about people coming after

:24:39.:24:42.

her momentum. The whole thing for the last 12 months and longer has

:24:43.:24:48.

been the right centre of the Labour Party coming after Jeremy Corbyn and

:24:49.:24:53.

finally, they have got to wake up to reality and back off and behave

:24:54.:24:57.

themselves and stop working in a constructive manner and realise that

:24:58.:25:01.

another prisoner society, people say listen to the people but not to the

:25:02.:25:09.

Labour Party membership. Help these MPs get pensions or moving to the

:25:10.:25:16.

corporate world, people like me go around and knock-on doors for them,

:25:17.:25:21.

so please don't forget that. Lots of policy announcements today, both UK

:25:22.:25:27.

wide. Do you think voters are listening at the moment? Her speech

:25:28.:25:32.

had much in the way of new policy and most of that was restatement. We

:25:33.:25:39.

know they had the idea of 1p income tax, we knew about the 50p top rate

:25:40.:25:45.

and that enabled her to say, and the delegates of that, if the SNP want

:25:46.:25:48.

to get through a budget that does not include that, after a while,

:25:49.:25:53.

they love the sound of Tory support. But there was not much new in it.

:25:54.:26:00.

When it comes to even be Shadow Chancellor's contribution today, why

:26:01.:26:07.

the slogans, anti-austerity? We all agree with that but where is the

:26:08.:26:12.

plan? That is what people need to be convinced of, the nuts and bolts of

:26:13.:26:16.

the plan to bring in a programme of anti-austerity. He did speak about

:26:17.:26:26.

investment in infrastructure, the living wage rise to ?10. He said a

:26:27.:26:32.

lot more specific stuff that the point is simply often in the lead up

:26:33.:26:36.

to elections or any party for that matter. Also, you have got to give

:26:37.:26:42.

them a break because the last 12 months, the Parliamentary Labour

:26:43.:26:50.

Party and forces behind and media could force an sport, they have not

:26:51.:26:54.

had a lot of time to breathe and try and do that policy. But they have

:26:55.:27:02.

lost significant numbers of well disposed economic advisers who felt

:27:03.:27:08.

it was not happening. Because of the turmoil, and I would still point a

:27:09.:27:15.

finger more at the right wing of the party than Jeremy Corbyn and

:27:16.:27:19.

McDonald. Before we go, I would like to move on to other political

:27:20.:27:24.

stories. Theresa May has claimed in an article that Brexit will enhance

:27:25.:27:29.

Scotland's place in the world. What do you make of that? The notion that

:27:30.:27:36.

she sat down in Downing Street penning that we know was not true.

:27:37.:27:42.

Some are bound done it. I cannot think they will get top marks week.

:27:43.:27:52.

The notion that a generation or a decade of uncertainty over bilateral

:27:53.:27:57.

trade agreements will help Scottish exports or that somehow, the Tories

:27:58.:28:01.

will provide the Scottish shipbuilding industry they

:28:02.:28:04.

destroyed, no one will see that as credible. We have heard from fishing

:28:05.:28:11.

leaders that said they would show world leadership after Brexit. Do

:28:12.:28:15.

you think they might be persuaded in time to see opportunities for

:28:16.:28:19.

Scotland? I'm not an expert on the fishing industry but I know it is

:28:20.:28:23.

flourishing in the river Forth but that's another story. These are

:28:24.:28:33.

areas where are the real leader. Scotland is a world leader in food

:28:34.:28:39.

and drink, Scotch beef, etc, whiskey. I thought this was a really

:28:40.:28:46.

patronising tone. It is once again the Tories not getting Scotland and

:28:47.:28:50.

they have not cottoned on to the fact that every local authority area

:28:51.:28:55.

in Scotland voted to remain, and that 62% vote... Scotland and

:28:56.:29:06.

England as political cultures are dividing. Did she misjudged her

:29:07.:29:13.

message? I just think that was a piece of party hack it chucked up

:29:14.:29:19.

for a magazine's consumption. It did not tell us anything at all. We

:29:20.:29:24.

still do not know what Brexit means and until we know, this phrase

:29:25.:29:28.

Brexit means Brexit and you cannot define the term, it is so circular

:29:29.:29:31.

that we are long way from knowing where any of this is going. So no

:29:32.:29:37.

sign that voters are less uncertain? How can be? There is no point in

:29:38.:29:44.

polling people were taking soundings when the question itself is

:29:45.:29:45.

meaningless. Laura Maciver will be here tomorrow

:29:46.:29:47.

night at the usual time. So do please join

:29:48.:29:55.

her then, bye bye.

:29:56.:30:01.

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